Democracy experts worry about chaos, violence ahead of 2024 … – Public News Service
An election law expert says guilty pleas from Trump lawyers in Georgia's election interference case probably won't change the minds of voters who think the 2020 election was stolen.
David Becker, executive director of the Center for Election Innovation & Research, said he has empathy for "good" Americans who sincerely wanted to see Donald Trump re-elected as president in 2020.
He said he believes they're still convinced it was rigged, because they've been targets of a long-term disinformation effort to keep them angry - and sending money to pay his legal bills.
"It's going to be very hard for them to get to the point," said Becker, "just because of a few guilty pleas or prosecutions, of seeing that the target of this disinformation, of this grift, was them."
Becker said he is also concerned about a recent State Department cable that says the U.S. intelligence community found evidence that America's adversaries are amplifying narratives that question election integrity.
The assessment found that several countries, including Russia, are making a concerted effort to undermine faith in the voting process using social media and other "messaging."
Becker said the most perilous time following the 2024 election will be from November 5 to January 20 - because losing candidates who insist they won will be more organized this time around and better funded than they were in 2020.
He said he worries that as Trump's rhetoric gets louder and louder, some may try to disrupt next year's voting process.
"The fact is that every state has security measures, every state has verifiable, transparent secure elections," said Becker. "And it's time for all of us to step up and say that, so we can prevent the possibility that there might be chaos or violence in the post-election period."
Despite his 2020 victory in Texas and no credible evidence of widespread fraud, Trump called for election audit legislation. The Texas secretary of state nonetheless declared the election "smooth and secure."
Support for this reporting was provided by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.
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As part of Cybersecurity Awareness Month, the State of Iowa is focusing on potential threats to the online integrity of upcoming elections.
Given the increasing importance of electronic information and a reliance on data being stored "in the cloud," Iowa's Chief Information Security Officer Shane Dwyer said the state is bolstering cybersecurity across all platforms.
This includes investing in intrusion-detection systems, firewalls, 24-7 monitoring devices, and better communication with election officials statewide.
"We have a presence in all 99 counties, from a security tooling and monitoring perspective," said Dwyer. "I think those are really critical things for Iowans to understand. We're looking at these things from multiple layers to ensure that your vote is secure."
Absentee voting and casting a ballot early by mail are options in Iowa, but you can't vote or register to vote online.
While the integrity of election-related information is critical, Dwyer said cybersecurity goes beyond election season.
He cautioned people to be careful with their personal information - no matter what they are doing online. He added that local governments need to take the lead.
"Really, [Cyber]security Awareness Month is about having discussions in your communities about the importance of cybersecurity, and really building up knowledge within those communities," said Dwyer. "Almost everyone is fully ingrained in technology, and I think those discussions are extremely crucial."
Online awareness is also increasingly important as the holidays near. Officials have warned people to be on the alert for cyber scams as they use credit cards and personal information to shop online.
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For the first time in more than a decade, Washington residents will not see advisory votes on their ballots in this year's elections.
Advisory votes asked people if they approved of tax laws passed by the Legislature, although the results had no effect on the tax laws themselves. Critics argued they cluttered ballots, making them harder to understand. During the 2023 session, lawmakers agreed, nixing advisory votes completely from future elections.
Hailey Wu, community engagement coordinator for the Asian Counseling and Referral Service, said she saw people struggle with the nonbinding votes in the past.
"For some people, if it's their first time voting, it kind of creates a challenge for them," Wu observed. "It kind of decreases their enthusiasm in voting. It really creates a barrier for those people who don't speak the language."
Advisory votes were established as part of a ballot initiative passed in 2007. Lawmakers in support of the advisory votes argued it should have been up to voters whether to get rid of them.
The repeal of advisory votes is expected to save counties millions of dollars. According to an analysis of the 2017 election by the Northwest Progressive Institute, advisory votes cost counties more than $2.7 million in total.
Andrew Villeneuve, executive director of the Northwest Progressive Institute, said the wording of the votes was also misleading, because it did not mention where the taxes you were advising on would be invested.
"It asked you if you wanted to repeal it or maintain it," Villeneuve explained. "Well, no matter how you voted, nothing was going to happen. So, it was a false choice. I mean, people were being asked to weigh in on something that didn't actually have any merit or bearing on anything."
In place of votes on tax laws, Villeneuve noted the state has set up an online fiscal dashboard.
"Our listing of bills that raise revenue is actually more comprehensive than what people were seeing on their ballots, which was not fair or neutrally worded," Villeneuve asserted.
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When the postal service works better, people are more likely to vote - according to new research.
The study published in the Election Law Journal finds efficient postal service increases voter turnout regardless of a state's mail voting laws.
Some states have passed more restrictive mail-in voting laws since the false accusations of voter fraud in the 2020 election.
Author of the research, Michael Ritter - assistant professor of political science at Washington State University - said the link is strong between good mail service and voting probability.
"Which indicates that the postal system is a critical factor," said Ritter, "in structuring the ability of mail voting to promote higher voter turnout at the individual level in the country."
Ritter said mail speed can determine whether a ballot makes it to an election office in time to be counted.
According to the study, people in states with universal mail-in voting - like Washington - had the highest probability of voter turnout in 2018 and 2020, at 70%.
There was talk of reduced postal service in the run up to the 2020 election, which may have hurt confidence among some potential voters that their ballot would be delivered in time to be counted.
Ritter said that underscores the importance of mail service in elections.
"Does the postal system have sufficient resources to be able to reliably administer mail voting?" asked Ritter. "I think that's an important factor."
Ritter said the connection between mail service and voter turnout remains a critical issue.
"What I find in my article - that the postal system matters in moderating the impact to mail voting," said Ritter, "will continue to be the case in subsequent elections in the future, including 2024."
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Democracy experts worry about chaos, violence ahead of 2024 ... - Public News Service