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Experts have once again stated that there is no legal or constitutional basis for Donald Trump to simply be "reinstated" as president after a recent survey suggests more than a quarter of Republicans believe it could happen this year.

According to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted between November 6 and 9, at least 28 percent of people who identify as Republican believe that it is "somewhat likely" or "very likely" that Trump will be reinstated as president before the end of 2021.

The percentage of Republicans who believe that the man who lost the 2020 election will soon return to the White House is also increasing, with a previous Economist/YouGov survey in October revealing 22 percent of Republicans consider it "somewhat" or "very likely" to happen.

The poll results appear to be based on the belief of the so-called Big Liewhich has been pushed by Trump, his supporters, and QAnon conspiracy theoriststhat Joe Biden only won the last election because of widespread voter fraud and Trump will return to his rightful place in the White House when this is proven.

Speaking to Newsweek, Barbara McQuade, a University of Michigan law professor and former U.S. attorney in Detroit, explained that even if there is proof of voter fraud, something which hasn't materialized more than one year since the 2020 election took place, there is "absolutely no mechanism" in the law where Trump could become president.

"As former Attorney General William Barr noted, there was no widespread voter fraud in the 2020 election. Even if some new revelation somehow proved that Trump had lost the 2020 election because of fraud, the result would not be to reinstate Trump," McQuade said.

"The only way President Joe Biden could be removed from office under that scenario would be impeachment and conviction. Even then, he would be succeeded by President Kamala Harris. If somehow she were also impeached and convicted, then we would follow the normal line of succession, resulting in a President Nancy Pelosi."

Eugene Volokh, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, added that the Constitution is "quite specific" about how someone can be removed from office and have someone else replace them.

The obvious way is a new election, with Trump eligible to throw his hat in the ring again in 2024. Another way is that the vice president can succeed if the current president is impeached, dies, or otherwise becomes unable to carry out his role.

"But that would mean Vice President Harris, not Trump, would become president," Volokh told Newsweek.

"There's no constitutionally provided mechanism for any entity, whether the courts, Congress, or anyone else simply reconsider the certified election results once a president is inaugurated."

Volokh did suggest one outlandish and highly improbable way in which Trump could return as president.

"In theory, one can imagine Vice President Harris being impeached or resigning, President Biden nominating Trump to replace her, Trump being confirmed by both Houses under section 2 of the 25th Amendment, and then President Biden resigning or being impeached and new Vice President Trump becoming president.

"But for obvious reasons, I doubt that President Biden will go along with that," Volokh said.

MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell is one of the main orchestrators of the false belief that Trump will be reinstated as president, setting out deadlines over the past year for it to happenwhich have obviously failed to come to fruition.

Lindell previously claimed Trump would return as president in August because the Supreme Court would be so impressed with his apparent proof of voter fraud in states such as Arizona and Pennsylvania that they would vote 9-0 in favor of Trump being declared the true winner of the last election.

Lindell's prediction had no basis in constitutional law and his August deadline fell during a three-month recess for the Supreme Court.

On November 2, a large crowd of QAnon supporterswho not only believe Trump won the 2020 election but had been battling a cabal of satanic pedophiles during his time in the officegathered in Dallas, Texas, in the hope John F. Kennedy Jr. would return from the dead and somehow announce Trump as the true president.

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No, Donald Trump Will Not Be Reinstated as President - Newsweek

All across America, Republican leaders are anticipating the 2022 midterm elections with tremendous optimism. Buoyed by positive poll numbers, the Republican triumph in the recent gubernatorial race in Virginia, the better-than-expected results in New Jerseyand the historically destructive leadership of Joe BidenRepublicans believe victory next year (and in 2024) is inevitable.

But it isnt.

Im no political guru, but the prevailing belief that regaining the House and Senate, and then the White House, is inevitable feels like a giant trap. A magnificent ploy designed to create a false sense of security and confidence, and more importantly, to distract people from what happened in 2020 and what will happen in 2022.

And many Republicans in name only (rinos) are scampering right into the trap. What happened this week was historic, said Republican Sen. Rick Scott in a November 7 Fox News interview. Were going to take the Senate and were going to do unbelievably in 2022.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz agrees. The elections this week were enormously consequential, he said. The elections in Virginia and New Jersey are foreshadowing whats coming next year in 2022.

Confident that victory is in the bag, Republican elites say the party must now forget about the 2020 election and focus solely on 2022.

Rupert Murdoch, the boss of Fox News, delivered this message to shareholders just yesterday. The current American political debate is profound, whether about education or welfare or economic opportunity. It is crucial that conservatives play an active, forceful role in that debate, but that will not happen if President Trump stays focused on the past. The past is the past, and the country is now in a contest to define the future (emphasis added throughout).

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell agrees. Its my hope that 2022 election will be a referendum on the performance of the current administration, not a rehash about suggestions of what may have happened in 2020, McConnell stated in a press conference earlier this month. We need to be talking about the future, not the past.

Speaking on nbcs Meet the Press, Asa Hutchinson, the Republican governor of Arkansas, warned that relitigating 2020 is a recipe for disaster in 2022. We need to focus on the future, he said, the election is past. Its been certified. The states made decisions on the integrity of each of their elections .

The magnitude of the ignorance and cowardice on display here is absolutely staggering.

These men ignore a simple yet pivotal question: After what happened in 2020, how can America have honest, lawful elections ever again?

The notion that the 2020 election was stolen is mocked as a conspiracy by the media and radical Democrats. But what these people dont tell you is that this is the minority view. The majority of Americans, including a huge number of Democrats, now believe the 2020 election was fraudulent.

A Rasmussen Reports survey from October showed that a majority of voters believe cheating affected the outcome of last years election. When asked, How likely is it that cheating affected the outcome of the 2020 presidential election?, 56 percent of respondents said it was very or somewhat likely. A remarkable 41 percent believe cheating was very likely.

Its not just Republicans, 84 percent of whom believe cheating was at least somewhat likely to have affected the outcome. Thirty-two percent of Democrat voters32 percent!and 54 percent of unaffiliated voters believe cheating was at least somewhat likely to have affected the election outcome.

On this issue, the majority is right. Over the past 12 months, evidence has surfaced all across the nation proving there was widespread cheating and corruption. Evidence gained via audits, witness testimony and video surveillance in multiple states, including Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvaniaall states that Donald Trump lost by only a few thousand voteshave revealed incidents of ballot stuffing, ballot harvesting, ballot destruction, voting machine manipulation, mail-in vote manipulation and numerous other crimes and corruptions. In some instances, the fraudulent behavior impacted thousands, even multiple thousands, of votesenough to have made a difference to the final election result.

All of this added up to a targeted campaign to undermine election integrity in the 2020 elections, wrote Bruce Oliver Newsome at American Greatness last month. Across several states, with the help of numerous friendly institutions, the Democratic Party was able to change the way America votes, and manipulate how those votes were counted.

Its the giant boil on Americas face, the issue everyone sees and is aware of, but no one wants to discuss: The 2020 election was stolen!

Yet the Republican establishment somehow believes next years elections will be free and fair, that the pervasive cheating cannot and will not happen again. Wheres the evidence that it wont happen again in 2022? There is none.

The only way the 2022 midterm elections can be free and fair is if the corruption is purged. The cheating and lies must be confronted, the elaborate networks of lies and deceit dismantled. The boil must be lanced if its going to heal.

And the only way this can happen is if the 2020 election steal is exposed! You have to properly diagnose a problem before you can treat it.

On Tuesday, the issue of the 2020 election came up in an interview between Mike Lindell and Donald Trump. Trump relayed how even some of his own people tell him to forget about 2020 [because] youre going to win [2024], youre way up in the polls.

When he hears this, Trumps response is always, Were not going to have a country in three years . [Look what Joe Biden] did in nine months. He destroyed our country.

This man gets it. This is why Donald Trump is one of the few who wont move on from the 2020 election. He knows that if America is going to have future elections, then it must confront what happened in the 2020 election!

And this is exactly what rinos say we must never do.

Perhaps more than anything else, this reveals just how wretchedly amoral, clueless and cowardly these people are. They all claim to love America and to believe in America. They all claim to love the Constitution and rule of law, to love democracy and the republic. But when Americas vital organsincluding its election system and Constitutionare openly and violently attacked, they go silent. Even worse, they encourage the American people to forget about it, to move on, to focus on the future.

Remember, the majority of Americans believe cheating affected the outcome of the 2020 election. This suggests many Americans would support a deeper, more serious, more widespread and more coordinated investigation into the 2020 election. Standing up for America and seriously investigating the 2020 election probably wouldnt have the support of the majority, but its safe to say that it would not be incredibly unpopular.

Its probably safe to assume too, that in time, as the reality of Bidens America sets in and the corruption and deceit of the radical left continues to be exposedas were currently witnessing with the Steele dossierthe number of Americans willing to accept that the election was stolen will grow. Will this be enough to inspire rinos to revisit the 2020 election? Probably not.

What does all this teach us about America? It tells us that this nation is in deep crisis. The Trumpet has much to say about the destructive agenda of Barack Obama, Joe Biden and the radical left. But Americas problems go way beyond these men and the radical left. The entire leadership of this nation is terminally ill!

In Isaiah 1, the prophet describes America (and Britain) in the end time and writes: Ah sinful nation, a people laden with iniquity, a seed of evildoers, children that are corrupters: they have forsaken the Lord, they have provoked the Holy One of Israel unto anger, they are gone away backward. Why should ye be stricken any more? ye will revolt more and more: the whole head is sick, and the whole heart faint (verses 4-5).

Isaiah is describing our leaders. The head refers to the leaders of modern Israel, Gerald Furry writes in Great Again. God says the whole head is sick! The minds of our leaders are sick with deceitful human reasoning that is anti-God! Their decisions are perverse and leading to greater and greater calamities!

The rinos admonition to Americans to just forget the 2020 election is absolutely perverse! And unless something happens to prevent it, it will lead to calamity in the 2022 midterm elections. Shrinking in the face of abject evil only allows it to grow stronger. When God says the whole heart is faint, He is talking about spineless people and leaders who put personal gain before the country and doing what is right.

Strong, brave leaders confront evil, especially when it thrusts their nation into an existential crisis!

This is one reason we should expect to see a lot more of Donald Trump, and perhaps soon. The nation is fast growing weary with Joe Biden and the radical left. But its also fast growing weary with the lily-livered rino leaders and all their media sycophants. There are still many Americans who want to see the evil confronted, who want to see the 2020 election steal exposed, who want to see America saved! We should expect this number to grow too!

Mr. Trump has many imperfections, which Mr. Flurry has also explained in detail. But there is still much to admire about his leadership, including his courage, his love of America, and his readiness to confront the extraordinary evil responsible for Americas disastrous 2020 election.

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RINOs, Donald Trump and Confronting Evil - theTrumpet.com

In his new book, erstwhile member of Trump's inner circle and New Jersey governor Chris Christie reveals he had a "ringside seat" to the night Obama roasted Trump at the 2011 White House Correspondents' Dinner. Christie writes: "I was right there when it happened. I had a clear view of the faces of the two combatants. I witnessed every brutal knife twist and every painful grimace" (via People).

Christie says Obama had sought to take potshots at Trump's claim that he wasn't an American by "comparing it to the most discredited conspiracy theories and pinning it on its loudest voice. The whole room, 2,600 journalists and Washington power brokers, Republicans and Democrats alike, howled in laughter."

The former New Jersey governor describes Trump in his book as "staring straight ahead. He was rocking back and forth in his chair. He still didn't break a smile" before adding: "I can say this much: I spoke to Donald after the dinner. He was pissed off like I'd never seen him before. Just beside himself with fury."

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Could This Be Why Donald Trump Is So Mad At Barack Obama? - The List

Mary Trump knows her uncle, Donald Trump, better than she wants tobut that means she has some insight into why he is the way he is.

I grew up in a family where kindness was considered weakness and cruelty was considered a legitimate strategy to get what you wanted Mary recalls in this episode of The New Abnormal, where she talks with Molly Jong-Fast about why theres still hope for Biden despite his plummeting poll numbers, and about what her uncle is brewing.

Subscribe to The New Abnormal on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, Stitcher, Amazon Music, or Overcast. To listen to our weekly members-only bonus episodes, join Beast Inside here. Already a member? You can listen here and sign up for new episode email alerts here.

What gets completely left out of the narrative, says Mary, is the absolutely horrific hand Biden was dealt. Look what he came into office having to deal with.

And things could get worse, says Molly, since, If Democrats lose the House, were going to have a Joe Biden impeachment. And, she says to Mary, You could get brought up there for, like, being disloyal to your uncle. I mean, its really scary what could happen.

And, speaking of scary, Mary thinks another Trump run could be in the cards now: I thought it was impossible because he got defeated so badly [in 2020]. It was such a humiliating loss that I believed he would never put himself at the risk of suffering that kind of narcissistic injury again, she says, but things have turned in his favor since thenand could get even more favorable if Republicans retake statehouses and the House.

If Donald gets to the point where he believes that if he ran, he couldnt lose, why wouldnt he run? Hes in so much trouble, legally, criminally and civilly

Then, David Pell, author of the NextDraft newsletter and the book Please Scream Inside Your Heart, gives an unpopular opinion about regulating Facebook and shares a chilling prediction his dad, a Holocaust survivor, told him about Trump. And Hamilton Nolan, labor reporter for In These Times, explains why the Democratic partys fate depends on the future of organized labor.

Listen to The New Abnormal on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon and Stitcher.

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Mary Trump: If Donald Runs Again, This Will Be the Reason - Daily Beast

The congressional attempt to expose any direct role that Donald Trump and his top associates played in the January 6th assault on the U.S. Capitol is intensifying. This week, the House select committee investigating the attack issued subpoenas to sixteen former senior Trump Administration and campaign officials, including the former White House adviser Stephen Miller and the former press secretary Kayleigh McEnany. A federal judge roundly dismissed Trumps effort to block his allies from having to testify before the committee, including his erstwhile strategist Steve Bannon. Legal experts suggested that the judges ruling could prompt Attorney General Merrick Garland to criminally prosecute Bannon for refusing to testify, a step that may induce others to coperate. And, late on Thursday, the committee threatened to hold Trumps former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, who spent hours with Trump on January 6th, in contempt if he does not testify on Friday morning.

Meanwhile, in a speech in New Hampshire, Liz Cheney, the committees vice-chair and one of the few Republicans daring to challenge Trump while seeking relection, said that the nation is confronting a domestic threat that weve never faced before: a former President whos attempting to unravel the foundations of our constitutional republic, aided by political leaders who have made themselves willing hostages to this dangerous and irrational man. She added, Political leaders who sit silent in the face of these false and dangerous claims are aiding a former President who is at war with the rule of law and the Constitution.

The political reality, though, is that Trumps hold on the Republican Party remains iron. A recent Morning Consult / Politico poll found that sixty-seven per cent of Republicans want Trump to run for President in 2024, a slight increase from several months ago. Other surveys showed similar numbers. The Republican nomination would likely be his for the taking, Nathaniel RakichandMackenzie Wilkes wrote on FiveThirtyEight. He remainsextremelypopular among Republicans.And opinion polls suggest that three-quarters of Wyoming Republicans plan to oppose Cheney when a Trump-backed candidate challenges her in the 2022 primary. Hours after Cheneys speech, Trump declared, in trademark Orwellian fashion, She is a threat to Free and Fair elections, adding that the 2020 election had been stolen from him in the Crime of the Century.

The situation is unprecedented. A former American President refuses to concede that he lost the election. He has launched a public effort to drive the state election officials who certified his defeat from office. He continues to employ the lies and rhetoric that helped incite violence on January 6th. And this week an independent review alleged that thirteen former Trump Administration officialsincluding Meadows and Trumps son-in-law, Jared Kushnercampaigned illegally for him in the final weeks of the 2020 election. Its increasingly clear to many observers that Trump plans to make every attempt to insure that he or an acolyte wins the 2024 election at any cost. On Wednesday, a hundred former national-security officials, Republicans and Democratsincluding Christopher Krebs, the former director of the Department of Homeland Securitys cybersecurity agency, who was hired and fired by the Trump Administrationpublished an open letter to Congress, warning that partisan interference, intimidation campaigns, and disinformation are rapidly undermining American democracy. In the course of our careers, many of us have analyzed the threats posed by unstable democracies elsewhere, never imagining we would begin to see similar threats at home, they wrote. Sadly, that moment has arrived.

Democrats focus on the fact that, among Americans as a whole, Trump remains broadly unpopular, with fifty-three per cent viewing him unfavorably and forty-one per cent seeing him favorably. Bidens numbers, though, arent much better, with fifty-one per cent approving of his performance in office and forty-three per cent disapproving. While political analysts and legal experts lose sleep over Trumps continued claims that he won in 2020, most Americans, according to Gallup polling, see COVID, the economy, and poor leadership as the countrys three most important problems. Only one per cent cited the need for election reform. If Republicans win control of the House in the 2022 midterm elections, they would almost certainly disband the January 6th committee and end its investigation.

Members of the committee vow to achieve results before then. The panel plans to produce a definitive account of Trumps actions and to propose laws that will prevent future Presidents from interfering in the Electoral College vote count. In a court hearing last week, Douglas Letter, a lawyer for the committee, said that investigators are seeking White House documents dating back to April, 2020, to help determine whether Trump engaged in a months-long effort to discredit the results if he lost. We think, maybe, this all ties in with... the fomenting of it, building a groundswell of feeling that this election was going to be tainted, Letter said. Timothy Mulvey, the committees communications director, told me that most witnesses called are coperating. Even among former Administration officials, he said, very few have flatly refused to comply with a subpoena. He added, about Trumps legal attempts to block the investigation, The former Presidents aim is to delay and impede our probe, but the committees work willnonethelesscontinue to move forward quickly.

Stephen Gillers, a professor of law at New York University, said that Attorney General Garland may wait for higher courts to rule on Trumps legal claims, but he believes that Garland will eventually prosecute Bannon. Gillers pointed out that if Bannon is not charged, those who were subpoenaed this week might be encouraged to try waiting out the investigation. Garland knows that, Gillers said, adding, Everything we know about his devotion to the rule of law makes me confident that hewill not allow that to happen.

Ilya Somin, a libertarian legal scholar at George Mason University, predicted that the higher courts will uphold the committees right to subpoena individuals significantly involved in the events leading up to January 6th. It seems to me that it should be a no-brainer, that Congress should be able to subpoena witnesses, he said, particularly those who may have played a role in an attack on Congress. Somin doubts that the committees investigation will produce conclusive evidence of seditious acts by Trump. I think sedition is a high hill to climb, unless the committee uncovers some dramatic new information, he said. The broader political challenge is the countrys seemingly intractable polarization. Like the two impeachment trials of Trump, the January 6th probe may simply harden existing divisions rather than ease them. Barring some dramatic revelation, Im not sure it will fundamentally change anything, he said.

Cheney, in her speech, said that the country is in a time of testing and implored political leaders to recognize the fragility of American democracy. Will we defend our Constitution? Will we stand for truth? Will we put duty to our oath above partisan politics? she asked. Or will we look away from the danger, ignore the threat, embrace the lies and enable the liar? There is no gray area when it comes to that question. When it comes to this moment, there is no middle ground.She is right that Americas drift toward authoritarianism continues, but it is not inevitable.

Originally posted here:
The January 6th Investigation Gets Closer to Donald Trump - The New Yorker