The future of generative AI is niche, not generalized – MIT Technology Review
ChatGPT has sparked speculation about artificial general intelligence. But the next real phase of AI will be in specific domains and contexts.
The relentless hype surrounding generative AI in the past few months has been accompanied by equally loud anguish over the supposed perils just look at the open letter calling for a pause in AI experiments. This tumult risks blinding us to more immediate risks think sustainability and bias and clouds our ability to appreciate the real value of these systems: not as generalist chatbots, but instead as a class of tools that can be applied to niche domains and offer novel ways of finding and exploring highly specific information.
This shouldnt come as a surprise. The news that a dozen companies have developed ChatGPT plugins is a clear demonstration of the likely direction of travel. A generalized chatbot wont do everything for you, but if youre, say, Expedia, being able to offer customers a simple way to organize their travel plans is undeniably going to give you an edge in a marketplace where information discovery is so important.
Whether or not this really amounts to an iPhone moment or a serious threat to Google search isnt obvious at present while it will likely push a change in user behaviors and expectations, the first shift will be organizations pushing to bring tools trained on large language models (LLMs) to learn from their own data and services.
Dont settle for half the story.Get paywall-free access to technology news for the here and now.
And this, ultimately, is the key the significance and value of generative AI today is not really a question of societal or industry-wide transformation. Its instead a question of how this technology can open up new ways of interacting with large and unwieldy amounts of data and information.
OpenAI is clearly attuned to this fact and senses a commercial opportunity: although the list of organizations taking part in the ChatGPT plugin initiative is small, OpenAI has opened up a waiting list where companies can sign up to gain access to the plugins. In the months to come, we will no doubt see many new products and interfaces backed by OpenAIs generative AI systems.
While its easy to fall into the trap of seeing OpenAI as the sole gatekeeper of this technology and ChatGPT as the go-to generative AI tool this fortunately is far from the case. You dont need to sign up on a waiting list or have vast amounts of cash available to hand over to Sam Altman; instead, its possible to self-host LLMs.
This is something were starting to see at Thoughtworks. In the latest volume of the Technology Radar our opinionated guide to the techniques, platforms, languages and tools being used across the industry today weve identified a number of interrelated tools and practices that indicate the future of generative AI is niche and specialized, contrary to what much mainstream conversation would have you believe.
Unfortunately, we dont think this is something many business and technology leaders have yet recognized. The industrys focus has been set on OpenAI, which means the emerging ecosystem of tools beyond it exemplified by projects like GPT-J and GPT Neo and the more DIY approach they can facilitate have so far been somewhat neglected. This is a shame because these options offer many benefits. For example, a self-hosted LLM sidesteps the very real privacy issues that can come from connecting data with an OpenAI product. In other words, if you want to deploy an LLM to your own enterprise data, you can do precisely that yourself; it doesnt need to go elsewhere. Given both industry and public concerns with privacy and data management, being cautious rather than being seduced by the marketing efforts of big tech is eminently sensible.
A related trend weve seen is domain-specific language models. Although these are also only just beginning to emerge, fine-tuning publicly available, general-purpose LLMs on your own data could form a foundation for developing incredibly useful information retrieval tools. These could be used, for example, on product information, content, or internal documentation. In the months to come, we think youll see more examples of these being used to do things like helping customer support staff and enabling content creators to experiment more freely and productively.
If generative AI does become more domain-specific, the question of what this actually means for humans remains. However, Id suggest that this view of the medium-term future of AI is a lot less threatening and frightening than many of todays doom-mongering visions. By better bridging the gap between generative AI and more specific and niche datasets, over time people should build a subtly different relationship with the technology. It will lose its mystique as something that ostensibly knows everything, and it will instead become embedded in our context.
Indeed, this isnt that novel. GitHub Copilot is a great example of AI being used by software developers in very specific contexts to solve problems. Despite its being billed as your AI pair programmer, we would not call what it does pairing its much better described as a supercharged, context-sensitive Stack Overflow.
As an example, one of my colleagues uses Copilot not to do work but as a means of support as he explores a new programming language it helps him to understand the syntax or structure of a language in a way that makes sense in the context of his existing knowledge and experience.
We will know that generative AI is succeeding when we stop noticing it and the pronouncements about what it might do die down. In fact, we should be willing to accept that its success might actually look quite prosaic. This shouldnt matter, of course; once weve realized it doesnt know everything and never will that will be when it starts to become really useful.https://wp.technologyreview.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Thoughtworks_Video_ContributedArticle_April2022.mp4Provided by Thoughtworks
This content was produced by Thoughtworks. It was not written by MIT Technology Reviews editorial staff.
Follow this link:
The future of generative AI is niche, not generalized - MIT Technology Review
- How Do You Get to Artificial General Intelligence? Think Lighter - WIRED - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- How much time do we have before Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to turns into Artificial Self-preserving - The Times of India - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Simuli to Leap Forward in the Trek to Artificial General Intelligence through 2027 Hyperdimensional AI Ecosystem - USA TODAY - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Implications of Artificial General Intelligence on National and International Security - Yoshua Bengio - - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- James Cameron says the reality of artificial general intelligence is 'scarier' than the fiction of it - Business Insider - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- James Cameron says the reality of artificial general intelligence is 'scarier' than the fiction of it - MSN - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Bot fresh hell is this?: Inside the rise of Artificial General Intelligence or AGI - MSN - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Market to Reach $26.9 Billion by 2031 As Revealed In New Report - WhaTech - September 26th, 2024 [September 26th, 2024]
- 19 jobs artificial general intelligence (AGI) may replace and 10 jobs it could create - MSN - September 26th, 2024 [September 26th, 2024]
- Paige Appoints New Leadership to Further Drive Innovation, Bring Artificial General Intelligence to Pathology, and Expand Access to AI Applications -... - August 16th, 2024 [August 16th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence, If Attained, Will Be the Greatest Invention of All Time - JD Supra - August 11th, 2024 [August 11th, 2024]
- OpenAI Touts New AI Safety Research. Critics Say Its a Good Step, but Not Enough - WIRED - July 22nd, 2024 [July 22nd, 2024]
- OpenAIs Project Strawberry Said to Be Building AI That Reasons and Does Deep Research - Singularity Hub - July 22nd, 2024 [July 22nd, 2024]
- One of the Best Ways to Invest in AI Is Dont - InvestorPlace - July 22nd, 2024 [July 22nd, 2024]
- OpenAI is plagued by safety concerns - The Verge - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- OpenAI reportedly nears breakthrough with reasoning AI, reveals progress framework - Ars Technica - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- ChatGPT maker OpenAI now has a scale to rank its AI - ReadWrite - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- Heres how OpenAI will determine how powerful its AI systems are - The Verge - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- OpenAI may be working on AI that can perform research without human help which should go fine - TechRadar - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- OpenAI has a new scale for measuring how smart their AI models are becoming which is not as comforting as it should be - TechRadar - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- OpenAI says there are 5 'levels' for AI to reach human intelligence it's already almost at level 2 - Quartz - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- AIs Bizarro World, were marching towards AGI while carbon emissions soar - Fortune - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- AI News Today July 15, 2024 - The Dales Report - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- The Evolution Of Artificial Intelligence: From Basic AI To ASI - Welcome2TheBronx - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- What Elon Musk and Ilya Sutskever Feared About OpenAI Is Becoming Reality - Observer - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- Companies are losing faith in AI, and AI is losing money - Android Headlines - July 17th, 2024 [July 17th, 2024]
- AGI isn't here (yet): How to make informed, strategic decisions in the meantime - VentureBeat - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- Apple's AI Privacy Measures, Elon Musk's Robot Prediction, And More: This Week In Artificial Intelligence - Alphabet ... - Benzinga - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- AGI and jumping to the New Inference Market S-Curve - CMSWire - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- Apple's big AI announcements were all about AI 'for the rest of us'Google, Meta, Amazon and, yes, OpenAI should ... - Fortune - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Withdraws His Lawsuit Against OpenAI and Sam Altman - The New York Times - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- Staying Ahead of the AI Train - ATD - June 16th, 2024 [June 16th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands its AI risk mitigation team - - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- BEYOND LOCAL: 'Noise' in the machine: Human differences in judgment lead to problems for AI - The Longmont Leader - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- Machine Learning Researcher Links OpenAI to Drug-Fueled Sex Parties - Futurism - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- What Is AI? How Artificial Intelligence Works (2024) - Shopify - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- Vitalik Buterin says OpenAI's GPT-4 has passed the Turing test - Cointelegraph - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- "I lost trust": Why the OpenAI team in charge of safeguarding humanity imploded - Vox.com - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- 63% of surveyed Americans want government legislation to prevent super intelligent AI from ever being achieved - PC Gamer - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Top OpenAI researcher resigns, saying company prioritized 'shiny products' over AI safety - Fortune - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- The revolution in artificial intelligence and artificial general intelligence - Washington Times - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Yahoo! Voices - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands safety team focused on risk of artificial intelligence causing 'human extinction' - New York Post - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Port Lavaca Wave - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Moore County News Press - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Generative AI Is Totally Shameless. I Want to Be It - WIRED - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI researcher resigns, claiming safety has taken a backseat to shiny products - The Verge - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Most of Surveyed Americans Do Not Want Super Intelligent AI - 80.lv - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- A former OpenAI leader says safety has 'taken a backseat to shiny products' at the AI company - Winnipeg Free Press - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- DeepMind CEO says Google to spend more than $100B on AGI despite hype - Cointelegraph - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Congressional panel outlines five guardrails for AI use in House - FedScoop - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- The Potential and Perils of Advanced Artificial General Intelligence - elblog.pl - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- DeepMind Head: Google AI Spending Could Exceed $100 Billion - PYMNTS.com - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Say hi to Tong Tong, world's first AGI child-image figure - ecns - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Silicon Scholars: AI and The Muslim Ummah - IslamiCity - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- AI stocks aren't like the dot-com bubble. Here's why - Quartz - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- AI vs. AGI: The Race for Performance, Battling the Cost? for NASDAQ:GOOG by Moshkelgosha - TradingView - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- We've Been Here Before: AI Promised Humanlike Machines In 1958 - The Good Men Project - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Google will spend more than $100 billion on AI, exec says - Quartz - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Tech companies want to build artificial general intelligence. But who decides when AGI is attained? - The Bakersfield Californian - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Tech companies want to build artificial general intelligence. But who decides when AGI is attained? - The Caledonian-Record - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- What is AGI and how is it different from AI? - ReadWrite - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Artificial intelligence in healthcare: defining the most common terms - HealthITAnalytics.com - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- We're Focusing on the Wrong Kind of AI Apocalypse - TIME - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Xi Jinping's vision in supporting the artificial intelligence at home and abroad - Modern Diplomacy - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- As 'The Matrix' turns 25, the chilling artificial intelligence (AI) projection at its core isn't as outlandish as it once seemed - TechRadar - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- AI & robotics briefing: Why superintelligent AI won't sneak up on us - Nature.com - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Get Ready for the Great AI Disappointment - WIRED - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Part 3 Capitalism in the Age of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI): what it is and why its discovery can change the world - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Exploring the Path to Artificial General Intelligence - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- The Acceleration Towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Its Implications - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- OpenAI Warns: "AGI Is Coming" - Do we have a reason to worry? - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- The fight over ethics intensifies as artificial intelligence quickly changes the world - 9 & 10 News - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- AI as the Third Window into Humanity: Understanding Human Behavior and Emotions - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) in Radiation Oncology: Transformative Technology - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Exploring the Potential of AGI: Opportunities and Challenges - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Full-Spectrum Cognitive Development Incorporating AI for Evolution and Collective Intelligence - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial Superintelligence - Understanding a Future Tech that Will Change the World! - MobileAppDaily - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Title: AI Unveiled: Exploring the Realm of Artificial Intelligence - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]