Mediaboss Marketing

Policy Exchange says it's unlikely that Ireland will get a good deal out of us leaving the bloc

IRELAND may be better off leaving the European Union after Brexit, a think tank has recommended.

A report from Policy Exchange says that the chances of Ireland getting a good deal from Brexit are faint and it should also consider quitting the bloc.

Getty Images

Getty Images

The author, Dublin-born Ray Bassett, said that the election of Emmanuel Macron in France who wants to see an increasingly close EU makes it more imperative for Ireland to consider departing from the Union.

It hit out at him and German Chancellor Angela Merkel for the arrogant assumption that they have a divine right to running the EU.

Since Britain voted to quit the bloc, there have been increasing fears about the impact of leaving on the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic, on which many jobs rely.

EU negotiators have promised to consider the impact of Ireland first in the Brexit talks which began last month.

The report says that the benefits of EU membership for Ireland had been great, but that the bloc has since changed.

It also suggested that their low-tax economy, which attracts a number of big businesses from around the world, could be under threat with a more regulated Eurozone.

Irexit is a definite option for Ireland, should the EU and the EU not arrive at a satisfactory deal, it said.

It argues that sitting on the sidelines and allowing the EU to negotiate for Ireland is untenable, and that its interests would better served by opting out of formal membership of the EU, remaining in a customs union with the UK and negotiating free trade agreements elsewhere.

It said there was little chance of Brexit benefiting Ireland due to the complex and intertwined relationship it has been Britain.

It would be a dereliction of national duty not to consider all the options available in such challenging circumstances, it added.

PA:Press Association

And it said there will be a price to pay for Britain to leave the EU despite the Irish governments determination to stick with Team EU.

Deputy leader of the ruling Fine Gael Party, Simon Coveney, hinted at the possibility of leaving in an interview last month: Dont assume that the European Union can be run by two or three big countries and everybody else will just have to tow the line.

If thats the direction the European Union goes in, it wont last, because small countries will leave.

Reuters

Meanwhile, Northern Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire is set to make a statement to MPs today about the future of the power-sharing government at Stormont.

Politicians have failed to come to an agreement to form a government even after a snap election, and the deadline for talks have been extended repeatedly.

If the DUP and Sinn Fein dont reach a deal, theres a possibility of a return to direct rule from Westminster.

DUP sources told The Guardian that one idea being floated to force a deal and return to Government would be to cut the salaries of the Assembly Members who are currently getting paid but they are not sitting.

One said there was a feeling that the public are outrages that politicians are still getting paid even though the assembly is not seeing, there is no executive and no business is being done.

See the original post here:
Ireland 'may be better off' leaving the European Union after Brexit, think tank recommends - The Sun

STRASBOURG, France

The European Union, whose parliament meets here on the French border with Germany, has not exactly been popular in recent years.

Complaints about unelected bureaucrats, lack of transparency, compromised sovereignty, unrestricted migration and costly member obligations have all fueled Euroskepticism.

But it seems the EU has finally gotten its groove back.

Two new surveys find that over the past year, citizens of member countries have decided that maybe this whole European idea the ambitious postwar project to promote continental peace and prosperity isnt so terrible after all.

The first survey, from Pew Research Center, polled people in 10 EU countries. In all but one, fond feelings for the union increased, most by a sudden huge amount. Here in France, favorability rose from 38 percent last year to 56 percent this spring. Across the border in Germany, it went from 50 percent to 68 percent. Even in Brexiting Britain, positive sentiment for the EU climbed from 44 percent to 54 percent.

The other survey, from the European Commissions Eurobarometer, also found an upswing in the share of European citizens who view the EU positively and have trust in it. Again, the upswing occurred in virtually every country. Whats going on? How did the EU turn its reputation around?

To some extent, Europeans may simply be realizing that the grass isnt actually greener on the other side the other side being, in this case, life outside the European Union.

Britains upcoming exit has led to political chaos and economic uncertainty, not to mention sagging consumer confidence and departing jobs. Tens of thousands of jobs may leave Londons financial sector alone.

The same Pew survey found that majorities of nearly every country say Brexit will be bad for both the EU and Britain. Even a plurality of Brits believe Brexit will end badly for them. (Greece, which was threatening to Grexit the euro zone before departure portmanteaus were cool, is the only surveyed country in which a plurality believes Britain will be better off.)

Perhaps other EU members have watched Britains isolationist dysfunction and started to better appreciate the European project, even with its many flaws.

Not just coincidentally, in no country that Pew surveyed did a majority of respondents say they want to leave the European Union. This finding jibes with other recent polls.

Nonetheless, even though they dont want to leave, in nearly all of the countries at least half of respondents still want to hold a referendum to vote on whether to leave.

This may seem peculiar, given that Britain got such an unwelcome surprise when it held its own referendum. But this desire to hold a vote may reflect frustration with the lack of a say in what happens in Strasbourg (and Brussels, Luxembourg and Frankfurt, where other major EU business gets done). A referendum could be viewed as a way to gain more leverage over EU officials, even if the vote is really a bluff.

People think that voting will empower them, says Luigi Zingales, a University of Chicago professor who has studied economic and public opinion trends in the EU. Most Europeans are happy with the idea of some form of European integration and the common market. They just want more voice in the process.

Zingales also argues that a force bigger than Brexit may be more important in reviving the EUs reputation: the fact that finally, a decade after the global financial crisis struck, so many European economies are actually improving.

Zingales notes that in the Pew data, only his home country of Italy hasnt started feeling more warmly toward the EU. Italy also happens to be the only surveyed country whose citizens are more pessimistic about their economy today than they were a year ago.

When things go poorly, you blame everybody: your government, the EU government, probably also the United Nations, he says. When things go well, maybe youre now sort of OK with everything.

Lending credence to this theory is that trust in the EU government and trust in national governments have been rising in virtual lockstep, according to the Eurobarometer data.

In other words, a healing economy may lead to less scapegoating, more political stability. As things get better, people realize they overreacted, and their far-right, anti-immigrant, anti-internationalist, burn-it-all-down feelings subside.

If economics are indeed whats driving the retreat from insularity in Europe, that bodes well for the United States, too. Our recovery, after all, is light-years ahead of most of Europes. Maybe our fever will break soon as well.

Read this article:
Catherine Rampell column: The newly popular European Union ... - Richmond.com

Brexit not the priority for European Union countries, admits Philip Hammond

BelfastTelegraph.co.uk

Brexit is not a dominant issue for European Union countries, Philip Hammond acknowledged as he called for jobs and prosperity to be the first priority in the negotiations.

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/news/brexit-not-the-priority-for-european-union-countries-admits-philip-hammond-35892570.html

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/news/article35892569.ece/9aea0/AUTOCROP/h342/PANews%20BT_P-f00022ac-2b7f-47ab-9caa-b898fac4cc3a_I1.jpg

Brexit is not a dominant issue for European Union countries, Philip Hammond acknowledged as he called for jobs and prosperity to be the first priority in the negotiations.

The Chancellor told business leaders that the UK had to remember that Brexit was "just one among many challenges" facing the other EU members.

He said the Government had to "focus relentlessly" on the key components of a free trade deal and customs agreement that "minimises friction", with transitional arrangements to avoid a cliff-edge change on the day the UK breaks away from Brussels.

Curbing migration has been a key demand for many Brexit supporters, but Mr Hammond said that while managing the system was important, businesses and public services must be able to recruit from overseas.

In a speech at a Confederation of British Industry dinner, Mr Hammond said the right Brexit outcome would mean: " A comprehensive free trade deal in goods and services t hat allows the complex value chains that criss-cross our continent to continue to operate smoothly.

"A customs arrangement that minimises friction at the border with a transition that prioritises protection of the free flow of trade across our borders until the agreed long-term arrangements can be put fully in place.

"A future relationship that acknowledges our need to manage migration but allows British businesses and public services to continue to recruit the labour they need to deliver both economic growth and our social objectives."

The deal would acknowledge the "legitimate concerns" of the EU around regulation of financial markets and set up a "co-operative supervisory structure".

"We seek a shared understanding on what the future relationship looks like as early as possible and an agreement with our EU partners that it will be in our mutual interest that there will be a smooth and orderly path to the new arrangements, rather than a disruptive and dangerous cliff-edge.

"Because what businesses and citizens crave more than anything is clarity about the future."

Mr Hammond acknowledged that Brexit was not the main issue on the agenda for many EU countries.

After speaking at a German business conference, he said he was " struck once again during that visit by the 'asymmetry of attention' to this issue. For us, Brexit is the dominant focus; for many of our continental partners, it is just one among many challenges vying for attention".

"We need to remember that fact as we seek their attention to make these arguments," he said.

"And it is incumbent on all of us, in business and in government alike, to go on making the case for a Brexit outcome that protects jobs and prosperity and a transition that takes us to it smoothly."

Mr Hammond urged business leaders to have their say, including by contributing to a new advisory group being set up with Brexit Secretary David Davis and Business Secretary Greg Clark.

Efforts to build bridges with Brussels may have been dealt a blow as a recording emerged of Brexit minister - and prominent Eurosceptic - Steve Baker calling for the EU to be "torn down".

Ministers have repeatedly stressed they want a successful EU to continue after Brexit, but Mr Baker's comments, recorded in 2010, are at odds with that approach.

In the recording, obtained by The Independent, Mr Baker can be seen telling an event organised by the Libertarian Alliance: " I think Ukip and the Better Off Out campaign lack ambition. I think the European Union needs to be wholly torn down.

"The thing is, of course, that is actually impractical unless the whole people of Europe can be persuaded to rise up and vote for politicians who are prepared - in a moderate and consistent and principled and gentle way - to say that the European Union project has merely succeeded in raising economic nationalism to a continental scale."

CBI deputy director-general Josh Hardie said: "Businesses will welcome the Chancellor's commitment to sound public finances at home and a smooth exit from the EU that will support our economy in this time of change.

"Companies will want to see transitional arrangements that prioritise protection of the free flow of trade across borders agreed as soon as possible, and will also want to understand more about how continuity for companies can be secured until long-term arrangements can be established.

"A new migration system allowing firms to access the skills and labour they need to succeed globally is of the utmost importance as the UK seeks to renew its trading relationships around the world, and the Chancellor's commitment to this will be warmly received."

He added: "Now more than ever it's critical that the whole of Government works in partnership with business to make a success of Brexit - that means putting economics before politics to safeguard our economy and prosperity for future generations."

More:
Brexit not the priority for European Union countries, admits Philip Hammond - Belfast Telegraph

EU chief observer Marietje Schaake speaks during the Press conference on the upcoming election in Kenya. [photo by Beverlyne Musili]

The European Union (EU) is warning that the country risks plunging into election-related violence due to the heightened campaigns that appear to be polarising.

The head of the EU Election Observer Mission (EOM), Marietje Schaake, yesterday called on all players to take precautions to forestall violence.

I would like to say that it is no secret there are concerns about the possible outbreak of violence. This is not inevitable, and it is clear that this would create a situation where everyone loses, Ms Schaake said.

The EOM chief observer said State agencies bear the greatest responsibility in forestalling chaos.

There is a responsibility for each and every one to grant each other the right and safety to vote according to his or her conscience, she said.

The EU warning comes as the country prepares for the August 8 election, with the main competitors trading accusations and allegations.

ALSO READ: Governor Munya threatens to withdraw support for Uhuru re-election

The Jubilee administration has accused opposition leaders of seeking to incite communities over land issues while the latter have accused the government side of plotting to rig the polls.

On Sunday night, Raila presidential campaign team member and economist David Ndii claimed that the country would burn if President Kenyatta is declared victor in a sham election. [Geoffrey Mosoku]

Read the original:
European Union team warns about election-related chaos - The Standard

French President Emmanuel Macron says he plans to launch "democratic conventions" across Europe in a bid to "refound" the European Union.

Macron made the announcement on July 3 during a rare joint session of the French parliament in which he called on a "new generation of leaders" to reinvigorate the 28-member bloc.

"The last decade was a cruel one for Europe," Macron told lawmakers. "We managed crises, but we lost our way."

"That is why a new generation of leaders must take up the European idea again at its origin, which is essentially political," he added.

Macron said France and Germany would launch "democratic conventions," in the form of national debates about the EU, across the continent by the end of the year.

He said that EU leaders need to battle skepticism among the public, which he said was not without merit.

"I firmly believe in Europe, but I don't find this skepticism unjustified," Macron said, saying the bloc has been "weakened by the spread of bureaucracy."

Macron soundly defeated far-right politician Marine Le Pen, a fierce EU critic, in a May 7 presidential runoff.

In the same speech, Macron also announced that "this autumn" he will lift a state of emergency implemented in 2015 following a terrorist attack in Paris that killed 130 people, adding that the government would also bolster security measures to combat Islamic extremism.

"I will reestablish the freedoms of the French people by lifting the state of emergency this autumn because these freedoms are the precondition of the existence of a strong democracy," he said.

He said that his government would "work to prevent any new attack and fight extremists without pity, without regrets, without weakness."

But he also stressed the importance of guaranteeing "full respect for individual liberties."

The state of emergency enacted after the November 2015 Paris nightclub attack has been extended five times. It is expected to be extended again in July by Macron's centrist government while a tough new antiterrorism law is being prepared.

Rights watchdogs have said French authorities are abusing antiterrorism measures to curtail legitimate dissent.

Read the original post:
Macron Announces Bid To Reinvigorate 'Weakened' EU - RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty