Afghanistan's new government fails to deliver stability
Afghan security forces inspect the British embassy vehicle targeted in the suicide attack. Photo: AP
The suicide bombing of a UK embassy vehicle in Kabul came just four days after an attack at a volleyball match in the south-eastern province of Paktika, which killed more than 45 people.
Neither of these suicide bombings came as a surprise. It was inevitable that the scaling down of the Western military presence would lead to more violence: the Taliban's intention to play a bigger political role in Afghanistan and its ability to undertake violent action were well known.
Yet, contrary to expectations, Afghanistan somehow managed to hold elections this year and find itself a president. What Afghans did not get was the promised transition to stability.
There are two primary reasons why the security situation is worsening. The first is politico-economic in nature. Having promised government jobs, money and power to supporters before the elections, President Ashraf Ghani and chief executive Abdullah Abdullah are struggling to deliver them.
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With about 850,000 employees on its payroll, but a desperate shortage of funds, the Afghan state has become a hub of disguised unemployment.
No wonder corruption is endemic. Those who don't get their share of funds are happy to part ways and seek revenge. All the Taliban needs to do is capitalise on this burgeoning discontent.
The other problem is the incapability of the Afghan National Security Forces to contain the violence. From a military tactical perspective, the Taliban, which controls the Afghan countryside, has a freedom of movement that the ANSF does not.
Restricted to securing the cities and key trade arteries of Afghanistan, Afghan soldiers often become sitting ducks. The Kabul government, for all its political imagination, has also proved inept in managing finances and distributing salaries to its soldiers. Trained to kill, disgruntled soldiers may have no qualms offering their services to the opposition in the future.
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Afghanistan's new government fails to deliver stability