Mediaboss Marketing

The contest for control of northern Afghanistan between the Taliban, the Islamic State, and other terrorist groups is a major security concern for the states of Central Asia. Since the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan have relied on the Taliban to prevent non-state actors from operating in northern Afghanistan and launching cross-border attacks. In recent months, however, the Islamic State has bombed mosques near the border with Central Asia, and claimed to have launched a rocket attack into Uzbekistan. The deteriorating situation in the region demonstrates the limits of Central Asian states security strategies, and highlights that they have few options in dealing with a new threat on their border.

Railway terminal in Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan, January 5, 2014. The railway has provided easy transportation for oil, wood, flour, wheat, asphalt and other important products. (Flickr/Special IG for Afghanistan Reconstruction)

The Taliban are losing control in northern Afghanistan to the Islamic State. In April 2022, the terrorist group carried out a series of bombings at Shia mosques in Kunduz and Mazar-i-Sharif, killing dozens.[1] The Islamic State released a video of a purported rocket attack from Afghan territory toward military targets in Uzbekistan, although the Taliban and Uzbekistan challenged the claim.[2]

The deteriorating security environment in northern Afghanistan is bad news across the border in Central Asia. Since regaining power, the Taliban have repeatedly assured the governments there (i.e., Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,Tajikistan,Turkmenistan, andUzbekistan) that they would not allow Afghan territory to be used for attacks against Afghanistans neighbors. This understanding with the Taliban provided a measure of stability in the chaotic aftermath of the American withdrawal last summer.

Central Asias connectivity with Afghanistan is much greater than it was when the Taliban were in power in the late 1990s. As a result, Central Asian governments cant ignore whats going on across the border. The potential gains from expanding trade with countries in South Asia and further away now seem to outweigh the risks of working with the Afghan militant group, though this looks to be tested as violence increases. The Taliban have rivals in northern Afghanistan who are bombing mosques and exploiting its mistreatment of ethnic minorities there. Central Asias brief respite from Afghan concerns might be coming to an end.

A member of Taliban leadership visited the Balkh province to express condolences with families and victims of the April 21 attack on a mosque in Mazar-i-Sharif. (Twitter/Inamullah Samangani)

On April 21, the Islamic State of Khorasan (ISK) carried out bombings of Shia mosques in Mazar-i-Sharif, some 60 kilometers from the border with Uzbekistan, and in the city of Kunduz, some 50 kilometers from the border with Tajikistan. Nearly 80 people were killed.

ISK also claimed responsibility for an apparently botched attack targeting Uzbekistan. On April 18, ISK posted a video on the internet that the group said was evidence of a rocket attack launched on Uzbekistan from the Afghan border town of Hairaton.[3] The Taliban quickly denied the ISK claim. Uzbek presidential spokesman Sherzod Asadov released a statement on April 19 saying, information disseminated by some Telegram channels about the alleged rocket fire from the territory of Afghanistan is absolutely untrue.[4]

The Islamic States Amaq news agency released a statement, claiming that ten rockets had been fired at a military site on Uzbek territory and posted a photo of a militant who carried out the attack.

On April 20, Uzbekistans Gazeta news website published an interview with Taliban deputy spokesman Inamulla Samangani.[5] He said a group of ISK militants did fire rockets from Hairaton toward Uzbekistan, but none of the rockets made it across the Amu-Darya, the river that divides Afghanistan and Uzbekistan. Samangani noted, Their (ISK militants) location has been established. Two or three of them were detained with several rockets. He added that two or three rockets were fired, but repeated these rockets did not reach the border of Uzbekistan.

The Gazeta article continued that some Afghan media were not only reporting the rocket attack did happen but that Uzbek warplanes crossed the border in the wake of the attack and flew as far as Mazar-i-Sharif. It added that Uzbek military helicopters were also seen over the Amu-Darya and Hairaton. The report included links to videos of what were purportedly the Uzbek military aircraft.

A separate article mentioned that people in and around Termez, the Uzbek city across the Amu-Darya from Hairaton, confirmed there were Uzbek warplanes flying over on April 18.[6] One local resident, speaking under condition of anonymity to Radio Free Europe/Radio Libertys Uzbek service, said some rockets had landed on Uzbek territory, and another resident said Uzbek warplanes were regularly flying over the area in the days after the rockets were fired.

Since regaining power, the Taliban have repeatedly assured the governments in Central Asia that they would not allow Afghan territory to be used for attacks against Afghanistans neighbors. That is really the foundation of the understanding the Central Asian states have with the Taliban. Samangani repeated this promise when speaking about the ISK rocket attacks, but he also confirmed that ISK did in fact use Afghan territory to try to attack Uzbekistan.

Stability in northern Afghanistan will be important if the Taliban hope to maintain their informal truce with their northern neighbors. However, the predominantly ethnic Pushtun Taliban are already finding it difficult to bring this regioninhabited mainly by Afghanistans ethnic minoritiesunder control. And Central Asia governments are more concerned about some of the Talibans allies in northern Afghanistan than ISK. Jamaat Ansarullah, for instance, is a terrorist group from Tajikistan that claimed responsibility for a suicide bomber attack in the northern Tajik city of Khujand in September 2010 that killed four people.[7] The Tajik government launched a crackdown on suspected Jamaat Ansarullah members and since then the group has been operating alongside the Taliban in northern Afghanistan.

Tajikistan has never opened communications with the Taliban. President Emomali Rahmon is the only leader of countries bordering Afghanistan who was in power the first time the Taliban controlled Afghanistan. His government helped the forces of ethnic Tajik Ahmad Shah Masoud to resist the Taliban in the late 1990s. Rahmon would find it difficult to change his position toward the Taliban now, particularly since his government continues vilifying and repressing more moderate Islamic groups inside Tajikistan.

Tajik officials have warned for years about foreign militant groups in northern Afghanistan, including Jamaat Ansarullah. After the Taliban returned to power, the Tajik government strengthened its forces along the Afghan border. It also conducted a series of military drills near the border, including exercises with Russian and Uzbek forces. Rahmon gave awards to the Talibans bitter foes of the late 1990s, Rabbani and Masoud, after the two men were killed. Masoud was assassinated on September 9, 2001 and Rabbani on September 20, 2011.[8] Mohammad Zahir Aghbar, the last Afghan ambassador to Tajikistan from former Afghan President Ashraf Ghanis government, is still at the Afghan Embassy in Dushanbe and is allowed, occasionally, to speak publicly about former government soldiers continued resistance against Taliban rule.

In September, the Taliban sent reinforcements, including Jamaat Ansarullah fighters, to guard sections of the Tajik border.[9] This predictably increased the Tajik governments hostility toward the Taliban.

The Vanj and Chomarchi Bolo bridge between Afghanistan and Tajikistan. (Flickr/Ninara)

Jamaat Ansarullah was once the Tajik wing of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), a group formed by Uzbeks who fought on the side of the Islamic opposition during the 19921997 Tajik civil war. The 1997 Tajik peace accord that ended the war called for the opposition to disarm by summer 1999, which left the foreign fighters in the Tajik opposition in a precarious situation.

After bombings in the Uzbek capital Tashkent on February 16, 1999, the Uzbek government launched a crackdown that saw thousands of Muslims imprisoned.[10] Many fled and some went to Tajikistan where Uzbeks who had fought in the Tajik opposition were still based. They formed the original IMU and announced their goal was to overthrow Uzbekistans government.

Unwelcome in Tajikistan, the IMU made incursions into southern Kyrgyzstan in summer 1999. The following summer, the group made inroads into southern Kyrgyzstan and eastern Uzbekistan. Under pressure from Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, the Tajik government moved to close down IMU sanctuaries in Tajikistans mountains and the Taliban provided the IMU shelter in northern Afghanistan.

The Taliban had reasons for helping the IMU. The Uzbek government helped its enemiesthe forces of ethnic Uzbek Afghan field commander Abdul Rashid Dostum in Mazar-i-Sharif. Even after the city fell and Dostum fled, Uzbekistan continued to do what it could to oppose the Taliban. The IMU campaigns of 1999 and 2000 distracted the Uzbek governments attention from Afghanistan.

The IMU remained in Afghanistan in the summer of 2001 and were still there after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The IMU suffered heavy losses in the U.S. bombing of northern Afghanistan in November 2001. Most survivors fled to Pakistans tribal areas. After the IMU claimed responsibility for the June 2014 attack on the Karachi airport, Pakistans military launched operations against militants in the tribal areas.[11] Many of the IMU fled back into Afghanistan. Some joined IMU bands that had remained there under the command of Jamaat Ansarullah, while others linked up with Taliban units in northeastern Afghanistan.

Most IMU militants that remained in Pakistans tribal area were led by Usman Ghazi, who swore allegiance to the Islamic State. Ghazis IMU group also returned to Afghanistan in 2015, some to the Zabul area where they were annihilated in November 2015. Another IMU group loyal to the Islamic State went to Herat and also suffered heavy losses. The surviving Uzbek militants scattered across northern Afghanistan.

The Islamic Jihad Union (IJU), formed in 2005, is another IMU splinter group. The Islamic Jihad Union is believed to still be active in northern Afghanistan and at least was allied with the Taliban. The group also aims to overthrow the Uzbek government, but it has not claimed any attacks in several years.

Katibat Imam al-Bukharianother IMU spin-offwas created in the Afghan-Pakistani border area in 2011. Many of its militants went to Syria in 2014 and fought alongside al-Qaida affiliate Jabhat al-Nusrah. By 2016, however, most left for northern Afghanistan and were believed to be operating in the Faryab and Jowzjan provinces that border Turkmenistan.

The Islamic State benefits from the Talibans failures and missteps. Just weeks after the Taliban regained power, videos and reports about ethnic Pushtun Taliban evicting ethnic Turkmen and Uzbeks from their homes and seizing their livestock started coming from northern Afghanistan.

In January 2022, the Taliban arrested Makhdum Alem, an ethnic Uzbek Afghan Taliban commander in the northern Faryab Province who played a large role in convincing local leaders and elders to side with the Taliban in the last months foreign forces were in Afghanistan.[12] The Taliban said Alem was suspected of involvement in a kidnapping.

Alems arrest sparked a revolt among the largely ethnic Uzbek population in the Faryab provincial capital Maimana. Four people were killed in the shooting that broke out. Residents of Maimana eventually disarmed the Pushtun Taliban fighters and forced them to march out of the city. The Taliban sent reinforcements, reportedly including a squad of suicide bombers, to Faryab.[13] The stand-off lasted for four days before a truce was negotiated, but in the meantime the Taliban angered some of ethnic Tajiks in northern Afghanistan by arresting Qori Wakil, an influential local ethnic Tajik leader. The Taliban did not say what the charges were against Wakil.

The ISK is seeking to capitalize on the growing dissatisfaction among ethnic Tajiks, Turkmen, and Uzbeks against Taliban rule in northern Afghanistan. Already in October 2021 there was a report on ISK attempting to find new recruits among the ethnic minority groups of northern Afghanistan near the Tajik border.[14] Some citizens of Tajikistan had left for Syria and Iraq to join the Islamic State starting in 2014. The Islamic States minister of war was Gulmurod Khalimov, a colonel in the elite OMON unit of Tajikistans Interior Ministry until he defected to the Islamic State in 2015. Khalimov released several videos denouncing Tajik authorities, whom he called dogs, for their harsh treatment of the countrys Muslims and urged citizens of Tajikistan join Islamic State. Khalimov was reportedly killed in 2017, though rumors he is still alive continue to this day. And Islamic State claimed an attack on foreign bicyclists in Tajikistan in July 2018 that left four of the victims dead.[15] The five attackers were all Tajik nationals.

A recent report said ISK efforts to recruit ethnic Tajiks in northern Afghanistan and in Tajikistan continue and that the group is openly talking about overthrowing the Tajik government.[16] The report also noted ISK is putting a new emphasis on releasing material in Tajik and Uzbek languages as part of this recruitment campaign.

Another report in December said ISK was looking for new recruits among the Uzbek population of northern Afghanistan.[17] ISK propaganda reportedly stresses that the Taliban are a Pushtun movement that does not respect the culture and traditions of the minority groups in northern Afghanistan. And ISK propaganda also targets the Uzbek government for its cooperation with the Taliban.

ISK briefly had a foothold in northern Afghanistan in 2016 when a disaffected ethnic Uzbek local Taliban commander in the northern Jowzjan Province named Qari Hikmat swore allegiance to the Islamic State and carved out an ISK area in the Darzab district. Hikmat gathered some of the fighters from Usman Ghazis IMU who had participated in the disastrous attacks on the Taliban in Herat Province in 2015. Until he was killed in April 2018, Hikmats ISK group fought battles against the Taliban and Afghan government forces and even extended the ISK area of influence into the neighboring Faryab Province, where Hikmat was killed. A new ISK leader was named (Qari Habibul Rahman), but the group vanished from reports after Hikmats death.

This is another problem the predominantly Pushtun Taliban face in northern AfghanistanISK propaganda appeals not only to local minority populations, but to foreign Central Asian fighters as well. The Central Asians are mostly Tajiks and Uzbeks, well-armed and battle-hardened, whose sympathies could be expected to lie with their ethnic kin in any disputes in northern Afghanistan. The Taliban might see them as a potential threat, particularly if ISK is successful in finding recruits among the local Tajik and Uzbek populations of northern Afghanistan.

Uzbek and Kazakh ambassadors to Kabul alongside representatives from Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan met with Taliban leadership on April 23, 2022 to discuss ties with the Central Asia region. (Afghan Ministry of Foreign Affairs)

The increasing violence in northern Afghanistan, and the knowledge that ISK are behind much of it, must be disconcerting to the Central Asian governments who were hoping peace with the Taliban might be a guarantee for safety at home.

Since August 2021, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have sent official delegations to Kabul to meet with Taliban representatives. The deputy chairman of Kyrgyzstans Security Council, Taalatbek Masadykov, was on a regional tour that included a visit to Kabul in April 2022 and he led the Kyrgyz delegation that was there in late September 2021. The Turkmen and Uzbek foreign ministers have travelled to Kabul to meet with representatives of the Afghan government. None of the Central Asian governments called it the Taliban government.

But it is no surprise that ISK would choose to attack Uzbekistanthe country has the closest ties with the Taliban of all the Central Asian states. After Shavkat Mirziyoyev became Uzbekistans president in late 2016, the Uzbek government readjusted its policies toward Afghanistan. Mirziyoyevs special representative for Afghanistan, Ismatulla Irgashev, met with Taliban representatives in November 2018 in Moscow, Uzbek Foreign Minister Abdulaziz Kamilov met with Taliban representatives in Doha in March 2019, and in August of that year, Uzbekistan hosted a Taliban delegation for talks in Tashkent that were followed by visits to the ancient Silk Road cities of Samarkand and Bukhara.

At the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Dushanbe on September 17, 2021, barely one month after the Taliban seized Kabul, Uzbek President Mirziyoyev called for frozen Afghan assets in foreign banks to be unfrozen and for the new Afghan government to have access to them. Uzbekistan reopened the Termez border crossing with Afghanistan and the first cargo crossed into Afghanistan on September 1, 2021. Taliban representatives and Uzbek officials have met several times since in Termez to discuss customs regulations and other border matters. In December 2021, Uzbekistan sent technicians to help repair equipment at the Mazar-i-Sharif airport so it could resume operations (which it did at the end of March).

U.S. Marines assist with security at an Evacuation Control Checkpoint during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Kabul, Afghanistan, Aug. 20. U.S. service members are assisting the Department of State with a non-combatant evacuation operation (NEO) in Afghanistan. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Staff Sgt. Victor Mancilla)

The Uzbek governments attitude toward the Taliban is a striking change to Tashkents position when the Taliban first seized power in Afghanistan in the 1990s. There was panic in Central Asia in September 1996 when the Taliban captured Kabul. The Uzbek government of then-President Islam Karimov was the loudest in warning of the dangers that would come from a Taliban-ruled Afghanistan.

Its likely that none of the Central Asian governments were pleased with the Taliban coming to power again in Afghanistan in 2021. All five countries had played some role in helping the U.S.-led campaign in Afghanistan. U.S. troops were stationed in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, and French forces briefly used part of the Dushanbe airport in Tajikistan. But all five must have been considering the possibility during the previous decade as foreign forces in Afghanistan were gradually exiting the country that the Taliban could eventually be victorious.

During the 20 years the Taliban were not in power in Afghanistan, the connections with Central Asia grew and that is a huge reason why most of the Central Asian governments, and particularly the Uzbek government, are taking a more pragmatic approach to Taliban-ruled Afghanistan than they did in the late 1990s.

Power transmission lines were built to export electricity from all the neighboring Central Asian states to Afghanistan after 2001. Afghanistan imports 73 percent of its electricity.[18] Nearly 60 percent of that electricity comes from Uzbekistan (17 percent from Turkmenistan and 4 percent from Tajikistan). In 2018, construction started on a new 500-kV power line from Surkhon, Uzbekistan to Pul-e-Khumri in Afghanistan that, if finished, would boost Uzbekistans electricity exports to its southern neighbor by an additional 70 percent.[19]

The Taliban said shortly after returning to power that Afghanistan could not pay for that electricity but would do so when it could. Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan have accepted this and continue to send electricity to Afghanistan in what some view as a move to appease the Afghan militant group. However, the Central Asian governments are aware Afghanistan is experiencing a humanitarian crisis and cutting off electricity would anger not only the Taliban but millions of Afghan citizens who benefit from this electricity.

When the Taliban were taking control over Afghanistan in the mid-1990s, the only Central Asian government that was not hostile toward the Taliban was Turkmenistan. Turkmenistan had just received UN-recognized status as a neutral state in December 1995 and while no one was sure what that meant at the time, the Turkmen government used it to proclaim its neutrality in the Afghan conflict when the Taliban seized Kabul. The country was guided by economic interestsnamely, the construction of the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) natural gas pipeline that would carry some 33 billion cubic meters (bcm) of Turkmen gas annually to the three countries (Afghanistan 5 bcm, and Pakistan and India 14 bcm each). But the project was only possible if there was stability in Afghanistan.

Neutrality worked then, and Turkmenistan, while never formally recognizing the Taliban government, did allow the Taliban to open a representative office in the Turkmen capital Ashgabat, and construction of TAPI was more possible then than it has ever been since.

Neutrality has not been enough to shield Turkmenistan from the violence in Afghanistan during the last eight years. Three Turkmen borders were killed along the Afghan frontier in February 2014, and three Turkmen soldiers were killed, and their weapons stolen in May that same year in an attack on a different section of the border.[20] It was never clear who was responsible for those attacks. But after those incidents the Turkmen government started to strengthen its forces along the Afghan border and purchasing new weapons from Turkey, China, and other countries. Turkmen border guards shot dead an Afghan civilian at the end of December 2021 and were involved in a shoot-out with Taliban forces in the same area several days later, though Turkmen government and Taliban officials quickly swept the matter under the rug.[21]

The Uzbek government seems to have taken a page from Turkmenistans foreign policy book of the 1990s and views Afghanistan as a necessary transit country in plans for a brighter economic future. As a result, it finds it necessary to deal with whoever is in power in Afghanistan, at least so long as there is no threat against Uzbekistan that emanates from Afghanistan.

Uzbekistan is especially interested in construction of the Mazar-i-Sharif to Peshawar railway project. Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan came to Tashkent for a conference in July 2021 on connectivity in South and Central Asia. He spent time on the sidelines discussing construction of the approximately 570-kilometer railway project with Uzbek President Mirziyoyev. The two discussed it again on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Dushanbe. Representatives of Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan agreed in early February to a roadmap for the project.[22]

Uzbekistan has a rail connection to Afghanistan that runs from Termez across the Dustlik (Friendship) Bridge, built in 1982 to supply Soviet troops in Afghanistan. The railway originally went only a few kilometers inside Afghanistan, but an extension to Mazar-i-Sharif was completed in 2011. Construction of the Mazar-i-SharifPeshawar railway would connect Uzbekistan to Pakistani ports on the Arabian Sea, opening a long-desired north-south trade route between Central Asia and the Indian Ocean. The railway line through Uzbekistan to Afghanistan also connects to China, as part of the Belt and Road Initiative, and to Europe as part of the former Northern Distribution Network that NATO used for supplying troops in Afghanistan. Such railway connections potentially mean millions of dollars for Uzbekistan just in transit fees.

A north-south route is particularly important to Central Asia now as the route to Europe through Russia is complicated by sanctions European countries imposed on Russia for the war on Ukraine. The conflict appears likely to drag on for some time and sanctions will likely become more severe as the conflict continues. A new trade route south would compensate at least somewhat for the partial loss of Central Asias trade routes west.

(Flickr/UNDP Tajikistan)

The governments in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan will continue to pin their hopes on the Taliban bringing stability to Afghanistan. Uzbekistans response to the attempted ISK attack suggests that the Uzbek government, at least, is willing to go a little further in shoring up Taliban control when it is in both parties interests.

The Uzbek government has not commented on reports the countrys military aircraft were sent to the area of the alleged attack. If those reports are true, it raises some interesting questions. It seems unlikely Uzbekistan sent military aircraft over Afghanistan without informing the Taliban, or perhaps being requested to do so by the Taliban. That would suggest a new level of cooperation has been reached between the two parties, at least concerning ISK.

But if the Taliban cannot stop the violence in northern Afghanistan, or if some group does succeed in launching an attack from Afghan territory on a neighboring Central Asian state or crosses the border into one the countries to carry out terrorist attacks, it is difficult to see how that would not change the Central Asian governments policies toward Afghanistan and the Taliban. An uneasy truce is easy to shatter and confidence can be hard to restore, but none of the Central Asian countries want ISK gaining control of areas in north Afghanistan near or on the border. And if the Taliban lose influence with the Central Asian militants allied to them, what would those Central Asian militants do next?

The Central Asian governments have been contending with the shifting political landscape in Afghanistan ever since they became independent in 1991. They are surely pondering various scenarios that could develop from the recent growing instability in northern Afghanistan. For the sake of Central Asias security and hopes for expanded trade south, the best prospect at the moment seems to be support the Taliban and hope they can get a tighter grip on northern Afghanistan.

[1] Afghanistan: Kunduz mosque attacked during Friday prayers, BBC News, April 22, 2022, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-61191643.

[2] Ayaz Gul, Uzbekistan Dismisses Islamic States Claim of Cross-Border Attack, Voice of America, April 19, 2022, https://www.voanews.com/a/uzbekistan-dismisses-islamic-state-s-claim-of-cross-border-attack-/6535868.html.

[3] Ayaz Gul, Islamic State Khorasan Claims Rocket Attack on Uzbekistan, Voice of America, April 18, 2022,

https://www.voanews.com/a/islamic-state-khorasan-claims-rocket-attack-on-uzbekistan-/6534866.html.

[4] Information about rocket fire from the territory of Afghanistan on units of the Armed Forces of Uzbekistan is not true, UZ Daily, April 19, 2022, https://uzdaily.uz/en/post/72500.

[5] ISIS missiles did not reach Uzbekistan Taliban, Gazeta, April 20, 2022, https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2022/04/20/afghanistan-border/.

[6] ISIS fired missiles at Uzbekistan?Tashkent denies, Taliban checks,

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (Uzbek service), April 21, 2022, https://rus.ozodlik.org/a/31813286.html.

[7] Tajik Suicide Bombers Alleged IMU Accomplices Go On Trial, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, July 12, 2011, https://www.rferl.org/a/tajikistan_khujand_suicide_bombing_imu_trial/24263713.html.

[8] The Tajik authorities posthumously awarded the Order of Somoni to Burhanuddin Rabbani and Ahmad Shah Massoud, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (Tajik service), September 2, 2021, https://rus.ozodi.org/a/31440158.html.

[9] Sources: Ansorullah is preparing an attack on Tajikistan.Tajik security forces put on high alert, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (Tajik service), September 24, 2021, https://rus.ozodi.org/a/31476419.html.

[10] Bruce Pannier, Uzbekistan: Bombs Kill Nine In Assassination Attempt, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, February 9, 1999, https://www.rferl.org/a/1090569.html.

[11] Karachi airport: Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan claims attack, BBC News, June 11, 2014, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-27790892.

[12] Bruce Pannier, Talibans Arrest Of Ethnic Uzbek Commander Sparks Clashes In Northern Afghanistan, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, January 29, 2022, https://www.rferl.org/a/taliban-arrest-uzbek-commander-clashes/31677178.html.

[13] Mrityunjoy Kumar Jha, Taliban deploys suicide bombers to quell uprising in Afghanistans Faryab province, Indian Narrative, January 18, 2022, https://www.indianarrative.com/world-news/taliban-deploys-suicide-bombers-to-quell-uprising-in-afghanistan-s-faryab-province-143621.html.

[14] ISIS Started Recruitment of Militants on the Borer with Tajikstan, Bombod News, October 18, 2021, https://bomdodrus.com/2021/10/18/smi-igil-nachalo-verbovku-boevikov-na-granice-s-tadzhikistanom/.

[15] Scott Neuman, ISIS Claims Responsibility For Deadly Attack On Cyclists In Tajikistan, NPR, July 31, 2018, https://www.npr.org/2018/07/31/634220250/isis-claims-responsibility-for-deadly-attack-on-cyclists-in-tajikistan?t=1651503145965.

[16] Lucas WebberandRiccardo Valle, Islamic State in Afghanistan Looks to Recruit Regional Tajiks, Inflict Violence Against Tajikistan, The Diplomat, April 29, 2022, https://thediplomat.com/2022/04/islamic-state-in-afghanistan-looks-to-recruit-regional-tajiks-inflict-violence-against-tajikistan.

[17] Lucas Webber, Islamic State continues anti-Taliban PR push, with Tashkent in crosshairs, Eurasianet, December 9, 2021, https://eurasianet.org/perspectives-islamic-state-continues-anti-taliban-pr-push-with-tashkent-in-crosshairs.

[18] NorthSouth Power Transmission Enhancement Project, Asian Development Bank, https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/linked-documents/46392-001-ssa.pdf.

[19] ADB allocates $110 million to Afghanistan for the construction of power lines from Uzbekistan, Gazeta, October 22, 2020, https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2020/10/22/power-line/.

[20] Clashes, Appeasement, Isolation On The Turkmen-Afghan Frontier, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, March 6, 2022, https://www.rferl.org/a/turkmenistan-afghanistan-taliban-border-security/25288056.html; More Turkmen Troops Killed Along Afghan Border, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, May 27, 2014, https://www.rferl.org/a/qishloq-ovozi-turkmen-troops-killed-afghan-border/25400833.html.

[21] Bruce Pannier, First Firefight: Turkmen, Taliban Engage In Border Shoot-Out, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, January 5, 2022, https://www.rferl.org/a/turkmen-taliban-border-shoot-out/31640971.html.

[22] Israr Khan, Work on $5bn Pak-Afghan-Uzbek railroad kicks off, The News International, March 27, 2022, https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/944859-work-on-5bn-pak-afghan-uzbek-railroad-kicks-off.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Foreign Policy Research Institute, a non-partisan organization that seeks to publish well-argued, policy-oriented articles on American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Read the rest here:
Northern Afghanistan and the New Threat to Central Asia - Foreign Policy Research Institute

One morning last summer, Nasira* arrived for work at the government building in Kabul where she was employed in a managerial position to find men from the Taliban had occupied her office. I wasnt allowed to enter, the 32-year-old says. When I enquired why, I was told to wait for a government announcement, which never came.

This was shortly after the Taliban swept to power and seized Kabul, the capital city, on 15 August 2021. That was the last day that Nasira and thousands of women like her were able to go to work. Though the Talibans acting prime minister, Mullah Mohammad Hassan Akhund, claimed that women would be allowed to continue working under sharia law, female government employees in Kabul were told to stay at home, and only women whose jobs cannot be done by men were allowed to work.

Nasira is technically still employed and receives a significantly reduced salary. They tell me, we are paying you, what else do you need? But money is not my priority, she says. I was responsible for our departments services to women citizens. I want to serve my people, especially the women of my country, who are not receiving services they need because there are no women officials to help them.

It is not only government positions that women have been forced out of. According to Reporters Without Borders, only 100 of Kabuls 700 female journalists were still working by the end of 2021. In 2019, 36% of teachers in the country were women, according World Bank data, the highest number for 20 years, but the Talibans ban in March on education for girls forced many female educators out of work.

Sima Bahous, the UN Women executive director, said this month: Current restrictions on womens employment have been estimated to result in an immediate economic loss of up to $1bn or up to 5% of Afghanistans GDP. She added: There is almost universal poverty in the country.

The Afghan academic and former minister of mines, Nargis Nehan, says: It is hard to collect data under the Taliban, and access to information is limited, but under the previous government 27% of the civil servants and almost 40% of the teachers were women. But only a handful of women are allowed to work these days.

The latest in the series of decrees issued by the recently reinstated ministry for the propagation of virtue requires all respectable Afghan women to wear a hijab and identifying the chador (the blue Afghan burqa) as the best hijab of choice will have a significant impact on the remaining women in public roles. The order also went on to criminalise womens clothes and said female government employees who violated the dress code would be fired.

As per the Afghan Womens Chamber of Commerce, we had over 3,500 small and medium business owners who were women, the majority of whom are now closed because they couldnt survive, Nehan says. Because how do you expect women to work or run a business under a chador or facing fear of punishment for showing their face?

A gynaecologist from Herat, who wishes to be identified only as Dr Maryam, says: Even before this decree, they made hijab mandatory for women doctors, and require female surgeons to wear long sleeves, and a long scarf, even during surgery. It affects the way they work and is not safe. Armed Taliban officials often force themselves into the hospital, she adds, especially during night shifts, to monitor the work of the female doctors and nurses. They had also briefly insisted on women doctors having their mahram [male guardian] with them at all times, which is not practical especially on a womens ward.

There are no figures for the number of women who have left healthcare roles, but according to an article from the BMJ, women make up nearly half of Afghanistans community health worker programme.

One hospital in Kabul reported that segregation of men and women, for staff as well as patients, had been requested already, the BMJ said. Women are especially restricted in their freedom of movement and often require male guardians to merely leave their homes. Even midwives have to be accompanied when doing home visits. Due to lack of information, some are stuck at home entirely, waiting for new directions.

Although these restrictions are not new I recall working under the Taliban regime the last time they were in power and had imposed similar restrictions they are new to this generation, and will discourage younger women from joining professions under the Talibans hateful gaze, Maryam says. Do we really want to go back to those days? How will it benefit Afghanistan?

The Taliban takeover prompted many Afghan female doctors, especially those who worked in reproductive and sexual health, to flee the country. Those who remained are now facing threats from local Taliban leaders for not complying with their rules, Maryam says.

Afghan women have made significant inroads into various sectors over the past 20 years, after the fall of the Taliban in 2001. According to World Bank data, women comprised nearly 22% of the Afghan workforce and numbers were steadily growing.

But a report from the International Labour Organization (ILO) in January found that Afghan womens employment levels fell by an estimated 16% in the third quarter of 2021, compared with 6% for men. Womens employment was expected to be 21% lower than before the Taliban takeover by mid-2022 if current conditions continued, according to the ILO, though this does not take into account employees such as Nasira who are still paid without being allowed to work.

Restricting women from participating in economic and public activities will have a dire impact on the economy, a UN report warned last December. It could, for example, shave half a billion dollars from household consumption alone.

Nasiras supervisor, who wished be identified only as Abdul, confirms that services have been affected since female colleagues were sent home. I had seven women in my team and, since the Taliban takeover, none of them has been allowed back to work. They were the backbone of the department, and to be honest, they were more hardworking than the men, he says.

Not only has our workload increased, we are unable to provide adequate technical services to Afghan women, who were way more comfortable approaching our female staff with their problems. We are worse off without our female colleagues.

* Some names have been changed.

Sign up for a different view with our Global Dispatch newsletter a roundup of our top stories from around the world, recommended reads, and thoughts from our team on key development and human rights issues, delivered to your inbox every two weeks:

Sign up for Global Dispatch please check your spam folder for the confirmation email

Read more from the original source:
We are worse off: Afghanistan further impoverished as women vanish from workforce - The Guardian

This morning, Rep. Gallagher joined Fox and Friends to discuss a newly-released Department of Defense Inspector General Report on the failed withdrawal from Afghanistan, as well as a House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence hearing on UAPs.

Watch the full interviewHEREor read highlights of the conversations below.

On the IG report:

"A few things stand out to me in reading the report. One is that we demoralized the Afghan army by repeatedly announcing withdrawal plans for purely political purposes, with timelines that weren't conditions based. They were politically motivated. The second is our decision to release 5,000 Taliban fighters in the summer of 2020, in the fall of 2020, further demoralized the Afghans. And then finally, over the course of a couple of decades, we built and trained the Afghan army, but we made them entirely dependent on the support of US contractors. In retrospect, that seems like a massive, massive mistake that we didn't think about from the outset. Okay, what are they going to do? How are they going to fight when we inevitably have to leave? So a lot of just really troubling claims in this report, butour work has only just begun in terms of the oversight and the investigations we need to do here in Congress."

On Biden's flawed approach to over the horizon counterterrorism ops:

"Remember the lies that the Biden administration was telling us during the withdrawal- this fiction that Al Qaeda and the Taliban are at war with each other. They're enemies and these groups compete from time to time, but they're aligned in their desire to kill Americans and our allies. And you know, your mention of over the horizon counterterrorism. Over the horizon, counterterrorism has enormous flaws, if for no other reason, and I say this as a former human intelligence officer, you need humans on the ground to generate the intelligence in order to guide your targeting and your strikes. So I'm very worried about a resurgent terrorist threat that could impact our own homeland."

On yesterday's UAP hearing:

"I'm glad we did it. I appreciate the fact that DOD is taking it seriously. I appreciate the sincere effort to destigmatize the discussion. But I'm afraid we did not get any closer to the truth. I asked some basic questions about certain high profile claims that are out there, and our witnesses couldn't answer, and basically said to me that they weren't aware of these claims. That was very troubling to me. It suggests that they haven't done certain basic homework. So we have a long way to go. And for those that are skeptics of some of the claims that are out there, I just would say anytime you have things that are coming on our training ranges, that our pilots are visually seeing, that presents a safety issue to our pilots. So even if you want to rule out the extraterrestrial hypothesis or some other hypotheses, we still have to figure out what's going on on our ranges in order to protect the safety of our pilots."

More:
Gallagher: New DoD IG Report on Afghanistan Highlights Need for Congressional Oversight, Investigations - Congressman Mike Gallagher

Moscow [Russia], May 19 (ANI): Central Asian countries of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) on Monday expressed a unanimous view that Afghanistan remains a serious destabilising factor in the region during the alliances meeting in Moscow.

The CSTO is a Eurasian regional security grouping comprising Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, the Russian Federation and Tajikistan.

The unstable situation in this country, as well as the unrelenting activity of armed groups on the territory of Afghanistan, continue to threaten the security and stability of our states, Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Kemelevich Tokayev said as quoted by Asian Lite.

President of the Kyrgyz Republic Sadyr Nurgozhoevich Zhaparov insisted that the Afghan problem should remain at the centre of CSTO attention and analysis.

We see that over the past four decades, negative factors have been accumulating that have contributed to the deterioration of the military-political and socio-economic situation in this country (Afghanistan). In this regard, the CSTO needs to be ready for various scenarios for the development of the situation on the southern borders, Emomali Rahmon, President of Tajikistan said.

Russian President Vladimir Putin who was also present at the meeting assured the grouping that Russia would help in equipping CSTO member countries with modern weapons and equipment.

President Putin also reaffirmed that Russia will continue to contribute to the deepening of strategic alliance relations with all CSTO member states.

The CTSO is based on the Collective Security Treaty, signed in 1992 as a follow-up to the Commonwealth of Independent States, and was officially established in 2002.

The leaders, as they celebrated the 30th anniversary of the signing of the Collective Security Treaty and the 20th anniversary of the creation of the CSTO, underscored that the organisation remains a solid system of collective security which was built in the vast expanse of Eurasia. (ANI)

This report is auto-generated from ANI news service. ThePrint holds no responsibility for its content.

Excerpt from:
Central Asian countries raise concerns on terror threat from Afghanistan - ThePrint

The NewNow is a group of global young leaders, who were brought together by Virgin Unite. Roya Mahboob is a member of The NewNow, alongside a nuclear physicist (Taylor Wilson), a peace activist (Viktor Ochen), a doctor/social entrepreneur (Uzodinma Iweala), an environmental activist (Farwiza Farhan), and a citizen journalist/human rights activist (Abdalaziz Alhamza). Virgin Unite is supporting these leaders in their quest to tackle some of the worlds toughest challenges, by helping to raise their voices and by fostering peer support and collaboration.

Roya Mahboob is an incredible tech entrepreneur from Afghanistan who became a CEO at just 23-years-old, and was named one of TIME Magazine's 100 Most Influential People in the World when she was 25. She is such an incredible change-maker, and were so fortunate to work alongside her at Virgin Unite - as a leader of The NewNow and by supporting her efforts to create education and entrepreneurial opportunities through the Digital Citizen Fund, The BRITE Initiative and the Afghan Dreamers girls robotics team.

Roya is on a mission to use tech to transform the lives of millions of women and girls in Afghanistan and developing countries around the world, which is no small feat. In light of the Talibans reinstated ban of high school girls receiving an education, and the news that women must now cover their faces in public and should only leave their homes in cases of necessity, with violations leading to the punishment of male relatives Royas work feels more important than ever. I decided to reach out to Roya to learn more about the situation and why it is so crucial to stand with Afghanistan and create education equality more broadly.

These cookies are going to make your experience on our site better, like the option to Remember me. They remember the choices you make and provide enhanced, more personal features by showing you content that we think youll be interested in.

Accept

Holly Branson interviews Roya Mahboob

Speaking to Roya made me feel so fortunate to live in a society with equal opportunities. There is a such an enormous cost to denying a girls education, and Roya spoke about a 2018 report from the World Bank which found that barriers and limited educational opportunities for girls cost countries between $15 trillion and $30 trillion in lost lifetime productivity and earnings.

It was also insightful yet concerning to hear about whats happening on the ground in Afghanistan at the moment, and what the Afghan people need the world to know. As Roya said:

They want us to not forget about them, to not abandon them. They want the world to see whats going on in Afghanistan Always remember that Afghan women deserve the same opportunities, and have the same rights, to go to school, have jobs and have access to justice.

Education should not be used as a tool for political gain Its not the 1990s - women and girls in Afghanistan will not give up their rights, and I hope the international communities stands behind them. I couldnt agree more, and its such an important effort that we all must stand behind. As John Kerry, the former US secretary of state, wrote in an opinion piece after he met Roya:

Lasting peace and prosperity in a unified Afghanistan will take root only when women have as loud a voice as men have.

Such true words, and its thanks to people like Roya that these voices will be heard.

Support the Digital Citizen Fund and learn more about The NewNows young rising leaders.

More:
Creating education equality in Afghanistan with Roya Mahboob and Virgin Unite - Virgin