Mediaboss Marketing

OPINION:

Lets rewind back to October 2016. Hillary Clinton held a 12-point lead over then-candidate Donald Trump, according to traditional polling. Weeks from Election Day, she had cracked 50% support nationally in the polls, while Mr. Trump dwindled in the 30s.

No one in the political establishment expected Mr. Trump to put up much of a fight. Pundits were generally convinced he stood no chance, and the liberal media was ready to crown Mrs. Clinton.

Then Election Day came, and Hillary lost. The polls and the pundits were proved wrong again.

That the polls were dead wrong and Mrs. Clinton lost isnt as important, however, as why she lost. Within her own party, Mrs. Clinton could rely on plenty of rank-and-file zealots who were excited to elect the first female president. But she wasnt popular or likable beyond them.

Mrs. Clinton was so unpopular even among Democrats that a self-proclaimed democratic socialist from Vermont posed a credible challenge, and she was beset upon by lackluster support from within while relying too heavily on mercenary consultants. On the other side, voting against Hillary was an article of faith for Republicans. Mrs. Clinton lost because the middle the swing voters who ultimately decide elections just didnt like her.

Fast forward to January 2024, and if the polls are to be believed (they shouldnt be), Mr. Trump maintains a 30-point lead in the Republican primary cycle. Legacy polling sees Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley as little more than long shots. And Mr. Trump is neck and neck with President Biden in key battleground states again, according to traditional polls.

But should Republicans keep taking the polls at face value? Should we trust the polling that has Mr. Trump beating Mr. Biden in states like Michigan? Absolutely not.

If traditional polls have taught us anything in recent years, it is not to trust them or the paid consultants and fundraisers promoting polls, and the legacy media parroting them. The polls have been dead wrong since 2016, leading to Republican losses in 2018, 2020, 2022 and even 2023.

Traditional pollings failures start with the wrong, limited and arbitrarily defined data sets to decide whom to call, and it goes further off the rails by generally reaching and getting responses only from the most ardent political zealots those desperate to convince you (and themselves) their outsider views are right.

No amount of weighting applied by pollsters to fix their oversampling of extremes will work. It just makes the results more unreliable. Even polling averages dont help, since the average of all that junk is still junk.

The more accurate measure of U.S. public opinion is anti-polling, which monitors actual behavior of massively large populations over time what they say and what they do when theyre not aware of being monitored. Anti-polling uses observational analysis to strip away the biases and errors that make traditional polling unreliable.

After nearly two years of monitoring real data on the Trump, Biden and DeSantis dynamic, there is one constant: Mr. Trump cant win swing voters.

Mr. Trump is so unpopular even within his own party that his Napoleonic return is blunted by a serious challenger, and he is beset upon by lackluster support from within while relying too heavily on mercenary consultants. On the other side, voting against Mr. Trump remains an article of faith for Democrats. Above all, swing voters generally dont like Mr. Biden, but they loathe Mr. Trump.

Sound familiar?

Mr. Trump has experienced a constant series of post-indictment bumps among swing voters aggravated by the weaponization of government. They believe, rightly so, that he is being treated unfairly by the establishment. But the bumps always fade fast, and they are not enough to carry him through a general election.

Most swing voters oppose the Democrats legal chicanery and are generally negative on Bidenomics and this failing presidency. But that sentiment pales in intensity with their distaste for Mr. Trump. Opposing Biden Democrats is one thing; casting a vote for Donald Trump, however, is untenable.

Like Mrs. Clintons own loyalists, Trump voters dont represent a large enough voting bloc to cross the finish line. Third-party data from Eyesover confirms that, while there are almost always more social media posts about Mr. Trump, his supporters are more likely to post, and post more frequently.

Case in point: Since October, those making positive online posts about Mr. Trump have grown by 6%, while the volume of those posts has grown by 7%.

A separate eight-month study of nearly 20 million home IP addresses makes the Trump prison all too clear 17% to 22% of the electorate that doesnt grow, but from which his now-former supporters slowly get paroled.

So ask yourselves, Republicans: Do we want Mr. Trump to be our Hillary? Do we want to enter Election Day with the same supreme confidence, only to lose for the fifth time in a row?

Im sick of losing. It is time to start winning again, and this is coming from a two-time Trump voter.

Heading into the Iowa caucus, Donald Trump may appear to be the strongest Republican in the field, but that means nothing come November. By then, we could be looking at the next Hillary Clinton.

Dan Backer is a veteran campaign counsel, having served more than 100 candidates and political action committees, including the pro-DeSantis Ready to Win. He practices law as a member of Chalmers, Adams, Backer & Kaufman LLC.

See the rest here:
Is Donald Trump the GOP's Hillary Clinton? - Washington Times

Claim:

An "extreme snuff film" called "Frazzledrip" that supposedly shows Hillary Clinton and aide Huma Abedin torturing and killing a child to extract "adrenochrome" from its blood, actually exists.

Rating:

In late January 2024, the word "Frazzledrip" echoed across the internet after an X account known for sharing right-wing conspiracy theories posted the screenshot of a five-year-old article claiming that a "Hillary Clinton snuff film" was circulating "on the dark web":

(@dom_lucre/X)

The article, which first appeared on the website Your News Wire (later renamed News Punch) on April 15, 2018, reported that the "horrific" video, "code named Frazzledrip," was discovered on the hard drive of a laptop belonging to former Democratic congressman (and former husband of Clinton's assistant, Huma Abedin) Anthony Weiner, who was jailed in 2017 for texting obscene material to a minor):

An "extreme snuff film" featuring Hillary Clinton and Huma Abedin raping and mutilating a prepubescent girl is circulating on the dark web, according to sources familiar with the material.

The video, code named Frazzledrip, has been circulating on the dark web since Monday, according to reliable sources who have viewed the material and confirm the content is "worse than any nightmare."

"The people who are coming back from viewing this tape are just not the same.".

Many people are unable to watch the video due to the horrific nature of the content, according to sources familiar with the tape.

In the video, they take a little girl and they fillet her face, according to reports, and then they take turns wearing the little girl's face like a mask. It is believed they were terrorizing the young girl, deliberately causing the child's body to release Adenochrome into her bloodstream before bleeding her out and drinking the blood during a Satanic ritual sacrifice.

Adrenochrome is an oxidation product of adrenaline (ephinephrine, norepinephrine) that is extracted from a living donor's adrenal gland. According to those familiar with the elites' drug of choice, the high is "intense" and "exotic".

The article's author, "Baxter Dmitry," rehashed elements of a conspiracy theory known as Pizzagate, which alleged without evidence that Clinton and other "deep state" conspirators ran a massive Satanic ped*ph*le ring out of a Washington, D.C. pizzeria called Comet Pizza. Your News Wire had granted uncritical credence to such theories in the past.

The raw material for the article was aggregated from social media posts of images allegedly extracted from the mysterious and supposedly impossible-for-ordinary-people-to-find "Frazzledrip" video. One of the earliest such posts appeared on Facebook during the first week of April 2018, and looked like this:

(Facebook screenshot)

Similar posts were widely shared on Twitter:

(Twitter screenshot)

It only took a few moments of investigating to determine that the sepia-toned images came not from incriminating footage hidden in some dank corner of the dark web, but rather from a maniacally inscrutable YouTube video uploaded (coincidentally or not) on April Fools Day 2018 (regrettably, that video has since been deleted).

We found, moreover, that the image described as showing Abedin wearing a mask made from the face of a mutilated child was actually taken from the website of a well-known Indian restaurant in Washington, D.C., called Hush Supper Club. The masked woman is the restaurant's proprietor, Geeta, who has been profiled in a number of national news venues.

Here is the photo in its original context:

Insofar as it's supposed to serve as evidence that Huma Abedin participated in a Satanic ritual involving the mutilation of a child, then, the video is demonstrably a hoax. However, that hasn't stopped social media users from trying to find other imagery in the video to support the "snuff film" thesis, though the results even with the addition of visual aids remain laughably incomprehensible:

(Screenshot)

In point of fact, there appeared to be some disagreement among conspiracy theorists as to whether the two-minute, now defunct YouTube clip and the much-ballyhooed "Frazzledrip" snuff film were even one and the same. Some claimed the YouTube video was only a teaser, and that somewhere a full-length version existed, which, if and when it were made public, would expose Hillary Clinton for the murderous satanic, adrenochrome-addicted, pedophilic ringleader she truly is. Others have admitted the possibility that "Frazzledrip" may never have actually existed, and it was a deep-state prank (or "psy-op") meant to make them look foolish.

Five years hence, "Frazzledrip" is still touted by some as a reality, even though not an iota of evidence to that effect has come to light since the "snuff film" was first whispered about in the dark recesses of QAnon.

Casarez, Jean. "Anthony Weiner Reports to Prison." CNN. 6 November 2017.

Friedberg, Brian. "The Dark Virality of a Hollywood Blood-Harvesting Conspiracy." Wired. 31 July 2020.

Henry, Sarah. "Hush Supper Club Quietly Reveals Spicy Secrets." KQED-TV. 5 August 2011.

Read more here:
Fact Check: 'Frazzledrip,' the 'Horrific Hillary Clinton Snuff Film' Touted by QAnon, Never Existed - Yahoo News

Jeffrey Epstein was charged with sex trafficking in July 2019 (File)

The third batch of unsealed documents related to Jeffrey Epstein case were released yesterday. The documents have more deposition excerpts from his accusers Virginia Giuffre and Johanna Sjoberg.

The documents stem from a 2015 civil suit by Virginia Giuffre, who says she was one of the many young girls trafficked by Jeffrey Epstein and his partner, Ghislaine Maxwell.

The newly released documents include excerpts of testimony from Epstein's close friends who helped him manage his sex trafficking business.

Giuffre and Sjoberg's additional deposition excerpts give more details of how Epstein and Maxwell lured teen girls into the trafficking business.

Hillary Clinton was one of the "thirteen specific witnesses" mentioned by Epstein victim Virginia Giuffre, new documents claim. The court filing, however, emphasizes that there are no accusations or allegations against the former first lady in this matter.

Former housekeeper Juan Alessi claimed that Prince Andrew's extended stays at Epstein's Palm Beach home, where he received daily massages

It is mentioned that former US President Donald Trump had come to Epstein's south Florida house. The former US President, however, "never" stayed at the home, said Juan Alessi.

The unsealed files linked to the 'Paedo Island' claim he would pay $200 for each for a young girl who was brought to him as part of the sex trafficking deal. Several minor girls reportedly accepted payments in return for giving him massages.

More than 180 documents including depositions, legal briefs and email chains from the lawsuit have been released since Wednesday.

Epstein was charged with sex trafficking in July 2019 but died by suicide in a Manhattan prison cell before he could stand trial. Maxwell is serving a 20-year sentence for sex trafficking.

US prosecutors had earlier said Epstein used his wealth and power to sexually abuse dozens of young girls for years at his homes, paying them hundreds of dollars in cash for each encounter and hundreds more if they brought in more victims.

Follow this link:
Hillary Clinton's Name Pops Up In Jeffrey Epstein's 3rd Batch Of Files - NDTV

Nikki Haley hit back at ads from a pro-Ron DeSantis PAC pointing to Hillary Clinton as the former South Carolina governor's "inspiration" for getting into politics.

The 2024 GOP hopeful joined Fox News' Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum on Monday night for a town hall from Iowa and at one point she accused DeSantis of "lying" with the ads.

"Look, DeSantis is desperate. He's lying because he's losing," she said.

Haley and DeSantis have been battling it out for a distant second to Trump in most national polls.

The Fight Right Super PAC has ran ads bringing up past comments from Haley about Hillary Clinton, calling the former first lady and secretary of state the "reason" Haley entered politics.

"We know her as Crooked Hillary, but to Nikki Haley, shes her role model, the reason she ran for office," one ad says.

Baier and MacCallum asked Haley about the ads and her past comments on Clinton, and Haley did admit she chose to enter politics after sitting through a Hillary Clinton speech.

"I never said Hillary Clinton was an inspiration," she said. "What I said when I was talking to a group of women who were looking at running for office, I said the same thing about her that I said about Sarah Palin and that is when I was looking to run, everybody told me I couldn't do it. They said you're too young. You have small children. You should start at the school board level."

Haley added, "I have never agreed with a single thing Hillary Clinton has ever said and I said that too, but Ron forgot to put that in the ad."

Haley recalled seeing a Clinton speech when she was considering running for office.

"She ended it by saying for every reason they tell you not to run that's exactly the reason you should," Haley said about Clinton.

The ad takes quotes from Haley during a speech to Women & Politics Institute at American University in 2020 and does not include Haley criticizing Clinton.

Haley has recounted the Clinton story on multiple occasions, including in a 2012 New York Times interview.

Read the original post:
Nikki Haley Hits Back at DeSantis PAC Claim Hillary Clinton Was Her 'Inspiration': 'He's Lying Because He's Losing' - The Messenger

Photo: Davidoff Studios Photography/Getty Images

For weeks, speculation has been building about which famous and powerful figures would be tarnished by the Jeffrey Epstein scandal when court documents from a years-old case related to the disgraced financier were made public. And while Epsteins black book contained a staggering number of A-listers and high-society pals, perhaps the biggest question surrounding the court documents unsealing is what they reveal about Donald Trump.

They hype escalated on the afternoon of January 3, when Mark Epstein said that three years before his brother died in jail while awaiting trial on sex-trafficking charges, he told him he knew secrets that could blow up the presidential election between Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Heres a direct quote: If I said what I know about both candidates, theyd have to cancel the election. Thats what Jeffrey told me in 2016, Mark Epstein told the New York Post.

Wild stuff! But of course, Mark Epstein said he doesnt know what information his brother was referring to. And while Trump and Bill Clinton (who have both denied any Epstein-related wrongdoing) are both mentioned in the court documents that were made public hours later, there was nothing that could have upended a previous presidential race or Trumps current reelection bid.

But questions about Trumps ties to Epstein persist, as the convicted sex offender is now a conspiracy theory fixture, and more court records are set to be released in the coming days and weeks. Heres a running list of revelations from the newly unsealed documents, and what weve already learned about Trumps friendship with Epstein.

.

The newly unsealed documents are from Virginia Roberts Giuffres settled 2015 defamation lawsuit against Epsteins former girlfriend Ghislane Maxwell, who is currently serving a 20-year prison termfor trafficking women and girls for Epstein to sexually abuse. Giuffre is one of dozens of women, some as young as 14, whom Epstein allegedly abused.

Some documents were blacked out or sealed when the suit was settled in 2017 over privacy concerns. But in December 2023, federal Judge Loretta Preska ruled that most of the records would be made public, as most of the names were already public. The first 40 exhibits, totaling 943 pages, were released on January 3, 2024. (Read about the other figures listed in the new Epstein documents here.)

.

In short: not much. His name is mentioned only four times, in a May 2016 deposition of Johanna Sjoberg, one of Epsteins alleged victims, who said she was around him from 2001 to 2006.

Sjoberg said that while flying on one of Epsteins planes, they made an unplanned stop in Atlantic City and went to one of Trumps casinos. She recalled that when she relayed the pilots message that theyd need to land in New Jersey, Jeffrey said, Great, well call up Trump and well go to I dont recall the name of the casino, but well go to the casino.

Later, Sjoberg said she never gave Trump a massage.

.

Trump began palling around with Epstein in the late 80s but the depth of their friendship is a subject of debate.

Footage unearthed by NBC News in 2019 shows the two men joking around and ogling women during a party at Trumps Mar-a-Lago resort in 1992.

Trump and Epstein were also photographed together in 1992 and 1997. The now famous image below shows Trump and then-girlfriend Melania Knauss partying with Epstein and Maxwell at Mar-a-Lago on February 12, 2000.

Photo: Davidoff Studios Photography/Getty Images

In 2002, the mogul told New York, Ive known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. Hes a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it Jeffrey enjoys his social life.

On January 3, Trumps spokesperson Steven Cheung offered a terse statement on the new document release, telling Newsweek that any claims about Trumps relationship with Epstein were thoroughly debunked.

In 2016 a woman who went by the pseudonyms Katie Johnson and Jane Doe in legal filings accused Trump of raping her in 1994, when she was 13, during an orgy held at Epsteins home in Manhattan. She accused Epstein of raping her as well.

Three suits were filed over the same allegations; the first was dismissed for failure to properly state a claim the other two were voluntarily dismissed. The third case was withdrawn just days before the 2016 election, and the accuser canceled a press conference at the last minute. Her attorney, Lisa Bloom, said the woman had received death threats and She has decided she is too afraid to show her face She is in terrible fear.

The circumstances around the case were bizarre, as Vox summarized at the time:

It was the end of an incredibly strange case that featured an anonymous plaintiff who had refused almost all requests for interviews, two anonymous corroborating witnesses whom no one in the press had spoken to, and a couple of seriously shady characters with an anti-Trump agenda and a penchant for drama who had aggressively shopped the story around to media outlets for over a year.

Those shady characters a former reality TV producer who calls himself Al Taylor and a Never Trump conservative activist named Steve Baer had been mostly unsuccessful in getting the media to bite. There are a few very good reasons for that, which the Huffington Posts Ryan Grim succinctlysummed up: Taylor and Baer have beenreally sketchyabout the whole thing, and since the accuser is anonymous, journalists cant do anything to verify her claims. The only journalist who has actually interviewed Johnson,Emily Shugermanat Revelist, came away confused and even doubting whether Johnson really exists.

Trump has been accused of sexual misconduct by more than 20 other women over the years; those women were not underage and their allegations did not involve Epstein. In May 2023 a federal jury found Trump civilly liable for sexually abusing E. Jean Carroll in the mid-1990s, and for defaming her when he denied her rape allegation in 2022. He was ordered to pay Carroll $5 million in damages, and is currently appealing the verdict.

.

Trump has claimed that he and Epstein had a falling out years before the financier was first arrested in Palm Beach in 2005, after he was accused of paying a 14-year-old girl for sex. (Though dozens of other underage girls accused Epstein of sexual abuse at the time, through a 2008 plea deal he served only 13 months in jail in a work-release program).

There are reports that a battle over a choice Palm Beach property ended the friendship, but its unclear what exactly came between the two men. Days after Epstein was arrested on federal sex-trafficking charges in 2019, Trump downplayed their relationship while speaking to reporters in the Oval Office. He said he merely knew him like everybody in Palm Beach knew him, adding, I had a falling out with him. I havent spoken to him in 15 years. I was not a fan of his, that I can tell you.

.

During an August 2023 interview Tucker Carlson asked Trump if he believes that Epstein killed himself in jail. I dont know, said Trump, who seemed more interested in bashing his former attorney general Bill Barr. After more prodding from Carlson, Trump said he thinks its possible that Epstein was killed, but I think he probably committed suicide.

Life with beautiful homes, beautiful everything, and all of a sudden hes incarcerated and not doing well, Trump said. A lot of people think he was killed. He knew a lot on a lot of people. Carlson confirmed hes among those who believe Epstein was killed, and Trump replied that a case could be made either way.

This post has been updated.

Daily news about the politics, business, and technology shaping our world.

By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Notice and to receive email correspondence from us.

More here:
What the Jeffrey Epstein Documents Reveal About Donald Trump - New York Magazine