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The Liberals and the Tories are statistically tied as Canada heads into an election year, a new Ipsos Reid poll suggests.

If Canadians went to the polls now, 34% would vote for Justin Trudeau's Liberals, while 33% would support Stephen Harper's Conservatives, according to the poll.

The NDP, under Thomas Mulcair, registered at 24% with surveyed voters.

Mario Beaulieu's Bloc would receive 5% of the vote nationally (21% in Quebec) and other parties, including the Green Party under Elizabeth May, would get 4%.

Those percentages are broken down from decided voters.

Of all voters surveyed, 15% said they were still undecided.

Tracking the data over the last three weeks suggests that either the Conservatives or Liberals could jump out in front, Ipsos Reid said.

The poll, conducted for Global News, surveyed 8,268 Canadians in November.

Ipsos Reid estimates it to be accurate to within 1.2%, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadian adults been surveyed.

The federal election is expected no later than next fall.

Continued here:
Liberals and Tories neck and neck in new federal poll

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From Christopher Pyne to Glenn Lazarus

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As the government desperately searches for a budget success to end the year, Prime Minister Tony Abbott continues to slide in the polls.

As soon as one election is over, we start turning our attention to the next and that will be Prime Minister Tony Abbott's appointment with the voters, due some time around September 2016.

If the opinion polls were consistently bad for the Napthine government leading up to its defeat, they are even worse for the Abbott government. The Australian tells us Newspoll last weekend found it trailing 45-55 in the two-party preferred vote an 8.5 per cent national swing since its election 15 months ago. Opinion polls are not elections, as the Howard government proved in 2001 and 2004. But between elections, they're the best guide we've got. The question is inevitable: could the Abbott government too end up as a one-term government the first at national level since the Great Depression?

By the way, it might not be the next one-termer. In 2012 Queensland Premier Campbell Newman won such a huge majority that Labor was left with just seven seats. But three polls in the past week show his government just ahead, just behind and level pegging with Labor. The election is due in March.

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Federal Liberals have reason to be scared

Video will begin in 5 seconds.

From Christopher Pyne to Glenn Lazarus

Michael Clarke: 'Rest in peace my little brother'

Parliament leaks... No, really.

'Little bro' you have taught me so much'

Forever Young: a celebration of Phillip Hughes

As the government desperately searches for a budget success to end the year, Prime Minister Tony Abbott continues to slide in the polls.

As soon as one election is over, we start turning our attention to the next and that will be Prime Minister Tony Abbott's appointment with the voters, due some time around September 2016.

If the opinion polls were consistently bad for the Napthine government leading up to its defeat, they are even worse for the Abbott government. The Australian tells us Newspoll last weekend found it trailing 45-55 in the two-party preferred vote an 8.5 per cent national swing since its election 15 months ago. Opinion polls are not elections, as the Howard government proved in 2001 and 2004. But between elections, they're the best guide we've got. The question is inevitable: could the Abbott government too end up as a one-term government the first at national level since the Great Depression?

By the way, it might not be the next one-termer. In 2012 Queensland Premier Campbell Newman won such a huge majority that Labor was left with just seven seats. But three polls in the past week show his government just ahead, just behind and level pegging with Labor. The election is due in March.

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Liberals have reason to be scared

The federal Liberals continue to register the highest comparative score on the overall Nanos Party Power Index but Conservative Leader Stephen Harper continues to trend up on the preferred PM front. Overall, the Liberals scored 55.8 points out of 100 on the Nanos Power Index followed by the Tories at 53.1 points, the NDP at 49.5 points, the Green Party at 31.2 points and the BQ at 28.1 points (QC only).

The Nanos Party Power Index methodology comprises a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modeled similar to a standard confidence index.

On the preferred Prime Minister measure Harper was the choice of 33 per cent of Canadians followed by Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau at 29 per cent, NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair at 20 per cent, Green Leader Elizabeth May at three per cent and 14 per cent were unsure. Harpers numbers are at a 12-month high.

A series of independent questions were asked to gauge the accessible voters for each federal party. The Liberals have the largest potential upside with 56 per cent of Canadians who would consider voting Liberal. Forty-three per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the federal NDP, 43 per cent would consider voting for the Conservatives, 26 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Green while in Quebec 34 per cent of voters would consider voting for the BQ.

Also of note, concerns about war/terrorism/security remains the second most important issue at 14 per cent but registered a decline from last weeks tally (17 per cent unprompted). It is now six points behind jobs and the economy which is the most important unprompted issue of concern among Canadians.

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Harper hits new 12-month high on preferred PM measure in Nanos Power Index