1 Melvyn    Leffler, Confronting Saddam Hussein: George W. Bush and the    Invasion of Iraq (New York: Oxford University Press,    2023); and Samuel Helfont, Iraq Against the World: Saddam,    America, and the Post-Cold War Order (New York: Oxford    University Press, 2023). See also Marjorie Gallelli, Its Been    Twenty Years Time for Historians to Turn to Iraq,    Passport 54, no. 1 (April 2023): 63,     https://shafr.org/system/files/passport-04-2023-last-word.pdf.  
    2 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam Hussein; Frederic Bozo, A    History of the Iraq Crisis: France, the United States, and    Iraq, 1991-2003 (Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center    Press, 2016); Alexandre Debs and Nuno Monteiro, Known    Unknowns: Power Shifts, Uncertainty, and War,    International Organization 68, no. 1 (Winter 2014):    131, https://www.jstor.org/stable/43282094;    Ivo Daalder and James Lindsay, America Unbound: The Bush    Revolution in Foreign Policy (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2005);    Peter Hahn, Missions Accomplished?: The United States and    Iraq Since World War I (New York: Oxford University Press,    2012); Hakan Tunc, What Was It All About After All? The Causes    of the Iraq War, Contemporary Security Policy 26, no.    5 (2005): 33555, https://doi.org/10.1080/12523260500190492;    Steve Yetiv, The Iraq War of 2003: Why Did the United States    Decide to Invade, in The Middle East and the United    States: History, Politics, and Ideologies, 6th ed., ed.    David Lesch and Mark Haas (New York: Routledge, 2018), 25374;    and Ron Suskind, The One Percent Doctrine: Deep Inside    Americas Pursuit of Its Enemies since 9/11 (New York:    Simon & Schuster, 2006).  
    3 Ahsan Butt,    Why Did the United States Invade Iraq in 2003? Security    Studies 28, no. 2 (2019): 25085, https://doi.org/10.1080.09636412.2019.1551567;    Andrew Bacevich, Americas War for the Greater Middle East:    A Military History (New York: Random House, 2016); Jeffrey    Record, Wanting War: Why the Bush Administration Invaded    Iraq (Lincoln, NE: University of Nebraska Press, 2011);    Frank Harvey, Explaining the Iraq War: Counterfactual    Theory, Logic, and Evidence (New York: Cambridge    University Press, 2012); John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt,    The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy (New York:    Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2007); Paul Pillar,    Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy: Iraq, 9/11, and    Misguided Reform (New York: Columbia University Press,    2011); Patrick Porter, Iraq: A Liberal War After All,    International Politics 55, no. 2 (March 2018): 33448,    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41311-017-0115-z;    Lloyd Gardner, The Long Road to Baghdad: A History of U.S.    Foreign Policy from the 1970s to the Present (New York:    New Press, 2008); Gary Dorrien, Imperial Designs:    Neoconservatism and the New Pax Americana (New York:    Routledge, 2004); Stephen Kinzer, Overthrow: Americas    Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq (New York:    Times Books, 2006); Stephen Wertheim, Iraq and the Pathologies    of Primacy, Foreign Affairs, May/June 2023,     https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/iraq-and-pathologies-primacy;    Michael Desch, Americas Liberal Illiberalism: The Ideological    Origins of Overreaction in U.S. Foreign Policy,    International Security 32, no. 3 (Winter 2007/2008):    743, https://www.jstor.org/stable/30130517;    Daniel Deudney and G. John Ikenberry, Realism, Liberalism, and    the Iraq War, Survival 59, no. 4 (2017): 726,    https://doi.org/10.1080/00396338.2017.1349757;    Jane Cramer and Edward Duggan, In Pursuit of Primacy: Why the    United States Invaded Iraq, in Why Did the United States    Invade Iraq? ed. Jane Cramer and Trevor Thrall (New York:    Routeledge, 2011), 20145.  
    4 Major primary    source collections that scholars have drawn on to analyze U.S.    decision-making on Iraq include the Digital National Security    Archive, the Donald Rumsfeld Papers, U.S. Intelligence in the    Middle East 1945-2009, and the British Iraq Inquiry, also known    as the Chilcott Report.  
    5 Robert    Jervis, Why Intelligence Fails: Lessons from the Iranian    Revolution and the Iraq War (Ithaca, NY: Cornell    University Press, 2010).  
    6 On Iraqi    foreign policy and politics in this era, see Helfont, Iraq    Against the World; Lisa Blaydes, State of Repression:    Iraq Under Saddam Hussein (Princeton, NJ: Princeton    University Press, 2018); David Woods et al., Iraqi    Perspectives Project: A View of Operation Iraqi Freedom from    Saddams Senior Leadership (Norfolk, VA: United States    Joint Forces Command, 2006). On U.N. weapons inspections, see    Malfrid Braut-Hegghammer, Cheaters Dilemma: Iraq, Weapons of    Mass Destruction, and the Path to War, International    Security 45, no. 1 (Summer 2020): 5189, https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00382;    Gregory Koblentz, Saddam Versus the Inspectors: The Impact of    Regime Security on the Verification of Iraqs WMD Disarmament,    Journal of Strategic Studies 41, no. 2 (April 2018):    372409, https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2016.1224764.    On the role of U.S. allies and the United Nations on the road    to war, see David Malone, The International Struggle Over    Iraq: Politics in the U.N. Security Council, 1980-2005    (New York: Oxford University Press, 2006); and Alexander    Thompson, Channels of Power: The U.N. Security Council and    U.S. Statecraft in Iraq (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University    Press, 2010).  
    7 For example,    see Benjamin Miller, Explaining Changes in U.S. Grand    Strategy: 9/11, the Rise of Offensive Liberalism, and the War    in Iraq, Security Studies 19, no. 1 (2010): 2665,    https://doi.org/10.1080/09636410903546426.  
    8 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 248.  
    9 Robert    Jervis, Explaining the War in Iraq, in Why Did the United    States Invade Iraq? ed. Jane Cramer and Trevor Thrall (New    York: Routeledge, 2011), 33.  
    10 Bozo,    History of the Iraq Crisis, 9. See also Tunc, Causes    of the Iraq War, 336.  
    11 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 2840; Jervis, Explaining the    War, 30; and Yetiv, Iraq War of 2003, 40001.  
    12 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 5160; and Hahn, Missions    Accomplished, 14243.  
    13 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 91. See also Jervis, Explaining    the War, 34; Debs and Monteiro, Known Unknowns, 34, 17;    Tunc, Causes of the Iraq War, 339; Yetiv, Iraq War of 2003,    398408; and Philip Gordon and Jeremy Shapiro, Allies at    War: America, Europe, and the Crisis Over Iraq (New York:    McGraw Hill, 2004), 83  
    14 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 15758; and Daalder and Lindsay,    America Unbound, 12023.  
    15 George W.    Bush, Decision Points (New York: Crown, 2010), 228.    See also: Donald Rumsfeld, Known and Unknown: A Memoir    (New York: Sentinel, 2011), 435; Douglas Feith, War and    Decision: Inside the Pentagon at the Dawn of the War on    Terrorism (New York: Harper Collins, 2008), 5152; and    Richard Cheney, In My Time: A Personal and Political    Memoir (New York: Threshold Editions, 2011), 369.  
    16 Jervis,    Why Intelligence Fails, 23; and Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 85, 167.  
    17    Interview with Condoleezza Rice, CNN, Sept. 8, 2002,        https://transcripts.cnn.com/show/le/date/2002-09-08/segment/00.  
    18 Daalder    and Lindsay, America Unbound, 11628; and Yetiv,    Iraq War of 2003, 40102.  
    19 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 98. See also Jervis, Explaining    the War, 30; and Debs and Monteiro, Known Unknowns, 26.  
    20 Tunc,    Causes of the Iraq War, 342.  
    21 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 98.  
    22 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 252.  
    23 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 252. See also Hahn, Missions    Accomplished, 143.  
    24 Jervis,    Explaining the War, 31, 34.  
    25 Melvyn    Leffler, The Foreign Policies of the George W. Bush    Administration: Memoirs, History, Legacy, Diplomatic    History 37, no. 2 (April 2013): 190216, https://www.jstor.org/stable/44254516.  
    26    Condoleezza Rice, No Higher Honor: A Memoir of My Years in    Washington (New York: Crown Publishers, 2011), 121.  
    27 Bush,    Decision Points, 229.  
    28 Rumsfeld,    Known Unknowns, 42224; Rice, No Higher    Honor, 14749; and Feith, War and Decision, 6.  
    29 Bush,    Decision Points, 223; Rice, No Higher Honor,    147; Feith, War and Decision, 181.  
    30 Joseph    Stieb, Confronting the Iraq War: Melvyn Leffler, George Bush,    and the Problem of Trusting Your Sources, War on the    Rocks, Jan. 30, 2023,     https://warontherocks.com/2023/01/confronting-the-iraq-war-melvyn-leffler-george-bush-and-the-problem-of-trusting-your-sources/.  
    31 Scholars    in the realist-hegemony school include: Butt, Invade Iraq,    284; Wertheim, Pathologies of Primacy; Gardner, Long    Road, 23; Dorrien, Imperial Designs, 18182;    Deudney and Ikenberry, Realism, Liberalism, 89; Cramer and    Duggan, Pursuit of Primacy, 20103; Noam Chomsky,    Hegemony or Survival: Americas Quest for Global    Dominance (New York: MacMillan, 2007), 1116; and Steven    Hurst, The United States and Iraq Since 1979    (Edinburgh, UK: Edinburgh University Press, 2009), 1920.  
    32 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 251.  
    33 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 271.  
    34 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 25758, 272.  
    35 Wertheim,    Pathologies of Primacy.  
    36 Deudney    and Ikenberry, Realism, Liberalism, 8.  
    37 Record,    Wanting War, 2425. Record explicitly aligns his    argument with the realist school of international relations.  
    38 James    Bamford, A Pretext for War: 9/11, Iraq, and the Abuse of    Americas Intelligence Agencies (New York: Doubleday,    2004); Wertheim, Pathologies of Power; Kinzer,    Overthrow, 292; Gardner, Long Road, 4; and    Cramer and Duggan, Pursuit of Primacy, 203.  
    39 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 253; Harvey, Explaining the Iraq War,    140; Chomsky, Hegemony or Survival, 14041; Deudney    and Ikenberry, Realism, Liberalism, 18; and Cramer and    Duggan, Pursuit of Primacy, 23037.  
    40 Walt,    Good Intentions, 13, 5464; Andrew Bacevich, The    Age of Illusions: How America Squandered Its Cold War    Victory (New York: Metropolitan Books, 2020) 11011; and    Patrick Porter, The False Promise of Liberal Order    (Medford, MA: Polity Press, 2020), 112.  
    41 Walt,    Good Intentions, 2532; John Mearsheimer, Imperial by    Design, National Interest, no. 11 (January/February    2011): 1619, https://www.jstor.org/stable/42897726;    Bacevich, War for the Greater Middle East: A Military    History (New York: Random House, 2016), 35863; Desch,    Liberal Illiberalism, 79; and Miller, Offensive    Liberalism, 3537.  
    42 Bacevich,    Age of Illusions, 114; Record, Wanting War,    4952; and John Mearsheimer, The Great Delusion: Liberal    Dreams and International Realities (New Haven, CT: Yale    University Press, 2018), 15051.  
    43 On oil    motives, see Michael Klare, Blood For Oil, in Iraq and    Elsewhere, in Why Did the United States Invade Iraq?    ed. Jane Cramer and Trevor Thrall (New York: Routledge, 2011),    129145; and Hurst, United States and Iraq, 29. On    the Israeli alliance as a motive, see Mearsheimer and Walt,    Israel Lobby, 25355. Michael MacDonald effectively    rebuts the arguments that oil and Israel were core motives for    the Iraq War in Overreach: Delusions of Regime Change in    Iraq (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2014),    2426.  
    44 Walt,    Good Intentions, 76, 110; Porter, A Liberal War,    346; and MacDonald, Overreach, 36.  
    45 Porter,    A Liberal War, 34042; Walt, Good Intentions, 6576;    and Pillar, Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy,    2430, 5963.  
    46 The    National Security Strategy of the United States of    America, The White House, September 2002,    introduction, https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/63562.pdf.    For first-hand testimony of Bushs commitment to democracy in    Iraq, see Natan Sharansky, The Case for Democracy: The    Power of Freedom to Overcome Tyranny and Terror (New York:    Public Affairs, 2004), 23944.  
    47 Porter,    A Liberal War, 33942; Desch, Liberal Illiberalism, 2529;    Eric Heinze, The New Utopianism: Liberalism, American Foreign    Policy, and the War in Iraq, Journal of International    Political Theory 4, no. 1 (April 2008): 11617, https://doi.org/10.3366/E1755088208000116.  
    48 George W.    Bush, George Bushs Speech to the American Enterprise    Institute, The Guardian, Feb. 27, 2003, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2003/feb/27/usa.iraq2.  
    49    MacDonald, Overreach, 3946.  
    50    Mearsheimer, Great Delusion, 154.  
    51 Bacevich,    Age of Illusions, 11013; and Bacevich, Greater    Middle East, 24043.  
    52 Porter,    False Promise, 11213. For similar claims, see Pillar,    Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy, 18; MacDonald,    Overreach, 37; and Dorrien, Imperial Designs,    181.  
    53 Barton    Gellman, Angler: The Cheney Vice Presidency (New York:    Penguin, 2007), 232; Dorrien, Imperial Designs, 13;    and Daalder and Lindsay, America Unbound, 1516.  
    54 Gardner,    Long Road; and Bacevich, Greater Middle East.  
    55 Excerpts    from 1992 Draft Defense Planning Guidance,    Frontline, 1992,     https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/iraq/etc/wolf.html.  
    56 Scholars    who cite the 1992 Defense Planning Guidance include Bacevich,    Greater Middle East, 362; Butt, Invade Iraq, 273;    and Wertheim, Pathologies of Primacy.  
    57 Joseph    Stieb, The Regime Change Consensus: Iraq in American    Politics, 1990-2003 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University    Press, 2021), 16061; and Project for a New American Century    Statement of Principles, in The Iraq Papers, ed. John    Ehrenberg et al. (New York: Oxford University Press, 2010),    1920.  
    58 Record,    Wanting War, 15. See also Gardner, Long    Road, 12630; Butt, Invade Iraq, 251; Dorrien,    Imperial Designs, 18182; Bamford, Pretext for    War, 423; and MacDonald, Overreach, 35.  
    59 George    Tenet, At the Center of the Storm: My Years at the CIA    (New York: Harper Collins, 2007), 30508, 322.  
    60 Scott    McLellan, What Happened: Inside the Bush White House and    Washingtons Culture of Deception (New York: Public    Affairs, 2008), xiii. See also Richard Clarke: Against All    Enemies: Inside Americas War on Terror (New York: Free    Press, 2004), 3032.  
    61 Michael    Mazarr, Leap of Faith: Hubris, Negligence, and Americas    Greatest Foreign Policy Tragedy (New York: Public Affairs,    2019), 40607; Justin Vaisse, Neoconservatism: The    Biography of a Movement (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University    Press, 2011), 1417; and Robert Draper, To Start at War:    How the Bush Administration Took America Into Iraq (New    York: Penguin, 2021).  
    62 Stieb,    Regime Change Consensus, 113.  
    63 Pillar,    Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy, 41. See also    Butt, Invade Iraq, 25557.  
    64 Pillar,    Intelligence in U.S. Foreign Policy, 1342; Cramer and    Thrall, Pursuit of Primacy, 20407; and Bamford, Pretext for    War, 26970.  
    65 Desch,    Liberal Illiberalism, 9.  
    66 Christian    Alfonsi, Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq    (New York: Doubleday, 2006); Samuel Helfont, The Gulf Wars    Aftermath: Dilemmas, Missed Opportunities, and the Post-Cold    War Order Undone, Texas National Security Review 4,    no. 2 (Spring 2021): 2547,     https://tnsr.org/2021/02/the-gulf-wars-afterlife-dilemmas-missed-opportunities-and-the-post-cold-war-order-undone/;    and Stieb, The Regime Change Consensus, 411.  
    67 The    Iraq Liberation Act of 1998, Public Law 338, 105th Cong.,    2nd sess., Oct. 31, 1998.  
    68 Helfont,    Iraq Against the World, 110.  
    69 For    scholars who call the Iraq War a tragedy, see Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 11; and Leffler, Confronting Saddam    Hussein, 252. For scholars who call it a blunder, see    Stieb, Regime Change Consensus, 1; and Wertheim,    Pathologies of Primacy.  
    70 Scholars    who emphasize continuity include Gardner, Long Road,    2; and John Lewis Gaddis, Surprise, Security, and the    American Experience (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University    Press, 2004), 8091. Scholars who stress discontinuity include    Daalder and Lindsay, America Unbound, 12223; and    Andrew Bacevich, The Limits of Power: The End of American    Exceptionalism (New York: MacMillan, 2008), 7475.  
    71 George W.    Bush, Remarks at the United Nations General Assembly,    White House Archives, Sept. 12, 2002,     https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2002/09/20020912-1.html.  
    72 Bush,    Decision Points, 22930; and Leffler, Confronting    Saddam, 110  
    73 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 109.  
    74 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 94, 120, 16064. See also Gordon    and Shapiro, Allies at War, 9698.  
    75 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 160.  
    76 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 184, 191. See also Draper,    Start a War, 181.  
    77 Harvey,    Explaining the Iraq War, 7.  
    78 Debs and    Monteiro, Known Unknowns, 34. See also Draper, Start a    War, 181; Todd Purdum, A Time of Our Choosing:    Americas War in Iraq (New York: Times Books, 2004),    4663; and Anthony Lake, Two Cheers for Bargaining Theory:    Assessing Rationalist Explanations of the Iraq War,    International Security 35, no. 3 (Winter 2010/2011):    752, https://www.jstor.org/stable/40981251.  
    79 Bush,    Decision Points, 229.  
    80 Bush,    Decision Points, 24445; Rumsfeld, Known and    Unknown, 442; Rice, No Higher Honor, 181; and    Feith, War and Decision, 223.  
    81 Rice,    No Higher Honor, 18687.  
    82 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 113. See also John Prados, The Iraq    War-Part II: Was There Even a Decision? National Security    Archive, Oct. 1, 2010, https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB328/index.htm;    and Mark Danner, ed., The Secret Way to War: The Downing    Street Memo and the Iraq Wars Buried History (New York:    New York Review of Books, 2006).  
    83 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 222.  
    84 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 3, 21821; and Stieb, Regime Change    Consensus, 21416.  
    85 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 245-246; and Prados, Even a Decision?  
    86 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 9.  
    87 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 292.  
    88 Stieb,    Regime Change Consensus, 23640.  
    89 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 251.  
    90 Prados,    Even a Decision?; and Richard Haass, War of Necessity,    War of Choice: A Memoir of Two Iraq Wars (New York: Simon    & Schuster, 2009), 213.  
    91 Mazarr,    Leap of Faith, 238.  
    92 Prominent    works that skip coercive diplomacy include Bacevich,    Greater Middle East; and Mearsheimer and Walt,    Israel Lobby; Record, Wanting War.  
    93 William    Burns, How We Tried to Slow the Rush to War in Iraq,    Politico, March 13, 2019,     https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/03/13/bill-burns-back-channel-book-excerpt-iraq-225731/.  
    94 Thanks to    Theo Milonopoulos for this insight about future paths for Iraq    scholarship.  
    95 Report    of the Iraq Inquiry, House of Commons, July 6, 2016,     https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-report-of-the-iraq-inquiry.  
    96 Leffler,    Confronting Saddam, 10304.  
    97 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 279.  
    98 Butt,    Invade Iraq, 27980; and Mazarr, Leap of Faith, 153.  
    99 Patrick    Porter, Blunder: Britains War in Iraq (New York:    Oxford University Press, 2019), 25, 20.  
    100    Vaisse, Neoconservatism, 12, 221. Vaisse also calls    neoconservatives democratic globalists.  
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