Archive for the ‘Libya’ Category

Oil up over 1% on lower US output forecast, Libya, Nigeria production-cap talk – MarketWatch

Oil climbed Tuesday, as a lower 2018 forecast on U.S. crude production and speculation of possible output curbs in Libya and Nigeria fueled the strongest session gain for prices in over a week.

Expectations for a second-consecutive weekly decline in U.S. crude supplies also provided support.

August West Texas Intermediate crude CLQ7, +1.44% rose 64 cents, or 1.4%, to settle at $45.04 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. That was the largest dollar and percentage gain since July 3, FactSet data show. September Brent crude LCOU7, +1.20% on ICE Futures Europe added 64 cents, or 1.4%, to $47.52 a barrel.

In a monthly report issued Tuesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration lowered its WTI and Brent oil-price forecasts for this year and next and cut its 2018 U.S. production forecast by 1% to 9.90 million barrels a day.

Still, on an annual basis, 2018 domestic production remains on track to reach a record high.

Read: Lower oil prices set to slow 2018 growth in U.S. crude production, says EIA

Earlier Tuesday, Enrico Chiorando, a U.K.-based analyst at energy consultancy Love Energy, noted that investors remain cautious, with several banks cutting their forecasts on oil.

Read: Forget about oil rising above $50 this summer, Barclays says

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries faces overwhelming pressure to curb global supplies, possibly by bringing Libya and Nigeria, which have been exempt from production cuts, into the fold, Chiorando said.

Also read: OPEC mulls oil production caps for Libya, Nigeria

Oil prices fell roughly 4% last week, but saw a tepid recovery Monday, boosted by news that OPEC could pressure Nigeria and Libya to curb their oil production, which has been on the rise. Both are members of OPEC but exempt from the group-led agreement to cut global output by 2%. The exemption was meant to allow their production to rebound following years of fighting between the countries governments and local insurgents.

Check out: U.S. shale oil investment surges more than 50% in 2017, IEA says

Libya and Nigeria have been invited to attend a meeting of OPECs monitoring panel on July 24 in Moscow.

Traders and analysts were also looking ahead to monthly oil reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency, to be released Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

The American Petroleum Institutes weekly U.S. petroleum supplies data will be released later Tuesday. Separately, the EIAs weekly supply report will be released Wednesday.

Analysts polled by S&P Global Platts expect the government agency to report a decline of 2.6 million barrels in crude supplies for the week ended July 7. Inventories had dropped by more than 6 million barrels the previous week.

The S&P Global Platts survey also calls for an increase of 400,000 barrels for gasoline stocks, and a rise of 1.2 million barrels for distillates.

On Nymex, August gasoline RBQ7, +0.91% rose 1.8 cents, or 1.2%, to $1.518 a gallon, while August heating oil HOQ7, +0.81% climbed 2.3 cents, or 1.6%, to $1.476 a gallon.

Natural-gas prices traded at their highest levels of this month so far as warm weather forecasts raised demand prospects.

August natural gas NGQ17, -0.36% settled at $3.047 per million British thermal units, up 11.8 cents, or 4%.

Weather forecast revisions have continued to lean bullish over the past 48 hours, with expectations for above average temperatures across the Midwest and western U.S., as well as parts of the east coast, all expected to boost cooling demand and connected gas power burn, said Robbie Fraser, commodity analyst at Schneider Electric.

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Oil up over 1% on lower US output forecast, Libya, Nigeria production-cap talk - MarketWatch

Libya, Nigeria may attend OPEC, non-OPEC July meeting

ISTANBUL/LONDON Libyan and Nigerian officials may attend a joint meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC nations later this month as oil producers look for ways to cap rising production to help support oil prices.

Both countries have boosted production since they were exempted from an OPEC-led deal to cut output, weighing on global prices LCOc1. This has prompted more talk among producers about including them in the pact.

"We have spoken to (OPEC Secretary General Mohammad) Barkindo and in the next two weeks there will be conversations with them (Libya and Nigeria) and possibly we will invite them to the technical summit," Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters on the sidelines of an industry conference in Istanbul.

Six ministers from OPEC and non-OPEC nations including Kuwait, Venezuela, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Oman will meet on July 24 in St Petersburg, Russia, to discuss the current situation in the oil market.

Nigeria's oil minister, Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu, was invited to the meeting but is unable to attend due to another commitment, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Essam al-Marzouq told reporters at the same Istanbul event.

Instead, the group will probably ask a technical committee involving the six OPEC and non-OPEC members, which is due to convene before the ministers hold their talks, to meet Nigerian and Libyan representatives to discuss their production plans, he said.

"We extended the invitation but unfortunately there is a previous commitment for the Nigerian oil minister," the minister said. "We did not talk about capping, at least we can talk about production plans right now," he added.

The monitoring panel, called the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee which Kuwait chairs, could recommend expanding the pact to the wider group, which holds its next meeting in November.

Both Nigeria and Libya were given exemptions to the supply cut, under which OPEC, Russia and other non-OPEC producers are reducing their output by about 1.8 million barrels per day because their output has been curbed by conflict.

OPEC delegates have said bringing Nigeria or Libya into the production pact would likely focus on capping their output, rather than asking them to cut their supply so soon after it had recovered from involuntary curbs.

Kachikwu has said that Nigeria was not opposed in principle to joining OPEC's production cap, but would have to wait and see if production returned to acceptable levels.

OPEC has not been in touch with Libya on the issue of capping the country's output, an OPEC delegate said. The Libyan government has not received an invitation to attend the ministerial meeting in Russia, he added.

In comments to Reuters on Monday, the head of Libya's National Oil Corporation did not indicate any willingness to cap output yet, saying Libya's humanitarian problems must be considered in any talks on the subject.

NOC Chairman Mustafa Sanalla added Libya could assist with efforts to stabilize the market by informing OPEC about its plans to restore production.

(Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar in London; editing by Louise Heavens and David Evans)

WASHINGTON President Donald Trump is increasingly unlikely to nominate Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen next year for a second term, and National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn is the leading candidate to succeed her, Politico reported on Tuesday, citing four people close to the process.

A day ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's testimony to Congress on the state of the U.S. economy, two of her colleagues cited low wage growth and muted inflation as reasons for caution on further interest rate increases.

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Libya, Nigeria may attend OPEC, non-OPEC July meeting

Fighting persists east of Libya capital, residents displaced – Eyewitness News

The health ministry has confirmed that at least four people including two foreign workers had been killed and 21 wounded over two days of fighting.

FILE: Libyans take part in a demonstration in the capital Tripoli on 31 July 2014. Picture: AFP.

TRIPOLI - Clashes between rival Libyan factions east of Tripoli extended into a second day on Monday, keeping the coastal road shut and preventing residents from returning to their homes, a local town council spokesman said.

The fighting began on Sunday when armed groups opposed to the United Nations (UN)-backed government in Tripoli tried to approach the capital and met resistance from rival groups that have aligned themselves with the government.

It is the latest in a series of attacks by armed opponents of the Government of National Accord (GNA), which have continued despite the GNA's attempts to win the cooperation of militias operating in the city and to calm bouts of violence inside or close to the capital.

"At the moment we can hear heavy gunfire," said Al-Shareef Jaballah, a spokesman for the municipality of Garabulli, about 50 km from Tripoli, speaking to Reuters by telephone shortly after midday.

"The clashes have resulted in severe damage to houses and shops because of indiscriminate shelling, and forced a large number of residents ... to flee," he said.

"The coastal road is still closed. The residents who have fled their homes are trapped because of the closure of the road."

The health ministry later confirmed that at least four people including two foreign workers had been killed and 21 wounded over two days of fighting.

The GNA has struggled to impose its authority since arriving in Tripoli in March last year. It has been rejected by factions that control eastern Libya, where military commander Khalifa Haftar has been consolidating his position and installing military-appointed mayors.

As temperatures have climbed this month, parts of western Libya have once again been suffering from power and water cuts that residents have criticised the GNA for failing to resolve.

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Fighting persists east of Libya capital, residents displaced - Eyewitness News

Libya’s coast guard abuses migrants despite E.U. funding and … – Washington Post

ZAWIYAH, Libya The video showed a small rubber dinghy crowded with terrified migrants. Next to it, a uniformed man in a Libyan coast guard boat was yelling and wielding a bullwhip.

The whip slithered through the air and struck a shirtless migrant. The Libyan cracked the whip again, forcing some of the panicked migrants to fall into the sea and struggle to clutch the side of the boat.

We have to punish them to make them calm down, said Ramzi Ali, a member of the coast guard unit, shrugging after playing the video on his cellphone. We need to keep control. They can take our life.

The European Union has poured tens of millions of dollars into supporting Libyas coast guard in search-and-rescue operations off the coast. But the violent tactics of some units and allegations of human trafficking have generated concerns about the alliance.

The sea incident and other accounts of abuses come amid a deepening battle between human rights groups and authorities over the flow of tens of thousands seeking refuge to Europe.

(Jason Aldag,Sarah Parnass/The Washington Post)

The tensions are particularly prevalent in the seaside city of Zawiyah, where the coast guard is aligned with a powerful militia and armed groups are fighting to control revenue from smuggling people and oil. The factions are among the European Unions dubious partners in efforts to stop mostly African migrants from reaching its shores.

To most migrants, being rescued by the coast guard means a forced return to Libya, where they are exposed to more abuse, incarcerated and even sold again to smugglers.

They beat everyone and took everything, said Jafar Khalifa Ibrahim, 36, an Ethiopian migrant, recalling the April day that he and scores of others in a rickety boat were intercepted by a coast guard unit, robbed of their few possessions and deposited in an abysmal detention center.

[They are not treated like humans]

In the spacious office of the Zawiyah coast guard, a rail-thin commander seated on a couch devoured his lunch. Abd al-Rahman Milad was tired and hungry after a long night of patrolling.

His deputy, Ali, had just proudly shown the video to a Washington Post journalist. When he heard Alis explanation for whipping migrants, Milad nodded in approval.

Six years ago, at the start of the Arab Spring uprising, Milad left Libyas Naval Academy and joined rebels who were revolting against Moammar Gaddafis regime. I was shot nine times during the revolution, said Milad, 31, raising a scarred hand.

After Gaddafis fall and death, militias vied for control of territory, influence and the North African nations petroleum resources. Milads powerful tribe the Awlad Bu Hmeira seized Zawiyahs refinery. With the help of his tribe, Milad took control of the port and made himself head of the local branch of the coast guard, U.N. investigators said in a report last month.

He soon became known by his nom de guerre: al-Bija.

With three competing governments, including one backed by the West, rule of law is largely absent in Libya today. Power is mostly in the hands of militias, which run town councils and operate the coast guard in coastal cities.

NATO airstrikes in 2011 to help oust Gaddafi destroyed much of the Libyan Navys fleet and its ability to patrol its 1,100-mile coastline. With the economy shattered, coast guard employees have not been paid in months. Meanwhile, Libya has become the largest crossing point for migrants to Europe. More than 70,000 have reached Italy this year, and more than 2,100 have drowned trying.

[A day in Libyas capital, just as the civil war reignites]

Warlords such as Milad have filled the void, dispatching their crews to patrol Libyas waters with boats labeled Libyan Coast Guard.

Milad said his men lack resources and get little credit for their operations. Why doesnt Europe do more to support smaller coast guards like us? he said. We stop oil traffickers. Weve rescued thousands of migrants and taken them back to Libya.

But U.N. investigators and human rights activists say Milad and his crew patrol the seas to protect their own criminal activities.

A militia called the al-Nasr Brigade, commanded by one of Milads tribesmen, became active in migrant smuggling and started a detention center, said U.N. investigators. Milad and his coast guard unit, they added, are closely linked to the militia in oil and migrant smuggling. Milads crew hands migrants over to the detention center, a squalid facility where they are starved and often beaten. The center, U.N. investigators said, is used to sell migrants to other smugglers. And female migrants were sold on the local market as sex slaves.

The U.N. investigators said that Milad and other coast guard members are directly involved in the sinking of migrant boats using firearms. Some Libyan and Western security officials said the coast guard charges smugglers a fee for each boat, and those who do not pay are targeted.

Milad denied that his units traffic in migrants. The smugglers, he said, wear uniforms similar to those worn by his men, so the international aid agencies think the coast guard is trafficking in humans.

They cant prove we are involved, he said.

A spokesman for Libyas Navy, under control of the Western-backed government, called the accusations against the coast guard fabrications.

Instead of having these organizations support us to save more people, they attack us as if they are aiding the smugglers not the Navy, said the spokesman, Brig. Gen. Ayoub Qassem. He said Milads coast guard unit is one of the most active in rescue missions and in stopping illegal migrations, and so he has many enemies.

At a meeting in Brussels last month, E.U. leaders described the Libyan coast guard as a key ally and pledged more financial assistance to Libyas Navy.

Catherine Ray, an E.U. spokeswoman, said that the organization takes seriously the allegations against the coast guard, and that better training was a way to improve conditions. To date, she said, 133 members of the Libyan coast guard have been trained in courses that puts a strong focus on human rights and womens rights.

Humanitarian organizations are unconvinced.

They say gun-wielding coast guard units have tried to stop them from rescuing migrants at sea. Several migrants in detention centers in Zawiyah and Tripoli told The Washington Post that the coast guard seized their cellphones, money and jewelry.

European authorities should not be providing support to the Libyan coast guard, either directly or indirectly, said Annemarie Loof, an operational manager with Doctors Without Borders, an international humanitarian group. This support is further endangering lives.

Milad denied that his men robbed migrants but said that sometimes migrants give them phones and other possessions for safekeeping.

In Zawiyah, the mere mention of Milads name allows passage through militia checkpoints. He and other coast guardsmen own Mercedes and expensive SUVs. When asked how they earn money, Milad said they had other jobs but declined to provide more details.

But his power is also under threat.

In recent months, clashes have erupted between tribes for control of the citys migrant smuggling trade.

In April, Milad and his crew spotted a boat filled with migrants. As they approached, smugglers in another boat opened fire on them, he said. Less than an hour later, four of the smugglers were dead, and three others injured.

The smugglers belonged to another influential tribe, and in Libya, tribal allegiance trumps all other relationships.

We tried to avoid shooting them because of the tribal situation, said Milad. But we had to fight back.

As per custom and tradition, elders from both tribes negotiated a blood-money settlement to prevent revenge attacks. Milad was ordered to pay $185,000 to the smugglers families.

But Milad is considering not handing over the sum, which would allow his rivals to buy more weapons and influence.

If we pay, do you think they will not chase us again? he said.

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A European deal with Libya could leave migrants facing beatings, rape and slavery

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Libya's coast guard abuses migrants despite E.U. funding and ... - Washington Post

The Lonely, Heroic Work of a Gay Libyan Refugee Living in America – Slate Magazine (blog)

Photo illustration by Natalie Matthews-Ramo. Photos by Thinkstock.

Late last week, in a West Village townhome, Hass Agili scrolled past the Facebook messages containing death threats and hate speech, past the harrowing notes disgracing him and his family, and tapped on a message from a college student living outside Tripoli. For privacy reasons, well call him Ali. Hes 18-years-old, and the cover photo on his Facebook profile is an image of Hass standing in front of the Statue of Liberty.

Their message chain is written in both Arabic and English, mixed with heart emojis and screenshots from secret LGBTQ Facebook pages with posts praising Hass. Exchanging messages with Hass, a gay Libyan who successfully gained refugee status and resettled in the United States, is like talking to a celebrity, says Ali. Ali asks Hass for advice on how he, too, can escape Libya, and wants to know what the U.S. Supreme Court ruling partially reinstating the travel ban means for potential refugees like him. Ali risks his life by sharing so much with Hass about how he survives as a gay person in Libya. If anyone were to find these messages, he would be outed and likely killed. Ali is just one of many gay Libyans now coming to Hass for help.

They are really scared and desperate to get out, said Hass.

Out of the nearly 85,000 refugees admitted to the US in 2016, Hass was the only Libyan, and there hasnt been another since. Hes now 34-years-old, living in New York City with a social security number and refugee status that expires this month. As required by law, Hass applied for a green card, and now he waits on the status of his application.

I worry that the Trump administration and repercussions from the travel ban might affect my application. But nobody will tell you anything. Theres nothing I can do but wait and see, said Hass.

In the meantime, Hass has found purpose in advising gay Libyans on how they, too, can find refuge from a country with harsh realities for gay individuals.

Hass arrived in the U.S. six months before President Donald Trump listed Libya among the Muslim-majority countries whose nationals would not be allowed entry into the United States, but it wasnt until a month after the executive order that word of Hasss story spread. A CNN story emerged that detailed Hasss escape from Libya. It explained how, in 2011, after the Gaddafi government fell to the Arab Spring, the situation for gay Libyans was dire. Hass remembers watching videos of gay people he knew being beheaded.

They put him in the center of a soccer stadium, Hass said, with kids and men and women watching, and killed him. He was a nice guy. We went out for drinks once.

Hass was outed as gay by a university classmate shortly after. He was ostracized and harassed. No longer safe in Tripoli, he scrounged up $300 dollars and set off for Jordan, then to Lebanon and, later, Slovakia. Hass spent 563 days enmeshed in the dizzying process of seeking refugee status with the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) and jumping through every hoop required of the few who are granted resettlement in the United States.

I had six in-person interviews, went through I dont know how many federal agenciesthere were eighthad three sets of fingerprints taken and a retinal scan. Hass arrived at JFK airport on June 6, 2016, thanks in large part to the support of journalist Andrew Solomon, who Hass met while Solomon was reporting in Tripoli in 2005. Hass now lives with Solomon and his family.

Hasss story made a splash in English-speaking media. The CNN video was viewed over one million times and the article reached over 150 million people on social platforms. Quickly thereafter, it went viral in Libya after being translated into Arabic.

I immediately got all these messages on Facebook, English and Arabic, from around the world, said Hass. The messages convey everything from support to disgust, and collectively, they paint a salient image of the seldom seen complexities that gay refugees face.

A friend from high school, hes actually a Libyan refugee in Norway, sent me an angry message. He said, Did you ever think of your family before doing this? Youre a horrible person, said Hass. Other past classmates taunted him on social media. They made fun of my mother, for some reason, and started arguing that Im not even Libyan.

The death threats came, too, from both home and abroad, from people of every creed. One note from a New York City resident read, We are in the city. Well find him, and well kill him.

The cultural hostility against homosexuals makes Hass hesitant to engage with fellow refugees or Libyan communities in the U.S. To many of them, I am like a dirty animal. To them, gay is sodomy, simple as that. Theyd say, He deserves to die and no one should shed a tear on you. This, compounded with the rejection of human diversity and celebration of exclusionary nationalism that has rapidly spread since the 2016 election, further isolated Hass.

I wish I could tell them it will work. But its a gambling process. You put your life at risk and wait.

The negative response spurred a bout of depression. I felt like I had this IV in my arm, and there was this poison going inside my veins. It felt like I hadnt left Libya, he said.

But the messages from gay Libyans brought an unexpected salve. Despite only knowing a handful of other gay men and women from his life in Tripoli, Hass became an overnight hero among Libyas LGBTQ community.

All these gay people and groups in Libya found me and told me they watch the video every day, he said. One of the first was Ali.

When I responded to Ali, he could not believe it was me. And I could relate to that. I can imagine myself still in Libya, and the thrill I would feel if I could speak to that person, to know that this escape is doable. If someone can leave, I can too, said Hass.

Many of Hasss former counterparts wonder about the travel ban. Hass regrets that, to this day, he can offer them no material help. I have to tell them that the U.S. is probably not going to be up for resettlement right now, he said. Even if they manage to escape Libya, and are granted refugee status, they wont end up in the U.S.

For years, as the UNHCR referred individuals with refugee status for resettlementless than one percent of the more than 22 million refugees are resettledthe United States accepted more refugees than any other nation. (The year Hass arrived in U.S. so did 12,587 refugees from Syria and 9,880 from Iraq.) Those numbers have since declined. Last October, 9,945 refugees resettled in the US. In March of 2017, there were only 2,070, according to the Pew Research Center. This coincides with Trumps two executive orders stating that refugee admissions should observe a cap of 50,000; the Obama administrations annual ceiling was 110,000. Of course, Trumps pen stroke also excluded all nationals from six Muslim-majority countries, including Libya.

It was already bad, said Hass. With the U.S. leaving the picture, chances hit the floor. Waiting times will be longer now.

In his recent messages with Ali and other gay Libyans, questions arose about what subsequent rulings from the Supreme Court might mean for them as asylum seekers.

I told them it doesnt look much better, unless someone has close family in the States, Hass said.

Hass told me that If Ali did manage to leave Libya legally, hed have to go to a neighboring country and maneuver his way to a city where the UNHCR has an office. Hed apply for refugee status and have to convince officials that he is indeed gay and faces persecution back home. While Ali is in a vulnerable situation, in the grand scheme of the global refugee crisis, he lands somewhere in the middle of the hierarchy of risk. If Ali managed to get to Europe, some countrieslike Holland and the Scandinavian countrieswould provide him an allowance while he waits on his application. But the odds of being stuck in limbo, waiting on emails, letters, interviews, and approvals for years, are higher than ever. The system is inflexible and unconcerned by its own complexity.

I wish I could tell them it will work, that I could say, This is exactly how it will happen. But its a gambling process. You put your life at risk and wait. Meanwhile, theres nothing left in your country, you are running away for your life. So, you have to be willing to take the risk.

The time to leave may never come for Ali. Hed need great financial backing to leave Libya and sustain him during the arduous application process. Hass tells him that it may not be until the end of the Trump administration that he can offer substantive help. Nonetheless, Hass remains Alis source for counsel and hope, and, in turn, Hass has come to rely on Ali and other gay Libyans to find purpose in his new life.

It makes me feel like it was all worthwhile. One day, once Im a citizen, Ill be able to provide some real material help to these people. Hass still wants to become a doctor in the U.S., but his chances of doing so are slim. Hed have to start over from the undergraduate level. He may have a better chance of forging a new path working with asylum seekers tied up in the fraught system.

Hass says that, if anything, his experience thus far has taught him about the tenuous and volatile role of the country he now calls home.

Regardless of whats going on in this country with Trump, people all around the world are still looking up to the U.S. ... And being here now, I have to realize that when Im fighting for my rights, I am fighting for everyones rights all around the world.

Hass likes to think he will make the road easier for others who might follow somedaythat his story, and hopefully Alis too, will alter our understanding of the term refugee.

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The Lonely, Heroic Work of a Gay Libyan Refugee Living in America - Slate Magazine (blog)