LETTER: Zuma, Kremlin chess and nuclear power – Business Day
Geopolitical tensions have risen dramatically in Northern Europe. The root cause is energy, or rather the lack of it, and the refugees forced up against the Belarusian-Polish border are just expendable extras in a confrontation masterminded by Russias Vladimir Putin.
A functioning Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline will isolate Ukraine and give Russia effective control over Western Europe, whose political elite have aided Putins plans through their panicked attempts to save the planet by unilaterally ditching fossil fuels. Neither Putin nor Chinas Xi Jinping attended COP26. Northern Europe will have a difficult winter on several fronts.
The SA summer promises to be little better, with last weeks Eskom outages and concerted chorus for the removal of CEO Andr de Ruyter. Cable theft, suspected power station sabotage and multiple fires in KwaZulu-Natals rail and port infrastructure in the aftermath of the July insurrection, look more like destabilisation than just incompetence or mindless violence.
Could the Kremlins chess master be playing a similar game with SA? Former president Jacob Zuma has always had close Russian ties and the failed nuclear deal was a severe blow to Putins African plans. The two Davids, Mahlobo and Mabusa, have made pilgrimages to Moscow under various pretexts and are still in positions of political influence.
Was the intelligence fiasco behind Julys riots solely due to administrative malfunction, or a concerted effort to ensure Ramaphosa did not get wind of the preparations? Are the internal ANC struggles between the radical economic transformation and CR17 factions more sinister than just the contortions of a geriatric organisation?
Could agreement to construct at least some of the eight promised nuclear reactors suddenly make many of Eskoms problems disappear?I hope not, for while I back De Ruyter in a business sense, it is difficult to see how he could prevail if a geopolitical aspect was also involved, especially as Ramaphosa already appears to have been effectively neutered.
James Cunningham, Camps Bay
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LETTER: Zuma, Kremlin chess and nuclear power - Business Day