Archive for the ‘Erdogan’ Category

When Aamir Khan’s meeting with Turkish First Lady Emin Erdogan became talk of the town – The New Indian Express

Traditionally, actions revealed more than words. But in the new world, the same actions reveal different things. A few days ago, when Aamir Khan met the Turkish First Lady, Emine Erdogan, he incurred the wrath of social media. However, this was not the first time that the actor met the Turkish premier, directly or indirectly or ruffled feathers across the spectrum.

In 2017, Khan had met with the Turkish President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, photos of which flooded the internet after this latest visit. While it would appear that its the same Khan and the same Erdogan, a lot has changed between then and now.

The reaction to most celebrity actions operates on two planes. One deals with the opinion per se, while the other works on a much-broader theme of the individuals worldview. In the case of a celebrity, as with most people, the former is short-lived, and its propensity to change depends on the stance that follows. The latter tends to be more deep-rooted.

When it comes to public stance, Khan seemingly tends to side with the popular (read politically correct) notion irrespective of the era or the dispensation. A few years ago, the standing joke among those who wrote on films was that every time an Aamir Khan film released there would be a social stance that the actor was bound to pick up. The most popular was at the time Rang De Basanti released. Khan met Narmada Bachao Andolan activists and gave statements on how he was expressing his concern for the displaced people.

In some way, there is no difference between the Aamir Khan of 2017 and the Aamir Khan of 2020. Both visits to Turkey were work-orientedthis time Khan was on a location recce for Laal Singh Chaddha, his remake of the multi-Oscar-winning film Forrest Gump. Khans public display, in the manner of speaking, is mostly in sync with his socio-political stance. He was conspicuously missing in the photo-op with Benjamin Netanyahu during the Israeli PMs Shalom Bollywood interaction with the fraternity.

There is also probably no change in Erdogans views on India, only that in the last one year Turkey has made its anti-India stance extremely vocal and public. The Turkish premier, who fancies himself as saviour of Islam and Muslims, is pushing for a non-Arab alliance where Pakistan would play a significant role. The two have been cosying up against India.

While most commentators once again await the answer to a question celebrity actions poseShould celebrity action not consider the changing geopolitical reality?some of us can ponder about an offshoot of Khans visit to Turkey. If the waters around it change, does the ship of Theseus, still intact with all its components, fundamentally change?

By InvitationGautam ChintamaniFilm historian and bestselling author gautam@chintamani.org

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When Aamir Khan's meeting with Turkish First Lady Emin Erdogan became talk of the town - The New Indian Express

Torture on the rise in Erdogans Turkey – Al-Monitor

Jul 31, 2020

Erhan Dogan, a 39-year-old Kurdish schoolteacher from Turkeys eastern province of Elazig, says he first experienced torture on the night of July 26, 2016. It began following his arrest by Turkish police in Ankara on terrorism charges.

Dogan says he was repeatedly beaten and kicked in the ribs and on the head, his hands cuffed behind him. He says he was suspended by a rope attached to his wrists for two hours at a time. He was blindfolded and threatened with rape as his tormentors ran their clubs over his buttocks and groin.A bucket of ice-cold water was poured over his head, then it would start all over again. When interrogators threatened to rape his wife and daughterif you dont give us names, Dogan says he knew they were serious, because he had seen three young women being hauled off at the makeshiftdetention center and heard their anguished screams.

Thats when I decided to kill myself;it was the fifth day, Dogan recalled.I was going to knot my T-shirt into a noose from a pipe over the toilet, but my faith intervened. On the ninth day, he was told he was being transferred to Ankaras Sincan Prison. I felt rewarded;I was overjoyed," he said.

Turkeys ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) came to power 18 years ago pledging zero tolerance for torture. For a while, it seemed sincere. AKP leaderRecep Tayyip Erdoganwas determined to end the militarys grip over politics for he knew how much the men in uniform hated him and his fellow Islamists. Ending army tutelage was one of the top conditions laid down by the European Union to launch full membership talks with Turkey.

The AKP swiftly embarked on a raft of dizzying reforms that were meant to propel the country onto the path of full democracy. Generals no longer got to bark orders through the national security council. Pressure on the countrys brutally repressed Kurds eased. Husbands accused of raping their wives were now deemed criminals. They were also shorn of their status as the head of the family under a revamped civil code crafted by AKP lawmakers as women activists breathed down their necks literally. The presence of a lawyer during pretrial interrogation of detainees, when forced confessions under torture would typically occur, became mandatory.

In 2005, the EU formally opened full membership talks with Turkey.

For a brief time, there was real hope, said Sebnem Korur Fincanci, a forensics doctor and president of Turkeys Human Rights Foundation, which treats victims of torture. Such hopes now lie in tatters, and torture is back in its cruelest forms, Fincanci told Al-Monitor in a telephone interview. The gutting of independent media and the ongoing jailing of critical journalists there were more than 80 behind bars at the last count means that with the exception of a handful of oppositional online news sites, the abuses go unreported.

The New York-based watchdogHuman Rights Watch said in a July 29 reportit had credible evidence that Turkish police and a swelling force of night watchmen with expanded powers had committed serious abuses over the past two months against at least 14people in Istanbul and the mainly Kurdish city of Diyarbakir in the southeast. In all cases, the authorities have claimed without evidence that those alleging police ill-treatment violently resisted arrest and the police, the reportsaid.

So sorry, so sad

Seyhmus Yilmaz, a 35-year-old worker from Diyarbakir, and his wife, Menice, were among the victims. Police smashed into his flat in the low-income Baglar district without warning at midnight on May 31. There were about 20 policemen and three German shepherd dogs, Yilmaz told Al-Monitor in a telephone interview from Diyarbakir. They first went after my wife, who fled with our three children into one of their rooms, and unleashed one of the dogs on her. I was sleeping and awoke with the commotion. No sooner did I step into the living room, the police set upon me kicking me and hitting me with their rifle butts while the dogs began to bite me all over. This is him, hold him, kill him, they shouted, Yilmaz said.

They were looking for another man accused of murdering a policeman. Muhammed Emir Cura was caught later that day. According to Human Rights Watch, police stripped Cura naked, thrashed him with their batons and pummeled him with their fists. He was threatened with rape and choked till he passed out on the floor of the local police station, his lawyers say. Photos depicting the scene were posted on social media.

It took Yilmazs attackers five minutes of unfettered violence to finally grasp that he was telling the truth about his own identity.

Wounds on Seyhmus Yilmaz's arm, taken on May 31, 2020. (Courtesy of the Yilmaz family)

A new batch of policemen arrived soon after to apologize for their mistake. The urged him not to file a criminal complaint and promised to replace the broken door. Yilmaz did file a complaint together with a medical report listing his injuries. The Diyarbakir governors office responded in a June 3 statementsaying that Yilmaz was to blame for the affair. He had resisted the police and kicked their dog. The authorities never fixed his door.

Torture and ill-treatment, and police violence more generally, is becoming pervasivewith a rise in reports. Theres always been entrenched impunity and denial, but now the authorities issue denials that close down the avenues to investigating abuses, said Emma Sinclair-Webb, Turkey director for Human Rights Watch. The dogs are new, and it's particularly awful they are used to bite and terrorize people. There areno bombs, no narcotics in the two cases that we looked at, so why the dogs? she added in a telephone interview.

In a further ominous turn, the culture of impunity has spread beyond Turkeys borders to northern Syria, where Turkish forces occupy broad swaths of territory. Reports of ill-treatment, sexual abuse and extrajudicial killings carried out by Turkish-supervised Syrian rebels have been described as war crimes by the United Nations. At the same time, Turkish forces have been abducting and jailing Syriansaccused of terrorist ties with little evidence to support the charges, a flagrant violation of the Geneva Convention, rights groups say.

Interior Ministry and Justice Ministry officials did not respond to Al-Monitor written requests for comment about the allegations of torture detailed in the Human Rights Watch report.

Fincanci says she has no interlocutors left in the government. With right-wing populists hostile to Muslims and immigrantson the rise in EU nations, few care about whats happening in Turkey and the government no longer cares what the EU says, leaving rights groups feeling ever more vulnerable. Could they shut us down? Yes, they could, Fincanci said.

In its most recent annual progress report that came out in May 2019 on the status Turkeys membership bid, the EU noted that Allegations of torture and ill treatment remain a serious concern. The repeated extensions of the state of emergency led to profound human rights violations, and the Government failed to take steps to investigate, prosecute, and punish members of the security forces and other officials accused of human rights abuses. The report continued,"The removal of crucial safeguards by means of emergency decrees has increased impunity for perpetrators of such crimes, and has led to allegations of an increase in the number of cases of torture and ill-treatment in custody.

The abuses began spiking across the country in the immediate aftermath of the July 15, 2016, attempt to violently topple Erdogan. The government says that Fethullah Gulen, the Pennsylvania-based leader of a sprawling Sunni Muslim global network of schools and businesses, masterminded the putsch. The pair were allies with thousands of Gulen sympathizers installed in positions of influence until their partnership blew up in 2013 over the direction and the spoils of power.Gulen denies any involvement in the affair. But tens of thousands of his disciples in the military, the bureaucracy, academia, the media and the business world have been purged and jailed for their alleged links to the imam under the cover of a state of emergency that wasnt lifted until July 2018.Fifty-thousandwere expelled from the armed forces alone.

Ever since the coup attempt, weve had the government examine the cases we document and respond by telling us the victims are criminals or under investigation as terrorists. They skip over the torture allegation and end up with denial. It suggests they are condoning this, Sinclair-Webb said.

Kurdish "bastard"

Dogan, the school teacher, was among the first to be rounded up and taken to the recreation hall at the security directorate headquarters in Ankara where hundreds of military officers were interned when the coup collapsed. He says dried blood caked the walls. There were roughly 1,000 men of different ages wearing Guantanamo-style orange clothes. The women were held in a different section. We were forced to remain upright on our knees for hours on end. Whenever anyone keeled over from fatigue, they were beaten. We were forbidden to speak, and those who did were beaten as well. Every so often a guard would call out peoples names to take them to a block of cells where the torture took place. It was the moment we all dreaded, Dogan told Al-Monitor in a three-hour-long interview.

He was summoned five times. They called him the Kurdish bastard," he said.

The torture began at 11 p.m., lasted till around 5 a.m.and was carried out by bearded men in civilian clothes mouthing Islamist and racistslogans. The demands were always the same: provide names of leading Gulenist figures, confess that he had selected his wife from a catalog of Gulenist brides and admit that he was a member of what authorities refer to as the FethullahTerrorist Organization.The Kurd in me refused to cave, Dogan said.

After each session, Dogan says he would be dragged to an office where a medical doctor would rubber stamp reports saying the detainees were in good physical condition without bothering to examine them. The doctor must have been in her late 20s. She had long, dark hair and wore a white coat. She would stare fixedly at a form on her desk. I would stand in the doorway without actually entering the room. When she asked meAre you ok? I was finally unable to contain myself and respondedCant you see that I am not? I was soaked in blood. I could barely walk. For the first time, she raised her head and looked at me. The guard who escorted me was furious. He saidWait a second and took me away for a further bashing. When we returned, he told the doctor, Look, hes fine. She signed the form.

Erhan Dogan and his family after they were reunited in Europe on May 21, 2020. (Courtesy of Erhan Dogan)

Prosecutors failed to prove that Dogan, who taught in a Gulen-run school that was shuttered along with hundreds of others in 2013, took part in the plot. After serving 16 months, Dogan was sentenced to seven years and six months for membership in the FethullahTerrorist Organizationand freed on parole.

He fled Turkey in August 2018 with the help of smugglers, crossing the Evros River on a rubber boat to Greece. He was recently granted asylum in a northern European country, and his wife and three children have joined him there. His 16-year-old daughter still suffers from psychological problems, compulsively pulling out her eyelashes and her eyebrows. Shunned by even his closest relatives, Dogan says he will never go back to Turkey again.

Dogans story appeared to becorroborated by the allegations in the court testimony thatsurfaced last weekof a first lieutenant from the Special Operations Forcesthat was published by Bold Medya. The online news site,which is banned in Turkey, was set up by exiled journalists who used to work for pro-Gulenist outlets.

Musa Kilicaslan, who was decorated by Erdogan for his fight against Kurdish rebels, told the court of his ordeal at the same recreation center following his arrest in the wake of the botched coup. He said the centers floors were covered in blood and urine, and prisoners were forced to sit in it. The torture he endured broke his ribs and impaired his mobility, but he witnessed worse.

He said afemale officer wearing pajamas was beaten over and over before his eyes at the security directorates infirmary.She was curled up on the bed in 'a ball of shame.' They started to undress her. They said they would take her to the basement and gang-rape her. They did this to an officer of the armed forces, Kilicaslan claimed. It later emerged that the womanhad not stepped out of her home on the night of the coup, Kilicaslan said, which might explain why she was wearing pajamas at the time of her arrest. He says she was set free.

Kilicaslan remains in an Ankara jail.In June, he was sentenced to lifetime imprisonment without parole along with 85 other defendants after being convicted of taking part in the coup attempt at the gendarmerie headquarters in Ankara, the state-run Anadolu news agency reported.

Cevheri Guven is an investigative journalist who was twice imprisoned for his reporting for Gulen-friendly outlets. He fled with his family to Germany afterthe coup and has since been collecting the stories of people who were tortured in its aftermath. He publishes them in raw form in Bold Medya.Bold broke Dogansstory with a videoin which he relayed his hellish experiences, his voice frequently breaking. Dogans description of the recreation center matched those he had heard from three other men held there, Guven told Al-Monitor in a telephone interview.

Rights defenders say its understandable that authorities would want to bring the coup plotters to justice. Over 200 people died that night. More than 2,000 were injured. The putschists rained bombs on the parliament. Men known to have close relations with Gulen were seen at the Akinci airbase in Ankara where the plotters were headquartered and other critical points in the city on the night the takeover was launched.

But the allegations of torture overshadowthe governments case against them.

Erdal Dogan, an Istanbul-based rights lawyer, said the government and the parliament ought to have investigated the torture claims echoing Kilicaslan and Dogans version of events as documented by Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch and the Contemporary Jurists Association in the immediate wake of the failed coup. They never did. It was a missed opportunity, Dogan told Al-Monitor.

"Touch them, you burn"

Guven and his colleaguessearing scoopsKilicaslan's alleged court testimony, a transcript of which was seen by Al-Monitor, was one of themare rarely picked up by Turkeys oppositional medialet alone by pro-Erdogan mouthpieces. Theres always been antipathy towardthe Gulenists among leftists and secular liberals. Likeminded journalists were at the butt end of Gulenist orchestrated disinformation campaigns to discredit critical reporting of their actions at the heyday of their power between 2003 and 2011. Several were jailed on trumped-up charges. Touch them, you burn, shouted journalist Ahmet Sik, as he was carted off to prison in 2011.

There was no doubt who Sik had "touched" and why he was burned." Hed written a book called "The Imam's Army"about Gulens apparent drive to control the levers of power.

Scrutiny of the group began in earnest when it became clear that Gulenist prosecutors and their allies were manipulating and outright fabricating evidence against hundreds of military officers who were wrongfully jailed and tried for the very same charge tens of thousands of Gulenists now face themselves:alleged coup plotting.

Firdevs Robinson, a London-based expert on Turkey, the Caucasus and Central Asiawho does advocacy work in support of free expression, said, Selective empathy and outrage have always been a pervasive problem in Turkey. Human rights and freedom of speech advocacy come at a high cost these days. Many of us feel the necessity to focus our energies where our strongest grievances lie.

The lies and machinations of the Gulen movement in the past and their failure to be accountable todaydiscourage even the most principled from defending them publicly. Yet, just as we cannot pick and choose among rights, we cannot be selective in their implementation either, Robinson told Al-Monitor in emailed comments.

Omer Faruk Gergerlioglu, a lawmaker for the Kurd-friendly Peoples DemocraticPartyand a member of the parliaments human rights commission, is a rare public figure who has made it his lifes mission to seek justice for all victims of miscarried justice, be they Gulenists, Kurds or gays. His pet causes are the more than 800 newly born babies jailed with their mothers and the disappeared.

Since January 2016, at least 28 individualsall but one of them maleare thought to have been forcibly disappeared by alleged members of Turkeys National Intelligence Organization (MIT) and held at black sites in Ankara, Gergerlioglu said. Human Rights Watch reported some of the cases in an April report.The Ankara Bar Association and the Human Rights Association also reported on the cases.

Two of the men remain unaccounted for.

"Death foretold"?

A third, Yusuf Bilge Tunc, a former employee of the governments defense industry secretariat who was sacked in the post-coup cull, went missing in Ankara on Aug. 6 last year. His disappearance is believed to be connected to the other cases, though this remains unconfirmed.

It took the authorities more than three months to agree to his wifes pleas to launch an investigation, Gergerlioglu said. Fears for Tuncs life are growing by the day. His father is on antidepressants. His threechildren, aged 10, seven and three, believe he is in a place where there is no cell phone reception.

The men are accused of running and recruiting MIT agents on behalf of Gulen. Its unclear why they were disappeared rather than formally arrested. All of these men are being used against each other. Theres an internal settling of scores. MIT people are in all walks of life, and MIT is being particularly vicious to its own, speculated a rights defender, who asked not to be identified by name.

Either way, such is MITs apparent sense of impunity, it's doing little to cover its tracks. In the old days when people were disappeared, the government would make an effort to do it secretly. Now they do everything in broad daylight, Gergerlioglu noted in a telephone interview.

He was referring in particular to the case of two men, Yasin Ugan and Ozgur Kaya, who vanished on Feb. 13 last year from an apartment in Ankaras Altindag neighborhood where they had been hiding to evade arrest.

Gergerlioglu rushed to the scene after being contacted by the missing mens loved ones. He interviewed neighbors who all repeated the same story. Around 50 peoplesome of themuniformed, others nothad laid siege to the building, ransacked the pairs apartment then marched them off with black hoods over their head in the middle of theday. Security cameras in the area were ripped out. Ugan and Kaya were not seen in the neighborhood again.

Gergerlioglu said his demands for information about their whereabouts were left unanswered by the justice and interior ministries. The parliaments human rights commission, chaired by an AKP deputy, spurned his request to launch an investigation. As a "last resort, he invited the deputy interior minister to brief the commission. It was June. He agreed to come. When asked about the missing men, he responded with a guffawand said, Oh we are looking for them too. If you find them, kindly let us know. I didnt know whether to laugh or to cry, Gergerlioglu said.

On July 28, the Ankara security directorate announced that Ugan and Kaya had been picked up together with two other men, who had gone missing in Istanbul and the western town of Edirne, respectively, as they were walking together in Ankara. We were expected to swallow this lie, Gergerlioglu said. Their wives could barely recognize them. They had lost massive amounts of weight and their skin was ghostly pale.

Many others who disappeared surfaced after long months and in similarly nebulous circumstances bearing traces of ill-treatment.

Fincanci contended one reason why cases involving alleged Gulenists have received so little attention is that unlike other persecuted groups, notably Kurds, victims and their families choose not to speak out. She said the Human Rights Foundation had repeatedly offered to help but they do not respond."

The few who dare to speak up are swiftly punished. Melek Cetinkaya, whose son Furkanis among some 355 cadets handed life sentences for their supposed involvement in the coup, has been staging solo protests for the past four years. Shes been detained over 30 times for demanding justice for Furkan, who was only 19 at the time of his arrest. Cetinkaya insists he has nothing to do with Gulen. She was re-arrested earlier this month on charges of spreading terrorist propaganda after appearing on the pro-government AKIT TV. Her crime was havingresisted calling Gulen and his flock terrorists during the interview.

In February, one of the disappeared men, Gokhan Turkmen, broke his silence during his courtroom hearing and revealed how MIT agents had kept pressuring him after his formal arrest to not reveal the truth about the horrible abuse he was subjected to during the 271 days he was held incommunicado. In June, Ugan followed suit during hiscourt hearing. He said hed faced similar coercion by MIT agents who visited him in jail and was forced into signing a false confession that he was among Gulens MIT imams.Ugan denies the charges.

Ugans lawyer, Anil Arman Akkus,said his client had been subjected to a cocktail of torture methods during his confinement at a suspected black site in Ankara. SomeI had never heard of before, like being backed into a dog kennel blindfolded and handcuffed and made to crouch in it for hours, Akkus told Al-Monitor in a telephone interview. Its a whole new level, he concluded.

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Torture on the rise in Erdogans Turkey - Al-Monitor

Vulnerable and flagging in the polls, Erdogan rattles his base – Middle East Eye

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's comeback from the Covid-19 hiatus has been bold. For months, he kept himself far from cameras and instead let his minister of health handle public proceedings.

There were some occasional squabbles with the opposition, especially with municipalities on how to combat the virus, but mostly everything was uneventful. Then he started to take several steps together.

First, his ruling Justice and Development party (AKP) ratified a watchmen bill in June that effectively created a new law-enforcement body to guard the streets at night.

Once it was done, the AKP went on to break up the bar associations that are mostly chaired by lawyerscritical of the government, allowing multiple bars to be established in one province.

Hagia Sophia: Istanbul revels in 'reconquest' during first Friday prayer

Next, an angry Erdogan threatened to altogether ban social media sites in response to a tweet that insulted his newborn grandson and daughter. Now, the government is debating a new social media regulation that would force sites such as Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to open up representative offices in Turkey or face millions of dollars fines and restriction of user access.

Then Erdogan moved in with more controversial steps.

After a court decision, he personally reconverted the Hagia Sophia into a mosque. Then his associates promised to withdraw from the Istanbul Convention against violence against women for allegedly normalising homosexuality and destroying families.

He also declared homosexuals as "perverts"and called on the public to stand against homosexuality, while his associates pressured Netflix to remove a gay character from a TV series shot in Turkey.

There are several explanations for Erdogan's motivations, yet almost all of them are tied to voting trends.

Since his first day in the office in 2003, Erdogan and his associates have been obsessively collecting polls and closely investigating what voters really want. That strategy, along with Erdogans political instincts, have kept him in power for the last 18 years. However, this time the numbers dont look very good.

The Turkish economy was sluggish before the coronavirus crisis, but now it is in deep trouble. In one year, more than 2.5 million people lost their jobs, the Turkish Central Bank seems to have burned all of its net reserves to keep Turkish lira steady, and the budget deficit increased by almost 40 percent year-on-year in the first six months of 2020. Meanwhile, the lira lost roughly 15 percent of its value against the dollar over the first half of this year.

'The AKPs grassroots are shrinking in size and Erdogan is becoming more vulnerable to demands from its own core voters'

- Berk Esen, Bilkent University

The voters' response to this has been brutal. Even though Erdogan appears to be preserving his personal backing, around 50 percent in favour, his party is suffering huge setbacks. Recent polls suggest the AKPs support dropped to 34 percent earlier this year and after the coronavirus crisis further decreased to 30 percent, while the number of undecided voters increased to 10 percent.

"The AKP's grassroots are shrinking in size and Erdogan is becoming more vulnerable to demands from its own core voters,"said Berk Esen, an assistant professor of international relations at Ankara'sBilkent University.

"Religious orders and religious communities are increasingly more effective in shaping the AKPs agenda because the AKP addresses now a smaller voting base."

Reverting the Hagia Sophia into a mosque, in this case, has been a decades-long demand by religious conservatives, and also described by Erdogan himself as his youth dream.

"The move itself is a confirmation that the government is desperate,"Esen added. He said that the AKP's mantra has always been taking steps to maintain its popularity and keep the opposition weak.

The Ismailaga, a faith movement based in Istanbuls Fatih, and the Isikcilar religious community, which owns Turkiye, one of the country'snewspapers, have been campaigning for Turkey's withdrawal from the Istanbul Convention in a country where the brutal murder of women by men is a common occurrence.

Their main argument is that the language used in the convention on gender is "destroying the binary categories of male and female", and empowering women in ways that make maintaining a proper family "impossible". A recent poll indicated that more than 51 percent of the public didn't even know what the Istanbul Convention was.

The same groups are also pressuring the government to take steps to restrict LGBT movements inside the country, from censoring Netflix programmes to cancelling Gay Pride marches.

New parties founded by former Erdogan allies such as Ali Babacan and Ahmet Davutoglu have been a worry for the AKP, because for the first time in recent history there are alternative parties on the centre-right that are focussed on stealing votes from the president.

Another woman killed as Turkey mulls abandoning Istanbul Convention

"There is a risk that the voters who are distancing from the party could move to these new parties,"saidNezih Onur Kuru, a political scientist. "This includes the religious conservatives."

There are more than three years until the next presidential elections, yet rumours are swirling in the capital that Erdogans nationalist ally Devlet Bahceli could call a snap election anytime he wants. Some opposition MPs expect that it will happen next year.

In any case, many also believe Erdogan is using topics such as the Hagia Sophia and Netflix to distract the public from the main issues, such as the economy. It is an attempt to shape the public agenda.

Indeed, the Turkish public and the international community have been debating on the Hagia Sophia for weeks, while new economic data released by the authorities confirmed the distress that Turkish working families are going through.

"By show of force, they are putting the AKPs capabilities in the first rank of the public agenda,"Kuru adds.

Kemal Can, a veteran journalist writing for independent news platform Gazete Duvar, underlined in his recent columns that, with or without electoralreasons, the government has been increasing its powers and say within society, from security to bar associations.

The recent proposal on social media is such an attempt. The draft law not only compels companies such as Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to immediately remove content on the orders of judges, it also opens theway to delete news stories on the internet based on the "right to be forgotten".

Critics say the powers will very likely be used to delete anti-government reporting from digital history.

Asked about the possible reasons for the governments timing and rush on the subject, Yaman Akdeniz, a professor of law and the leading cyber-activist in the country, respondedwith only a sentence: "Because they can."

Continued here:
Vulnerable and flagging in the polls, Erdogan rattles his base - Middle East Eye

Does Erdogan think Sisi is bluffing in Libya? – Al-Monitor

Jul 31, 2020

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is flexingdiplomatic and military muscle in Libya to bring about a cease-fire and a new round of peace talks.

While Libya is the battlefield, there is a larger regional contest shaping up in the standoff between Sisi and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who, it seems, is unimpressed by the Egyptian presidents red lines and threat of force.

It will therefore likely be up to Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump, rather than Sisi or anyone else, to prevent an escalation.

"Time is not on our side"

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in July described conditions in Libya as "gloomy," adding that "time is not on our side."He expressed concern about foreign interference in the war, the 400,000 Libyans displaced by the conflict, and the spike in COVID-19 cases.A UN report this week detailed the scale of civilian deaths attributed to the conflict over the past month.

The World Bank had designated Libya at risk of endemic poverty as a fragile state experiencing high intensity conflict, and that was before the pandemic.

Red lines get blurry

Egypt backs Khalifa Hifter, a military strongman whose forces have been rapidly losing ground to the Libyan Government of National Accordthanks to Turkeys military intervention on the government side.Among those on the side of theGovernment of National Accord are thousands of jihadifighters shipped in from Syria, as Amberin Zaman reports.

Libya has become one of the Middle Easts regional fault lines, with Egypt, the United Arab Emiratesand Saudi Arabia on one side, and Turkey and Qatar on the other, as Gilles Kepel explained in a recent podcast.

Turkey and Qatar are considered supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood, which the others consider a terrorist group.

Russia and France also back Hifter, and Erdogan has been at odds with NATO ally French President Emmanuel Macron over differences over Libya, as Ayla Jean Yackley and Bryant Harris report.

The United Nations recognizes the Government of National Accord, so Erdogan believes he has international legitimacy on his side.

If this all seems very 1914, even worse are the random acts that can escalate things.

Hagar Hosny writes that some in Egypt speculate that a recent terrorist attack by Islamic State-linked terrorists in Egypts Sinai is connected to Sisis decision to intervene in Libya.In other words, the fight in Libya is about containing Islamist and Brotherhood affiliated groups in Egypt and elsewhere in the region.

On July 20, Sisisaid a parliamentary resolution that day approving combat missions outside the countrys border had provided Egypts intervention in Libya international legitimacy if it decides to deploy.

Hifter has support among tribes in northeast Libya, where the oil fields are located.Sisi declared any move by the government to take Sirte, the hometown of former dictator Moammar Gadhafi and gateway to the fields, as a red line for Egypt. Sisi also has called for further arming of Libyan tribes in the region to hold off the Turkish-backed government offensive.

Does Erdogan think Sisi is bluffing?

With Hifter on defense, Sisi has also proposed a cease-fire and a new round of political talks in conjunction with his threat of military force, although the initiative may be dead on arrival, from Turkeys perspective.

Erdogan is loath to grant a seat at the table to Hifter, and may not take Sisis warning about the use of force seriously, Metin Gurcan writes.

Sisi may be eager for an intervention, hoping to boost his popularity in the Arab world and sustain the UAEs financial backing, but Ankara doubts the Egyptian military shares his eagerness, writes Gurcan.According to Turkish assessments, Egypts military would be reluctant to engage in a cross-border campaign with ambiguous military goals and risk losses that might damage its credibility and fuel internal rifts.

The Turkish assessment is that Algeria and Tunisia would see Egyptian intervention as an unwanted escalation, as Simon Speakman Cordall explains, and that the United Statesand Russia, both close allies of Egypt, would advise against it.

Did Putin get Erdogan to cave?

Cengiz Candar writes that while a joint statement July 22 from Turkey and Russia backed diplomacy in Libya, that may not mean much because Erdogan feels he has the upper hand with Egypt and Hifter.

Turkey committed itself, upon Russian demand, to refrain from going to war forSirteand al-Jufra. Also, the reference to intra-Libyan political dialogue might be interpreted as Turkey, albeit implicitly, concedingto accepting Hifter as a party in the peace process, given the Libyan leader was also present at theBerlin Conference, Candar explains.

Nonetheless, Candar concludes, All those who have faith in Erdogan's Libyan policy, which is now contained by Russia, can count on the inconsistency of Turkey's president. There is nothing permanent for Erdogan. Hence, although a war with Egypt that could have erupted due to his miscalculation is averted forthe time being, one can never know what the near future might bring.

SemihIdiz writes that Erdogans personal relationships with both Putin and Trump have strengthened Ankaras hand and averted serious crises, which could even have escalated into direct military confrontations between Turkish and US/Russian forces, most notably in Syria adding,Ankara has also not held back from using its ties with Moscow and Washington against these powers, depending on the occasion.

Can the United States and Russia stave off further crisis?

Libya is a collapsed state in conflict, a battlefield for regional powers since the overthrow of Gadhafi in 2011.And like Syria and Yemen, Libyas fate is not ultimately in Libyas hands.

The Libyan conflict is, regrettably, on a path of "Syrianization,"as Fehim Tastekin called it, the result of the jihadis shipped there by Turkey to fight on behalf of the Libyan government against Hifter.

As in Syria, Putin and Erdogan find themselves at odds but willing to talk it out.

And as in Syria, Putin is working all angles, not only with Erdogan and Sisi, but also with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed (known as MBZ) and others, asSamuel Ramani writes.

And that brings us to Trump, who has been actively engaged in his own summit-level diplomacy with Sisi, Erdogan, MBZ, Macronand Putin.All operate by personal connection and the action moves when they talk.Libya is a matter of war and peace, and the United Statescan further seize the roles as invaluable mediator. The risks of escalation remain high, but the tele-diplomacy has the potential to energize the UN Security Council especially if Trump, Putin and Macron get on the same page for an active role in bringing an overdue reprieve to the Libyan people.

More:
Does Erdogan think Sisi is bluffing in Libya? - Al-Monitor

Erdogan has deep faith in his strategy of politics cloaked by religion | Robert Fisk – The Independent

If Bashar al-Assad was the only figure able to take advantage of Recep Tayyip Erdogans reconversion of Saint Sophia into a mosque after a mere 85 years as a museum, something must be very wrong with the worlds reaction to the Turkish presidents latest political shenanigans.

After Erdogan restored the almost 1,500-year old structure designed by its Christian builders to recreate the Temple of Solomon to the status of a fully prayed-in, fully functioning, fully muezzined place of worship for Turkeys Muslim majority, the Americans expressed their disappointment, the EU and Unesco their regret and the Pope his deep sadness.

Inevitably, only the Orthodox church rumbled on about this threat to the whole of Christian civilisation though it has been tolling its misery about the loss of the church ever since the Muslims conquered Byzantium in the 15th century. In the Middle East, history lasts a long time.

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Erdogan has deep faith in his strategy of politics cloaked by religion | Robert Fisk - The Independent