EU economic growth outlook dims on rising geopolitical risks
The European Union cut its economic growth forecasts for the region, saying rising geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East and a broader global slowdown have eroded business and consumer confidence since the spring.
The downgraded outlook, released Tuesday, is bad news for the U.S. economy because Europe is a major market for American exports.
"It would be an added head wind," said Gary Schlossberg, senior economist at Wells Capital Management. "You'd still see economic growth here, but it would be weaker than it would be."
Europe's troubles come amid slower economic growth elsewhere in the world, which helped drive up the U.S. trade deficit in September.
The Commerce Department reported Tuesday that U.S. exports dropped by about $3 billion, or 1.5%, to $195.6 billion, from August.
The decrease caused the nation's trade deficit to rise by 7.6% to $43 billion, the largest gap since May.
Analysts expect that the widening trade deficit will lead federal statisticians to lower U.S. economic growth in the third quarter in an upcoming revision Nov. 25.
"The bottom line is that the third quarter was not as good as it looked on the surface," Patrick Newport and Michael Montgomery, U.S. economists at IHS Global Insight, said in a research note.
The new trade figures should knock about 0.5 percentage point from the Commerce Department's initial estimate of a 3.5% annual growth rate for the quarter, they said.
A government report Monday showing that construction spending unexpectedly fell in September for the second straight month also should cause a downward tick in the revised report, taking the quarterly growth down to a 2.9% annual rate, Newport and Montgomery said.
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EU economic growth outlook dims on rising geopolitical risks