Why Theres a Civil War in Idaho Inside the GOP – POLITICO
Nevertheless, Bundy dismissed McGeachins governor-for-a-day anti-mandate orders as a political gimmick. The only one they benefit is her. What would he have done in her place? I would have done what I did do, rally the people. I would have used the office of the lieutenant governor to unite the legislature to end the [governors] emergency order. As governor, he added, he would focus on downsizing the executive agencies and restoring power back to the legislature, where it belongs. But without appearing to see a contradiction, he said he would do so by executive fiat: I think I could spend four years doing that and not have to deal with the legislature at all.
In Idaho as elsewhere, Republicans tend to extol local control rather than high-handed state and federal directives. But that principle tends to hold only as long as local governments do what conservatives want. Boise, for example, elected its city councilmembers at large, which reinforced its Democratic-leaning majority. So in 2020 Republican legislators passed a law ordering all cities with more than 100,000 residents which then meant only Boise to hold district elections, in hopes of capturing some seats. This may have unintended consequences: Two Republican-dominated cities in the Treasure Valley, Meridian and Nampa, have since passed the 100,000 threshold.
Bundy, however, leapfrogs over this contradiction. When I asked him if local control meant school boards and cities should be free to adopt Covid restrictions, he responded in classic libertarian fashion: The primary local control is the individual, over his own life and body. ... Theres no role of a city to come in and say, you cant come out of your homes unless you wear a mask.
Still, theres something inconsistent about his Keep Idaho Idaho slogan. He proposes to restore the original Idaho, to rescue it from the likes of third-generation Idahoan rancher Brad Little. But Bundy himself only moved to Idaho six-and-a-half years ago; he grew up on his fathers ranch in Nevada, then lived in Phoenix. The city had grown up around us there, he explained. I just didnt want to raise my children in the city. He and his wife visited state after state seeking a new home that, as he put it, still believes in freedom. But, he laments, the whole West is changing. I grew up in Nevada. I never thought it would be predominant Democrat. Even Utah has its struggle right now. Its converting over. In Salt Lake theres a gay mayor. Which is fine, but
When the Bundys reached Emmett, they knew it was the place we needed to be. Idaho is a beautiful land, but its also a beautiful idea. ... Idaho is basically what the United States was.
No one seems to expect him to win the primary; according to one political operative, an unreleased Republican poll showed him with single-digit support, McGeachin in the low 20s (pre-Trump endorsement) and Little above 60 percent. Bundys brother Ryan, running as an independent for governor of Nevada in 2018, won just 2 percent of that vote.
Even if Bundy were somehow nominated, he might not get help from the party. Weve got to unite around whoever wins the nomination, Luna told me. Even if its Bundy? Lunas expression darkened. Hes not a Republican.
Hes right, Im not the Republican they are, that is for danged sure, Bundy responded. I never will be. Im going to give the people of Idaho a decision are you Republican or are you conservative? Cause theyre not the same thing, especially in Idaho right now.
Newcomer that he is, Bundy represents a demographic trend that is transforming politics and life in the Gem State. Call it right flight. From the 1950s through the 1980s, California was what would now be called a purple state; it elected Republican governors half the time and voted R in nearly every presidential race. Since then, California has turned deep blue; Republicans loss there has been red Idahos gain. Fueled by migration from California and, to a lesser extent, Washington and Oregon, Idahos population has soared since 2015, rising faster than any other states.
This growth has been concentrated in Boise and the sprawling, conservative suburbs and exurbs west of it places such as Star, population 11,000, roughly twice what it was 10 years ago, and Meridian, the states second-largest city, which grew 1,157 percent, from fewer than 10,000 to nearly 120,000 residents, between 1990 and 2020. Population has also surged in the far northern Panhandle, which stretches up to the Canadian border. In the heyday of unionized mining and timber industries, the north was the states most Democratic region. Now its an incubator of armed militias and fiercely ideological local politics and the center of the decade-old Redoubt Movement, which promotes the Inland Northwest as a conservative Christian refuge.
Republican migrants to Idaho outnumber Democrats about two-to-one, according to a statewide annual survey of public attitudes conducted at Boise State University. Rather than importing the liberal politics of the coastal cities theyve left, many bring smoldering resentment of government regulation and socialism. They want to make sure people here know how evil liberals are, says Alicia Abbott, a political independent in Sandpoint, the largest town in far-northern Bonner County. Shes doing voter outreach for 97 Percent, an effort to counter the Three Percenters armed extremism.
Those who fear and those who cheer the effects of right flight agree on one point: The newcomers are pushing Idaho politics farther to the right. Like Bundy, they bring a converts zeal for the hallowed rugged individualism of their new home. New to Idaho, true to Idaho, proclaims the influential Idaho Freedom Foundation, which vets legislation and legislators for their conservative correctness. Are you a refugee from California, or some other liberal playground? Did you move to Idaho to escape the craziness? its website says. Welcome to Idaho.
A thriving local preparedness real estate industry is cashing in on right flight. One broker, Todd Savage of the PATRIOTS ONLY real estate firm Black Rifle Real Estate and a self-proclaimed conservative libertarian refugee from San Francisco, had to revise a listing that read, This property is for sale to Liberty / Constitutional Buyers ONLY because the Multiple Listing Service thought it suggested bias against immigrants. No big deal, Savage told me: Business is fantastic! This whole pandemic thing has really fueled land ownership in rural areas. A lot of my clients are in police, fire, and medical fields. They are coming here in droves. They dont care about real estate prices. They have money to burn.
Luna likewise speaks of sending out the political welcome wagon to these new Idahoans, to make sure they dont get the wrong idea about Republicans: We want to make sure the first time they hear about the Idaho Republican Party, its from one of our volunteers, not on TV or in the newspapers.
The question is, which Republican Party? The power centers in Boise and the Panhandle are not moving in step. The rift opened publicly in July when the Kootenai County Republican Central Committee unanimously passed an effusive resolution endorsing the John Birch Society and urged the state party to adopt it too. (It refused.) The Kootenai resolution also urged those who do not support our party platform to follow the example of Bill Brooks, and voluntarily disaffiliate from the Idaho Republican Party. Brooks, a Kootenai County commissioner, quit the party to protest its cozying up to the Birchers, though he still considers himself a staunch conservative. He sees it as symptomatic of a broader shift: We came here 20 years ago because it was the closest thing we could find to Norman Rockwell, he told me. Now people come looking for George Lincoln Rockwell the founder of the American Nazi Party.
Candidate lawn signs dot the side of the road. | Eric Scigliano
The newcomers may denounce the cities theyve left, but they bring a combative, impatient post-urban edge to once-mellow Idaho, an impatience that shows in politics as in the increasingly congested traffic in Idahos fast-growing cities.
Chris Fillios, who serves with Brooks on the Kootenai County Commission, feels the heat. Unlike Brooks, hes stayed in the Republican Party, even though he says hes been called communist, Marxist, socialist. Its not his politics that have changed, suggests Fillios, whos lived in Idaho for 21 years and spoke at the first local Tea Party rally. Its the party. Its a psychological mass movement. People are coming here for freedom, thinking, I dont have to mask, I dont have to be nice.
Most people dont understand that we control only the county departments budgets, he continued. They think were legislators. They want to know where we stand on gun rights and abortion. They want us to reflect their values.
Fillios succinctly summed up his partys paradoxical predicament: Weve become so politicized with this single-party dominance.
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Why Theres a Civil War in Idaho Inside the GOP - POLITICO