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THE MORTAL THREAT TO DEMOCRATS' PROGRESSIVE DREAMS, CONT'D.Yesterday I wrote about the realization among some Democrats that the party's once-hoped-for glorious future based on the support of millions of Hispanic voters might not actually happen. Democratic political scientist Ruy Teixeira, author of the influential book The Emerging Democratic Majority , which predicted just such a future, is now warning Democrats that the party is losing support among Hispanic Americans.

To that, add some striking information from the Republican pollster David Winston . A longtime adviser to some House GOP leaders, Winston notes that in 2020, congressional Republicans won 36% of the Hispanic vote up from 32% in 2016. That was better than President Donald Trump's performance with Hispanic voters, which was 32% in 2020 and 28% in 2016. And Trump's performance was better than Mitt Romney's in the 2012 election, a defeat that prompted much Republican debate over how the party could increase its appeal to Hispanic voters.

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So the GOP's improvement among Hispanic voters, and the Democratic Party's decline among that same group, extends beyond the candidacies of Trump himself. And the 36% for congressional Republicans indicates that a lot of Hispanic voters who think of themselves as independent chose to support the GOP. In the 2020 exit polls, Winston notes, just 20% of Hispanic voters identified themselves as Republicans, while 32% identified themselves as independents, and 48% identified as Democrats. Obviously, Democrats still have an advantage, but a majority, 52%, think of themselves as independents or Republicans.

Perhaps most important is ideology. Hispanics are clearly not as far to the left as today's Democratic Party. The numbers, again from Winston: 32% of Hispanics identify themselves as conservatives, opposed to just 10% of Democrats overall. On the other end of the spectrum, 46% of Democrats identify themselves as liberals, opposed to just 25% of Hispanics.

In the middle, 43% of both Hispanic voters and Democrats as a whole call themselves moderate. But the numbers clearly suggest that Hispanics tilt a bit right, while Democrats tilt much more to the left.

So Teixeira's warning from yesterday's newsletter "Hispanic voting trends have not been favorable for Democrats" stands up. This political moment holds great opportunities for Republicans to cement their progress among Hispanic voters not by pandering, but by offering all voters the same conservative message. We'll see if the GOP can do it.

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Original post:
Byron York's Daily Memo: The mortal threat to Democrats progressive dreams, contd - Washington Examiner

This week, Texas Republicans proved once again just how extreme and out of touch their party is and moved forward with outrageous laws that attack reproductive and voting rights across the state. In response, the DNC made it clear that the Democratic Party will stop at nothing to protect these rights and stand against Republicans extreme agenda.

Meanwhile, the DNC wrapped up its Build Back Better bus tour this week with stops in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey, where DNC Chair Jaime Harrison and local leaders touted President Bidens success in bringing jobs back, securing a bipartisan infrastructure deal, and providing people in their communities with needed relief through the American Rescue Plan.

And in states across the country, including Georgia and North Carolina, state parties spent the week driving similar messages, making clear voters in their states know that the D in Democrat stands for deliver.

Finally, ahead of Labor Day, state parties across the country reminded people that President Biden and Democrats have put American workers at the forefront of their agenda, as the U.S. economy has created more than 4 million jobs and is growing at the fastest rate in nearly 40 years.

Read this article:
IN THE STATES: As Republicans Attack Reproductive and Voting Rights, Democrats Continue to Deliver - Democrats.org

Poverty retreating; means to control covid; and infrastructure coming including connectivity, broadband and cell service (imagine, no more trips to McDonalds or Walmart parking lots for internet); shots in the arm; cash in your pocket; and help for rural schools and hospitals. All through Democrats working for you, for all of us.

For years, we have sent Republicans to Harrisburg and D.C. to represent us, yet our towns, bridges, roads, schools and hospitals crumble as our way of life falls to the wayside.

Former President Trump may have been right when he asked urban communities that routinely vote Democratic what do you have to lose? We, too, must ask ourselves, What do we have to lose by listening to the proposals of our local Democratic candidates? Nothing we might even benefit.

Democrats have heard the cries, the sense of abandonment. In 2015, the Pennsylvania Democrats formed the Rural Caucus, focused on rural issues and needs. Its core mission is to promote policies for family-sustaining jobs so our children and grandchildren have the opportunity to stay locally for work, raise their families and enjoy life with quality health care and education, while being good stewards of the environment, keeping our blessed rural Pennsylvania beautiful and healthy.

So lets open our hearts and minds just a bit. Its well past time to lend an ear to each other, see what local Democratic candidates can offer to the problems that confront us. Together we can preserve our way of life in rural Pennsylvania.

Terry Noble

DuBois

The writer is chairman of the Pennsylvania Democratic Rural Caucus.

See the original post here:
Letter to the editor: Democrats working for rural Pa. residents - TribLIVE

As much as people in California support these rights, you can see by the polls that weve become a little complacent about what that actually means, Jodi Hicks, president and CEO of Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California, said in a livestreamed conversation Wednesday night that was part of the organizations anti-recall campaign.

Conservatives have historically had more success in firing up their base on the issue of abortion and using it in particular to turn out disengaged voters in off-year elections.

Deep-pocketed anti-abortion groups like Susan B. Anthony List that threw their weight behind Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020 are already in the field in Georgia and Arizona, working to unseat vulnerable Democratic senators in next years midterms to flip control of the upper chamber.

Abortion rights organizations have also invested millions in get-out-the-vote work, but Democrats have split in recent years. Some insist the party should avoid focusing on abortion over fears of alienating moderates and feeding into GOP attempts to brand them as baby killers, while others have been urging candidates to lean into the issue.

The California recall may well flip that pattern.

Newsom himself is highlighting the stakes of the election for abortion rights on the campaign trail. He appeared with Planned Parenthood Wednesday night to tout his record on protecting reproductive rights and warn of how an anti-abortion governor could reverse it.

The governor has the line-item veto, he said. You can literally draw a line and cut these issues out. You have the power of appointments. I mean think of how you can weaponize that.

In particular, Newsom stressed that his leading opponent, conservative talk show host Larry Elder, doesnt believe in Roe. Elder said in a July radio interview with San Francisco-based KQED that Roe one of the worst decisions that the Supreme Court ever handed down.

Planned Parenthood, NARAL and other groups, which have long been supportive of Newsom, are working overtime to amplify this message. Planned Parenthood has contributed more than $12,000 so far, with NARAL chipping in $10,000 to thwart the recall, according to campaign donations filed with the secretary of state. The group Women Against the Recall is mobilizing as well, citing abortion rights as one of the primary reasons to keep Newsom in office.

This is all hands on deck, said Rep. Barbara Lee (D-Calif.), a co-leader of the group and of Congress Pro-Choice Caucus. California is a progressive state, but only if people turn out.

Anti-abortion organizations have been quieter in the leadup to the election. Newsoms opponents and GOP-supporting groups are largely skirting the issue, instead choosing to hammer the governor on his handling of the economy and Covid-19. One of the leading Republican candidates, former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, supports abortion rights but has not made that a prominent feature of his campaign.

GOP strategist Rob Stutzman, who advised former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in the states 2003 recall election, said its in Republicans interest to make the race about the pandemic response, crime, homelessness and other quality-of-life issues not abortion.

Pro-life voters, I think at this point, are fairly resigned to the fact theres really not much that could be done in a state like California with a Republican governor, given the Legislature, Stutzman said, referring to the states Democratic supermajority. If they thought they could find an advantage there, I think theyd be talking about it.

A Republican governors powers over abortion in California would be limited, considering the makeup of the Legislature and the state's statutory and constitutional protections for reproductive rights. But a governor could still cut state funding to clinics that provide abortion, or veto legislative proposals to expand access, said Laurie Sobel, an attorney and associate director of womens health policy for the Kaiser Family Foundation.

Its more of these issues around funding that the governor could have power over, rather than the fundamental right to abortion, she said.

The governor's role is critical, said state Sen. Sydney Kamlager (D-Los Angeles), who has authored legislation to expand abortion access. You can have a two-thirds majority in both of those houses, but if you have a governor who doesnt care about your body, your womb or your choice, then none of that makes a difference, she said.

When Planned Parenthood and other clinics faced federal funding cuts from the Trump administrations changes to the Title X family planning program, Newsom in 2019 doubled state budget investments in reproductive health services. He also signed legislation requiring California's public university campuses to offer medication abortion at student health centers by 2023 and issued a proclamation on reproductive freedom in 2019 that encouraged people in states with more restrictive abortion laws to travel to California for the procedure.

Essential Access Health, an organization that oversees a network of clinics that offer reproductive health services across the state, is not engaging in the recall campaign, but it is analyzing what its outcome might mean for patient access to abortion, contraception, STD screenings and other services.

If theres a shift at the highest level of leadership, we could anticipate that at the bare minimum, the gains we have made over the last several years could be stalled, if not reversed, said Amy Moy, the chief external affairs officer for the organization, pointing in particular to the budget blueprints governors release and the power to appoint agency officials. We saw during the Trump administration an exodus of career civil servants with institutional knowledge. If the recall is successful, we could see a similar situation in California.

Two more factors are upping the ante. One is the possibility that the states 88-year-old senator Dianne Feinstein could step down or retire before the end of her term, putting Democratic control of the now 50-50 Senate in jeopardy. The other is the Supreme Courts decision to revisit Roe v. Wade this fall and potentially overturn it next year, which is expected to dramatically increase the already sizeable number of people who travel from more conservative states to California for an abortion.

In a press briefing earlier this month, abortion rights advocates worked to drive that message home.

The reality is if we have a Republican in the governors mansion and something, God forbid, were to happen to our sitting state senator, Dianne Feinstein, and we were to have a governor then appoint that position, it could be Georgia who helped us win the U.S. Senate and California somehow that helps us lose the U.S. Senate, warned Shannon Olivieri Hovis, the director of NARAL Pro Choice California. We need to not take anything for granted as it relates to Californias leadership and the impact that California has across this nation.

Should the emphasis on abortion rights to mobilize Democratic voters prove successful in defending Newsom, groups are hoping to replicate it in other races, and are urging candidates not to be afraid of the issue.

Abortion access and reproductive freedom is a real mobilizer, said Andrea Miller, president of the National Institute of Reproductive Health.

Miller and other advocates argue that its a winning playbook even outside the progressive California bubble, and are looking particularly at Virginia, where former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe will face off for his old seat with Trump-endorsed Republican Glenn Youngkin later this fall.

Were anticipating that Youngkins opposition to abortion will be a millstone around his neck, she said.

Read more:
Democrats spotlight abortion in bid to save Newsom - POLITICO

The speakers goal of passing both measures in September was designed to get moderates to relent on demanding the infrastructure vote this week ahead of the budget, but it hasn't worked.

Time kills deals. This is an old business saying and the essence of why we are pushing to get the bipartisan infrastructure bill through Congress and immediately to President Bidens desk as the president himself requested the day after it passed the Senate, the group of nine moderate Democrats wrote in a Washington Post opinion piece published Sunday night.

Dozens of progressive Democrats have said they wont vote for the infrastructure bill without the Senate passing the reconciliation package, because theyre concerned their more moderate colleagues will try to pare down the $3.5 trillion leaders and the White House agreed to or oppose the measure all together.

The moderates nodded to that in their op-ed, saying theyre in a standoff with some of our colleagues who have decided to hold the infrastructure bill hostage for months, or kill it altogether, if they dont get what they want in the next bill a largely undefined $3.5 trillion reconciliation package.

While we have concerns about the level of spending and potential revenue raisers, we are open to immediate consideration of that package, they wrote. But we are firmly opposed to holding the presidents infrastructure legislation hostage to reconciliation, risking its passage and the bipartisan support behind it.

The rest is here:
Democrats to meet on budget as moderate holdouts face pressure - Roll Call