Archive for the ‘Democrat’ Category

Here are the candidates in Warren Countys June 7 primary election – lehighvalleylive.com

Four Warren County municipalities have contested races in New Jerseys 2022 primary election, according to the countys candidates list released last week.

In addition, one county-level race is contested with two Republican candidates vying for the nomination for sheriff.

Republican and Democratic voters go to the polls, or can vote by mail-in ballot, in the primary set for June 7 to lock in candidates for the Nov. 8 general election.

Some deadlines for voters to keep in mind are:

May 17: Voter registration deadline for primary election (21 days before election).

May 31: Deadline to apply for a mail-in ballot by mail for primary election (not less than 7 days prior to election).

June 3: Deadline for application to receive primary election mail-in ballots by electronic means for qualified overseas civilian and military voters (4th day before election).

June 6 (by 3 p.m.): Deadline for in-person mail-in ballot applications for primary election (up to 3 p.m. on the day before election).

June 7: Deadline for post office receipt of mail-in ballots from the primary election.

June 7: Deadline for in-person submission of primary election mail-in ballots to county boards of election (by 8 p.m. on the day of election).

In the contested primary races, according to the countys list:

For Warren County sheriff, incumbent James McDonald Sr. faces a Republican primary challenge from Todd Pantuso. No Democrats filed petitions to seek the office.

In Belvidere, three Republicans are vying for two nominations for Belvidere Town Council, with Frank Tootle challenging incumbents Glen Matlock and Don Mitchell. No Democrats filed.

In Blairstown Township, Republicans G. Eric Lohman and Karen Lance are vying for one nomination to succeed Committeewoman Giovanna Joanne Van Valkenburg, whose term expires at the end of this year. No Democrats filed.

In Hackettstown, vying for two Republican nominations for town council are incumbents Matt Engelau and Jim Lambo, plus challenger Gus Bordi. No Democrats filed.

Washington Borough has two contested races on the Republican side. Dale Parichuk and Councilman DeWayne Keith Norris are seeking the nomination to run against Democrat Ethel Conry, who is deputy mayor, for the vacant office of the mayor. For council, four seats are open with six Republicans seeking nominations: Joseph Kresefsky, Yael Kresefsky, Cassandra Gorshkov, Edward France, Sherri Musick and Jerry Brown; the Democratic primary is uncontested with incumbents Josephine Noone and Sonia Ron on the ballot along with Chris Bauknight and Scott McDonald.

Following is a table listing all of the Warren County candidates for municipal office in the 2022 primary election, according to the county elections office. Click here to view it, since it may not display on all platforms, or to view it fullscreen.

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Kurt Bresswein may be reached at kbresswein@lehighvalleylive.com.

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Here are the candidates in Warren Countys June 7 primary election - lehighvalleylive.com

An Arizona Democrat Tries to Hang On in a Trump-Tilting District – The New York Times

Arizona has a history of producing lightning-rod members of Congress, like Representative Paul Gosar. But the Arizona politician you should be paying attention to and who can potentially tell us a great deal about Democrats hopes of avoiding a 2022 wipeout in the House probably isnt on your radar.

That would be Representative Tom OHalleran, a Democrat who has been in office since 2017 and who started out his political career as something few Democrats can claim a Republican.

OHallerans district was redrawn in 2020 and became tougher and Trumpier. Many say hes doomed to fail, but OHalleran is unfazed. Despite all the challenges Democrats face in the midterms this year President Bidens low approval ratings, historical precedent for the party in power, overheating inflation OHalleran believes old-fashioned retail politics will come through for him. His approach is an example of the stubborn yet necessary hope that Democrats can both localize and personalize their races in order to overcome a punishing national environment.

Im not somebody that stokes the fire, OHalleran, 76, said in an interview last week. Im somebody that tries to keep it in the area where its contained so that we can continue to use it effectively.

Even before it was redrawn, OHallerans district, which includes most of eastern Arizona, was highly competitive. Donald Trump carried it in 2016, the year OHalleran won his seat. He has held it since then thanks in part to recruiting problems by Republicans, who have put forward an array of over-the-top and underwhelming candidates.

This year, the Republican primary field includes a former contender on the reality TV show Shark Tank and a QAnon conspiracy theorist.

But now the district is even friendlier to Republicans: Trump won 53 percent of its voters in 2020. Some Republicans argue that in this political environment, any conservative candidate who wins the primary will win the general election, so its less important for the party than it has been in the past to find a superstar candidate.

Theres a limit to how far you can outrun your party before political gravity eventually catches up with you, especially in a year like this, said Calvin Moore, a spokesman for the Congressional Leadership Fund, House Republicans super PAC.

OHalleran has only so much control over his electoral fate, with the political world anticipating a Republican wave that flips the House. Some Democrats merely hope that OHalleran and a few of the partys other candidates in tough races can hold on and deny Republicans an overwhelming majority.

In that scenario, OHalleran is at the front lines of Democrats defense, defying the partisanship of his district as he has done multiple times before. And the way the Republican primary is shaking out, its very possible that OHalleran could end up with another weak opponent in the general election.

He feels confident either way.

I was a Republican, remember? he said. Im the same person then as I am now. And so I think people will remember that.

You wont find OHalleran talking about progressive policies on cable news or criticizing his Republican colleagues in the newspaper. Its all part of his political strategy.

A former police officer in Chicago, he was first elected to the Arizona Legislature as a Republican in 2000, and served in both chambers through 2009. After losing his State Senate seat to a more conservative candidate, he unsuccessfully ran to return to the state Legislature as an independent, then ran for the U.S. House as a Democrat in 2016.

He claims to do more town hall events than anybody else in Arizona. And while he acknowledges that fame allows some members of Congress to fill their campaign coffers and help build enthusiasm, he says thats not for him.

When asked how hed respond to concerns from voters about gas prices and inflation, he launched into an explanation that included a description of a chart presented at a House Energy and Commerce Committee hearing, sprinkled with mentions of supply and demand. When asked how hed fit that message into a 30-second ad, he responded, What will be in the 30-second campaign ad is my sincerity.

He said this race would come down to how much his constituents trust him, the same as in past races. Thats one reason hes not changing his approach, even though he now has new constituents.

I am who I am, he said, adding, If I start changing because of that, thats going to say to them Im willing to make changes based on my ability to get elected versus my ability to help lead.

OHalleran also dismisses the idea that hes been lucky with his Republican competition over the years.

In 2016, he was challenged by a former sheriff who had stepped down from Mitt Romneys presidential campaign after being accused of threatening to deport his ex-boyfriend. In 2018, OHalleran faced an Air Force veteran who had already lost a few House contests. In 2020, a challenger who struggled with fund-raising in 2018 struggled once again.

This year, the crowded Republican primary includes Ron Watkins, a former website administrator who is widely believed to have played a major role in writing the anonymous QAnon posts. Republicans doubt that Watkins will make it far. He last reported having raised just over $50,000, behind three other Republicans who have made federal campaign filings.

But even the candidate perceived to be most appealing to the establishment Eli Crane, the top Republican fund-raiser has positions that would be tough to defend with moderates. Hes a former member of the Navy SEALs, former contender on Shark Tank and has boasted that he supported decertifying the 2020 election. His top competition for the nomination might be State Representative Walt Blackman, a decorated veteran who once praised the Proud Boys.

When asked about the primary field, Republican strategists did not express much excitement, but they were also confident their party would win the seat anyway. And even if a candidate who is underwhelming at fund-raising wins the nomination, they expect outside groups to help out.

The expensive Phoenix media market might not have seemed worth the investment in previous years, but with such a promising national environment and the districts new partisan composition, Republicans expect itll be worth the effort this time.

Candidates and campaigns always matter, said Brian Seitchik, an Arizona-based Republican consultant. Having said that, with the redraw of that congressional district and a hyper-favorable environment for Republicans, Id say that race is going to be the Republicans race to lose in November.

But OHallerans team remains optimistic. Rodd McLeod, a Democratic consultant who is working with OHalleran, maintains that the congressmans relationships with constituents run deeper than partisanship.

He could be the guy, McLeod said, who outlasted the wave.

at issue

For the last 50 years, Nebraskas role in presidential primaries has largely been as a place with a good airport for traveling to western Iowa.

Now, with Iowas first-in-the-nation spot in grave peril after the last two Democratic caucuses were flubbed, Nebraska is ready to enter the contest to knock its neighbor off the beginning of the Democratic presidential nominating calendar.

Nebraska is going to go for it, Jane Kleeb, the states Democratic Party chairwoman, told me.

She will lobby her fellow Democratic National Committee members to back Nebraska in jumping to the front of the nominating line, she said. Republicans, meanwhile, remain committed so far to keeping Iowa first.

Among the Democrats, Nebraska will have competition. New Jersey offered itself last month to the D.N.C., and Michigans Democratic officials are also lobbying to go first.

Both are big states dominated by urban areas in expensive media markets. The appeal of the traditional early states Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada is that they in theory are small enough to build grass-roots campaigns that arent just television productions.

Kleebs pitch is that Nebraska has inexpensive media markets in Omaha, Lincoln and Grand Island; a recent record, unlike Iowa, of sending one of its electoral votes to Democratic presidential candidates; a mix of urban, suburban and rural voters; a significant Latino population at 11 percent; and plenty of Fortune 500 companies and Warren Buffett to help underwrite party-building in the state.

We know that we will be going up against a big Midwest state like Michigan, she said. What we have going for us is that we are small small but mighty.

A shift from Iowa to Nebraska would keep rural issues front and center for an increasingly urban Democratic Party. Candidates would have to become fluent in pipeline and eminent domain politics, where Kleeb got her political start, and learn to embrace the runza, the unofficial state sandwich of Nebraska.

Leah (Blake is on vacation)

Is there anything you think were missing? Anything you want to see more of? Wed love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.

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An Arizona Democrat Tries to Hang On in a Trump-Tilting District - The New York Times

Democrat, WFP, whatever: Hochul’s on board with fusion voting musical chairs – City & State

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Democrat, WFP, whatever: Hochul's on board with fusion voting musical chairs - City & State

Deadline to run for NY governor as a Democrat passes without Cuomo petitions – The Hill

The deadline to file petitions to run for New York governor as a Democrat passed Monday without any documents being sent in from former Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D).

The deadlines passing marks good news for New York Democrats who had feared that Cuomo could run in a Democratic primary and turn it from an easy contest for Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) into a bloody intraparty brawl. However, Cuomo could still opt to run as an independent.

To run as an independent, Cuomo would not have to file any petitions until the end of May. He could also choose to wage a write-in campaign, an effort he could start as late as October.

The state Board of Elections shows that six people in total filed the necessary paperwork to run as a Democrat, including Hochul, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams and Rep. Thomas Suozzi.

Democrats have been biting their nails over Cuomo, who resigned in disgrace over allegations of sexual misconduct last year, a move that elevated Hochul, his then-lieutenant governor, into the top executive role.

Polls had shown that Cuomo would only trail Hochul by single digits in a primary, raising the stakes of a contentious nominating contest. Those polls show Hochul with yawning leads in the primary without Cuomo in the race.

However, Cuomo has said people are asking him if hell run again and that hes weighing his options. Democrats have warned that an independent bid could take a chunk out of Hochuls vote total in November and potentially even pave the way for a Republican to win the general election with a plurality of the vote.

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Deadline to run for NY governor as a Democrat passes without Cuomo petitions - The Hill

Biden putting Democrat Party in a ‘terrible position’ ahead of midterms: Kellyanne Conway – Fox Business

The former presidential adviser and pollster weighs in on a recent poll, which revealed that Bidens approval rating has dropped to its lowest point with the majority of those surveyed disapproving of his handling of the economy.

Former presidential adviser and pollster Kellyanne Conway argued on Monday that President Bidens sinking poll numbers is a "big problem" for Democrats ahead of the Midterm elections.

"Biden, heading into the summer and fall, is putting his party ina terrible position," Conway told "Mornings with Maria" on Monday.

The formerTrump campaignmanager made the comments reacting to the latest CBS News and YouGov poll, which showed that Bidens approval rating has dropped to its lowest point with the majority of those surveyed disapproving of his handling of the economy, crime, immigration and inflation.

The poll revealed that the presidents approval decreased to 42% in early April, compared to around 60% the year before.

The presidents latest approval rating dropped by 1% from March and February when 43% of respondents said they approved of Bidens performance.

STAGFLATION RISKS GROW AS UKRAINE WAR FUELS EVEN HIGHER INFLATION

Kellyanne Conway told FOX Business that recent polling numbers show Americans are "suffering economically." (P Photo/Matt Rourke)

Reacting to the latest poll, Conway told host Maria Bartiromo that she has "never seen anything likeit" in her long career as a pollster, pointing to the fact that Bidens overall job approval rating declined about 20 points in just one year.

She then noted that Biden is "in the 30sin his approval rating on crime,inflation, immigration [and the]economy, which are among the top issues,particularly to independents andsuburban women, where he is really declining."

Conway then argued that that indicates a "big problemfor Democrats in the Midterms."

She also pointed to results from the poll, which showed that 8% of those surveyed said higher prices have no impact on their families, with 66% saying the current economic environment presents financial hardships.

Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, on his outlook for oil and gas.

Conway believes the recent polls reveal that "people aresuffering economically" due to soaring inflation and that "they blame Biden and the Democrats for this."

Inflationhit a fresh 40-year high in Februarywith the consumer price index climbing 7.9% on an annual basis, according to data released last month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.Month over month, inflation rose 0.8%.

From January to February, nearly every category of goods and services got pricier. Gas jumped 6.6% and accounted for almost a third of price hikes. Grocery costs jumped 1.4%, the sharpest one-month increase since 1990, other than during a pandemic-induced price surge two years ago. The cost of fruits and vegetables rose 2.3%, the largest monthly increase since 2010.

Inflation data for March will be released on Tuesday. The February data, the latest data currently available, was taken before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which pushed prices for some commodities, including wheat and oil, higher. Ukraine and Russia are leading exporters of those commodities.

Former presidential adviser and pollster Kellyanne Conway explains why President Biden is 'doubly vexed.'

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Conway noted that the poll revealed Americans are cutting back on spending onsome things amid the inflationary environment, especially on discretionary activities like entertainment and travel.

"The Republicans should have a monster fall," she told Bartiromo, before outlining the "two things" the party must do to secure wins.

She argued that Republicans must "get onoffense on all issues" and "make Bidens problems,Democrat problems."

"Youve got to make the Bidenfailings, Democratic failings," she stressed.

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Biden putting Democrat Party in a 'terrible position' ahead of midterms: Kellyanne Conway - Fox Business