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What do Rand Paul's venues say about his campaign launch?

CHARLESTON, South Carolina -- Kentucky senator and newly minted presidential candidate Rand Paul is in Iowa City, Iowa Friday for the second to last official event of his weeklong campaign launch: a rally at the University of Iowa, where young voters are expected to gather to embrace his signature call for smaller, less intrusive government.

Paul has been criss-crossing the country since he formally announced his bid for the White House Tuesday, to win votes and raise money. This trip -- accompanied by an aggressive online push and a slew of interviews with major media outlets along the way -- allowed him to introduce himself to those voters who will vote first - and who could make or break his campaign.

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Kentucky Senator Rand Paul announces he will run for president in 2016.

Here's a look at the venues chosen to kick off Paul's campaign and what they convey about his candidacy:

Paul first formalized his bid for the White House in a hotel ballroom in his home state where, less than five years ago, he was elected into office for the first time. Dr. Dewey Clayton, a political science professor at the University of Louisville who has witnessed the freshman senator's meteoric rise, said he was initially surprised that Paul chose Louisville instead of his adopted hometown of Bowling Green. It was Bowling Green where Paul established his ophthalmology practice and became involved with local politics and his local church, which Paul was careful to mention in his remarks Tuesday. Bowling Green is also more conservative. But Louisville, with a population of more than 700,000, is the biggest city in the state.

Clayton said he expects the state to embrace Paul, whose anti-Obama rhetoric plays well in Kentucky.

"To be honest, it's somewhat exciting for the state of Kentucky," he said. The state is the birthplace of one U.S. president, Abraham Lincoln. Clayton mused, "I cannot remember the last Kentuckian who was running for President of the United States." (The name he was looking for - the last true Kentuckian to run for president - was then-Vice President Alben Barkley, in 1952.)

Paul began his speech by repeating his own words from the night he won Kentucky's Republican senate primary back in 2010 -- "[W]e've come to take our country back!" -- and he found his words were as well-received the second time around.

Few Republican politicians pass up the chance to invoke the state motto of New Hampshire: "Live Free or Die." Paul, who prides himself on defending the Bill of Rights, was quick to incorporate it into his speech Wednesday when he addressed an overflowing town hall of Granite State voters.

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What do Rand Paul's venues say about his campaign launch?

Rand Pauls grand deception

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) announces his campaign for president. (AP)

In March of 2013, Rand Paul occupied the Senate floor for a 13-hour filibuster, promising to speak until I can no longer speak in the cause that no American should be killed by a drone on American soil without first being charged with a crime. Enthused Ted Cruz: Youre standing here today like a modern Mr. Smith Goes to Washington. Marco Rubio also rose in support, with a speech that will be long remembered for its quotes from rappers Wiz Khalifa and Jay-Z.

This was probably the high point of hip-hop-based Senate discourse (though who knows what the future might bring). It was certainly the center-stage moment for libertarian foreign policy appealing to a concern for civil liberties, an exhaustion with the global war on terrorism and a suspicion among elements of the right that President Obama is capable of anything, including missile strikes against citizens at cafes.

But the greatest enemy of ideology is history, which tends to pick apart political abstractions bit by bit. Military aggression by Russia, a regional power grab by Iran and the rise of the Islamic State as the most dangerous terror state in modern times have all highlighted the risks of American passivity. The main GOP charge against Obama is weakness, not executive overreach. And the three musketeers from that day in 2013 have had a nasty breakup. I dont agree with Paul on foreign policy, says Cruz, who like Paul, has announced his run for the Republican presidential nomination. Rubio, should he run for the presidency, would be the fields foremost exponent of muscular internationalism.

Paul himself has beat a tactical retreat from the front lines of libertarian foreign policy. Having previously proposed slashing defense spending, he now awkwardly embraces increases. Having tracked closely with Obamas position on Iran, the Kentucky Republican now prefers negotiation from a position of strength.

This movement from paranoia to platitudes highlights the tension at the heart of the Paul 2016 campaign. He must send signals of sympathy to the extensive libertarian field organization assembled by his father. He must also show indications of evolution to mainstream Republicans in order to be imaginable as commander in chief. Every word Paul says on foreign policy must pass this balancing test. The result is a tap dance on a tightrope.

Paul is either abandoning his deepest beliefs on foreign policy or playing a libertarian long game. The latter is much more likely.

Paul often uses policy and proposals not to reveal his deepest beliefs but to advance a set of unstated beliefs. His drone filibuster was not really about the lunchtime vulnerability of Americans to Hellfire missiles. Paul was using the issue strategically, to advance his opposition to the global war on terrorism. His proposed restrictions on the war against the Islamic State involving yearly congressional reauthorization of the use of force is couched as constitutionalism. But his plan would make it practically impossible for a chief executive to conduct a war. Which, we can fairly assume, is the larger goal.

Paul opposes aid to Syrian rebels because, he says, arms might fall into the wrong hands and be used against Syrian Christians. But what, then, is his plan to save Christians and fight jihadists? That really isnt the point. The objective of his argument is to reinforce a policy of nonintervention.

Or take Pauls Stand with Israel Act, which would end all foreign aid to the Palestinian Authority. But Pauls broader, libertarian agenda is the gradual elimination of all foreign aid, period, including to Israel. All nations should be free of foreign aid, he recently said.

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Rand Pauls grand deception

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