Biggest Impediment for Hillary Clinton: Her Former Boss
Will President Obama again block Hillary Clinton from becoming president?
In 2008, the odds of a Democrat winning the White House were very good. The political environment in the aftermath of eight years of President George W. Bush was set for a change to an opposing political party. President Bush's approval ratings were way down, many in the country were tired of the way he ran Washington, D.C., and they were frustrated by his apparent inability to bring the country together.
Any Democrat who got the nomination that year had a high likelihood of winning the general election. As I have said before, the most dominant factor in presidential elections is the existing environment parties and candidates face.
In that year, then-Sen. Obama became the Democratic standard bearer, having beaten Hillary Clinton in a close primary contest. He then went on to win a fairly easy victory over John McCain in the general election, as the Arizona senator struggled to distance himself from all the baggage that came from President Bush's second term.
It wasn't the tactics, or the media, or the campaign staffs that determined victory -- by and large, it was where the country wanted to go.
Today, Obama is nearly in the exact same position as Bush was at this same point. His approval numbers are down, the country has lost faith and trust in his leadership, and voters hunger for someone who can make Washington work again.
The political environment at the moment (and we have two years to go until 2016, so things could change) is tilted in favor of a Republican winning the White House no matter who the Democratic nominee will be.
Hillary Clinton looks to be on the verge of running in a Democratic nomination race with virtually no real opposition. She will be extremely difficult to beat. She starts out nearly 60 points ahead, and all other strong challengers are seemingly ceding her the nomination.
But she faces a very difficult general election environment if the Republicans nominate any reasonable candidate. This difficult general election environment created in no small part by Obama's two terms in office.
Obama, having beaten Hillary the first time in 2008, may actually cause her to lose if she is the nominee in 2016 because independent voters have a strong desire to change from the current incumbent's leadership.
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