Hillary Clinton Hints at 2016 Run: #39;All in Good Time #39; Going Back to Brooklyn
During an event in Brooklyn, the former Secretary of State subtly acknowledged her likely presidential campaign could be headquartered in the New York City borough. Breaking news, latest news,...
By: ABC News 24
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Hillary Clinton Hints at 2016 Run: 'All in Good Time' Going Back to Brooklyn - Video
Create $200 million conservative super fund to convict Obama and Hillary: ROOT For America
Loose lips sink ships. Here is how Republican donors can sink the ships of both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Conservative billionaire donors need to pool together a reward pot of $200...
By: personalliberty
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Create $200 million conservative super fund to convict Obama and Hillary: ROOT For America - Video
Hillary Clinton is still leading all comers in early polls of the 2016 presidential race. But these days,that has much more to do with the Republicans' weaknesses than with her strengths.
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll is the latest to show Clinton's numbers continuing their steady erosion since she steppeddown as secretary of state. The new poll has her favorable rating at a pedestrian 49 percent, compared to 46 percent unfavorable. It's the first time her favorable rating has dropped below 50 percent since April 2008, when she conceded the Democratic nomination for president to Barack Obama.
Muchof Clinton's decline, predictably, is because Republicans and Republican-leaning independents have begun to sour on her as she has re-entered the political arena. While 31 percent of Republicans last year liked Clinton, just 12 percent do so today.
But there is also evidence of less-partisan voters straying from Clinton. Among Democratic-leaning independents, 84 percent approved of Clinton last year. Now, that number is 65 percent.
[Resolved: Hillary Clinton is a normal, polarizing politician again]
Of course, even as Clinton's image numbers have declined, her lead over her potential GOP opponents hasn't. She still leads Jeb Bush 54 percent to 40 percent in a prospective match-up, and her leads are even bigger against Ted Cruz (58-37), Scott Walker (55-38) and Marco Rubio (55-38). Those are all on a par with polling going back many months.
The reason? While Clinton isn't that well-likedanymore, these Republicans are in significantlyworse shape. Bush, the former Florida governor, has an unfavorable rating of 53 percent, versus just 33 percent favorable, Rubio is 14 points underwater (24 percent favorable, 38 percent unfavorable), and Cruz is 20 points underwater (25-45). Only Walker's favorable rating (23 percent) is even close to his unfavorable rating (30 percent).
And here's the real kicker: While Clinton's favorable rating among independents is down to just 44 percent,she takes 49 percent of their votes in a match-up with Bush. Among moderates, 51 percent have a favorable opinion of Clinton, but 58 percent vote for her in a match-up with Bush. And she does even better against the other Republicans.
[Full poll results]
As long as the GOP candidates are losingvoters who don't much like Clinton, they'll have a tough time beating her -- even if she's hardly the popular figure she was as secretary of state.
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Hillary Clintons favorable rating drops below 50 percent ...
Hillary Clinton: "I took the unprecedented step of asking that the State Department make all my work-related emails public for everyone to see." Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP hide caption
Hillary Clinton: "I took the unprecedented step of asking that the State Department make all my work-related emails public for everyone to see."
The chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee not just a rank-and-file House member alleged Tuesday that Hillary Clinton likely broke the law with her use of private emails as secretary of state.
"I think they all fall into one great big mistake she made," Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa told Newsmax before adding: "And it could be a violation of law, probably is a violation of law. Some people are suggesting she could even be prosecuted, and it's as simple as this she was using a private email address instead of a government one, and it probably violates the Freedom of Information Act, it probably violates national security legislation."
Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, charged that Hillary Clinton "probably" broke the law with her exclusive use of a private email address while secretary of state. J. Scott Applewhite/AP hide caption
The charge of breaking the law, going around the law or being above it, is one Clinton is certain to face if she testifies before the House Select Committee on Benghazi led by South Carolina Republican Trey Gowdy.
But what are the facts? And what are the laws?
The Laws
At issue are four sections of the law: the Federal Records Act, the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), the National Archives and Records Administration's (NARA) regulations and Section 1924 of Title 18 of the U.S. Crimes and Criminal Procedure Code.
In short:
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Fact Check: Hillary Clinton, Those Emails And The Law
Hillary Clinton's personal popularity has dropped to virtually an even split in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, marking her potential vulnerability as a presidential candidate. Yet she still surpasses her possible Republican rivals in favorability and vote preference alike.
The number of Americans who express a favorable opinion of Clinton is down from a record 67 percent just over than two years ago to 49 percent now - its lowest since her unsuccessful campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2008. Nearly as many, 46 percent, see her unfavorably, up 20 percentage points from its low during her term as secretary of state.
See PDF with full results, charts and tables here.
Yet Clinton still is better off than six potential GOP candidates tested in this survey, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates: All of them have higher unfavorable than favorable scores, trouble for any public figure. And two for the first time are seen unfavorably by more than half of Americans.
Jeb Bush's favorable-unfavorable rating is 33-53 percent; Chris Christie's, 26-51 percent. Compared with Clinton, more Americans have yet to form an opinion of Bush, Christie, or, especially, the others tested in this poll: Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio and Scott Walker. Still, Cruz's favorability rating, like Bush's, is underwater by 20 points, Rubio's by 14, Paul's by 13 and Walker's - the least-known - by 7. Christie's worst off, 25 points in the hole.
PRIMARY PREFERENCE - Bush, regardless, has advanced to 21 percent support for the nomination in a crowded potential Republican field, up 7 points from December to a significant lead over his closest competitors, Walker, with 13 percent (up 6 points), and Cruz, 12 percent. That's among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are registered to vote.
The 11 other possible GOP candidates tested in the poll all are in the single digits: Rubio, Paul and Mike Huckabee, with 8 percent support apiece; Christie, with 7; retired surgeon Ben Carson, with 6; and 1 or 2 percent each for Carly Fiorina, Lindsay Graham, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum. Clinton continues to cruise on the Democratic side, with 66 percent support against five others - more than quintuple her nearest potential rivals, Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, with 12 percent apiece. (Warren this week said she won't run.)
Bernie Sanders has 5 percent; Jim Webb, 1 percent; and Martin O'Malley less than half a percent. Clinton does even better in the expectations game: 72 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they expect her to win her party's nomination. On the far more closely contested GOP side, a third of leaned Republicans expect Bush to win. That, of course, is if they run. Of all these, just Cruz has announced his candidacy. ABC's Political Unit reports that Paul, Rubio and Clinton may do so this month, Bush in late spring or summer.
PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE - Head-to-head, Clinton leads Bush by 12 points among registered voters, 53-41 percent, essentially unchanged in the past year. She has 54 to 56 percent support against Rubio, Walker and Cruz alike, vs. their 39 to 40 percent. The lack of differentiation on the GOP side - 39 to 41 percent across potential candidates - looks like the base GOP vote, from which the party's candidates will seek to build as the campaign progresses, especially in the general election. They may do so not only by changing minds but by differential turnout; Republicans have a better record of actually showing up at the polls. That said, Clinton's position vs. Bush is distinctly better than Obama's vs. Mitt Romney at about this time in 2011, 48-44 percent.
One advantage for Clinton is early enthusiasm. Among registered voters who support her against Bush, 83 percent describe themselves as enthusiastic about doing so, including 42 percent who are "very" enthusiastic. Among Bush supporters in a matchup against Clinton, many fewer are enthusiastic, 68 percent; and fewer still, 12 percent, are very enthusiastic. To a large degree that's to be expected; Bush's supporters vs. Clinton include many Republicans who'd like to see someone else in those shoes, so it's no wonder they're less enthusiastic.
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Hillary Clinton's Popularity Declines, Still Beats GOP Rivals'