Archive for the ‘Republican’ Category

White Police Membership in Republican Party Associated with Racial Bias, Study Finds – Newswise

Newswise WASHINGTON, DCThe connection between racially prejudiced policing and politics has a long history in the United States. However, in the last 10 years, police organizations have displayed unprecedented support for Republican presidential candidates, and both have organized against social movements focused on addressing racial disparities in police contact. Despite strong connections between law enforcement and party politics, little is known about the relationship between partisan identity and the behavior of police officers.

In his new study, The Politics of Police, appearing in the August 2023 issue of The American Sociological Review, author Samuel Thomas Donahue, Columbia University, seeks to gain a fuller understanding of the relationship between politics and the police.

To assess the association between partisan identity and officer behavior, the author used data on more than five million traffic stops made by the Florida Highway Patrol (FLHP) from January 1, 2012, to December 30, 2020. Traffic stops are one of the most common sites of state contact and are essential to the production of state legitimacy. Roughly 40 percent of all police contact with people over the age of 16 occurs during traffic stops, amounting to approximately 20 million people stopped each year. Because of this prevalence, examining racial differences in traffic stops can speak to larger narratives of racial discrimination.

The author linked FLHP stops and citation records, Florida Voter Registration and History files, data from the Uniform Crime Reporting System, and the American Community Survey five-year estimates to create a compiled dataset that includes information on whether each traffic stop resulted in a search, as well as the county, date, and time of the stop; the reason for the stop; the race of the stopped motorist; the race of the involved officer; and the partisan affiliation of the involved officer.

The findings ultimately show that membership in the Republican Party is associated with racial bias among White officers: White Republican officers exhibit a larger racial disparity than White Democratic officers in their propensity to search motorists whom they have stopped. In addition, the author also found the both White Republican and White Democratic officers grew more biased between 2012 and 2020, a period characterized by the rise of the Black Lives Matter movement and the election of Donald Trump.

The author suggests that this increase in the Black/White disparity among White officers is due to a change in the behavior of the same White officers.The author acknowledges that, even though the studys observational design means his findings are primarily descriptive, they inevitably raise questions about the causal link between partisanship and behavior. Are White Republican officers more biased because they are Republicans? Or do White officers register as Republicans because they are biased?

At its core, says Donahue, this research reveals that national politics influence how government agencies operate even without overt shifts in policy or regulation. In light of the increasingly public partisan debates over education, health care, and military intervention, we should consider how contemporary political narratives might influence rank-and-file public servants, shaping their behaviors and actions in the absence of direct policy changes.

For more information and for a copy of the study, contact [emailprotected].

________________________________________ About the American Sociological Association and the American Sociological Review The American Sociological Association, founded in 1905, is a nonprofit membership association dedicated to serving sociologists in their work, advancing sociology as a science and profession, and promoting the contributions to and use of sociology by society. The American Sociological Review is ASA's flagship journal.

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White Police Membership in Republican Party Associated with Racial Bias, Study Finds - Newswise

Ohio Republican Refuses to Resign After Being Charged in Gnarly Domestic Violence Incident – Yahoo News

Photo: Bob Young/Facebook, Summit County Sheriffs Office

Ohio state Rep. Bob Young (R) is refusing to resign after being indicted on one count of domestic violence and one count of assault following alleged altercations involving his wife and brother earlier this month. Early Monday, the Summit County Sheriffs Office released body camera footage that shows the bloody wreckage at his brother Michaels home after Young came to confront him.

According to court documents and police reports that have been shared by local media, the violence began when Young was loudly arguing with a friend early in the morning on July 7. Youngs wife, Tina, says she raised a hand in front of his face to quiet her husband down, prompting Young to grab her arm and hit her with an open hand across the face. When Tina tried to call the police, she says Young grabbed her phone and threw it into the pool.

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On this particular evening at my home, we had some drinks and I acted poorly and said things I shouldnt have. My behavior, while not criminal, was inappropriate and out of character. I apologize to everyone involved, including and especially my wife and children, Young said. He continued, I take pride in serving the people of my district and will continue to serve them even as I work through these issues. I know there are better days ahead, which is why Im voluntarily entering a counseling program to address some of the issues that led to this incident.

First elected in 2020, Young has received hundreds of thousands from the Ohio Republican Party and voted just last month to pass an omnibus anti-trans bill called the Saving Adolescents from Experimentation (SAFE) Act, as well as a Parental Bill of Rights law to censor teaching about queer identity and resources for LGBTQ youth in schools. In 2021, Young voted for an anti-abortion, so-called born alive bill to further stigmatize abortion.

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Ohio Republican Refuses to Resign After Being Charged in Gnarly Domestic Violence Incident - Yahoo News

AROUND TOWN: Cobb’s Republican tax commissioner to run as a … – MDJOnline.com

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AROUND TOWN: Cobb's Republican tax commissioner to run as a ... - MDJOnline.com

Trumps mixed message on early voting muddles Republican 2024 strategy – The Hill

Former President Trump’s muddled messages on early voting risk hurting Republicans as they look to revamp their strategy heading into 2024.

During a town hall interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity this week, Trump said he would encourage Republicans to do early voting. At the same time, he also sowed doubt over the approach — baselessly alleging people make “phony ballots” and claiming “a lot of bad things happen to those ballots.”

Those comments are a stark contrast to recent initiatives launched by the Republican National Committee (RNC) and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) to encourage GOP voters to cast their ballots early as they look to make up ground against Democrats in early voting.

“It’s not helpful. I think [Trump] raising questions about mail-in votes is a big part of why we don’t control the Senate and why we have such a slim majority in the House. It’s just ludicrous that the party wouldn’t be united in encouraging voters to vote early,” said Alex Conant, a Republican strategist who worked on Sen. Marco Rubio’s (R-Fla.) 2016 presidential campaign.

Republicans are increasingly embracing early voting as a way to juice up GOP voter turnout as the party looks to change Republicans’ mindset over a strategy the former president has demonized.

Last month, the RNC launched a “Bank Your Vote” campaign that aims to encourage voters to vote early. A press release stated the initiative would “encourage, educate, and activate Republican voters on when, where, and how to lock in their votes as early as possible, through in-person early voting, absentee voting, and ballot harvesting where legal.”

Earlier this month, Youngkin and several Republican groups teamed up to launch the Secure Your Vote Virginia initiative aimed at encouraging Republicans and swing voters in the state to cast ballots early in person or vote by mail. The initiative comes ahead of Virginia’s state Legislature elections this November. 

A Virginia GOP strategist confirmed the Secure Your Vote Virginia initiative is a seven-figure effort and said they’ve been “very pleased with how the response has been” so far. 

“What Sean Hannity and [Florida Gov.] Ron DeSantis and Glenn Younkin and [Georgia Gov.] Brian Kemp are saying is the rules are the rules,” the strategist said, adding later, “Get off the sideline, don’t fight with one hand behind your back and follow the rules that are allowed and make sure you’re getting as many votes as you can.”

Republican secretaries of state — the top elections officials in their states — have also encouraged early voting, including in their campaigns. Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger’s (R) office noted last December that the state broke records for midterm early voting turnout and midterm absentee mail ballots cast during the November election.

“Georgia voters have been utilizing early voting for several election cycles now, and successful campaigns like mine and Gov. Brian Kemp have always incorporated early voting into our campaign strategies— as would any candidate who actually wants to win,” Raffensperger said in a statement to The Hill. 

In Kentucky, Secretary of State Michael Adams (R) has encouraged early voting, and his office told The Hill that Republicans are having an edge over Democrats in using it.

“From 2020 through the May primary of this year, we’ve seen slightly more Republicans than Democrats take advantage of early voting — proportionate to our voter registration breakdown,” Michon Lindstrom, a spokesperson for Adams, told The Hill in an email.

Adams in May released unofficial early voting turnout numbers ahead of the gubernatorial primary, showing almost 42,000 Republicans and around 30,700 Democrats used no-excuse early voting.

Even Trump more recently this year was encouraging the use of early voting methods. 

Speaking to a crowd at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in March, he said, “Republicans must compete using every lawful means to win. That means swamping the left with mail-in votes, early votes and Election Day votes. Have to do it. We have to change our thinking.”

But while Trump suggested to Hannity this week he would encourage early voting heading into 2024, he also suggested Republicans couldn’t entirely trust the process.

“I will, but those ballots get lost also, Sean,” Trump said when asked if he’d encourage his supporters to vote early. “You know, they send them in, and all of a sudden, they’re gone.”

Trump’s campaign for its part has said the former president has been straightforward on his view of early voting.

“He’s been very consistent in his messaging all campaign long. Even though it’s an imperfect system, we need to do whatever is allowed legally to ensure every vote is counted,” Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said in an email to The Hill, pointing to his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference in March.

There, Trump said Republicans must be “swamping the left with mail-in votes, early votes and Election Day votes.”

Some Republicans have brushed off the muddled messaging, saying Trump’s comments to Hannity were one isolated interview.

“I don’t think it’s gonna be — that one interview and those comments — are going to be impactful,” said Republican strategist David Carney.

For candidates, “If that’s one of their major talking points, it could,” Carney said. “But we can’t win on one-day voting.”

But other members of the party see it differently, and they’ll need to fine-tune their strategy on voting to win competitive elections.

“When you have somebody like former President Trump talking about something in generalities, it can certainly serve to muddle the message,” said Allegheny County GOP chairman Sam DeMarco.

DeMarco, who’s part of the Pennsylvania GOP’s task force on mail-in voting, said Republicans in the state are getting involved in their own early voting efforts.

He said they “spoke to a number of different states who use mail-in ballots in early voting to try to glean and learn best practices from them. And we’re working to put a number of those in place here in Pennsylvania, and in particularly in Allegheny County.”

Political experts say Trump should have an incentive for changing his tune on early voting — especially if he wants to win the Republican presidential nomination again.

“I think it underscores what we’ve known all along, which is that, you know, Donald Trump … is not very disciplined” as a campaigner, explained Charles Stewart III, a political science professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and director of the MIT Election Data and Science Lab.

“If he wants to win and if he’s convinced that they’re going — that Republicans are going to do better if they can … bank these votes, I think his messaging will come around, and it will be more focused,” he added.

Brett Samuels contributed.

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Trumps mixed message on early voting muddles Republican 2024 strategy - The Hill

Sununu’s exit spells the end of a whole breed of Republican governor – POLITICO

This brand of moderate Republican governor has been edging ever-closer to extinction for some time. Larry Hogan was term-limited out in Maryland last year. Charlie Baker opted for a $3 million-per-year paycheck over a brutal primary against a Donald Trump-endorsed candidate in Massachusetts.

Now Chris Sununu is calling it quits in New Hampshire.

Fiscally conservative but more socially moderate Republican governors have long defied electoral odds in blue and purple states. Thats proved particularly true in the liberal bastion of New England, where three of the regions six governors were Republicans and executives of Baker and Bill Welds ilk ran Massachusetts almost uninterrupted for 30 years.

Until now.

Trumps rise accelerated the Republican Partys hard-right march, complicating the primary calculus for moderates. Democrats capitalized on both Baker and Hogans departures and on anger towards both Trump and the Supreme Court to win back corner offices in Massachusetts and Maryland last year. On Wednesday, race raters reacted to Sununus pending departure by shifting the New Hampshire governors contest to a toss-up. Democrats now see the state as their best chance for a gubernatorial flip in 2024.

And with Sununu exiting, the ranks of Republican governors of states where Democrats won in 2020 the likes of Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo and Vermont Gov. Phil Scott keep dwindling.

This is new territory for the Republican Party, veteran New Hampshire-based Republican strategist Mike Dennehy said.

Moderate Republican governors long found success in blue states, particularly in the Northeast, by appealing across party lines and providing a check on Democratic-led legislatures. In recent years, theyve consistently polled as some of the most popular state executives in the country. And theyve won reelection in their states by wide margins.

But Trump made it uncool and in some cases unelectable to do the one thing Republican governors have to do in bluer states: work across the aisle.

He also splintered the GOP base in even the bluest of states, fueling a race to the right that paved a pathway for more extreme candidates to win primaries.

It got to the point in Massachusetts where Baker the stratospherically popular two-term governor and vocal Trump critic ran a real risk of losing last years GOP gubernatorial primary to a conservative former state representative backed by Trump. And thats despite Republicans knowing Baker could have easily won a third term.

So rather than engaging in a potentially bruising primary, Baker and his lieutenant governor, Karyn Polito, stepped aside. Geoff Diehl won the Republican nomination over a more moderate political newcomer. And he promptly lost the general election to Democrat Maura Healey by nearly 30 points.

If Republicans can find candidates in the model of Sununu and Baker and Scott, they can remain competitive, Ryan Williams, a Republican strategist who worked with Sununus father and brother when they held elective office, said. But if they nominate people who formally served as Trumps campaign co-chair in a state, theyre going to lose.

Sununu faced both a different governing landscape in New Hampshire, where the two legislative chambers are almost evenly split between parties, and a different relationship with the GOP base. He called Trump fucking crazy at a glitzy Washington D.C. dinner last spring and still breezed through his gubernatorial primary that fall. He won reelection to a fourth two-year term in November by 15 points.

Yet Sununu opted out of running for a record fifth term on Wednesday, saying public service is not a career and that the time was right to step aside.

Obviously I think I could get reelected, Sununu said in an interview. But its just good for the system to have turnover, to have fresh faces, to have new ideas come to the forefront.

But Sununus exit threatens to grow the power vacuum that Baker and Hogan created in a region that was once a stronghold for both moderate Republicans and an increasingly bygone way of bipartisan politicking particularly if Scott, the Vermont governor who won a fourth term last year by his largest margin yet, also passes on running for a fifth.

I have Republicans in my Legislature. Im not forced to do anything. I just know its good business to work across the aisle when I can, its just a good way to get stuff done, Sununu said. Its too bad we dont have more folks that kind of work [bipartisanly]. It doesnt mean other folks wont in the future. But we were some pretty good examples of doing it.

Democrats who have been unable to unseat Sununu are now relishing in the Republicans decision to step aside. The left has longed for an open gubernatorial seat in New Hampshire and now sees the state as one of their best if not the best pickup opportunities in 2024.

But the primary between Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington and outgoing Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig is already dividing the Democratic establishment in New Hampshire.

And Republicans are hardly writing the state off. Former state Senate President Chuck Morse, who ran unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate last year, jumped into the governors race just minutes after Sununu said he was out. Former Sen. Kelly Ayotte teased some big news in the coming days. State Education Commissioner Frank Edelblut is also eyeing the race.

Still, even with several quite capable candidates, former New Hampshire GOP Chair Fergus Cullen said hes warning his fellow Republicans not to underestimate the other side especially if Trump becomes the partys presidential pick again.

If Trump is the nominee and he loses New Hampshire by eight points again, its going to be hard for Republicans to retain control of the governors office, Cullen said. I had hoped Sununu would have just run to get us through the election.

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Sununu's exit spells the end of a whole breed of Republican governor - POLITICO