Archive for the ‘Migrant Crisis’ Category

Time for a harder line on the migrant crisis – The Times

August 7 2017, 12:01am,The Times

Clare Foges

Western nations must crack down on sea crossings and reform the UNs Refugee Convention

The competition among United Nations officials to make the most irritating comment about the UK continues. There was the UN human rights expert who said sexism was more pervasive here than in any other country she had visited. Then the UN special representative for international migration described British plans to build a wall around the port of Calais as inhumane. Now we have Volker Trk, of the UN high commissioner for refugees, vying hard for first prize.

Last week Mr Trk said the UK needs to step up and help to address the migrant crisis. Never mind that we have committed hundreds of millions to help refugees in the camps around Syria, or that in 2016 we resettled more refugees than any other country in

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Time for a harder line on the migrant crisis - The Times

Italy’s ‘Lord of the Spies’ Takes On a Migration Crisis – New York Times

According to Nicola Latorre, an Italian senator and ally of the minister, Mr. Minniti was the protagonist of the breakthrough last week, when Prime Minister Fayez Serraj of Libya requested the support of Italian naval ships to counter human trafficking.

It is a risky endeavor that Italy has nevertheless sought for years, desperate to cut the migrant flow. Its success or failure now falls to Mr. Minniti, who polls show to be a popular member of a government with uncertain chances in the next election.

Some political observers have even suggested that Mr. Minniti, with his leftist background and ability to please conservatives with tough talk on security, might be a good candidate for prime minister. He has served in five center-left Italian governments, though he emphasized that he had never asked for a position. Ive always been chosen, he said.

Minniti could be a card to play, said Marco Damilano, a prominent Italian journalist who has written often about him.

Mr. Minniti dismissed such talk. He said he was instead more focused on countering Islamic radicalism by making pacts with local imams that required them to preach in Italian, building new relationships in Africa and working with the Libyans to defeat human traffickers.

Human relationships count a lot, said the old spy master.

The number of migrants who have landed in Italy this year totals more than 95,000, with about 2,000 who drowned. It is a crisis that has defied nearly every attempt to solve it.

Despite a mix of appeals and threats by Mr. Minniti at European Union meetings, neighboring countries have done little to share Italys crushing burden.

In particular, tensions have risen with President Emmanuel Macron of France, who has resisted accepting migrants and started an uncertain peace process in Libya that, critics here say, blindsided Italy and weakened its chances of stopping traffickers by legitimizing a rival of Mr. Serraj.

Mr. Minniti said that he agreed in principle with Mr. Macron on trying to reach a peace in Libya, but that a target of 2018 would be too late for him. I cannot wait, he said.

He argued that smashing human trafficking networks and investing in Libyan mayors were the best ways to stabilize a porous southern Libyan border that allows migrants from traditionally Francophone African countries to pass.

As Mr. Minniti fidgeted with a silver Casio watch, representatives of humanitarian organizations met in the ministry with officials to try to agree on a new code of conduct for rescuing migrants near Libyan waters.

More than 40 percent of migrants at sea are now rescued by private aid ships, and Mr. Minniti wants to make sure those ships are not colluding with traffickers an accusation popular among right-wing politicians, white nationalist groups and a Sicilian prosecutor.

He also insists that it is only appropriate that the Italian police be able to board those ships, which they did on Wednesday.

My duty is to be close to those who are afraid, to reassure them, to liberate them from fear, Mr. Minniti said, arguing that the left can no longer afford to ignore or look down on people scared by immigration or terrorism.

I think fear is the crucial element of the next 10 years in democracy, he said. In Italy and all the world.

That law-and-order talk has been too much for some of Mr. Minnitis old comrades on the left. (One left-leaning newspaper suggested that Mr. Minniti thought he was Batman.) But the intense and abstemious minister said service to the state was in his blood.

His father was one of nine brothers to make a career in the military. In high school in Reggio Calabria, he developed a love of the ancient poet Catullus.

But his true passion was for the skies. He hoped to follow his familys tradition by becoming an air force pilot. Instead, his mother put her foot down, saying the family had already given enough.

Mr. Minniti said he took the ban badly. (The shelves of his office still display the models of the jets he once hoped to fly.)

In an act of rebellion, he studied philosophy at the University of Messina. He wrote his thesis on the Georgics of Virgil, and to help understand the exploitation of slaves in the ancient Roman fields, he said I used Marx.

Those studies helped bring him closer to the Communist Party, and when he graduated, he said, his father showed how proud he was of his communist philosopher son when he didnt show up.

But that opposition only fueled Mr. Minnitis conviction as he sought to stand up for the countrys democratic values in dangerous sections of Calabria ruled by one of Italys feared mafias, the Ndrangheta (pronounced n-DRAHN-ghe-ta).

In 1980, Mr. Minniti, a free-diving enthusiast, was trying on a swimsuit when he received word that a friend in the Communist Party had been gunned down by the mob. It fell on him to tell his comrades parents.

In the 1980s, he began working closely with the Communist Partys rising star, Massimo DAlema. In the early 1990s, Mr. Minniti by then married to a musician, Mariangela, with whom he has two daughters moved with Mr. DAlema to form a new political party.

When Mr. DAlema became prime minister in 1998, he brought Mr. Minniti in as his right-hand man. The young aide worked at a desk once used by Benito Mussolini, and less than a month into his tenure answered a secure phone in his bedroom.

I was convinced it would never ring, he said.

The Italian authorities had stopped Abdullah Ocalan, leader of the Kurdistan Workers Party, who was considered a terrorist by many, as he entered Italy. Mr. Minniti ordered his arrest, setting off on a crash course in international intelligence operations and spy craft.

The experience followed almost immediately by his crucial role in the Italian intervention in Kosovo gave him a taste for security work.

In 1999, he made his first visit to Libya, a former Italian colony, and began to learn about its disparate centers of power. Today he rattles off the names of Libyan towns where traffickers loom, places that he says he knows better than his native Calabria.

But whether that deep experience can resolve Italys endless migrant crisis remains a long shot. Already, like with an earlier agreement with the Libyans that Mr. Minniti helped broker, not all has gone according to plan.

Early in the planning, a competing Libyan leader, Gen. Khalifa Hifter whom Mr. Macron has included in peace talks has threatened to bomb the Italian navys ships. The Italian ambassador in Tripoli responded that such threats were useless and that the Italian mission would go ahead.

Mr. Minnitis ministry eager to show its strategy is working has latched on to a dip in the number of migrants arriving in Italy compared with last year.

The minister himself knows skepticism is high and said that when he first broached dealing with Libya, which lacked an empowered interlocutor with whom to negotiate, critics laughed in my face.

They said, You dont understand the most basic thing: Libya is instable.

What he does understand, he said, is that such instability means anything can happen at any time and that any deal could blow up. But we have built a path.

A version of this article appears in print on August 5, 2017, on Page A7 of the New York edition with the headline: Italys Lord of the Spies Takes On a Migration Crisis.

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Italy's 'Lord of the Spies' Takes On a Migration Crisis - New York Times

‘France gets the oil & Italy keeps the boats!’ Italian MPs blast Paris over migrant crisis – Express.co.uk

Italy is grappling with an influx, with UN figures revealing more than 94,000 people have crossed the Mediterranean into the nation so far this year.

And more than 2,300 have died while trying to attempt the perilous crossing.

At its shortest distance, the EU country is a mere 290 miles from the coast of Libya, a largely lawless country which has seen the number of people smugglers rocket.

Given the short distance to the EU from the North African coast, Italy is dealing with a higher number of migrants on their shores when compared to other countries on the continent, particularly northern Europe.

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Refugees and migrants wait in a small rubber boat to be rescued off Lampedusa, Italy

Rome has pleaded with Brussels and its neighbours for help in dealing with the influx, with many politicians voicing their frustration over what they see as being abandoned to deal with the issue themselves.

President of political party Fratelli dItalia, or Brothers of Italy, lamented the situation in the country.

Giorgia Meloni said: Italy is now the refugee camp of Europe."

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Fellow politician Alessandro Di Battista, from the M5S party, took a swipe at Paris over the situation.

He said: "France gets the oil while Italy keeps the boats.

His comments are indicative over infighting among EU countries, with Italy viewing France as having its claws in Libyas lucrative oil trade.

Italy is now the refugee camp of Europe

Giorgia Meloni

Once producing some 1.6 million barrels a day of the black gold, production plummeted after dictator Muammar Gaddafi was toppled by an international coalition in 2011.

During the action to topple Gaddafi, Paris led the NATO airstrikes with the French Air Force flying a third of NATO sorties.

Despite a shaky recovery, production has recovered to 1.4 million barrels a day, and makes up 80 per cent of Libyas GDP.

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Libya has become fractured and unstable, but oil production remains its key export and props up its fragile economy.

But Italy bitterly views France as profiteering off the oil, while it gets saddled with the migrants who come over in their thousands.

Last year French company Technip has signed a $500million (380n) deal to refurbish an oil platform off the coast off Libya, which includes Libya's National Oil Company.

Despite Italian firm ENI part of the consortium, France is seen at the forefront of the project, with Foreign Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault saying at the time: The project demonstrates the desire of French companies to contribute to the petroleum sector, the backbone of the Libyan economy.

The boost was widely seen as French attempts to prop up the economy, giving it a much needed boost.

But the current situation in the Mediterranean has led the desperate Italian government to toy with the idea of issuing 200,000 temporary migrant visas for onwards travel within Europe, in a bid to force other countries to take on more responsibility.

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And the latest measure to tackle the rising numbers has seen a fleet of Italian ships in a de facto battle with Libyan vessels in the Mediterranean Sea, after the Italian government ordered the Navy to try to stop ships making the journey across the water.

In response General Kalifa Haftar, who controls most of the east of Libya, ordered Libyan forces to bomb any Italian ships part of the mission.

The Libyan National Army said in a statement: Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, issues orders to the Libyan naval bases in Tobruk, Benghazi, Ras Lanuf and Tripoli to confront any marine unit that enters the Libyan waters without the permission of the army.

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'France gets the oil & Italy keeps the boats!' Italian MPs blast Paris over migrant crisis - Express.co.uk

Italy is bearing the brunt of Europe’s migrant crisis, boosting populists with radical ideas – Quartz

With Italy now bearing the brunt, the Italian [prime minister] has called for other EU states to help. But intra-EU cohesion has been lacking, say HSBCs analysts. Financial support to countries with external borders has been low. And, so far, only 25,000 of the 160,000 refugees that were due to be distributed across the EU have actually moved, meaning most remain in their country of arrival.

Many of the more than a million migrants that have settled in Germany over the past few years were Syrians, Afghans, and Iraqis fleeing war. By contrast, the vast majority of recent arrivals into Italy come from Africa, where the distinction between refugees and economic migrants is not clear-cut, the analysts note.

This is an important distinction. After Emmanuel Macron defeated rightwing populist Marine Le Pen in May elections to become the president of France, and the party of far-right politician Geert Wilders underperformed in Dutch parliamentary elections, some assumed populisms momentum in Europe, fueled by anti-immigration sentiment, was waning. This is premature, says HSBC.

Anxiety about immigration could play into the hands of populist, anti-EU parties as Italy gears up for a general election due in May (but may be called earlier).

Italy is the euro zones third-largest economy, with public debt of some 2.3 trillion ($2.7 trillion). The populist 5 Star Movement, which has topped several pre-election opinion polls this year, once called for a referendum on Italys euro membership if it won power, although it has backed off from this in recent months. The more vehemently anti-immigration, anti-euro Northern Leaguewhich is polling at nearly 15%is clearer about wanting Italy to scrap the euro and quit the EU.

If Italy left the euro, its new currency would swiftly depreciate, boosting its already enormous euro-denominated debt load. The countrys extensive financial connections with the rest of the euro zone mean that the turmoil would spread far. Oxford Economics says that if Italy left the euro, it could cut 0.4% from global GDP.

Thats what could be at stake as eurosceptic populists bolster their support in response to Italys migrant crisis. Reflecting the popular mood, the governing center-left party has itself begun speaking in harsher terms about immigration. It dispatched navy ships to Libyan waters this week to help local forces deter boats from launching. A new rule also require rescue craft run by NGOs in the Mediterranean to carry police on them, to ensure that they are not abetting people smugglers. A German group that didnt comply had its boat seized recently by the Italian coast guard.

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Italy is bearing the brunt of Europe's migrant crisis, boosting populists with radical ideas - Quartz

Migrants are poised to kickstart the solution for Germany’s chronic workforce problem – Quartz

The migrants, mainly refugees, who have come to Germany since the beginning of 2015 will take time to integrate into society. And not all of them will. But eventually they could help solve the countrys problems of a shrinking workforce due to a declining population.

The migrant crisis has added hundreds of thousands of people to European countries populations in under two years. Germany alone had 1.2 million asylum applications from the beginning of 2015 until the end of May 2017, 1.5% of the German population. Across 28 European Union countries, 2.6 million people filed for asylum in that period.

Before the 2015 refugee crisis, which was classed as worse than the one following World War II, Germanys population was predicted to drop consistently for decades. That would pose a problem because fewer people would be joining the workforce, paying taxes, and helping pay for pensions.

Its doubtful that the refugee influx could help with Germanys demographic problem in the long term; the countrys birthrate is just too low and it has a large baby-boom population which will die off. But at least for the short term, recent revisions to population numbers and birth rates show that the unprecedented refugee crisis is making a tangible impact.

As a new report from HSBC titled EU Migrant Crisis: A new phase brings new challenges points out, the UN now predicts that the German population will rise to 83 million in 2020, from around 81 million currently, after previously being estimated to drop to 80 million. Germanys fertility rate rose to a 33-year high in 2015, thanks in large part to immigrants.

Of course, those people still need to be integrated into the workforce. The headline figures arent promising: Only 9% of migrants who arrived in 2015 have found a job so far, according to a German Institute for Employment Research (IAB) survey, cited by HSBC.

But HSBCs analysts argue that most of these migrants are currently in training programs and Germanys education system is well-equipped to train people on both academic and vocational paths. For the latter it has apprenticeship systems that train people in bulk for jobs the economy needs. So there should soon be a glut of workers ready to help Germany.

The litmus test will be whether those people are ready to get to work when the training programs come to an end, warns the report. However, it says, German unemployment is so low, at 3.9%, that the country can withstand a rise in unemployment if not all the new trainees can immediately find work.

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Migrants are poised to kickstart the solution for Germany's chronic workforce problem - Quartz