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Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush: Who do millionaires prefer for 2016?

(L-R) Former Gov. Jeb Bush, R-Florida, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Getty

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was the top choice for president in 2016 among an online panel of 500 millionaires surveyed by CNBC in November.

Thirty-one percent of the millionaires polled said they would elect Clinton, who would be the instant frontrunner for the Democratic nomination if she decides to run. That includes 72 percent of the Democratic millionaires surveyed, 23 percent of independent millionaires, and even 5 percent of Republican millionaires.

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CBS News political director John Dickerson joins Jeff Glor to discuss potential 2016 presidential candidates.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, a Republican, was the second choice overall, winning the support of 18 percent of the millionaires surveyed. Among Republican millionaires in the poll, Bush was the clear favorite, with 36 percent throwing their support behind the former governor. Bush has said he's weighing a 2016 bid and will decide whether or not to run after the beginning of the new year.

Gov. Chris Christie, R-New Jersey, also posted a respectable showing. Fourteen percent of the millionaires surveyed said they would like to see Christie in the Oval Office, including 19 percent of Republicans, and 19 percent of independents.

Even Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Massachusetts, who has built a reputation with her populist crusade crusade against income inequality, garnered a not-insignificant pool of support from the wealthy respondents. Eight percent of the millionaires surveyed said they'd like to see Warren win in 2016, including 14 percent of Democrats and 10 percent of independents.

CNBC's numbers were based on an online panel survey of 500 people with investable assets exceeding $1 million. The panel, CNBC notes, is "representative of the affluent population in the United States." Results compiled from the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.33 percent.

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Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush: Who do millionaires prefer for 2016?

Survey: Hillary Clinton top 2016 pick for millionaires

By Dan Merica, CNN

updated 2:22 PM EST, Wed December 10, 2014

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Washington (CNN) -- Millionaires are ready for Hillary.

According to a CNBC survey, Hillary Clinton -- with 31% support -- would be the top choice for people with "investable assets of $1 million or more" if the 2016 election were held today.

Clinton is followed by former Republican Gov. Jeb Bush with 18%, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie with 14% and Vermont Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders with 11%.

In the poll, CNBC notes that "people with investable assets of $1 million or more" make up the top 8% of American households and their poll was "evenly split between Democrats, Republicans and Independents."

Among Democrats, Clinton's lead is massive, with 72% of the 500 people polled stating they support the former first lady. Bush, likewise, is the top choice for Republican millionaires with 36% support.

Despite the fact that millionaire supporters have outsized influence because of campaign contributions and donations to super PACS, this distinction could be one Clinton doesn't want.

Since she last ran 0for president, the Democratic Party has become more populist and in order to win in 2016, many political experts see her needed to reconnect with middle and working class voters. The party has also been overtaken by skepticism of Wall Street and, in some cases, wealth, meaning having the backing of a majority of millionaires may not be a badge of honor in 2016.

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Survey: Hillary Clinton top 2016 pick for millionaires

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USA: "Law enforcement need retraining after Ferguson" – Hillary Clinton – Video


USA: "Law enforcement need retraining after Ferguson" - Hillary Clinton
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USA: "Law enforcement need retraining after Ferguson" - Hillary Clinton - Video

Hillary Clinton is the ultimate Washington insider. Thats not necessarily a bad thing.

If there's one thing we learned in the last few elections, it's that people hate Washington. And being associated with Washington is a huge political liability.

Right?Well, maybe not.

Witness this data from Bloomberg's latest poll. The poll asked people about several aspects of Hillary Clinton's resume, and whether they thought each was a plus or a minus.

Almost all of these statementsare some variation on Clinton being a D.C. insider. And Clinton gets positive marks on eachof them.She even gets positive marks for "She has close ties to Wall Street," which is a statement that could just as easily appear in an attack ad against Hillary Clinton.

Clinton's best marks, in fact, are on the only statement actually mentioning Washington: "She has lived in Washington and worked in the federal government"; 78 percent say that's an advantage, versus just 20 percent who said it's a disadvantage.And despite President Obama's approval rating being around 40 percent, about six in 10 Americans say Clinton's work in the Obama administration is a good thing for her.

(Caveat alert: Some people will argue that saying something is an "advantage" for Clinton isn't the same as saying youapprove ofit that it's more a statement of political analysis than personal preference. That might be, but we doubt the answers would be significantly different if it was the latter question.)

Clinton's overall favorable rating in the poll, we would point out, is 52 percent. In other words, plenty of people who otherwise don't really like her think her lengthy career in government and insider status is a feather in her cap rather than a liability.

Those numbers call into question whether it's really a bad thing to be a "Washington insider."We suspect it is a bad thing when the candidates aren't very well-known. In that case, voting for the non-Washington candidate is the easiest way to show your contempt for Congress.

When it's businessman David Perdue versus Congressman Jack Kingston in the Georgia GOP Senate runoff, that "congressman" label probably isn't helpful to people who don't really know Kingston.(We have made this argument before in regards to whether the Republican Party would actually nominate a confirmed tea partier for president. We were dubious.)

When it comes to someone like Clinton, though, it's hard to argue that her being a Washington insider or even a Clinton, for that matter is a massive problem for her.

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Hillary Clinton is the ultimate Washington insider. Thats not necessarily a bad thing.