Archive for the ‘Liberals’ Category

Frydenberg supports suspension of Liberal Party member charged with foreign interference – Sydney Morning Herald

According to Liberal sources, party officials have consulted Treasurer Josh Frydenberg, the most senior Victorian Liberal in federal parliament, and he strongly supports suspending Mr Duong from the party.

Victorian senator James Paterson and Victorian MP Tim Wilson - long-standing critics of the Chinese Communist Party - also support the move to suspend Mr Duong.

Senator Paterson said he supported suspending Mr Duong, but all Australians deserve due process and "only the courts can determine guilt or innocence".

"Any party member facing serious charges like these should be suspended until the facts of the case are clearly established," Senator Paterson said.

Mr Duong, also known as Sunny Duong, is suspected to have links with Beijing's overseas influence arm, the United Front Work Department.

The investigation by counter-espionage agency ASIO and the Australian Federal Police at least partly focuses on Mr Duong's alleged activities in trying to influence figures in the Liberal Party's Victorian branch, security sources have confirmed. The evidence won't suggest alleged plans to engage in foreign interference were advanced, but only preparatory.

The AFP alleges Mr Duong has a connection to a foreign intelligence agency, but has not named which country.

Mr Duong has been connected to the Liberal Party since the 1980s and ran as a candidate for the party in the state seat of Richmond in 1996.

While he has been involved with the party for a number of decades, senior Liberals played down his influence, saying he was never a major figure.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg supports suspending Mr Duong from the party.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen

The 65-year-old had not been returning associates' phone calls in the months leading up to his arrest on Thursday. He was granted bail in the Melbourne Magistrates' Court on Thursday afternoon and will appear for a committal mention hearing on March 11 next year.

Mr Duong had complained to one associate that he had been stopped by authorities when returning from an overseas trip and had his computer and phone searched.

The arrest followed a year-long investigation by the Counter Foreign Interference taskforce, led by ASIO and the AFP. A number of Melbourne properties connected to Mr Duong were raided by the AFP on October 16.

If convicted, Mr Doung faces a maximum 10-year jail term.

He is the first person charged under Australia's foreign interference laws enacted by the Turnbull government in 2018, which criminalised the act of working with a foreign country to influence Australia's democracy.

The most important news, analysis and insights delivered to your inbox at the start and end of each day. Sign up to The Sydney Morning Heralds newsletter here, The Ages newsletter here, Brisbane Times' here and WAtoday's here.

Anthony is foreign affairs and national security correspondent for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

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Frydenberg supports suspension of Liberal Party member charged with foreign interference - Sydney Morning Herald

Liberal propagandist pollsters predicted blue wave that was never going to happen – Washington Times

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

One of the recurring themes from the left about the election results is that they lost or didnt do as well as they had hoped not because their ideas are terrible, but because about half of all Americans are racists or morons or illiterate or just plain bad people.

Whatever else it is, it is certainly a different approach to persuasion.

Part of the liberals problem is that they were misled by their own pollsters, who told them repeatedly in a variety of ways that most of America agreed with them on most issues. They were so convincing that donors (looking at you, Mike Bloomberg) were persuaded to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on races that were never really close.

Ive already noted in this column that among the losers in this election cycle are opinion researchers. But the extent of the inaccuracy is worth examining.

Opinion researchers spent a lot of time talking about the shy Trump voter and they will blame those voters for missing the actual results so badly. But thats nonsense. The real problem is that pollsters systematically oversampled Democrats because thats who they thought would actually show up or because it made their numbers look better.

The bias-driven inaccuracy spread well beyond the presidential race. In the North Carolina Senate race, Real Clear Politics had Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham ahead of Sen. Thom Tillis in every survey leading up to election, with the average 2.6%. Mr. Tillis is ahead by a point.

In South Carolina, Ron Faucheuxs average of surveys had Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham up by 3 points; he won by 10. In Montana, Mr. Faucheuxs average had Republican Sen. Steve Daines and Democratic challenger Steve Bullock even. Mr. Daines won by 10. In Kentucky, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was supposed to win by 10, while he won by 20. In Kansas, Republican Roger Marshall was supposed to win by 3; he won by 12.

You get the point. In every instance and at every turn in this campaign, the polling bias was in one direction and was based not only on a misapprehension of Trump voters, but also on a misapprehension of all voters.

The intellectual and moral collapse of opinion research was widespread and uniform.

The job of the opinion researchers in any campaign is to tell the truth, especially when its ugly. He or she is supposed to tell a candidate: Thats a great idea, unfortunately, everyone hates it.

In this cycle, few of those conversations happened. Consequently, folks on the left in places as diverse as MSNBC and The New York Times expressed their outrage or disgust at the election results and the idea that their countrymen might not be as woke as they had imagined or been told by their pollsters.

But really, they are angry because they were surprised and looked foolish because they expected something that was never going to happen the mass acquiescence of ordinary Americans to the more daffy and dangerous parts of the liberal agenda.

Thats the risk when the one person in politics who is supposed to tell the truth the researcher becomes just another cog in the propaganda machine.

Michael McKenna, a columnist for The Washington Times, is the president of MWR Strategies. He was most recently a deputy assistant to the president and deputy director of the Office of Legislative Affairs at the White House.

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Liberal propagandist pollsters predicted blue wave that was never going to happen - Washington Times

Lindsey Graham taunts coastal liberals over ‘the worst return on investment in the history of American politics’ – MarketWatch

Lindsey Graham Getty Images

All the liberals in California in New York, you wasted a lot of money. This is the worst return on investment in the history of American politics.

Thats Senator Lindsey Graham relishing his reelection to a fourth term and sticking it to his Democratic rivals in a Tuesday night victory speech after he apparently beat Jaime Harrison, who shattered campaign records with his massive fundraising bounty.

Graham, once a fierce critic of President Trump but now a loyal supporter, also slammed those who predicted that hed lose his Senate seat in South Carolina and that Joe Biden could win in a landslide. To all the pollsters out there, you have no idea what youre doing, he said.

Heres a clip from his speech:

Graham kept his seat even as Harrison managed to raise $57 million during the final full quarter of the campaign, breaking Senate fundraising records. The previous record-holder was Beto ORourke with $38 million raised for his losing bid for the Texas Senate seat. In total, Harrison raked in $109 million, while Graham brought in $64 million.

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Lindsey Graham taunts coastal liberals over 'the worst return on investment in the history of American politics' - MarketWatch

Self-Defense Is Self-Care: How the Growing Ranks of Left-Wing Gun Owners See the Election – New York Magazine

Americans of all political stripes are arming up in 2020. Photo: Keith Srakocic/AP/Shutterstock

For anyone that talks about how Biden will take their guns, remind them that we had 8 years of Obama/Biden where that never happened, reads a popular post in a progressive subreddit. But Donald Trump has definitely suggested he would take guns away from people without due process. The average liberal who supports much stronger gun-control measures may understand this as a criticism of the Obama administration, but this wasnt posted in your average left-leaning internet forum. It comes from r/liberalgunowners, a Reddit community of over 100,000 people who defy the archetype of the gun-hating cosmopolitan Democratic voter.

Gun control tends to be a clear red-and-blue issue in American politics, but the general uptick in gun ownership among people across the political spectrum 2020 will be a record year for firearm sales in the U.S. points to the possibility that the Democratic Party may include more gun owners in the future than it has in the recent past. In rapidly growing online and real-world communities, theres a sizable, vocal bloc of progressives who are voting for Biden but think the Democratic Partys position on gun control is backward.

Plenty of lefties liked guns before Trump became president, but the escalation of right-wing violence on top of a global pandemic has made things feel extra apocalyptic for a lot Americans in blue states. The demographics of gun buyers appear to be shifting, too, reports Politico. Retailers are selling to more women, and more Black men and women, than in previous years. The membership of r/liberalgunowners has also grown enormously this year. In November 2018, it had around 24,000 subscribers; in 2019, it reached 39,951; and now it has over 100,000. A recent poll posted in the subgroup asked, Do you expect calm or violence eruption in the U.S. after election night 2020? If the poll is a good indicator, about 80 percent of the subgroups members foresee postelection conflict.

You cant say youre for civil rights and have a civil right youre absolutely interested in curtailing, says Lara Smith, the spokesperson for the Liberal Gun Club, an organization founded in 2008 that provides gun-skills courses for as little as $10 a year and has 4,500 members. She says thatDemocratic lawmakers are totally ignorant when it comes to how guns actually work.

In keeping with national trends, Smith says Liberal Gun Club membership has grown a lot in the past year. People are really concerned about this particular ultra-right-wing threat theyre perceiving, she says. I cant tell you the number of friends of mine who have always [thought of me as their] crazy gun friend who have called me and said, I want to buy a shotgun. I want to buy a handgun. Where do I go? She has been hosting beginner shooting lessons in her backyard to meet the increased demand for gun skills that the pandemic and the upcoming election have inspired.

As opposed to understanding firearms as the primary cause of gun deaths in the U.S., the Liberal Gun Club is interested in investigating root-cause mitigation, or, what causes violence beyond the easy access to deadly weapons. If you dont understand how the tool works, then you dont understand what problem youre solving or not solving with it, Smith says, noting the ineffectiveness of AR bans.

Liberals get everything wrong about guns, Adam Selvage, a truck driver who lives in Albuquerque, told me. He started the Facebook page Pro-Gun Democrats in 2012 after going out shooting with his then-girlfriend; they got to talking about how they were the only people they knew who were incredibly liberal and still like shooting. At the beginning, his page had likes in the single digits, but eight years later, it has upwards of 2,500 followers and has sprouted a Facebook group where members can chat privately about firearms.

Many of his fellow Democrats, Selvage says, have a negative view of guns because they know what they see on TV, and the guns on TV are illegal in the United States, for the most part. They get scared because they think guns are just used for killing people.

Every pro-gun lefty I spoke with expressed dismay at the Democratic machines devotion to gun control. It makes sense that the party would come out against guns after all, a 2019 Pew study found that 86 percent of Democrats and left-leaning independents support stricter gun laws. According to Smith, the push for gun control by politicians like Michael Bloomberg, whose organization Everytown for Gun Safety has poured tens of millions of dollars in digital advertising into this election cycle, is both authoritarian and Republican and appeals to upper-class liberal white women.

Heres the whole thing about Parkland, she says. How many Black kids are killed every day? No one cared until it [happened] to a bunch of cute white teenagers. It was when white kids died that people started caring.

For Yafeuh Balogun, the founder of the Huey P. Newton Gun Club, an organization that teaches firearms skills to people of color as part of a commitment to self-defense and militant culture, guns are an integral part of his progressive ideology. His father was a marine and Vietnam veteran who was shot in the face in combat. Nevertheless, a formative part of Baloguns childhood involved his dad teaching him and his siblings how to use guns safely.

Owning firearms, according to Balogun, is a way to have agency over communities that have been failed and brutalized by the police state. Guns are tools to push toward self-determination, he says. In a utopian sense, we would hope for a world that doesnt need weapons. We would hope that we can have a world where people can live in unity and harmony across the color spectrum. Thats not the case. (To quote a popular post in r/liberalgunowners, Armed minorities are harder to oppress.)

Gun-loving libs are not, to paraphrase Barack Obama, clinging to their guns as a way to express their frustration with being left behind by globalization or whatever. For Randy Miyan, the executive director of Liberal Gun Owners, gun ownership feels like an essential part of the human experience. He gets frustrated with the Democratic Partys aversion to guns because, he says, its ahistorical. Liberals and leftists treat the 1960s as year zero, he told me. We have had a specialized relationship with specialized projectile weapons for 73,000 years. Theyre archaeologically normative.

Liberal Gun Owners, an organization without an official membership model, grew out of a Facebook group and remains mostly dedicated to moderating discussions between its 4,000 subscribers on the social-media platform. Miyan became involved with Liberal Gun Owners shortly after Adam Sorum, one of the few Democrats in his rural Minnesota community, founded the Facebook page in 2007. (The mission of Liberal Gun Owners, which is registered as a 501(c)4, is to provide a community for gun-loving lefties as well as to look for solutions for gun violence beyond gun control.) The earliest iteration of the group, Miyan explains, was a shitshow of 4chan, 8chan bullshit. Whenever you do something online and dont put a gate around it, every regressive asswipe and jerko on the internet is going to find you. When Miyan finally earned the role of moderator, the new sheriff was in town, he says. He created a set of rules and protocols to turn the group into a healthy space for gun-toting lefties.

Miyan grew up in a working-class family of Democratic voters in Pittsburgh and now lives in North Carolina, but his affinity for guns is part of his spiritual questing. From age 21 to 31, Miyan studied to become a Buddhist monk, and though he ultimately chose to follow a more conventional path of getting married and having children, his time studying under Tibetan monks taught him the importance of compassion, love, and nonviolence. Theres a notion out there that guns couldnt possibly be an extension of compassion, that their very existence is regressive, he explains. You can be involved in self-defense and firearms and have that be an extension of love for your kin.

For Miyan, self-defense is self-care. In a similar vein, a recent post to r/liberalgunowners that received 3,700 thousand upvotes shows a sticker on a container of huge bullets that reads, The tree cant be harmed if the Lorax is armed.

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Self-Defense Is Self-Care: How the Growing Ranks of Left-Wing Gun Owners See the Election - New York Magazine

Conservative and Liberal Brains Might Have Some Real Differences – Scientific American

In 1968 a debate was held between conservative thinker William F. Buckley, Jr., and liberal writer Gore Vidal. It was hoped that these two members of opposing intellectual elites would show Americans living through tumultuous times that political disagreements could be civilized. That idea did not last for long. Instead Buckley and Vidal descended rapidly into name-calling. Afterward, they sued each other for defamation.

The story of the 1968 debate opens a well-regarded 2013 book called Predisposed, which introduced the general public to the field of political neuroscience. The authors, a trio of political scientists at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and Rice University, argued that if the differences between liberals and conservatives seem profound and even unbridgeable, it is because they are rooted in personality characteristics and biological predispositions.

On the whole, the research shows, conservatives desire security, predictability and authority more than liberals do, and liberals are more comfortable with novelty, nuance and complexity. If you had put Buckley and Vidal in a magnetic resonance imaging machine and presented them with identical images, you would likely have seen differences in their brain, especially in the areas that process social and emotional information. The volume of gray matter, or neural cell bodies, making up the anterior cingulate cortex, an area that helps detect errors and resolve conflicts, tends to be larger in liberals. And the amygdala, which is important for regulating emotions and evaluating threats, is larger in conservatives.

While these findings are remarkably consistent, they are probabilities, not certaintiesmeaning there is plenty of individual variability. The political landscape includes lefties who own guns, right-wingers who drive Priuses and everything in between. There is also an unresolved chicken-and-egg problem: Do brains start out processing the world differently or do they become increasingly different as our politics evolve? Furthermore, it is still not entirely clear how useful it is to know that a Republicans brain lights up over X while a Democrats responds to Y.

So what can the study of neural activity suggest about political behavior? The still emerging field of political neuroscience has begun to move beyond describing basic structural and functional brain differences between people of different ideological persuasionsgauging who has the biggest amygdalato more nuanced investigations of how certain cognitive processes underlie our political thinking and decision-making. Partisanship does not just affect our vote; it influences our memory, reasoning and even our perception of truth. Knowing this will not magically bring us all together, but researchers hope that continuing to understand the way partisanship influences our brain might at least allow us to counter its worst effects: the divisiveness that can tear apart the shared values required to retain a sense of national unity.

Social scientists who observe behaviors in the political sphere can gain substantial insight into the hazards of errant partisanship. Political neuroscience, however, attempts to deepen these observations by supplying evidence that a belief or bias manifests as a measure of brain volume or activitydemonstrating that an attitude, conviction or misconception is, in fact, genuine. Brain structure and function provide more objective measures than many types of survey responses, says political neuroscientist Hannah Nam of Stony Brook University. Participants may be induced to be more honest when they think that scientists have a window into their brains. That is not to say that political neuroscience can be used as a tool to read minds, but it can pick up discrepancies between stated positions and underlying cognitive processes.

Brain scans are also unlikely to be used as a biomarker for specific political results because the relationships between the brain and politics is not one-to-one. Yet neurobiological features could be used as a predictor of political outcomesjust not in a deterministic way, Nam says.

To study how we process political information in a 2017 paper, political psychologist Ingrid Haas of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and her colleagues created hypothetical candidates from both major parties and assigned each candidate a set of policy statements on issues such as school prayer, Medicare and defense spending. Most statements were what you would expect: Republicans, for instance, usually favor increasing defense spending, and Democrats generally support expanding Medicare. But some statements were surprising, such as a conservative expressing a pro-choice position or a liberal arguing for invading Iran.

Haas put 58 people with diverse political views in a brain scanner. On each trial, participants were asked whether it was good or bad that a candidate held a position on a particular issue and not whether they personally agreed or disagreed with it. Framing the task that way allowed the researchers to look at neural processing as a function of whether the information was expected or unexpectedwhat they termed congruent or incongruent. They also considered participants own party identification and whether there was a relationship between ideological differences and how the subjects did the task.

Liberals proved more attentive to incongruent information, especially for Democratic candidates. When they encountered such a position, it took them longer to make a decision about whether it was good or bad. They were likely to show activation for incongruent information in two brain regions: the insula and anterior cingulate cortex, which are involved in helping people form and think about their attitudes, Haas says. How do out-of-the-ordinary positions affect later voting? Haas suspects that engaging more with such information might make voters more likely to punish candidates for it later. But she acknowledges that they may instead exercise a particular form of bias called motivated reasoning to downplay the incongruity.

Motivated reasoning, in which people work hard to justify their opinions or decisions, even in the face of conflicting evidence, has been a popular topic in political neuroscience because there is a lot of it going around. While partisanship plays a role, motivated reasoning goes deeper than that. Just as most of us like to think we are good-hearted human beings, people generally prefer to believe that the society they live in is desirable, fair and legitimate. Even if society isnt perfect, and there are things to be criticized about it, there is a preference to think that you live in a good society, Nam says. When that preference is particularly strong, she adds, that can lead to things like simply rationalizing or accepting long-standing inequalities or injustices. Psychologists call the cognitive process that lets us do so system justification.

Nam and her colleagues set out to understand which brain areas govern the affective processes that underlie system justification. They found that the volume of gray matter in the amygdala is linked to the tendency to perceive the social system as legitimate and desirable. Their interpretation is that this preference to system justify is related to these basic neurobiological predispositions to be alert to potential threats in your environment, Nam says.

After the original study, Nams team followed a subset of the participants for three years and found that their brain structure predicted the likelihood of whether they participated in political protests during that time. Larger amygdala volume is associated with a lower likelihood of participating in political protests, Nam says. That makes sense in so far as political protest is a behavior that says, Weve got to change the system.

Understanding the influence of partisanship on identity, even down to the level of neurons, helps to explain why people place party loyalty over policy, and even over truth, argued psychologists Jay Van Bavel and Andrea Pereira, both then at New York University, in Trends in Cognitive Sciences in 2018. In short, we derive our identities from both our individual characteristics, such as being a parent, and our group memberships, such as being a New Yorker or an American. These affiliations serve multiple social goals: they feed our need to belong and desire for closure and predictability, and they endorse our moral values. And our brain represents them much as it does other forms of social identity.

Among other things, partisan identity clouds memory. In a 2013 study, liberals were more likely to misremember George W. Bush remaining on vacation in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, and conservatives were more likely to falsely recall seeing Barack Obama shaking hands with the president of Iran. Partisan identity also shapes our perceptions. When they were shown a video of a political protest in a 2012 study, liberals and conservatives were more or less likely to favor calling police depending on their interpretation of the protests goal. If the objective was liberal (opposing the military barring openly gay people from service), the conservatives were more likely to want the cops. The opposite was true when participants thought it was a conservative protest (opposing an abortion clinic). The more strongly we identify with a party, the more likely we are to double down on our support for it. That tendency is exacerbated by rampant political misinformation and, too often, identity wins out over accuracy.

If we understand what is at work cognitively, we might be able to intervene and try to ease some of the negative effects of partisanship. The tension between accuracy and identity probably involves a brain region called the orbitofrontal cortex, which computes the value of goals and beliefs and is strongly connected to memory, executive function and attention. If identity helps determine the value of different beliefs, it can also distort them, Van Bavel says. Appreciating that political affiliation fulfills an evolutionary need to belong suggests we should create alternative means of belongingdepoliticizing the novel coronavirus by calling on us to come together as Americans, for instance. And incentivizing the need to be accurate could increase the importance accorded that goal: paying money for accurate responses or holding people accountable for incorrect ones have been shown to be effective.

It will be nearly impossible to lessen the partisan influences before the November 3 election because the volume of political information will only increase, reminding us of our political identities daily. But here is some good news: a large 2020 study at Harvard University found that participants consistently overestimated the level of out-group negativity toward their in-group. In other words, the other side may not dislike us quite so much as we think. Inaccurate information heightened the negative bias, and (more good news) correcting inaccurate information significantly reduced it.

The biology and neuroscience of politics might be useful in terms of what is effective at getting through to people, Van Bavel says. Maybe the way to interact with someone who disagrees with me politically is not to try to persuade them on the deep issue, because I might never get there. Its more to try to understand where theyre coming from and shatter their stereotypes.

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Conservative and Liberal Brains Might Have Some Real Differences - Scientific American