Archive for the ‘Donald Trump’ Category

How Donald Trump redrew the political map – Washington Post

Democrats held thecongressional district that runs across Ohios southeastern border for more than a decade until 2010. That year, Republicans snagged the 6th district seat, and by the next election, they redrew the boundaries to make it a little safer for GOP Rep. Bill Johnson.

On Election Day 2016, this former swing district went for Donald Trump by more than 42 points 69 percent to 27 percent marking the single biggest pro-Republican shift in the country in the Year of Trump. Trumps astounding margin in this Appalachian district was 30 points bigger than Mitt Romneys just four years prior.

While thats the biggest shift we saw in the 2016 election, its hardly the only one. According to data compiled by the good folks at Daily Kos Elections, congressional districts across the country that normally move a few points from one presidential election to the next suddenly shifted well bigly.

Margins shifted by 10 points or more toward Trump or toward Hillary Clinton in 119 out of 435 districts. That's more than 1 our of every 4 districts.

Looking at the biggest shiftsconfirms just about everything we thought we knew about Trumps win. The districts the moved big toward Trump tend to be more rural, blue-collar, heavily white districts where culturally conservative Democrats still linger. The districts that moved the most toward Clinton were diverse, suburban, more affluent and highly educated. Oh, and more Mormon. (More on that later.)

Case in point: Minnesota. If you look at a red-versus-blue map of U.S. congressional districts, Minnesota will instantly stand out. Its basically the one place in theMidwest where Democrats still hold the big (square mileage-wise) rural districts. In fact, they hold all three of them in the state one in southern Minnesota, one in western Minnesota, and one in northern Minnesota, which is home to the Iron Range.

All three of these districts shifted between 16 and 21 points for Trump last year. President Obama won two of them in 2012; Trump carried all three by double digits. And the western and northern Minnesota districts were both in top four as far as pro-Trump shifts.

Contrast that with Rep. Erik Paulsens (R-Minn.) fabulous suburban district west of Minneapolis (which this Fix writer once called home). There, just four years after Obama eked out a narrow win, Clinton carried the district by 10 points.

So three rural, Democratic-held districts shift big for Trump, and one suburban, Republican-held district shifts big for Clinton. These trends follow throughout the country.

The other biggest pro-Trump shifts came in the Scranton-based 17th district in Pennsylvania, the Flint-based 5th district in Michigan, two districts that neighbor Ohio's 6th, andfour districts in Iowa and Wisconsin that bear plenty of similarities to those rural Minnesota districts.

The biggest pro-Clinton shifts, meanwhile, came in Utah, where third-party candidate Evan McMullin siphoned off plenty of conservative voters and reduced the GOPs margins of victories by 25 to 35 points in all four districts. Those were the four biggest pro-Clinton or more aptly, anti-Trump shifts in the country.

Aside from those unusual cases, Clinton improved upon Obamas margins in the suburbs of Houston (3 of the 25 biggest pro-Clinton shifts), Dallas (3), Chicago (3), Atlanta (2), Washington D.C. (2), and up and down California, where she did especially well in Orange County.

The point is that the 2016 election forced us to rejigger some of our preconceptions about what states and districts are blue, red and in-between. An unorthodox candidate at the top of either ticket can shift votes both for and against their party even though our country remains hugely partisan and swing voters are supposed to be an endangered species.

As these districts show, these swing voters do exist in very specific areas and circumstances.

(And make sure to check out all the data at Daily Kos Elections. Those guys have done yeomans work collectingall of this.)

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How Donald Trump redrew the political map - Washington Post

Wall Street Surges Anew As Donald Trump Vows To Dismantle Dodd Frank – Forbes


Forbes
Wall Street Surges Anew As Donald Trump Vows To Dismantle Dodd Frank
Forbes
Bank stocks surged when President Donald Trump won the election, gaining about 25% in the weeks after Nov. 8 as investors prepared for his agenda of deregulation. Now, as Trump completes his second week in the White House and fulfills his promise of a ...
Donald Trump Just Gave the 7 Biggest Banks a $35.4 Billion Boost In ValueFortune
Donald Trump's Excuse for Gutting Wall Street Regulations Is Hilariously FlimsySlate Magazine (blog)
Donald Trump Plans to Undo Dodd-Frank Law, Fiduciary RuleWall Street Journal
The Independent
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Wall Street Surges Anew As Donald Trump Vows To Dismantle Dodd Frank - Forbes

South Park’s Creators Have Given Up on Satirizing Donald Trump – The Atlantic

Jokes about Donald Trump arent funny anymore, The Economist declared in 2015. The magazine took the example of the Roman poet Juvenal, noted practitioner of the art of Satura, who once noted that it was hard not to write satire, when one lived within the corruption and decadence of the unjust City. Trump, the magazine noted, poses a curious inversion to this: He makes satire almost impossible.

Its a complaint that has been often articulated about Trump, as the larger-than-life mogul became a larger-than-life presidential candidate became a larger-than-life actual president: How do you mock someone who so readily mocks himself? How do you penetrate those layers of toughness and Teflon to reveal its underlying absurdities? How, as The Economist noted, do you take a tweet like thisSorry losers and haters, but my IQ is one of the highest and you all know it! Please dont feel so stupid or insecure, its not your faultand make it even more ridiculous?

South Park Imagines the Trumpocalypse

One answer: You dont. Thats the solution come to, at any rate, by Matt Stone and Trey Parker, the creators and writers of, among other works of irreverent pop culture, the long-running show South Park. As Parker told the Australian Broadcasting Company in a recent interview, while promoting the Australian premiere of The Book of Mormon: Making fun of the new U.S. government is more difficult now than it was before, because satire has become reality.

Parker noted how challenging it had been for him and Stone to write the last season (season 20) of South Park, which attempted to create a pseudo-Trump through the person of South Park Elementarys fourth-grade teacher, Mr. Garrison. Mr. Garrisons political fortunes rose throughout the season, to the extent that its finalespoilerfound Garrison becoming the 45th president of these United States. It might have been a cheeky take on Trumps own unconventional rise to power; instead, the season struck something of a sour note. As Esquire put it, South Parks 20th Season Was a Failure, and Trey Parker and Matt Stone Know It.

It explained, of the seasons frantic creative process:

Ideas were started and abandoned. Story lines fizzled out (What happened to the gentlemens club? What exactly happened with the Member Berries?). The stories that were completed either made no sense or seemed like they were forced together, as if Parker and Stone tried to shove a puzzle piece into the wrong spot. (Why was SpaceX involved? What were they trying to say with Cartmans girlfriend? What was the deal with Star Wars and J.J. Abrams?) It was a season of half-thoughts and glimmers of brilliance that never amounted to anything. And because they were trying to keep up with the rapid changes in the election, the jokes and analysis suffered.

South Park in many ways suffered from the same thing that plagued many creators of pop culture in the aftermath of the election: Things hadnt gone as many had thought they would. They had to adjust not just their expectations, but also their creative plans. Which was unfortunate: The 2016 election came on the heels of a 19th season that was exceptionally prescient in its assessment of Trump. One episode, the much anticipated Where My Country Gone?, was expected to take on immigration. It did, but its story also doubled as a dire warning about treating a man who was, in 2015, still a long-shot presidential candidate as a joke. (Nobody ever thought hed be president! one of the episodes Canadian refugees wailed, about the man who had turned his country into an apocalyptic hellscape. It was a joke! We just let the joke go on for too long. He kept gaining momentum, and by the time we were all ready to say, Okay, lets get serious now, who should really be president? he was already being sworn into office.)

The episode was smart. It was nuanced. It was Neil Postman, in the guise of Eric Cartman. But it worked because it was able to do what the best satire always does: to point out that which is hiding in plain sight. It warned about laughing at Donald Trump long before it occurred to other people to adopt the same anxieties.

And now that @realDonaldTrump is also President Donald Trump, the threats he represents to American democratic institutions are more obvious than they were before. Trump himself, through his executive orders and his seemingly stream-of-consciousness Twitter feed, has made them obvious. Satire, in that context, is more difficult. South Parks roleand the value it can addis less clear. So, Parker explained, we decided to kind of back off and let them do their comedy and well do ours.

Its a fairly shocking decision, coming from writers who have, for so many years, reliably delighted in the absurdities of American culture. Theres a certain defeatism to it. But theres a certain realism, too. As Stone put it: People say to us all the time, Oh, you guys are getting all this good material, like were happy about some of the stuff thats happening. But I dont know if thats true. It doesnt feel that way. It feels like theyre going to be more difficult. Were having our head blown off, like everybody else.

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South Park's Creators Have Given Up on Satirizing Donald Trump - The Atlantic

Elon Musk Is Betting Big on Donald Trump – The Atlantic

Less than a week before the 2016 presidential election, when most media observers thought Hillary Clinton was a lock to win, Elon Musk called CNBC and unloaded on Donald Trump. He doesn't seem to have the sort of character that reflects well on the United States, he said.

In the three months since Trump's surprise victory, Musk has changed course, becoming something of an ally to Trump. When the then president-elect held a tech summit in December, Musk agreed to attend. He wasnt the only one. Apples Tim Cook, Amazons Jeff Bezos, Facebooks Sheryl Sandberg, Microsofts Satya Nadella, and others joined him at the table. But they didnt agree to a larger role advising the Trump administration as did Musk, who has met with the president and his team more than any other tech industry leader, save for Peter Thiel.

Last weekend, after Trump signed an executive order barring Syrian refugees from the United States, along with refugees and citizens from six other Muslim-majority nations, several tech leaders released statements of opposition, if not outrage.

Sergey Brin, the Google co-founder who first came to America as a refugee, attended a protest at San Francisco International Airport, and spoke at a mass walk-out by more than 2000 Google employees on Monday. I came here to the U.S. at age 6 with my family from the Soviet Union, which was at that time the greatest enemy the U.S. had, he said. [Even] under the threat of nuclear annihilation ... the U.S. had the courage to take me and my family in as refugees.

Tim Cook wrote to Apple employees, criticizing Trumps immigration order in uncompromising terms, as did Facebooks Mark Zuckerberg. Microsoft and Amazon have since announced plans to challenge the order in court. Yesterday, Ubers Travis Kalanick quit Trumps economic advisory council in response to the #deleteuber campaign that followed in the orders wakeand, according to The New York Times, pointed questioning from Ubers employees as to why he hadnt resigned already.

Musk has also come out against the order, albeit gently. On Twitter, he described it as not the best way to address the countrys challenges. And unlike Kalanick, he remains committed to his advisory role in the Trump administration, even amid reports that some Tesla customers are cancelling their Model 3 orders in protest.

I cannot support a company where the CEO is acting as a conduit to the rise of white nationalism and fascism in the United States, one customer wrote on a cancellation form obtained by Buzzfeed. Ive always been a fan of Mr. Musks, but his recent actions have been abhorrent. ... Take a stand, Elon.

Last night, Musk took to Twitter to defend his continuing relationship with Trump. Advisory councils simply provide advice and attending does not mean that I agree with actions by the Administration, he wrote. In tomorrows meeting, I and others will express our objections to the recent executive order on immigration and offer suggestions for changes to the policy.

Musk, who is an immigrant himself, says he understands the perspective of those who object to his attendance at the meeting, but he believes that engaging [with Trump] on critical issues will on balance serve the greater good.

The on balance part is important. Musk knows that every time he accepts an invitation from the White House, he allows Trump to leverage his unique cultural status in American life, as perhaps the most admired technologist since Steve Jobs. In the decidedly pro-immigration technology industry, many were already suspicious of Trump, and are especially so now, following the executive order. Many Tesla owners hold similar views. Musk is paying a price for these repeated meetings, among his current staff, future prospective hires, and his customers. And yet, he seems to think that any reputational hit he takes will be more than offset by the good he can do as a policy advisor to the president.

I take Musk at his word that his decision is borne of this balance, and not narrower business interests involving Tesla or SpaceX. Even in Silicon Valley, where it is commonplace to talk of changing the world, Musk has always stood out for his earnestness. Few others are so comfortable using explicitly moral language to describe their technological ambitions. He once told me that his rocket company was a humanitarian project. Its no surprise that Musk would think hed spotted some greater good that others can't see.

But is he right?

It must give him a chill to consider the fates of Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio, who both made trips to Trump Tower in late 2016, hoping to persuade the then-president-elect that climate change is a real and urgent problem. DiCaprio met with Trump on December 7th, two days after Gore. On December 8th, Trump repaid these kindnesses by picking Scott Pruitt to run the Environmental Protection Agencythe same Scott Pruitt who helped lead the legal fight against the Clean Power Plan, the Obama Administrations most aggressive climate change mitigation policy. As my colleague Robinson Meyer explained at the time, what distinguishes Pruitts [time as Oklahomas Attorney General] is not just his opposition to using regulation to tackle climate change, but his opposition to using regulation to tackle any environmental problem at all.

In Musks statement on Twitter, he said that one of his goals is to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy. According to Bloomberg, he has already floated the idea of a carbon tax to the president. But so far, there is no evidence that Musk has had any effect on the administrations climate and energy policy. And in his statement on Twitter, Musk did not indicate why he thinks hell be more persuasive on immigration, which replaced birtherism as Trumps signature issue at the very start of his presidential campaign.

Musk has left himself one out, however. At this time ... he said, in his Twitter statement, implying that he could one day change his mind as to the merits of continued engagement with Trump. Sooner or later, he may decide that his voice is more powerful in protest than it is as a soft whisper in the presidents ear. Whether he suffers a serious loss of stature in the meantime remains to be seen.

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Elon Musk Is Betting Big on Donald Trump - The Atlantic

The Deep Denialism of Donald Trump – The New Yorker

Donald Trump at a meeting with Senate and House legislators earlier this week.CreditPHOTOGRAPH BY DREW ANGERER / BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY

Donald Trump is hardly the first President to lie to the American people. Nor is he the first to place ideology before data. But this White House, unlike any other, has already crossed the threshold into a space where facts appear to mean nothing.

Eventually, the Presidents daily policy outrages, his caustic insults, and his childish Twitter rants will fade into history. But it will take years to gauge the impact of having a habitual liar as President. When words like science and progress become unmoored from their meaning, the effects are incalculable. And lets not kid ourselves: those words today are under assault with a ferocity we have not seen for hundreds of years.

The United States is now a country with dozens of unofficial government resistance Twitter accounts. There is one for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, another for the Environmental Protection Agency, and others for the National Park Service, the Peace Corps, and the Customs Agency. Last week, in what the account describes as an effort to present actual facts, instead of alternative facts, they were joined by the nations most important public-health agency, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

There are horrific lies of omission: last week, the White House released a statement on International Holocaust Remembrance Day that pointedly declined to refer to Jews, because others were killed, too. And there are denials of truth that are impossible to categorize: the President met with Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., an anti-vaccine zealot with a history of falsehoods, and talked to him about possibly forming a commission on vaccine safety. (After Kennedy said hed actually been asked to lead such a commission, provoking dismay, the Trump team said that no decision had yet been made.) Then there are lies so ludicrous that it is hard (though essential) to take them seriously: according to Trump, the United States has just gone through the most devastating instance of voter fraud in the nations history. And, in his telling, every one of the millions of illegal votes happened to be cast for his opponent.

What happens to a society that accepts denialism as a way of life? Nearly a decade ago, I published a book about the growing number of people who, when confronted with an unpleasant reality, chose to embrace a more comfortable lie. Denialismwhether it stems from suspicions about vaccines, dread of G.M.O.s, or even confusion about climate scienceis often rooted in fear. And fear deserves to be taken seriously. The longer I have been involved in these issues, the more sympathy I have for people who are dubious about the rules of organized medicine, worried about the health of their infant children, or skeptical about the interests of the corporations that make so many of our seeds, food, and pharmaceuticals. Reason, patience, and education dont always work. But they go further in confronting those fears than self-satisfied condescension.

But we are now led, in an age of unimaginable scientific achievement, by the most narcissistic and thoughtless denialist ever to have entered public life. His denialism is not based in fear, its based in arrogance. And it must not be forgotten that denialism kills. Climate change, which Trump has denied and dismissed, has already had a grave impact on the worlds poorest people. Far from making America safer, Trumps immigration plan will cause clear harm, not least to American soldiers.

Politics doesnt belong in a test tube; neither viruses nor bacteria are members of political parties. Scientists have often been wrong, but nothing has propelled our world forward more successfully or rapidly than the scientific method, based as it is on independent inquiry and a reliance on data that can be observed, tested, analyzed, and repeated.

That essential modern projectone of passionate inquiry and personal detachmentis now in doubt. Scientists have battled the political and ideological forces against concepts such as evolution and climate change for years, Elizabeth Hadly, a professor of biology, geological, and environmental sciences at Stanford University, told the Guardian this week. We have patiently articulated the physical and biological laws governing the universe, assembled the data, and presented it in the pages of journals, at public seminars, to the halls of Congress. What is occurring now against science and scientists in the U.S. goes beyond ideology and political party. Now we nd our discourse under attack.

How many of our countrys schoolteachers must consider, every day, whether to explain to their students that the President is a liar? The alternativesimply accepting those lieswould be devastating. It would change our language and change us, if we let it. On April 22nd, Earth Day, scientists will march on Washington to show their fealty to facts. There are people, in science and out of it, who are opposed to the idea of theoretically detached researchers showing themselves to be political in this way. They might better ask in what world would Americans have to stage a march to honor reality. Unfortunately, that world is now upon us. Facts deserve our support. And lies do not.

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The Deep Denialism of Donald Trump - The New Yorker