Archive for the ‘Iraq’ Category

Iraq’s struggle, divided between the US and Iran – The Jerusalem Post

Five years ago, ISIS was defeated by a global coalition and its local partners in the controlled territory of Baghuz, Syria. This marked the final territorial defeat of the terrorist organization in its last remaining Iraqi stronghold.

Between 2014 and 2017, ISIS lost 95% of the territory it once controlled, thanks to the cooperation between the international communitys military and economic investments and Iraqi security forces. By July 2017, Mosul was once again under Iraqi government control. However, the country still had to regain stability after years under ISIS' grip.

Today, despite being almost fully liberated from the ISIS threat, Iraq still faces problems, particularly repatriating the 1.1 million people who were internally displaced by ISIS. They currently live in refugee camps or have been forced to resettle elsewhere due to continued fighting among various local militias.

In Sinjar [Iraq], Turkey and local militias, which are considered to be affiliated with the PKK, are still fighting. Other places in southwest Baghdad are still under the control of the militias, and those areas are practically depopulated. People are not allowed to go back home, and they make up about 3% of Iraqs population, Omar al Nidawi, a Middle East analyst focusing on Iraqi political, security, and energy affairs, told The Media Line.

The difficulties involved in repatriating the displaced people are partly due to the existence of unexploded munitions that remain in certain areas throughout the country, numerous cities that were completely destroyed, and pollution caused by past ISIS activities.

Another big problem for Iraq nowadays is its economic instability. More than 90% of the government's revenue comes from oil, leaving the country dependent on global prices and fluctuations within the market.

If oil prices were to drop to $60 a barrel, Iraq is going to be in deep trouble. It will be impossible to pay all the necessary state services as well as peoples wages, al Nidawi explained further.

The country's economy is still very weak. The government is the biggest employer in Iraq, and without real growth, especially within the private sector and its capacity to create jobs, it is almost impossible for the government to employ all the people in need. This is why Iraq may face another economic crisis in the next few years, he added.

In addition to the refugee repatriation issue and dire economic situation, Iraq faces another big challenge: rampant corruption. Corruption is almost entirely taking hold of the Iraqi government and civil service. This applies to the Kurdish region as well, Urban Coningham, a Research Fellow at RUSI, told The Media Line.

Despite these serious issues, ISIS has not been able to regain power in Iraq. The terrorist group has, instead, gained more strength in the Sahel region of Africa, which stretches along Niger, Mali, and some parts of Burkina Faso. ISIS is also gaining strength in Afghanistan and Central Asia.

We should never underestimate ISIS influence and ideology, but compared to the past years, we see today that Iraqs security forces are much stronger. In Iraq, the terrorist group is weaker than ever, al Nidawi asserted.

In the past, ISIS gained strength due to the civil war in Syria, the lack of US support, the corrupted environment, and the incompetent political leadership at the time. So, it is very difficult today that this scenario may return, but it is never impossible, he added.

Moreover, the militants are way less numerically speaking than in the past, and they also face shortages of weapons and resources, al Nidawi concluded.

Despite no longer having their caliphate, ISIS militants are still being recruited worldwide, especially in Western countries, as lone wolves, and this is becoming a common trend.

The power of this organization is to have influence outside the Middle East. They gain power from terrorist attacks in Europe and America, as we have seen in Moscow. Paradoxically, the threat of ISIS has to be monitored more in the West at the moment, Florian Hartleb, a political scientist and managing director of Hanse Advice in Tallinn, Estonia, told The Media Line.

Today, Iraq is aware that they need a strong ally, such as the United States, to face a potential future ISIS rebirth. Such an ally will help the country maintain control over its territory and gain expertise in intelligence and counterterrorism. It will also help them ensure economic growth.

Despite Iraqs call for US withdrawal, this cannot be possible. NATO is also in Iraq, and they want to keep their position there to counterbalance Irans influence in the country. Iraq is becoming a proxy of Iran. This is why the US wants to strengthen daily diplomatic relations with Iraq, Coningham said.

However, Iraq's government is trying to balance its ties with both the US and Iran. The government is passively allowing Iran to maximize its power among the Shia militias in the country. This is because the current conflict within the MENA region may lead to significant changes that will shape Iraqs future.

According to Coningham, There is a general turn among Middle Eastern countries towards Iran, which began even before the current war between Israel and Hamas. The elephant in the room that seems to be forgotten is that Iran is very close to acquiring nuclear weapons. This will create a domino effect and an arms race in the Middle East. This wont be only a regional problem, but an international one.

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Iraq's struggle, divided between the US and Iran - The Jerusalem Post

Who are Iran’s proxies threatening Israel? – The Jerusalem Post

Iranian pro-government media said in the early hours of April 14 that it had attacked Israel on four fronts. This included attacks by Iran itself using drones and missiles, as well as threats from Iranian-backed groups in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. Iran has spread its proxies throughout the region. These groups pose an increasing threat to Israel and Israels partners and allies. Its important to understand who these groups are and what their capabilities may be.

Hezbollah is the largest and oldest of the Iranian partner and proxy groups in the region. Founded in the 1980s, it has played an increasingly influential role in Lebanon, essentially controlling who is elected president and controlling parts of the economy. Hezbollah has stockpiled more than 150,000 rockets over the last 30 years. Some of these are short-range rockets that threaten the northern Galilee. Other Hezbollah rockets are long-range and can threaten all of Israel, almost to Eilat. In addition, Hezbollah increasingly has precision-guided munitions, meaning it can target strategic infrastructure with precision. Additionally, Hezbollah is believed to have 2,000 drones, which it has increasingly used against Israel. Hezbollah also has anti-tank missiles and thousands of fighters. Some fighters are part of its moreelite Radwan force. Hezbollah has suffered casualties in its attacks on Israel since October 8. Around 250 of its members have been killed. This is a setback for the group. It has also carried out around 3,100 attacks on Israel.

The Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen have been increasingly a threat since 2015. Originally a small rebel movement, they burst on the scene in 2015 when they took over a swath of Yemen. They are based in the mountains around Sanaa, but they also threatened the coastal cities of Aden and Hodeidah. This caused Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries to intervene in Yemen in 2015. The Houthis received ballistic missile and drone technology from Iran and built an impressive local industry to create long-range missiles and drones. They also developed cruise missiles. Iran used these weapons to target Saudi Arabia, including Riyadh. After October 7 the Houthis began to target Eilat using drones and cruise missiles and then ballistic missiles. Later, the Houthis began targeting ships. It has carried out dozens of attacks on commercial ships, and it has hijacked one ship. It claims to be targeting Israeli-linked and Western ships. The Houthi capabilities have expanded greatly in the last several years. Beginning in 2020, Iran also based its Shahed 136 drones in Yemen. The Houthis now can strike at southern Israel with their weapons.

Iran has been backing militias in Iraq since the 1980s. Key militia leaders such as Hadi al-Amiri, the head of the Badr organization, and the late Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis were close to Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Abu Mahdi was active in supporting Irans terrorist causes in the 1980s, such as targeting Kuwait and other countries and groups. After the US invasion of 2003, the Iranian-backed militias began to increase their power in Iraq, feeding off the power vacuum. Abu Mahdis Kataib Hezbollah became the vanguard of these militias. It was joined not only by Badr but also by Asaib Ahl al-Haq, whose leader, Qias Khazali, had once been detained by the Americans in Iraq. Other groups popped up as well, such as Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba. In 2014, after ISIS invaded Iraq, the Iranian-backed militias formed the backbone of a paramilitary army called the Popular Mobilization Forces, which numbered more than 100,000 fighters. After the defeat of ISIS in 2017 in Iraq, the militias became an official government-paid force linked to the Iraqi Interior Ministry. In essence, they became the Iranian IRGC of Iraq. The groups then stockpiled missiles and drones. They began to operate more freely in Syria and to threaten US forces and Israel. They also carried out kidnappings, such as the kidnapping of researcher Elizabeth Tsurkov in 2023. They murdered key Iraqi intellectuals and targeted Kurds. They have targeted Israel since October 7, using long-range drones to target Iraq and other areas.

Irans IRGC operates in Syria. During the Syrian civil war, Iran recruited many groups to support the Assad regime. These included Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, and also Shiites from Afghanistan and Pakistan. In 2018, Iran began to build up more bases for these groups, such as the Imam Ali base near Albukamal and also encouraged Hezbollah to open its Golan file to threaten Israel from the Golan. Iran also moved drones to Syria and tried to move air defenses to its T-4 base in 2018. The Iranian-backed militias in Syria are disparate and have varying capabilities, but most of them are relatively weak. They have targeted US forces and also Israel. They usually require close IRGC supervision and guidance.

Palestinian Islamic Jihad is an Iranian proxy group that is also a Palestinian group. Unlike Hezbollah or the militias in Iraq, it is not a Shiite group. PIJ has terrorists in Gaza and participated in the October 7 attack. It had thousands of rockets and thousands of fighters in Gaza, but it has taken losses over six months of war. In the West Bank, PIJ is active mostly in Jenin, where it also has hundreds of members. It has benefited from the illegal trafficking of rifles in the West Bank and has tried to increase its stockpile of weapons and explosives and move into IED (explosive) production. The group is relatively small but has destabilized the northern West Bank and poses an increasing threat.

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Who are Iran's proxies threatening Israel? - The Jerusalem Post

Wreckage of Iranian missiles and drones bound for Israel found in Iraq – The National

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Wreckage of Iranian missiles and drones have been found in different parts of Iraq after the attack against Israel, security officials and sources close to the government said on Monday.

US-led coalition forces in Iraq shot down dozens of Iranian drones and missiles launched towards Israel, a source close to the Iraqi government told The National.

Dozens of the weapons were intercepted above Baghdad, Najaf, western Iraq and the the semi-autonomous Kurdish region in northern Iraq, the source said.

US anti-missile systems at the Ain Al Asad airbase in western Anbar province played a key role in shooting down the projectiles, the source added.

At least one ballistic missile launched in the attack at the weekend was shot down by a US Patriot battery in the Kurdish region, a security official told The National. It landed in Soran district outside the regional capital of Erbil.

Wreckage of a drone was also found in an open area outside the province of Najaf, another official said. No casualties were reported.

Other pieces of the Iranian weapons were reported to have fallen in the area by residents.

On Saturday, Iran fired more than 300 drones and missiles at sites inside Israel, marking a major escalation in the war in Gaza that threatens to heighten tensions in the region.

The attack came after Iran vowed to retaliate for an Israeli strike on its Damascus embassy compound on April 1 that killed two senior Iranian commanders and other members of its elite force.

Iran has warned Israel of a larger attack on its territory if it retaliates against Tehran's retaliatory strike.

Many Iraqis told The National that they saw and heard several Iranian drones and missiles during the attack.

Israel, the US and Britain shot down the majority of drones and missiles, including in Iraq.

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian said Tehran gave fair warning to countries of the region and the US by serving notice 72 hours before the attack.

The Iraqi government has refrained from denouncing Iran's use of its airspace.

Iraqi President Abdul Latif Rashid said it was necessary to reduce tension and not to expand the conflict in the region.

Wars will not solve people's problems but aggravate the conflicts between nations, he said, as he called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.

A spokesman for the Iran-backed Al Nujaba militia in Iraq criticised Baghdad after the attack, saying the intervention of US forces "undoubtedly embarrasses the Iraqi government, which seeks to take a clear position on the American military presence" in the country.

"The American occupation does not abide by international norms and laws and has no respect for the sovereignty of states and their territories," Hussein Al Musawi told The National. "It is not surprising that it supports and defends Israel regardless of its violation of international norms."

Iran-backed militias in Iraq have long called for the US military presence to end in the country, where about 2,500 American troops are stationed as part of the coalition to fight against ISIS.

Since the terrorist group was defeated in 2017, US forces have come under attack from Iran-backed militias. The US has launched air strikes against the groups.

The US Central Command said on Monday that it successfully engaged and destroyed more than 80 one-way attack drones and at least six ballistic missiles intended to strike Israel from Iran and Yemen. The operation was supported by US European Command destroyers.

The destroyed sites include a ballistic missile on its launcher vehicle and seven drones destroyed on the ground in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen before their launch, it added.

Iran's continued unprecedented, malign, and reckless behaviour endangers regional stability and the safety of US and coalition forces, it said.

It vowed to support Israels defence against these dangerous actions by Iran. We will continue to work with all our regional partners to increase regional security.

Updated: April 15, 2024, 10:39 PM

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Wreckage of Iranian missiles and drones bound for Israel found in Iraq - The National

Iraqi PM tells US President that Iraq is shifting from a military alliance to economic ties with the US – Iraqi News

Washington (IraqiNews.com) The Iraqi Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani, met on Monday with the US President, Joe Biden, in the White House in the US capital, Washington DC.

Al-Sudani stated that Iraq is attempting to transition from a military alliance to a comprehensive partnership with the United States, emphasizing the significance of his visit to Washington at this delicate juncture.

The Iraqi Prime Minister noted that the battle against ISIS served as the cornerstone of collaboration between Iraq and the United States, confirming that Iraq is recovering and seeing advancements in service projects.

We will discuss the sustainable partnership in accordance with the strategic framework agreement, Al-Sudani said.

The Iraqi Prime Minister indicated his governments commitment to the outcomes of the Higher Coordination Committee (HCC) between Iraq and the United States.

We reject attacks on civilians, especially women and children, Al-Sudani stated.

The Iraqi Premier highlighted the importance of stopping the devastating war in Gaza and the need to prevent the conflict in the region from expanding.

Al-Sudani also reiterated the Iraqi governments commitment to protecting diplomatic missions.

Biden explained that the partnership between Iraq and the United States is extremely important.

The US President thanked Al-Sudani for promoting the Iraqi economy and achieving energy independence.

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Iraqi PM tells US President that Iraq is shifting from a military alliance to economic ties with the US - Iraqi News

Jordan, Iraq and Lebanon reopen airspace after Iran attacks – Deccan Herald

Cairo: Jordan, Iraq and Lebanon have reopened their airspace on Sunday after closing it late on Saturday as Iran launched drone and missile attacks against Israel, the three countries said on Sunday.

Jordan's state TV said that the country had resumed air traffic operations, citing aviation authorities. The opening of its airspace came more than three hours earlier than scheduled.

Iraq's aviation authority said security risks had now been overcome.

Lebanon said its airport will resume its activities after the overnight closure, state TV reported.

Iran launched explosive drones and fired missiles at Israel late on Saturday - its first direct attack on Israeli territory in a retaliatory strike that raises the threat of wider regional conflict.

Jordan, which lies between Iran and Israel, had readied air defences to intercept any drones or missiles that violated its territory, two regional security sources said.

US and British warplanes were involved in shooting down some Israel-bound drones over the Iraq-Syria border area, Israel's Channel 12 reported.

(Published 14 April 2024, 08:13 IST)

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Jordan, Iraq and Lebanon reopen airspace after Iran attacks - Deccan Herald