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Warsaw continued its recent bitter war of words with eurocrats as it threatened to veto the proposed Rome Declaration, which is meant to pave the way forward for the project after Brexit.

Prime minister Beata Szydo said she would not hesitate to vote down the document if it does not match Polands priorities as her country takes an increasingly hard line towards European integration.

Such a move would spark pandemonium amongst other member states at what is supposed to be a carefully choreographed and painstakingly stage-managed display of unity during the blocs darkest hours.

Eurocrats have repeatedly talked up the summit in Rome, to be held on March 25, saying it will be a display of solidarity between the remaining member states and a birth certificate for the EU at 27.

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But those plans now appear to be in disarray amid a brutal and escalating diplomatic crisis with Warsaw, which has been infuriated by the re-election of Donald Tusk as EU Council president.

After the decision was made in Brussels earlier this month Polish ministers issued a series of extraordinary attacks on their fellow member states and vowed to take revenge by blocking future EU initiatives.

And now it appears they have the much-vaunted Rome Declaration, which is legally of no consequence but which could not be more symbolically important to Brussels, firmly in their sights.

Ms Szydo said: If the declaration does not include the issues which are priorities for Poland, we will not accept the declaration.

The unity of the European Union, defence of a tight NATO cooperation, strengthening the role of national governments and the rules of the common market which cannot divide but unite these are the four priorities which have to be included in the dec

Her open threat will provoke fury in Europes other capitals where for some senior leaders patience with Warsaws political grandstanding is growing increasingly thin.

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Hollande and Merkel on the second day of a European Summit

Earlier this month Francois Hollande appeared at the end of his tether with Poland when he said EU funding to the country - the blocs biggest recipient - should be pulled until it rows into line.

Those remarks sparked a blazing row over dinner with Ms Szydo, who subsequently called an extraordinary press conference at which she accused the rest of Europe of bullying and "blackmailing" her country.

The summit descended into acrimony after Warsaw vetoed the conclusions of the EU Council summit in protest at the re-election of Mr Tusk and of plans to pursue a two-speed Europe in which it fears it will be left behind.

Read this article:
Poland vows to veto plan for EU future unless it includes more power back from Brussels - Express.co.uk

On March 25, 1957, leaders of six nations Belgium, the Federal Republic of Germany, France, Italy, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands met in Rome and signed two treaties that gave birth to the European Economic Community (EEC) and the European Atomic Energy Community. In 1993, the EEC became part of what has since been known as the European Union (EU), and, since Rome, its membership has more than quadrupled.

Six years earlier, in 1951, the same six nations had established, as a first step towards greater interdependence, the European Coal and Steel Community.

On this 60th anniversary of the Treaty of Rome, I celebrate with Europe. To imagine how far the continent has traveled from the devastation wrought by the Second World War and the conflicts that preceded it is to be reminded of the limitless possibilities of history.

Needless to say, this previously unforeseeable progress did not simply happen. It emerged from the vision of those who chose to look beyond the narrow confines of the moment into the distant horizon, accompanied by an iron will to write a new chapter in Europes history, notwithstanding the endless hurdles and roadblocks along the way.

And it was facilitated by a pragmatic approach that stressed gradualism, building the new European architecture brick by brick.

An incalculable debt of gratitude is owed to those who laid the groundwork for what surely is the most ambitious and successful peace project in modern history.

Among them was Winston Churchill who, in his legendary Zurich speech of 1946, spoke of the need to recreate the European family and allow it to dwell in peace, in safety and in freedom. The first step, he proposed, must be a partnership between France and Germany. His longer-term objective was a United States of Europe.

A few years later, French Foreign Minister Robert Schuman, inspired by his remarkable deputy, Jean Monnet, declared: The coming together of the nations of Europe requires the elimination of the age-old opposition of France and Germany. Any action taken must in the first place concern these two countries.

Perhaps for younger generations this 60th anniversary evokes little more than a yawn or a sigh. Whats the big deal, they might ask?

The answer, pure and simple, is that it is a very big deal.

A continent once ravaged by one war after another, and whose soil has been soaked with the blood of millions indeed, tens, if not hundreds, of millions killed because of racial theories, religious disputes, territorial claims, leaders megalomania, economic greed, and more, no longer loses sleep fearing a new outbreak of cross-border violence. The very idea of a war between France and Germany, or any other combination of EU members, today is unthinkable.

These are the EUs greatest achievements peace, harmony, and coexistence among its members, based on the common foundation of a commitment to democratic values, the rule of law, and respect for human dignity, not to mention the rapid economic development of many EU states that came as a direct result of membership.

I still pinch myself when crossing the border between France and Germany and encounter no guards checking passports; or when seeing a history textbook that is the product of a joint French-German commission; or when observing the three Baltic states as full-fledged EU members, and recalling that less than 30 years ago they were still Soviet-occupied territories dreaming of freedom; or when remembering the fascist regimes in Greece, Portugal, and Spain in the early 1970s, and now witnessing their inclusion in the EU as fully democratic societies.

As a dedicated transatlanticist and Europhile, and as the husband and father of four EU citizens, I know full well that all is not perfect in todays Europe.

Heaven knows, Europe has no shortage of challenges, from the three is immigration, integration, and identity to economic stagnation in Greece, a fragile banking system in Italy, and youth unemployment over 50 percent in some countries; from disenchantment with the centralization of power in a seemingly detached Brussels, to internal security threats, as evidenced of late in Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, and the U.K.; from the strong winds of populism and extremism, to the earthquake of the Brexit vote last June; and from intense debates over the degree of national sovereignty versus post-sovereignty, to Russian meddling with the aim of dividing and undermining European unity.

As the EU navigates these minefields, considers course corrections, and, more broadly, charts its future path, the 60th anniversary provides an opportunity to take stock of just how far Europe has come since the end of World War II, and to remind Europes citizens, and especially younger generations, that the EU is about far more than the standardization of light bulbs or food policies.

There will be ample time for more EU introspection and debate, but, if only for a few days, that should give way to celebration and self-congratulation.

Europe, thanks to a handful of visionary leaders, has shown itself and the world what can be accomplished with the audacity to dream and the will to succeed. In fact, maybe the chaotic Middle East will one day learn some of the same lessons.

Happy 60th birthday, European Union, from across the Atlantic!

Link:
Happy 60th Birthday, European Union! - Huffington Post

Signs are growing that inflows of European Union workers to the UK have peaked, just as Theresa May is due to trigger Article 50 to commence the Brexit divorce process.

In an analysispublished Thursdaythe Resolution Foundation think tank highlights official data showing that new National Insurance registrations by EU migrants haveplateauted since the referendum.

It also points to data from the Office for National Statistics' Labour Force survey, which shows the number of EU workers recorded in the UK appears to have peaked.

Provisional net immigration figures released in Februaryfrom the ONS also point to a slower rate of EU immigration to the UK in the third quarter of last year, directly after the referendum.

Net long-term international migration from EU citizens was estimated to be 165,000, down from 189,000 in the previous quarter.

"Given that all three sources point to falling or plateauing migration flows, or indeed actually falling migrant worker numbers, we can be fairly confident that a shift is underway," said Stephen Clarke,an analyst atthe think tank.

There have been reports of labourshortages from sectors such as farming and road haulage, which are particularly reliant on EU workers.

The latest report from the Bank of England's network of regional agents this week said there was "little evidence" yet of EU migrants leaving due to Brexit.

But it added that some had left due to the 13 per cent trade weighted slump in sterling since the referendum vote, which had reduced the value of their repatriated earnings.

And the agents related reports from firms of difficulties recruiting new EU workers "due to a shrinking pool of candidates".

Ms May has interpreted the Brexit vote as a mandate to end EU freedom of movement.

In January she said that the UK would have to leave the single market because the rest of the European Unionhad made it clear that it would not negotiate over freedom of movement for EU workers.

The Prime Ministerhas said she will invoke Article 50 on 29 March.

Read this article:
Brexit latest: Data points to peak in immigration of European Union workers - The Independent

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22, 2017, 10:26 A.M.

A Union flag flies in front of the the London landmark Big Ben at the Houses of Parliament in London, Monday, March 20, 2017. Britains government will begin the process of leaving the European Union on March 29, starting the clock on the two years in which to complete the most important negotiation for a generation. (Matt Dunham / Associated Press)

BRUSSELS The European Unions chief Brexit negotiator warned Wednesday that there will be serious consequences for everyone if the two sides fail to clinch a deal within two years.

Michel Barnier, who will be leading the EU side during the Brexit discussions, said there could be total uncertainty for Britain if no deal is secured in that timeframe.

He insisted that he will be negotiating in good faith to make sure that a mutually acceptable agreement is reached, telling an audience of lawmakers from parliaments across Europe that this scenario of `no deal is not ours.

Britain is slated to trigger the two-year period of its exit from the EU on March 29, with the talks starting for real in May.

Barnier said no deal could leave four million European and British citizens uncertain about their rights and future, result in the reintroduction of strict customs rules, create air traffic chaos to and from Britain and lead to the suspension of exports of nuclear materials.

The former French government minister said the talks he will lead will be transparent and open, saying that these negotiations cannot take place in secret.

He said the first aim would be to end uncertainty for EU and British students and pensioners abroad, as well as health care workers in the U.K.

The EUs watchword, he said, will be citizens first.

Barnier insisted that Britain will face no punishment for leaving, but that we must settle the accounts. We will not ask the British to pay a single euro for something they have not agreed to as a member.

Some estimated suggest the EU wants Britain to pay a hefty divorce bill of up to 60 billion euros ($64 billion), to cover EU staff pensions and other expenses the U.K. has committed to. Britain hasnt ruled out paying, but is expected to contest the bill.

See the original post here:
European Union warns of 'serious consequences' if no Brexit deal - The Spokesman-Review

Italy has the third largest economy in the European Union. Italy has been a part of the European unity movement since its very start. Yet, Italy itself may represent the very contradiction that might ultimately bring the EU to its knees.

And, this is something we, in the United States, should be very interested in and be watching closely.

A breaking apart of the European Union would have very serious consequences for the health of the US economy. It is definitely in the best interests of the United States to have a well-working, well-functioning European Union. The United States stands to lose a lot if the EU fails, even partially.

The European Union is a federation of many separate, independent nations. This has always been one of the major concerns about the future of the community. Experts, right from the start, argued that for the EU to have a common currency, it also needed a common government. Yet, a common government was never formed and, in its current state, it would appear that the European Union forming a common government is even more of a dream than ever before.

One of the biggest political movements in the EU today is that of nationalization, the idea that the focus of a nation should be on its own issues and worries and that country's need to return its efforts to resolving internal problems. And, with all the elections taking place in the EU this year, the idea of national focus has grown in attention and popularity.

The major proponent of this is the Netherlands did not win the election, but the person who did take up the strategy of taking over some of the "populist" strains of the Mr. Wilders, the right-wing candidate, in order to hold off voter surge in this direction.

Now, there is an election going on in France, and the right-wing leader Marine Le Pen is causing a lot of people to lose sleep over the possibility that France could possibly move in this direction.

Then, there is a German election in the early fall of this year and the candidate focusing upon national sovereignty has been getting a lot of attention although it appears as if his chances of winning are quite low. The point is, however, that even Germany is not immune to this move.

Then, there is Italy. Italy must have an election before February 2018. And, right now, the person leading all the candidates is Beppe Grillo, the comedian leading the Five Star Movement, an organization that wants to leave the Euro and the European Union.

But, Italy, internally, is a representation of what the European Union faces. It is a very regionalized country with a very decentralized national government. A lot of its political strength lies in regional or local governing bodies. People in Italy get phrenic when there is a discussion about a strong central government.

The Italians had their strong central government under Mussolini in the 1930s and 1940s, and built their post-World War II governmental structure on the basis of making the central government as weak as they could. This regionalization has dominated Italian politics ever since.

And, this fear of centralized government is still permeating the country and dominating what is going on there.

This fear of a strong central government resulted in the resignation of former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi and, among other things, is causing divisions within his own party that is blocking the way to his return to power.

It would not be unusual for Mr. Renzi to return to power. Italy is notorious for having many governments, with many of the same leaders going in and out of power. For example, just since November 2011, there have been four prime ministers, not because of popular elections, but because of financial emergencies, factional squabbles, party coups, and failed constitutional reform.

This is not unusual despite having one of the most vibrant economies in Europe in the late 1950s and 1960s, from June 1945 through December 1970, there were 28 governments formed in Italy with an average life of 11 months. The general reason for changes was that party factions were discontented, disappointed that they did not get what they wanted, and so pulled out of the coalition.

Italy is in the midst of troubles right now with problems that are being attributed to the fact that Italy cannot respond to its own needs because of having to adhere to the strictures of the European Union. Tony Barber writes in the Financial Times that "Italy is Falling Out of Love with Europe."

The most disturbing thing that Italians are facing right now is that its economy is the slowest growing economy in the eurozone. "Public debt is more than 132 percent of gross domestic product, unemployment is almost 12 percent, and the youth jobless rate is over 37 percent."

The banking system is in dire straits as are many local governing bodies throughout Italy.

Many Italians associate this dilemma along with an even longer-term stagnation with its membership in the EU. Mr. Barber writes "many Italians see the Euro as a straitjacket."

"As a consequence, even more Italian politicians question the merits of eurozone membership. So do Italian voters. In a Eurobarometer poll published in December, 47 percent called the Euro 'a bad thing' for their country and only 41 percent 'a good thing.'"

This is why Mr. Grillo and the Five Star Movement seem to be doing so well these days. They are tapping into the basic Italian discontent with centralized government. Historically, the Italians seem to like smaller, more independent governmental bodies that can reflect and deal with local problems. This is why they constantly seem to vote against reform.

But, Italy is a part of the European Union and what it decides to do can have major repercussions not only on the eurozone itself but on the rest of the world, especially on the United States that is closely integrated with the EU.

Also, Italy is a prime example of what can happen when regional and local issues can override national, or larger, governing bodies. The United States has shown how regional and local issues can be incorporated within a larger, federal body of states, and still produce exceptional outcomes. Regional and local issues still can be problematic, but, ultimately, the benefits from union can overcome the loss of independent control.

Europe is not there, yet. It does not have a central, federal government and hence has problems in achieving the scale of operations that are necessary to be competitive in today's world. And, it seems as if it is a long way from getting there.

That is a long-run issue for now. The current problem is keeping the European Union together and avoiding an Italian withdrawal. In spite of everything else going on in the United States, businesses and investors need to keep watching what is going on in Europe because if some state, like Italy, leaves the community, global markets will suffer.

Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Link:
Italy's Future And The Future Of The European Union: Is The U.S. ... - Seeking Alpha