Archive for the ‘Donald Trump’ Category

Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead – The Economist

JOE BIDENS job-approval rating stands at 39%, putting him roughly in a tie for lowest of any president at this point in his term in the history of American polling. In all six states that could prove decisive in November he trails by between one and six percentage points. In the two where he is closest, Wisconsin and Michigan, Democratic candidates margins have underperformed the final polls by an average of six points in the past two elections. Even if he wins both, Mr Biden would still need one more swing state to secure the 270 electoral votes necessary for re-election.

These numbers suggest that the race is hardly a toss-up. True, the five months before the vote give Mr Biden time to make up ground, and the polls may underestimate his true support. But it is also possible that the candidate to benefit from any polling error could be Donald Trump.

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Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead - The Economist

Fact Check: Trumps and Bidens Claims on Immigration and Border Security – The New York Times

Large numbers of migrant apprehensions at the southern border have vaulted immigration and border security onto the list of top concerns for voters.

Public polling shows support for former President Donald J. Trumps hard-line approach, and President Biden, who made overturning Mr. Trumps immigration agenda part of his platform in 2020, has recently reversed course and issued a more restrictive border policy.

But some of Mr. Trumps most-repeated statements are inaccurate, in warning about the level of illegal immigration, characterizing unauthorized migrants as criminals taking advantage of government handouts and touting the effectiveness of his own policies. Mr. Biden, too, has occasionally overstated his earlier proposals on border security.

Here is a fact check.

What Was Said

We had the strongest border ever. I built 571 miles of wall. Were going to add another 200 in three weeks. It was all made, all fabricated. They sold it for five cents on the dollar. The wall was all fabricated. I built much more wall than I said I was going to build. in a May radio interview

False. During Mr. Trumps 2016 campaign, he promised to build a wall spanning at least 1,000 miles along the southern border and have Mexico pay for it. That did not happen. Overall, the Trump administration constructed 458 miles of border barriers most of which reinforced or replaced existing structures. Officials put up new primary barriers where none previously existed along only 47 miles.

Contracts were awarded for a total of 631 miles of barriers through January 2021, according to a Government Accountability Office report. When Mr. Biden took office and halted all construction, the contracted projects were in various states of completion not all made as officials had run into difficulties with real estate availability, the report said. Some were expected to wrap up by September 2021 and others by September 2022.

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Fact Check: Trumps and Bidens Claims on Immigration and Border Security - The New York Times

Trump portrays rampant crime in speech at Black church in Detroit – The Washington Post

DETROIT Presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump repeated his characterization of Black communities as dangerous and depressed on Saturday, courting voters in a city he has called hell and totally corrupt as his campaign hopes incremental gains with Black voters could be decisive in swing states.

Look, the crime is most rampant right here and in African American communities, Trump said at 180 Church in Detroit. More people see me and they say, Sir, we want protection. We want police to protect us. We dont want to get robbed and mugged and beat up or killed because we want to walk across the street to buy a loaf of bread.

The audience, which was not predominantly Black, cheered at the remark. He returned to the topic of crime when asked how he would address Black entrepreneurship. The biggest thing we can do is stop the crime, he said.

Black voters have overwhelmingly favored Democrats since the civil rights movement. But recent polls show Trump has made gains with Black men, alarming some Democrats because even a small change in Black turnout or preferences could tip such pivotal states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia.

Many Black Americans have taken offense at Trumps periodic overtures to their community as playing on racial stereotypes, such as his suggestion that Black voters will look more favorably on his candidacy now that he has a mug shot and has faced criminal prosecution.

All Im saying to African Americans is, dont be confused and dont be used, said Keith Williams, chairman of the Michigan Democratic Partys Black Caucus. Its offensive to me [that he would] even show up at a sacred spot like a church.

Trump has made similar appeals to Black voters since his 2016 campaign, famously telling them at a rally that year in Dimondale, Mich., What do you have to lose? On Saturday he repeated his frequent boast that during his time in the White House he did more for Black Americans than any president since Abraham Lincoln a claim that historians have disputed but that was met with applause in the sanctuary.

Trump cited the Opportunity Zone program that was part of his 2017 tax cut bill as benefiting Black Americans, name-dropping Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), who worked on the legislation, but not his co-sponsor, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.). The program was designed to encourage investment in poor communities, though some analyses showed most of the benefits went to the wealthy.

The former president also took credit for congressional funding of historically Black colleges and universities and said the institutions leaders would all be voting for him. Audience members stood and cheered when one of the panelists, small business owner Mario Williams, spoke of his experience with incarceration and thanked Trump for signing the sentencing reduction legislation known as the First Step Act.

Elsewhere in the speech, Trump adapted his dominant campaign theme of limiting immigration by saying Black people were most affected. Theyre taking your jobs, he said.

The Biden campaign accused Trump of pandering and empty promises, emphasizing his history of demeaning Black communities.

Donald Trump has the nerve to waltz into our city and act like he wants to understand the struggles Black Detroiters face, but the reality is he doesnt care, Pastor James Perkins of Detroits Greater Christ Baptist Church said in a statement. Every time Trump opens his mouth to talk to Black folks, he demonizes us, insults us, and makes empty promises hell never keep.

Lorenzo Sewell, the pastor of 180 Church, defended his decision to host Trump, adding that he thought the initial call from the campaign was a prank. Ive had people say things like, I cant believe you would bring the devil here, Sewell said in an interview before the event, recounting a conversation with a woman at a neighboring methadone clinic. He said he told her, Church should be a place where everyone is welcome.

At the roundtable, Sewell thanked Trump for coming to the hood, which he said President Biden and former president Barack Obama never did. Sewell, who prevailed in a long legal fight for control of the church that including his being handcuffed in a confrontation with police, closed with a prayer that praised Trump for raising more than $50 million for his campaign after his conviction on 34 felonies.

Saturdays program also featured former secretary of housing and urban development Ben Carson, who served as housing secretary under Trump, and Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.), both possible running mates, as well as Rep. John James (R-Mich.) and Michigan congressional candidate Martell Bivings.

When 95 percent of us vote for one party, it means that neither party has to work for our votes, James said of the Black community. The Democrat Party has neglected our votes. Republicans havent even tried. But thats changing right now.

The audience was more diverse than a typical Trump campaign event, but it was not predominantly Black. No one in line identified themselves to a reporter as a member of Sewells church.

In speeches since 2020, Trump has repeatedly singled out Detroit, along with other cities with large Black populations, in making false allegations of voter fraud and describing undesirable places to live.

Everyone gets upset when I say it. They say, Oh, is that a racist statement? Its not a racist, Trump said in June 2020, naming cities such as Oakland, Baltimore, Chicago and Detroit. These cities, its like living in hell.

He elaborated at a Michigan rally in April 2022, You look at whats happening in Detroit and other parts of your state, its a disgrace.

At a February gala with Black conservatives, Trump said Black voters liked him more now because he has criminal charges and a mug shot. During his trial in New York last month, he held a rally in the South Bronx with rappers facing charges in a felony gang case.

I have so many Black friends that if I were a racist, they wouldnt be friends, Trump said in an interview this month with the news website Semafor. They would not be with me for two minutes if they thought I was racist and Im not racist!

Democrats noted that Trump was speaking after the church gathering at a convention of the right-wing group Turning Point Action in the same convention center where his supporters clamored to stop the counting of absentee ballots after the 2020 election.

It is offensive for him to come here, him and his Republican allies, when they made Huntington Place the epicenter of their steal-the-election effort, Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist II, a Democrat, said at a Biden campaign news conference on Friday.

At the Turning Point speech, Trump falsely accused Biden of using the term super predators to describe violent criminals as part of his effort to justify the 1994 crime bill, which he spearheaded. Many opponents of the bill criticized that term as dehumanizing. While Trumps 2016 opponent, Hillary Clinton, used the term, there is no evidence that Biden did.

Kimberly Outten, a 53-year-old nurse who attended the church event because she was passing by and noticed the flags and police cars, said her stomach dropped when she heard how much money Trump had raised, millions that she thought could be better spent on housing and social services. Outten said she moved back to Detroit after she could no longer afford her housing in Virginia, adding that she has been without a home for two years.

I think he had a set agenda and thats basically to get Black people to vote for him, she said of Trump. When he was in office, I think he could have done a better job. Its almost like were forced to choose between bad and worse.

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Trump portrays rampant crime in speech at Black church in Detroit - The Washington Post

Trump calls Milwaukee horrible city,’ sparking mixed reactions from GOP, Democrats – NBC Chicago

With a month to go before the Republican National Convention, presumed nominee and former President Donald Trump is in hot water after he reportedly called the conventions host city horrible during a meeting with Congressional Republicans.

Trump called Milwaukee a "horrible city" during a meeting Thursday with House Republicans, according to a report from Jake Sherman of Punchbowl News.

After that report, Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson wasted no time defending his city when asked to respond to Trumps comments during a news conference.

If Donald Trump wants to talk about things that he thinks are horrible, all of us lived through his presidency. So, right back at you, buddy, Johnson said. It is kind of strange that he would insult the largest city in Wisconsin because he's running for president he absolutely wants to win Wisconsin, win the election. So, to insult the state that's hosting your convention, I think, is kind of bizarre actually. It's kind of unhinged.

Wisconsin's Republican congressmen was one of several GOP officials who pushed back on the report. I was in the room. President Trump did not say this. There is no better place than Wisconsin in July, U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil tweeted.

Other Republicans said that the quote was taken out of context.

Trump was specifically referring to the crime rate in Milwaukee, U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden said.

Regardless of Trumps intent, cty leaders said they're making progress in decreasing crime and investing in public safety.

Peggy Williams-Smith, the president and CEO of the tourism bureau Visit Milwaukee, responded to Trumps comments in the following statement.

"Milwaukee is an amazing city, attracting millions of visitors every year who fall in love with everything we know makes this city great. The Washington Post just named Milwaukee one of the best cities in the country in the summer. Top Chef loved Milwaukee so much they filmed a season here. We know its only a matter of time before everyone discovers all of the amazing things we have to offer, too!

The tourism bureau also pointed to National Geographic including Milwaukee in its "Best Places in the World" article in 2023. That was after writer Andrew Nelson fell in love with the city's lakefront, museums and Midwestern hospitality, and included Milwaukee in a book he wrote called Here Not There.

"If you haven't been (to Milwaukee), you may not know how great it is. So, I'm really optimistic that all of the newcomers who are visiting Milwaukee this July are going to find out that it's a great engaging city with the friendliest people you can imagine, said Nelson, a National Geographic book author.

New questions have also surfaced about whether Trump will appear in person at the RNC, given that his sentencing is set for July 11, four days before the convention is set to start on July 15.

Published reports from NBC News have detailed how the former president is preparing for a scenario in which he is on house arrest and is unable to attend the convention.

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Trump calls Milwaukee horrible city,' sparking mixed reactions from GOP, Democrats - NBC Chicago

Who Could Be Trumps VP Pick? – The New York Times

Donald J. Trumps announcement of his running mate is coming soon: He has suggested he is likely to unveil the pick during the Republican National Convention, which starts July 15 in Milwaukee.

Ambitious Republicans have been jockeying to court his favor, campaigning for him and even showing up to his New York criminal trial. Trump has been weighing possible parameters, like whether someone with fund-raising prowess would be most helpful, and if choosing a person of color or a woman would give him the biggest electoral lift.

Either way, Mar-a-Lago courtiers generally agree that any rsum for the No. 2 spot on the ticket must include some Trump-specific requirements that defy demographics: absolute loyalty to the Trump brand, a willingness to filter every decision and public comment through a subservient lens, and the know-it-when-you-see-it central casting look the former president prizes.

Heres a look at some possible contenders.

Household names in national politics, these are some of the figures most often floated as possible running mates.

A senator from South Carolina, Scott ran for president but dropped out in November.

Al Drago/EPA, via Shutterstock

The Florida senator, a rival to Trump in 2016, has hummed along as a reliable Trump ally and leading Republican voice on foreign policy issues.

Scott McIntyre for The New York Times

A staunch and provocative conservative, Cotton has been seen as one of the Republican Party's rising figures.

Doug Mills/The New York Times

Haley, a former United Nations ambassador under Trump and a former governor of South Carolina, was his final Republican rival in 2024.

Samuel Corum for The New York Times

Stefanik, a five-term congresswoman, has morphed from a Bush administration staff member into a prominent Trump supporter.

Hans Pennink/Associated Press

Pompeo, a former congressman from Kansas, was a fixture in the Trump administration, first as C.I.A. director and then as secretary of state.

Al Drago for The New York Times

For any potential Trump sidekick, a track record of accomplishments is nice to have. A track record of fealty may be even more important.

The best-selling author and former venture capitalist is now a senator from Ohio, thanks largely to a Trump endorsement.

Maddie McGarvey for The New York Times

A retired neurosurgeon who ran against Trump in 2016, Carson served under Trump as secretary of housing and urban development.

Trumps former White House press secretary, she parlayed the exposure that gave her into the Arkansas governors office.

Doug Mills/The New York Times

A senator and former Florida governor, Scott has an untarnished electoral record in one of the nations biggest political battlegrounds.

Al Drago/The New York Times

A former House member from Texas who served as the director of national intelligence in Trumps administration.

Doug Mills/The New York Times

A governor and a former congresswoman, Noem has welcomed speculation that she could be invited to join the ticket.

Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times

Lesser known on the national stage, these politicians could provide the ticket with a fresh face.

A second-term congressman who has made a name for himself in Washington as an avatar for the next generation of pro-Trump Republicans.

Erin Schaff/The New York Times

A freshman in the House and a retired Army Apache helicopter pilot, he has become one of the partys rising stars.

Suzanne Cordeiro/Agence France-Presse Getty Images

A wealthy entrepreneur, Ramaswamy built his presidential bid around his devotion to Trump, and many Republican voters responded warmly.

Kenny Holston/The New York Times

A House member from South Carolina who was the first female military recruit to graduate from the Citadel.

Kenny Holston/The New York Times

A first-term senator from Alabama and the states first woman ever elected to the office Britt has been seen as one of the partys young talents.

Theyre long shots, yes. But Donald Trump is far from a predictable politician.

Gabbard, a former Democratic congresswoman from Hawaii who ran for president in 2020, became an independent in 2022.

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North Dakotas governor came up well short in the 2024 Republican presidential race. But he did put himself in the conversation for the partys No. 2 slot.

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The former Fox News anchor is widely viewed as one of the ideological godfathers of Trumpian Republicanism.

Saul Martinez for The New York Times

Lake, a prominent election denier, narrowly lost the 2022 Arizona governors race.

Rebecca Noble for The New York Times

A far-right conspiracy theorist, Greene is one of Trumps top surrogates on the campaign trail.

Doug Mills/The New York Times

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Who Could Be Trumps VP Pick? - The New York Times