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GOP mulls how to make its Afghanistan oversight matter – POLITICO

Yet Afghanistan is a far trickier oversight for the Republican Party than the base-pleasing topics of border security or the Biden family. Thats because, as even some GOP lawmakers acknowledge, its not clear whether the 2021 pullout still resonates with voters.

Americans want their pizzas in 30 minutes, and thats about our attention span, said Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.), a member of the Foreign Affairs Committee. The average American, theyve moved on.

The trouble with this bunch up here, in both parties, Burchett added, is that it takes them too dadgum long to get to issues.

Indeed, the Afghanistan withdrawal is rarely acknowledged by the conservative media. Its a stark difference from the 2012 attacks on U.S. officials in Libya that metastasized into a GOP-fueled investigation into then-presidential frontrunner Hillary Clinton.

And even as McCaul pledged to hold State Department chief Antony Blinken in contempt over the withholding of an internal dissent cable a document that details concerns from officials who objected to the withdrawal some of his GOP colleagues are openly skeptical that his work will change any minds.

The political points have all been scored, Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.) said in an interview. All you had to do was turn on the television. The American people know it was a debacle, but I think theyd like to understand the decision-making process leading up to it.

Look at any of the polls. You dont even see it, Rep. Gregory Meeks said of the Afghanistan exit in an interview.|Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo

McCaul said in an interview that he views his Afghanistan oversight as a federal prosecutor might, vowing that Im not trying to score political points here. His Democratic counterpart atop the committee, Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-N.Y.), countered that the investigation is part of a broader strategy by Speaker Kevin McCarthy to make Afghanistan matter in the 2024 elections.

And Meeks predicted that it would end in disappointment for the GOP.

Look at any of the polls. You dont even see it, Meeks said of the Afghanistan exit in an interview. Its a blip on the screen. Its not even there. This is just something that I think that the Republicans are doing.

Democrats on both sides of the Capitol agree, saying its unlikely Republicans will be able to use their investigations to unearth new and significant enough information about withdrawal of troops, arguing that the facts of what happened are already well-established.

It is not a type of situation where things are not known, said Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.), a senior member of the Foreign Relations Committee. We know what happened. Can we do things better? Did we learn from the experience? Absolutely. It was a chaotic ending. We know that. But the cards were dealt by previous administrations, not by this administration.

California Rep. Ted Lieu, a member of House Democratic leadership, all but shrugged at the Afghanistan probe describing himself as certainly fine with evaluating the withdrawal but noting that foreign policy issues rarely affect the national political landscape.

The election next year will be won by Democrats and its not going to be very complicated. There will be one issue: abortion, he said.

Public polling has been limited since the U.S. withdrawal. An August 2021 poll from Pew Research found a solid majority of respondents approved of the decision to remove troops from Afghanistan, even as they critiqued Bidens handling of the situation. That survey found 69 percent of Americans believe the U.S. failed in achieving its goals in Afghanistan.

An October 2022 poll ahead of the midterms by Pew found foreign policy listed as the 12th most important issue to voters, behind topics such as the economy, violent crime and abortion. It found 54 percent of people considered the broader topic of foreign policy very important to their midterm vote.

That may be part of whats driving the sense among even some Republicans that, while many in the party see investigations as important, theyre unlikely to fundamentally alter how voters already view the issues at hand.

Im not convinced that really youve got the American public fixated on any of these investigations, said Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska). Nobody back home is asking me about any of these.

Other rank-and-file Republicans say the emotional toll of the chaotic withdrawal continues to arise regularly when theyre at home, predicting that any new revelations through their investigations would resonate with Americans broadly.

Its still a question I get not just from veterans. Not just from Gold Star families, but I get it frequently from people all the time, Rep. Brian Mast (R-Fla.), who suffered severe injuries while serving in Afghanistan, said. Theres so many different ways that people come about that conversation.

Its a conversation continuing in real time in the halls of Congress. McCaul worked for months to view the State Department dissent cable, subpoenaing Blinken for it in March. Efforts to get hands on the cable began in August 2021, when Meeks still chaired the foreign affairs panel.

The State Department relented on Wednesday and offered to let McCaul and Meeks view the document at its headquarters and with personal information redacted.

McCaul responded in a Thursday letter that he would pause efforts to enforce the subpoena and accepted an offer to view the documents as soon as possible, but said he would insist on the Department allowing other Members to review the dissent cable and response.

He, along with House Armed Services Committee Chair Mike Rogers (R-Ala.), also sent a letter Thursday to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley seeking information about the 2021 terrorist attack outside Kabul airport that resulted in the deaths of 13 U.S. service members and approximately 170 Afghan civilians.

And McCaul isnt alone in conducting oversight on the Afghan withdrawal. A House Oversight Committee spokesperson described a recent hearing with inspectors general as the first in a series of hearings the committee will have to examine President Bidens botched withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Chairman [James] Comer has made it clear that he will continue to work to hold this Administration accountable for the disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal, safeguard taxpayer dollars from waste, fraud, and abuse, and provide the American people answers, the panel spokesperson added.

But as far as McCauls concerned, hes in the drivers seat. The Oversight panel knows that were kind of taking the lead moving forward with this, he said. Its understood.

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GOP mulls how to make its Afghanistan oversight matter - POLITICO

Jake Sullivan served on a national security board with Hunter Biden for 2 years, raising questions from GOP – Fox News

Hunter Biden and President Bidens national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, served together on the board of the Truman National Security Project, a liberal foreign policy think tank, for roughly two years before Sullivan joined the presidents campaign in 2020.

Hunter, who started serving on the board in 2012, and Sullivan both served on the Washington-based nonprofits board between 2017 and early 2019, according to internet archives captured by the Wayback Machine.

During that time, Hunter was also serving on the board of Ukrainian energy company Burisma Holdings and the Chinese private equity fund BHR Partners. The federal investigation into Hunter's foreign business dealings, which is still ongoing, also launched during the same time frame in 2018.

Prior to joining theTruman National Security Project, Sullivan served as then-Vice President Bidens national security adviser in the Obama administration, where he traveled to multiple countries with the elder Biden, including China.

A video from the Obama administration's archived website shows Sullivan was on the same infamous Asia trip where Hunter Biden and his daughter accompanied then-Vice President Biden on Air Force Two. During the China portion of the trip, Hunter arranged a brief handshake in the U.S. delegation's hotel lobby between his father and Jonathan Li, Hunter's Chinese business partner who ran the Chinese private-equity fund Bohai Capital. Less than two weeks after Biden arrived in China, BHR Partners was registered.

HUNTER BIDEN'S BUSINESS PARTNERS, ASSISTANTS VISITED WHITE HOUSE OVER 80 TIMES WHEN BIDEN WAS VP

President Biden's National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan (Left) and Hunter Biden (Right) (Getty Images)

Sullivan also had multiple roles with Hillary Clinton, including chief foreign policy adviser during her failed 2016 presidential campaign and deputy chief of staff when she was secretary of state, where he traveled to 112 countries with her.

During the Clinton campaign, Sullivan notoriously pushed the Trump-Russia collusion narrative to reporters. He told members of the House Intelligence committee in a December 2017 interview that prior to the 2016 election he briefed reporters on his suspicions.

"[B]asically we sat with them and walked through what we understood to be the case from in terms of the DNC hack and leak, what we believed to be the case with respect to Russian involvement," Sullivan said, "and then what we thought the upshot of this was, which is you now have the start of a much more aggressive phase of an intelligence-led operation by foreign power, and there's likely to be more as we go forward, and people should really pay attention to this."

Sullivan went on to say he questioned why Russia would want to get involved. He first recognized that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Clinton "didn't have the greatest of relationships" but then outlined for reporters his reasons for suspecting Trump's campaign.

BLINKEN AND WIFE EMAILED FREQUENTLY WITH HUNTER BIDEN, RAISING QUESTIONS ABOUT ROLE IN LAPTOP COVER STORY

Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., on Thursday accused Sullivan of repeatedly lying to the American people and called for his immediate resignation.

"Jake Sullivan has a lot to answer for," Hawley, who sits on the Senate Judiciary Committee,told Fox News Digital. "He has repeatedly lied for perceived political gain whether that be about the Russia Collusion hoax or the Hunter Biden laptop. And now hes Bidens national security adviser? He should resign immediately."

Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., grills Colleen Shogan, nominee to be Archivist of the United States, about her twitter feed during her confirmation hearing in the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee in Washington on Tuesday, February 28, 2023. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Sen. Marsha Blackburn, R-Tenn., another Judiciary Committee member, accused Sullivan of leading the effort to "push the Trump-Russia collusion hoax."

"Jake Sullivan led the effort to push the Trump-Russia collusion hoax as a top advisor to the Clinton campaign, and encouraged the mainstream media to smear Hillarys political opponent," she told Fox News Digital. "Given his history serving with Hunter Biden and working for the Biden campaign, it would not be surprising if Jake Sullivan was also involved in attempts to discredit Hunter Bidens laptop."

"This is yet another troubling data point that affirms why an independent counsel needs to be appointed to ensure a fair and thorough investigation," Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., also a Judiciary Committee member, told Fox News Digital.

"Its obvious that there is a connection between Hunter Biden and Jake Sullivan when they previously served on the board of the Truman National Security Project," added Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., who sits on theCommittee ofOversight and Accountability.

"As we are continuing to investigate the Biden family, it comes as no shock that Hunter Biden keeps colluding with foreign countries and asks for help trying to cover up his mess, using his dads appointees to help him in the process," she said. "The Durham Report was right the FBI should have never investigated the Trump campaign. Although, its obvious who they should investigate instead: the Biden crime family."

White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan served as a foreign policy adviser for the Clinton campaign. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)

Fox News Digital asked the White House if Sullivan ever discussed Burisma, BHR Partners, or any other business matters with Hunter, or whether Sullivan played any role in orchestrating the public statement signed by intelligence officials during the 2020 election claiming Hunters laptop was part of a Russian disinformation campaign.

The White House did not respond to Fox News Digital's inquiry.

HUNTER BIDENS CLOSE RELATIONSHIP WITH HIS DADS NEW CAMPAIGN CO-CHAIR REVEALED IN LAPTOP EMAILS

Sullivan served as a foreign policy adviseron Bidens 2020 campaign alongside now-Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who has been accused of playing a role in orchestrating the since-debunked letter that critics say helped shape the outcome of the election.

Former CIA Deputy Director Michael Morell testified to the House Judiciary and Intelligence Committees last month that Blinken, as President Bidens then-campaign senior adviser, "played a role in the inception" of the statement, which Blinken has denied.

Fox News Digital recently reported Blinken and his wife, Evan Ryan, were in communication with Hunter several times throughout the Obama-Biden administration. In July 2015, Hunter met with Blinken at his State Department office.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Hunter Biden (Getty Images)

Sullivan was recently accused by former White House official Mike McCormick of being a "conspirator" in the Biden family's "kickback scheme" in Ukraine when Biden was vice president.

McCormick, who worked as a stenographer for the White House for 15 years, accused Biden funneling money overseas to "enrich" himself and his family and using his own influence to aid his son's rookie energy career.

Sullivan denied the allegations, telling reporters that he had nothing to do with such an operation.

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Fox News'Anders Hagstrom, Thomas Barrabi and Bailee Hill contributed to this report.

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Jake Sullivan served on a national security board with Hunter Biden for 2 years, raising questions from GOP - Fox News

GOP investigation into Biden missing informant and evidence – USA TODAY

While the committee members find their informant and assemble what Im sure will be mountains of evidence detailing Bidens crime-doing, lets consider past GOP promises that have worked out great.

House GOP reveals new details in alleged Biden family dealings

Rep. James Comer released new details on the investigation into allegations the Biden family received millions of dollars from foreign entities.

Wochit, Wochit

Ive got great news: President Joe Biden is for sure going to prison!

How do I know this? Because Republican lawmakers on the House Oversight Committee have said they have an airtight case against Biden, and theyll get down to the business of imprisoning him just as soon as they locate their key informant, whom they now say is missing.

Unfortunately, we cant track down the informant, GOP Rep. James Comer told Fox News on Sunday. Were hopeful that the informant is still there.

Were all very hopeful! And we certainly have no reason to doubt Republican claims of vast criminal wrongdoing by Biden. Just last week, the oversight committee released a preliminary report on its four-month-long investigation that showed, definitively, what Fox News Steve Doocy described as no evidence that Joe Biden did anything illegally.

GOTCHA, SLEEPY JOE! We all know what criminal masterminds like Biden are best at: Not leaving evidence that shows they did anything illegally. Checkmate.

Opinion alerts: Get columns from your favorite columnists + expert analysis on top issues, delivered straight to your device through the USA TODAY app. Don't have the app? Download it for free from your app store.

While the committee members try to locate their informant, who is definitely a real human person who exists, and assemble what Im sure will be mountains of evidence detailing Bidens crime-doing, lets consider past Republican promises that have worked out great.

Trump town hall shows he hasn't changed: CNN town hall audience laughs at sexual assault as Trump reminds us how awful he is

On Monday, special counsel John Durham released a report detailing his four-year investigation into the investigators who investigated former President Donald Trump and Russian interference in the 2016 election. Trump himself had promised Durhams work would reveal the crime of the century.

In February of last year, Trump told Fox News: "Durham is also coming up with things far bigger than anybody thought possible. Nobody ever thought a thing like this would be even discussed, let alone an act like this committed.

The things nobody ever thought would be discussed were apparently so much bigger than anyone thought possible that Durhams four-year investigation yielded a whopping two acquittals and one guilty plea resulting in a former FBI lawyer getting sentenced to one-year of probation. Undoubtedly the libs will think twice before again committing the crime of the century.

Durhams report also SLAMMED the FBI and the Justice Department, saying: This report does not recommend any wholesale changes in the guidelines and policies that the Department and FBI now have in place to ensure proper conduct and accountability in how counterintelligence activities are carried out. KA-BOOM!

By comparison, what did the two-year investigation led by Special Counsel Robert Mueller yield? A measly 34 people indicted, leading to seven guilty pleas and five prison sentences. And the people sentenced included total no-names like Trumps 2016 campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, longtime Trump attorney Michael Cohen and longtime Trump confidant Roger Stone. Michael Flynn, Trumps former national security adviser (is national security adviser even that big a deal???), pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI, but was pardoned by Trump prior to sentencing.

Basically, a total nothing-burger.

From horseback to Twitter: Washington did it on horseback, Obama on social media: How presidents connect with the public

So Biden had better be shaking in his loafers right now, because hes about to join the likes of Hillary Clinton behind bars. (I realize the her in Lock her up! remains decidedly not locked up, but Im sure it will happen any day now. Those chants couldnt have all been for nothing.)

And lets not forget the impeachment, criminal prosecution and locking up of former President Barack Obama, whose many crimes were vaguely detailed over and over by Republicans on Fox News. Im confident the justice they claimed would surely come for Obama will be coming any minute now, unless its out there hiding alongside the House Oversight Committees Biden informant. (Has anyone checked to see if theyre in Hunter Bidens laptop? Definitely the first place Id look.)

Anyway, we know Republicans under Trump promised to do away with Obamacare, and that is a thing that for sure happened. Also, Trump built the border wall and Mexico paid for it just ask him.

Indisputable evidence the 2020 election was rigged will be coming out any day now, presumably alongside the Obamacare-replacement health-care plan Trump promised to deliver in two weeks sometime in 2020 and many times thereafter.

Clearly, Republicans are on a winning streak, as evidenced by Trump winning the last presidential election and the GOP Red Wave sweeping America in the 2022 midterm elections. So President Biden has ample reason to be concerned about this VERY SERIOUS Republican investigation into nefarious things they want to believe he did.

While the committees expansive preliminary report shows that Biden family members made lots of money from a variety of foreign sources while Biden was vice president, it fails to make any allegation that Biden or any relative committed a crime.

In other words: Republicans have Biden right where they want him! You never specify the crimes a person is guilty of you just allege they are guilty of those crimes and let peoples imagination do the rest.

Republican Sen. Ron Johnson explained as much on Fox News: You have to infer these things, youre not gonna get necessarily get hard proof.

Enjoy your final days in office, President Biden, for you will soon be presumed convicted of a multitude of criminal presumptions based on conceptualized evidence wished into existence.

All courtesy of todays Republican Party, which never lets facts get in the way of imagined victory.

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The Republican Party has become the very cancel culture it pretends to rail against

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GOP investigation into Biden missing informant and evidence - USA TODAY

Bill Clinton claims he knew Russia would invade Ukraine more than a decade ago after chilling confrontation with Putin – Fortune

The scale of destruction in Ukraine is a scene millions of people across the world never saw comingbut a former President of the United States said he feared a Russian invasion would one day come.

Bill Clinton, the U.S.s 42nd president, recalled at a New York conference this week the moment he realized Russian president Vladimir Putin had designs to take over its neighbor.

Appearing alongside his wife Hillary at an event in New York, Clinton said Putin confronted him over a deal made with former Russian president Boris Yeltsin.

The U.S.-brokered deal saw Russia pledge to respect Ukrainian territory in exchange for Kyiv relinquishing its nuclear power.

Clinton said Putin told him in 2011 he didnt agree with the deal: He saidI dont agree with it. And I do not support it. And I am not bound by it. And I knew from that day forward it was just a matter of time.

It is not the first time Clinton has reflected on the deal made in 1994. In April he revealed he has a personal stake in the Ukraine war, as he felt terrible for his part in persuading the country to give up its nuclear weapons.

The agreement also set the stage for Ukraines later inclusion in the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) as a non-nuclear-weapon state.

Clinton told Irish broadcaster RTE: None of them [Ukrainians] believed that Russia would have pulled this stunt if Ukraine still had their weapons.

Clintons mistrust of Putin was echoed by his wife Hillary, the presidential hopeful of 2016 who was defeated by Donald Trump.

[Putin] is in what he views as a righteous struggle to undermine Western democracy and reinstitute, as much as he can, the Russian empire, she said. So hes not going to stop.

During their appearance, the Financial Times reported, the pair urged Western forces to continue to support Ukraine.

Its an argument Hillary Clinton has made in the past, telling nonprofit Vital Voices: I think we need to be very clear in sending a message to Putin that were going to do everything we can to make sure he does not succeed in Ukraine.

And, at some point, given the losses in his military, given the losses of his military leadership, given the turmoil within his intelligence and security forces, because they told him what he wanted to hear, and it didnt work out, I think that theres more to be seen about what happens inside the Kremlin as this unfolds.

Hillary argued that to bring the issue to a close, Ukraine must either defeat its invaders or at least regain the eastern territories it lost last year.

They need leverage. I wouldnt trust him [Putin] at a negotiating table under any circumstances, unless Ukrainiansbacked by ushave enough leverage, she said.

Hillary also believes the Wests support of Ukraine has deterred a similar move by Chinese President Xi Jinping: invading Taiwan.

If Putin had invaded Ukraine without consequence, it would have emboldened Ji, she said. Instead, he witnessed sanctions on Russia: I think before the Russian invasion, there was a good chance he would have moved on Taiwan within two to three years. I think that timetable has been pushed back.

It was a sentiment echoed this week by Robert OBrien, a former national security adviserto the Trump administration.

He told Japanese newspaper the Yomiuri Shimbun he believes China intends to invade Taiwan within a year or two, and that the U.S. and Japan need to be proactive in offering support.

If the U.S. and its allies do not provide Taiwan with the weapons it needs to defend itself, and give it the diplomatic muscle that Taiwan needs to prevent the Chinese from believing that they can invade Taiwan without consequence, we could be in a very dangerous situation in Taiwan, he warned.

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Bill Clinton claims he knew Russia would invade Ukraine more than a decade ago after chilling confrontation with Putin - Fortune

Hillary Clinton makes a thin Ukraine-Taiwan connection – Washington Examiner

Increasingly in Washington, the question is not whether Chinas Peoples Liberation Army will invade Taiwan its when.

Ask three different people about when it will happen, and you will get three different answers. Earlier this year, retired Indo-Pacific Commander Adm. Philip Davidson reiterated his earlier assessment that China could launch military action in 2027. Gen. Mike Minihan, the commander of U.S. Air Mobility Command, made a splash in January when he sent a memo to his officers that the U.S. could be at war with the PLA within two years. Adm. Mike Gilday, the chief of naval operations, was even starker in his own projection last fall: The Chinese could give the go order in 2022 or potentially 2023.

Now, Hillary Clinton is getting into the game.

AS CHINA'S AGGRESSION GROWS, US ALLIES REASSESS SECURITY IN THE INDO-PACIFIC REGION

During a discussion in New York City, the former secretary of state claimed that Chinas Xi Jinping could have ordered a strike on Taiwan in two to three years. But, she said, "I think that time table has been pushed back." She cited the Russian military's poor performance in Ukraine as a reason why Xi may be having second thoughts about starting his own war.

Is Clinton right?

Anything is possible. Xi can read the room at least as well as any other foreign leader, and its within the realm of possibility that Vladimir Putins disaster of an invasion scared him away from a Taiwan invasion or pushed him to slow down his original plans. Still, objectively speaking, a Taiwan contingency wouldnt look very similar to how Russia is prosecuting its war in Ukraine anyway. The most basic reason is geography. Ukraine is a large landmass in the middle of Europe, sharing a land border with a belligerent in Russia. Taiwan is an island roughly 100 miles east of China's coast, with rocky beaches that would make an already complicated, large-scale amphibious operation even more difficult.

The Russian army didnt have to worry about rolling over the Ukrainian border with their tanks and armored personnel carriers; in fact, Russian troops made rapid gains across Ukrainian territory during the first few days of the invasion (until they were bogged down in the suburbs outside Kyiv). The PLA wouldnt have the luxury of simply stepping over a border and making a beeline toward the capital. Instead, Beijing would be forced to mount an extraordinarily complex naval operation across a wide Taiwan Strait and hope its troops and sailors could establish a beachhead on the Taiwanese coast, assuming, of course, they can cut through the sea mines and coastal defenses the Taiwanese would no doubt set up in advance.

There's more.

Even if the Chinese were able to establish a beachhead stronghold, the work would be far from over. The PLA would need continuously to protect and sustain a lengthy (and exposed) supply-line network that would be exposed to strikes from the air, all while PLA troops would be fighting Taiwanese resistance on land. All of this would be a tough feat to pull off for an experienced military, let alone one such as Chinas that hasnt fought a conflict in more than four decades.

None of this even begins to account for the nonmilitary responses, such as financial sanctions and comprehensive export controls, the U.S., Europe, Japan, South Korea, and possibly Southeast Asia would enact in retaliation for an invasion. Xi could kiss his "rejuvenation" campaign goodbye (although it should be noted that these measures would also have terrible repercussions on the U.S. and world economies, so none of this should be taken lightly).

Did Russias headaches in Ukraine serve as a come-to-Jesus moment for Xi? Maybe. But one suspects that a war occurring thousands of miles away is far less significant to Xis calculus than the PLAs ability actually to carry out a Taiwan invasion in the first place. In fact, Ukraine may not even be on the list.

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Daniel DePetris (@DanDePetris) is a contributor to theWashington Examiner'sBeltway Confidential blog. His opinions are his own.

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Hillary Clinton makes a thin Ukraine-Taiwan connection - Washington Examiner