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Last Tuesdays Wisconsin election might have been overshadowed by the news of Donald Trumps arraignment, but Trump and his party were likely paying close attention to the raceand the dangers it portends for the GOP in 2024.

First, here are three new stories from The Atlantic:

An Iron Grip

Last Tuesday, the liberal Milwaukee County judge Janet Protasiewicz won an election that gave Wisconsin liberals a 43 majority on the states supreme court after 15 years of conservative control. The results of the states judicial race are a likely barometerand a possible determinantof the GOPs prospects in 2024.

As my colleague Ronald Brownstein noted in the days leading up to the Wisconsin election, the contest would prove a revealing test of the electoral strength of the most powerful wedge issues that each party is likely to stress in next years presidential race. A Protasiewicz win, he wrote, would also affirm that support for legal abortion has hastened college-educated suburban voters collective recoil from the Trump GOP. Such a shift could restore a narrow but decisive advantage for Democrats in a state at the absolute tipping point of presidential elections, Ron explained.

In an Atlantic article last week, the former Milwaukee talk-radio host and The Bulwark editor at large Charlie Sykes doubled down on Brownsteins assertion. As long as abortion is an issue, one Republican legislator told me, we wont ever win another statewide election, Sykes wrote.

With Protasiewiczs victory, Wisconsin Republicans may have even more to worry about than voters attachment to reproductive rights. Thats because, as my colleague Adam Serwer noted last weekend, Wisconsin is a notoriously fickle swing state that Republicans have gerrymandered with scientific precision since 2010driven, in no small part, by its conservative-majority supreme court.

Adam writes:

Thanks to their precise drawing of legislative districts, Republicans have maintained something close to a two-thirds majority whether they won more votes or not And year after year, the right-wing majority on the state supreme court would ensure that gerrymandered maps kept their political allies in power and safely protected from voter backlash. Some mismatch between the popular vote and legislative districts is not inherently nefariousit just happens to be both deliberate and extreme in Wisconsins case.

Extreme is no overstatement. Robert Yablon, a law professor at the University of Wisconsin at Madison and a faculty co-director of the State Democracy Research Initiative, told me by email that although Democrats have won more of Wisconsins statewide elections in recent years than their Republican opponents have, under the maps that the Republican-controlled legislature drew in 2011, Republicans maintained an iron grip on the legislature throughout the last decadeeven in years when Democratic candidates won more votes statewide.

Following the 2020 census, the Wisconsin Supreme Court went on to uphold revised electoral maps that further solidified Republicans advantage in the state. Although Wisconsin Democrats saw the reelection of Governor Tony Evers last November, Republicans claimed a two-thirds supermajority in the State Senate following a special election to fill a suburban Milwaukee seat last Tuesday. Republicans are just short of a supermajority in the state assembly and hold six of the states eight U.S. House seats.

But Democrats still hope to turn the Badger State around. Last week, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee released its House Democrats Districts in Play plan for the 2024 election cycle, outlining which congressional districts the party will target in its efforts to retake control of the House. The DCCCs plan listed Wisconsins first and third districts among the 31 Republican-held House seats Democrats deem particularly flippable next fallan outlook that appears to hinge (at least in part) on the prospect of electoral redistricting. If Protasiewicz were to make good on a remark from earlier this year, in which she hinted at plans to review challenges to the states current electoral maps, the court could approve new maps that would improve Democrats odds of clawing back power in those districts.

Having more balanced electoral maps could certainly make a difference in 2024, Yablon told me. Theres no guarantee that such maps would enable Democrats to win a legislative majority, but they could create meaningful competition for legislative control for the first time in more than a decade. At a minimum, Republicans would likely see their current legislative majorities shrink.

Whether or not new electoral maps could make a difference in 2024 will, of course, depend on their being redrawn and approved in the first placeand fast.

Related:

Todays News

Evening Read

The Moms Who Breastfeed Without Being Pregnant

By Sarah Zhang

While her wife was pregnant with their son, Aimee MacDonald took an unusual step of preparing her own body for the babys arrival. First she began taking hormones, and then for six weeks straight, she pumped her breasts day and night every two to three hours. This process tricked her body into a pregnant and then postpartum state so she could make breast milk. By the time the couples son arrived, she was pumping 27 ounces a dayenough to feed a babyall without actually getting pregnant or giving birth.

And so, after a 38-hour labor and emergency C-section, MacDonalds wife could do what many mothers who just gave birth might desperately want to but cannot: rest, sleep, and recover from surgery. Meanwhile, MacDonald tried nursing their baby. She held him to her breast, and he latched right away. Over the next 15 months, the two mothers co-nursed their son, switching back and forth, trading feedings in the middle of the night. MacDonald had breastfed her older daughter the usual wayas in, by herselfa decade earlier, and she remembered the bone-deep exhaustion. She did not want that for her wife. Inducing lactation meant they could share in the ups and the downs of breastfeeding together.

Read the full article.

More From The Atlantic

Culture Break

Read. Birnam Wood, Eleanor Cattons new novel, a biting satire about the idealistic left.

Watch. Abbott Elementary (and pay special attention to Mr. Johnson, the janitor on the ABC comedy).

Play our daily crossword.

P.S.

I suppose this is where I out myself as a native Wisconsinitea cheesehead, if you willwho has followed the electoral goings-on of my home state with varying degrees of attentiveness (and mounting bafflement) in the years since my departure. But if theres any single resource thats helped fill in the blanks of my political literacy, its The Fall of Wisconsin. The 2018 book by the journalist Dan Kaufman, also from Wisconsin, traces the conservative conquest of a state that was, until relatively recently, taken for granted as a progressive stronghold. In case the books title doesnt make it incredibly obvious, Kaufman is not exactly an ideologically impartial observer. But his deep research provides useful background for understanding the past 15 years of Badger State politics and, by extension, broader rifts in the American electorate.

Kelli

Isabel Fattal contributed to this newsletter.

View original post here:
Why Wisconsin Has Republicans Worried - The Atlantic

We thought that we were in a good place because he was in Florida and, you know, he didn't tie up our city, Mayor Eric Adams said at an unrelated press conference Wednesday, when asked about preparing for another Trump visit. | Mary Altaffer/AP Photo

NEW YORK Mayor Eric Adams on Wednesday voiced irritation with former President Donald Trumps renewed presence in the city for various legal proceedings and national Republicans depiction of Manhattan as dangerous place that disregards victims rights.

We thought that we were in a good place because he was in Florida and, you know, he didnt tie up our city, Adams said at an unrelated press conference Wednesday, when asked about preparing for another Trump visit. Now, hes going to be back here often.

Trump is scheduled to return to New York later this week to give a deposition in state Attorney General Tish James business fraud lawsuit against him and his real estate firm.

The historic indictment of the former president by the Manhattan district attorney brought hundreds of protesters last week to the Manhattan criminal courthouse.

Meanwhile Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg, a darling of progressive Democrats for his criminal justice reform policies, has drawn the ire of House Republicans, who say the top prosecutor should focus on violent offenders instead of Trumps alleged involvement in a hush money scheme. They plan to hold a so-called field hearing in New York City next week on violent crime.

Adams criticized House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) for his hearings singular focus on New York City when crime in congressional Republican areas per capita is through the roof. He faulted southern states for the proliferation of guns flowing to major cities.

The hearing is the latest move by House Republicans to pressure Bragg, who is pursuing 34 felony charges accusing Trump of falsifying business records to bury damaging allegations of an extramarital affair during the height of the 2016 presidential campaign. Trump has pleaded not guilty.

The House GOP recently subpoenaed a former Manhattan prosecutor who criticized aspects of Braggs investigation. Bragg sued to block it, calling the move a campaign of harassment.

The House Judiciary Committees scheduled hearing on violent crime pledges to examine how Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Braggs pro-crime, anti-victim policies have led to an increase in violent crime and a dangerous community for New York City residents.

Adams said the committee hasnt communicated with city officials to prepare for the hearing that will be held in a lower Manhattan federal building.

This is just an extension of Donald Trump campaigning and it really makes no sense, Adams said.

View original post here:
Adams lashes out at national Republicans for casting city as crime ... - POLITICO

I have some advice for the Iowa Democratic Party: Tell Bobby Kaufmann to buzz off.

Or, if youd like, substitute a different four-letter word. Either way, he deserves it.

Kaufmann, a Republican state representative from Wilton, has proposed using the power of the state to dictate the inner workings of the opposing political party. Specifically, hes proposed a billin the Iowa House that would force Democrats to hold their presidential caucuses in person. The plan would forbid mail-in ballots, which Democrats have been planning to use next year.

Kaufmanns meddling is not only offensive, but its arguably unconstitutional. Ill get to that in a minute. First, though, lets debunk the BS that Kaufmann uses to explain why hes introduced this scheme.

He says hes trying to protect the caucuses and behelpfulto Democrats by distinguishing Iowa from the first-in-the-nation New Hampshire primary. Mail-in ballots, his says, would make the Democratic caucuses look more like a primary and prompt New Hampshire to jump ahead of Iowa.

This is nonsense. How Democrats run their caucuses has no impact on the Republican calendar. As for being helpful, no politician ever does anything to help the opposing political party when it comes to elections. So cross that off your list; its baloney.

Even if Kaufmann was trying to be helpful to the Democrats (he isnt), this isnt the 2000s. Bill Gardner, New Hampshires former secretary of state, doesnt control the presidential calendar. Besides, Democrats booted New Hampshire from its privileged spot in 2024, just like it did Iowa, so the Live Free or Die state is having a hard enough time defending itself; its in no position to dictate what other states do.

There may be some merit to the worry Republicans have that if Democrats dont have to caucus in person, some of them could meddle in the GOP caucuses. But even if thats a legitimate and substantive concern and Im not sure that it is this bill is clearly overkill. The bill also requires that caucus participants register with a party 70 days ahead of time.

If Iowa Democrats are to regain a spot in the partys early window in 2028 (which is a long shot, anyway), theyll have to make it so more people can participate in the caucuses. This is why Iowa Democrats initiated mail-in balloting to begin with, to try to keep its leadoff spot in 2024.

Unfortunately for them, it didnt work.

President Joe Biden, who has never been treated well by Iowa, upended the traditional calendar to prioritize South Carolina, Georgia and Michigan. He did well in those states and he needs them next year so hes rewarding them accordingly.

Thats politics. When Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were president, it was in their interests to keep the calendar the way it was. Why do you think Donald Trump didnt change things? Because he loves Iowa? Please. He got elected under the current system, so he kept it in place.

Notably, Kaufmann is also a senior Trump adviser for 2024. What do you figure the odds are that theres an angle to this bill that helps Trump next year?

Heres my second piece of advice for the Iowa Democratic Party: If the Legislature passes this bill and Kim Reynolds signs it into law, toss it in the trash. Thats where it belongs. Do the caucuses the way you want. If that means using mail-in ballots, then so be it.

Fortunately, IDP Chair Rita Hart seems to beleaning in that directionalready. Thats good. Instead of fighting the DNC, fight Iowa Republicans. Theyre the real threat. And if you want to tell Bobby Kaufmann to **** off again, feel free. It will probably be cathartic.

Normally, I dont like the idea of disregarding the law, but in this instance, Democrats shouldnt hesitate.

This scheme offends the conscience and probably the Constitution. Since when does a state government get to tell national political parties how they run their internal affairs like this?

Iowa does have a law that says the states presidential caucuses must go before the nations first primary, but its constitutionality has long been in doubt.

As former Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller wrote in a 1996 opinion: The US Supreme Court has long recognized the rights of political parties to control their own internal nomination and delegate selection processes and has struck down state statutes that abridged those rights.

This new proposal probably falls into the same category.

In other words, the Iowa Legislature has no business, and probably no right, to regulate in this area. (The party of small government, my sweet aunt.)

If Republicans do pass this nonsense, Democrats should eagerly challenge it in court. Or better yet, dare Republicans to try to enforce it. This would be good policy and good politics. If Democrats can kill the existing law, too, it would eliminate any doubt and give the party more flexibility for the future. A win over the Republicans also would help lift the spirits of Democrats who have mostly been on the losing end lately.

Heres the truth: Kaufmanns plan is just another effort by Republicans to tilt Iowas electoral playing field in their direction. The GOP has spent years making it harder for Iowans to vote by mail. Theyve shortened the voting window and added more complications in the hopes of tripping people up so they can exclude their ballots. And since Democrats rely on mail-in balloting more than Republicans, they know this helps Republican candidates.

Republicans also know that if Iowa Democrats were ever to regain a spot in the early voting window, it would help them in future general elections. We saw this in 2004 and 2008 when robust Iowa caucus cycles kept the Democrats stoked for the fall. In 2016, it helped Republicans in the same way. Eliminating any chance Democrats have of regaining an early spot in the calendar will only help the GOP.

Republicans may not need this advantage now. They are pretty much running Iowa from head to toe. Still, party leaders know that in politics, nothing is forever. It wasnt that long ago that Republicans had total control in Wisconsin, but conditions have changed and just this month, liberals won a key Supreme Court race, a sign that even in the industrial Midwest, Democrats are still alive.

That pulse hasnt yet made its way down the river to Iowa yet, but who knows what will happen in the future? Remember, it was only 15 years ago that Democrats controlled all the levers of state government in Iowa.

It probably never occurred to Democrats back then to mess around with the Republicans internal rules. But thats no surprise. Thats been the tradition.

Unfortunately, those days are gone. For todays Republicans, nothing is off limits, especially if it gives them an unfair electoral advantage. Such arrogance. (Theyre even doing an end run around regular legislative rules to consider this bill.)

So, by all means Democrats, use your favorite invective phrase to tell Bobby Kaufmann and his crowd what they can do with this bill. Then, ignore it.

Read more:
Republican caucus bill is offensive. Democrats should ignore it. - Iowa Capital Dispatch

Republicans are increasingly turning to a popular conservative punching bag, the District of Columbia, in a gambit to raise the alarm of crime in Americas cities before the 2024 elections.

The GOP won control of the House last year in part by pledging to tackle crime. Four months in, they have yet to pass major crime legislation, but have moved political messaging rolling back recent changes in D.C. criminal sentencing rules that they believe will appeal to voters across party lines.

What they saw with the criminal code bill was an opportunity to make that a national issue and put Democrats on the defensive, said D.C. Council Chairman Phil Mendelson (D), who supported the criminal code changes.

President Joe Biden and 33 Senate Democrats signed onto the measure (Public Law 118-1) after Republicans were able to cast the citys changes as politically unpalatable.

Politicians respond to public opinion, Comer said in a brief interview last month. Democrats realized that this crime is a huge issue, especially in their districts, in the blue districts. So we need to have a tough-on-crime position here in the House of Representatives. Republicans do, and I think were going to see more Democrats support our crime policies moving forward.

Rep. James Comer (R-Tenn.) is chairman of the House Oversight and Accountability Committee, which oversees the District of Columbia.

Photographer: Ting Shen/Bloomberg

The GOPs increased focus on violent crime comes as the nation has grappled with an increase in murders since 2020, but also after more ambitious legislation on immigration and oversight of federal prosecutors has stalled.

Murder rates both nationwide and in the capital city remain below records set in the 1990s, when Washington was dubbed the Murder Capital of the US.

House GOP Off to Bumpy Start Slowed by Debt Limit, Party Rifts

Nevertheless, Republicans in particular have zeroed in crime rates on large cities run by Democrats, including New York City in the aftermath of Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Braggs indictment of former President Donald Trump. The GOP also was quick to note this week when Democrats announced their convention next year would be in Chicago that delegates there would be dodging bullets in the crime-infested city.

Congress claims uniquely broad jurisdiction over D.C., creating political and procedural opportunities to weigh in even as residents seek statehood and greater autonomy from the federal government.

The Home Rule Act of 1973 (Public Law 93198) grants legislation striking down crime-related D.C. laws an exemption from Senate filibuster rules, easing their path to the presidents desk.

In fact, House Republicans have advanced as many measures overturning D.C. law in four months as previous Congresses did in the last four decades.

Biden already last month signed bipartisan legislation pushed by Republicans striking down legislation eliminating most mandatory minimum sentences and lowering the sentences on violent crimes like carjacking and robbery.

Supporters of the overhaul to the citys century-old criminal code pointed out new maximum sentences still exceed what judges typically hand down.

Next, House Republicans plan to bring up for a vote this month a measure (H. J. Res. 42) that would overturn a 2020 D.C. law prohibiting police use of chokeholds and tear gas as well as increasing public access to body-worn camera footage.

The law also nixes disciplinary matters from being negotiated by the police union, and all matters relating to disciplinary action against police officers to be retained by management.

The DC police union filed a lawsuit challenging the collective bargaining provision but ultimately lost. The union opposes the law and backs efforts to block it from going into effect.

Comers panel advanced the legislation on a party-line vote late last month, and key chairmen expect it to come to the floor by the end of the month.

This is a vehicle that youll see a lot of Democrats support said Comer, stressing Democrats who dont risk being labeled soft on crime.

But Biden has promised to veto the legislation if the Senate sends the measure to his desk, White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters last month.

Republicans have sought to cast crime in D.C. as a particularly personal issue. Republican lawmakers at a hearing by Comers committee recalled lawmakers, friends, and staffers being robbed or assaulted in the city.

Its their capital, Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) said of his constituents. Their capital is getting overrun by crime, they want to be able to come here and try to live safely.

But some Republicans came under fire for the tone of their remarks. Rep. Gary Palmer (Ala.), a member of GOP leadership, faced blowback for calling D.C. schools inmate factories. Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) inaccurately said the criminal code Congress overthrew was still law, and she pressed a witness about his nonexistent support for decriminalization of public urination.

People who watched it might have become more sympathetic to the District, Mendelson said of Boeberts line of questioning.

Comer has scheduled a second hearing on D.C. for May 16 and invited DC Muriel Bowser to testify.

Congress has a long history of passing laws governing D.C., even after granting the city quasi-autonomy in the 1970s.

Most congressional intervention in the citys business rides on annual spending bills. They often bar the city from spending federal funds on abortion, marijuana legalization, needle exchanges, and lobbying for voting representation in Congress.

The House in February backed (H. J. Res. 24) that would block the city from allowing noncitizens to vote in local elections. Most GOP senators backed companion measures (S. J. Res. 5/S. J. Res. 6), but they dont enjoy the same privilege status as crime-related overturns and withered in committee.

Two past successful congressional vetoes of D.C. law over 40 years ago struck down changes to local sexual assault law (H. Res. 208), while the other prevented restrictions on where diplomatic missions could be built (S. Con. Res. 63).

Other measures since 1975 blocking the local government initiatives on bonds (S. Con. Res. 78), prison overcrowding (H. J. Res. 341), and reproductive health (H. J. Res. 43) have also won the support of one chamber but never became law.

Before this year, the last time Congress successfully struck down D.C. law was in 1991. Congress that year prevented construction in D.C.'s Penn Quarter above the citys limit on building heights (Public Law 102-11).

When theyre in power, thats what they usually do, Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-D.C.) said in an interview of the GOP intervention in the District. Theyre going after these disapproval resolutions, but thats not going to be the end of it.

See the rest here:
Republicans Dust Off Anti-D.C. Playbook to Sound Tough on Crime - Bloomberg Law

The direction of the past several elections should concern Republicans. Instead, too many ignore what voters are telling them and convince themselves that Democrats have figured out how to conduct massive fraud, except in Florida and perhaps New York.

Ironically, Florida is where many Democrats believe Republicans stole the 2000 presidential election. New York, one of the most liberal states in the union, prevented Democrats from holding on to their House majority in the 2022 midterms, an election that by every metric should have been a GOP romp.

Democrats ran on two issues in 2022: The primary issue was abortion. Rarely has one event motivated voters like the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade energized votes for Democrats. Trumps refusal to concede the 2020 election and efforts to overturn the results galvanized other independent voters who feared candidates labeled election deniers imperiled democracy.

Election results in early 2023 suggest that these issues remain salient with voters.

Getting indicted may help Donald Trump win the Republican nomination. Its drowned out all other information and focused every spotlight on him. Hes making the 2024 election about him and his grievances.

The Republican Party would be wisest to nominate somebody else with Trumps 2016 themes but without Trumps 2023 baggage. I know too many Trumpers who arent ready to let go yet. However, they must face reality and stop telling one another that massive cheating is why they lost and continue to lose.

Its this simple: Biden won, Trump lost, and not because of cheating. Eight well-known Trump-supporting Republicans wrote a report called Lost, Not Stolen.

Its a must-read for anybody who still believes Donald Trump won the election. The group reviews all 64 legal challenges by Trumps legal team.

Out of 64 lawsuits, Trumps lawyers withdrew from fourteen cases. Federal judges dismissed 47more, including eight judges appointed by Trump.

Trumps lawyers won a total of three motions, all in Pennsylvania, which threw out 270 provisional ballots lacking signatures, separated Election Day provisional ballots, and moved back the states deadline for absentee voters to present voter ID by three days, but hardly changed the outcome.

The Supreme Court declined to hear Trumps cases twice.

Georgia conducted two statewide recounts that narrowed Bidens lead from 14,196 to 12,284 and finally to 11,779 something Trump-haters must bear in mind in the legal matter regarding the phone call they want him imprisoned over.

In Wisconsin, two partial recounts of the states results added 74 votes to Bidens lead.

Trumps team didnt prove fraud in any of the 64 cases, with 87 different judges and two attempts to go to the Supreme Court. Documents emerging because of the Dominion Voting Systems lawsuit demonstrate that even the Fox News Channel anchors knew they were putting guests on the air who were insane or whose conspiracy theories were lies. Despite all this, many still believe it when Trump continues to say Democrats stole the 2020 election.

Cheating on a mass scale didnt happen, but the rules did change. Trump may have sealed his fate when he told his voters not to vote by mail. By Election Day, Democrats had legally run up the count by enough that perhaps Trump never had a chance to win.

In sports, rules change from season to season. The teams that win adapt to the new regulations first. Losers hold on to old traditions. Democrats adjusted to mail-in voting better than Republicans, just as they did to the internet in its infancy.

The 2022 midterms are replaying in 2023.

In Chicago, incumbent mayor Lori Lightfoot didnt survive the elections first round, but the end result is arguably worse. After a five-week battle between former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas and Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson, a paid organizer for the Chicago Teachers Union, Johnson won.

CNN Political Commentator, former Obama chief campaign strategist, and senior presidential advisor David Axelrod called it candidate of the Chicago Teachers Union vs. the Fraternal Order of Police, and the teachers union won.

Vallas ran a campaign around Chicagos utter breakdown of law and order and promised to fill the 1,700 police vacancies.

Johnson ran on a pledge of $800 million in new and increased taxes and $1 billion in new spending. His position on the police changed over time, but initially, he said he would cut $150 million from the departments nearly $2 billion budget. He wouldnt commit to filling the open positions either.

Why does a city as crime-ridden as Chicago boots Lori Lightfoot only to replace her with an even more liberal and anti-cop mayor?

On the same day, Wisconsin voters sent another pro-choice message to Republicans by giving control of the States Supreme Court to the liberal faction for the first time in fifteen years.

The election was between Janet Protasiewicz, a Milwaukee County Circuit Court Judge, and Dan Kelly, a former Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice. Then-Governor Scott Walker appointed Kelly to the state Supreme Court in 2016. However, in 2020 he lost to a liberal opponent in his first attempt to win a full 10-year term.

TV ads hammered Kelly for his paid work advising Republicans on legal efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election and the alternate elector plan.

The primary issue, however, was abortion. Wisconsin has a restrictive abortion law dating to 1849. It bans abortion in nearly all circumstances and could come before the state Supreme Court anytime.

Protasiewicz said she supported abortion rights. Prominent Democrats, including Hillary Clinton, and abortion rights groups like Emilys List endorsed her.

Kelly previously worked for Wisconsin Right to Life, and pro-life groups supported him.

While neither candidate would specifically say how they would rule on a hypothetical abortion case, each stated how the other would rule. Voters understood their options and the likely impact.

The race became the most expensive state Supreme Court contest in U.S. history. According to OpenSecrets.org, the independent, nonpartisan, and nonprofit research group that tracks money in U.S. politics, spending on the election surpassed $45 million, three times the prior record for a state Supreme Court race ($15 million).

The youth vote has been discounted for ages because it failed to materialize on Election Day. Whether its because of mail-in voting or their passion for issues, Millennials (born 1981 1996) and Gen Z (1997 forward and now up to 25 years old) are voting in record numbers.

For example, in the Wisconsin state Supreme Court election, there were approximately 7,000 more total votes in Dane County (Madison and the University of Wisconsin Population 568,203) than in Milwaukee County (the City of Milwaukee and its suburbs Population 918,661).

Abortion is one of the issues driving the youth voting trend.

A 2022 Pew Research Center poll shows that 61 percent of all Americans believe that abortion should be legal in all or most cases. The figure rises to 74 percent among 18- to 29-year-olds. It drops to 55 percent of 50- to 64-year-olds and 54 percent among those over 65.

The Gallup Poll shows similar trends, as does virtually every other public opinion poll.

These trends will only get worse for Republicans.

With new perspectives gained from the Covid vaccine controversies, conservatives should better understand my body, my choice. Fighting to ban abortion will cause the GOP to lose elections and the ability to impact other issues.

Throughout history, bans have never stopped people from doing what they are determined to do. I dont believe Republicans can successfully ban abortions anymore, probably than I think Democrats can ban semi-automatic weapons.

I understand many people believe abortion is murder. Its a deeply personal view, sometimes rooted in religion. Its also becoming a minority issue. Republicans should not be the minority party.

The trends are clear. For Trump voters who believe Democrats stole the 2020 elections, more disappointment lies ahead. They need to wake up and move forward instead of trying to settle perceived past grievances thats a sure way to continue losing. There is no future in pursuing losses based on cheating. You might as well give up.

Continuing to try and ban abortions almost entirely ensures a future as a minority party. The demographics make that unavoidable. The Party has adjusted to the racial make-up of the country. Even as Democrats call conservatives racists, the Republican Party continues to attract more minorities. Playing the race card is wearing thinner and thinner with each fraudulent usage.

Finally, the game has changed, so Republicans must change how they play. Mail voting is here to stay. Republicans must get better at it than Democrats.

Paraphrasing Charles Darwin, Its not the strongest species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but the most adaptable to change. Will we permit Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, and Nancy Pelosi to be the adaptable ones and allow conservatism to become obsolete and irrelevant, or will we embrace change and learn to adapt?

Andy Bloom is president of Andy Bloom Communications. He specializes in media training and political communications. He has programmed legendary stations including WIP, WPHT and WYSP/Philadelphia, KLSX, Los Angeles and WCCO Minneapolis. He was Vice President Programming for Emmis International, Greater Media Inc. and Coleman Research. Andy also served as communications director for Rep. Michael R. Turner (R-Ohio). He can be reached by email at andy@andybloom.com or you can follow him on Twitter @AndyBloomCom.

Read the original here:
Andy Bloom: Election trends portend ominous forecast for Republicans - Broad + Liberty