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Republicans think Trump will be a midterm kingmaker. Democrats like me think he may be a spoiler – Fox News

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The post-Labor Day weekend sprint to the November midterms is officially on. The general election matchups are set and the contours of the election have taken shape. With less than two months to go, one thing is remarkably clear: while former President Donald Trump is not on the ballot, his candidates and policies certainly are.

Not in recent history have we had a president, both as the incumbent and out of office, so willing to engage high-risk, low-reward, competitive political primaries.

As he faces an uncertain future, one would expect that the only former president to have his home raided by the FBI would be trying to win friends and influence enemies. Instead, he has decided to declare war against his own appointees such as FBI Director Chris Wray, former Secretary of Transportation Elaine Chao, former Attorney General Bill Barr, and otherseven the architect of his legislative wins and three successful Supreme Court appointments, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

Former President Donald Trump (James Devaney/GC Images/File)

Meanwhile, his decision to weigh-in on primary battles certainly tipped the scales among the MAGA base. But among centrist and independent voters, who actually decide general elections, his endorsement in battleground state races seems to be dragging many of them down with precious few weeks left in the midterm cycle.

DEMOCRATS OUTPACING REPUBLICANS BY TENS OF THOUSANDS OF ABSENTEE BALLOT REQUESTS IN KEY MIDTERM STATE

In November, the whole ballgame is independent voters, a group Trump has struggled with in the past. In 2020, Trump lost these voters by 9 points. Many GOP nominees tripped over themselves to secure Trumps endorsement -- clearly a wise strategy for primary elections.However, you can bet Democrats will effectively tie those challengers to the unpopular former president.

2022 was supposed to be the year the GOP would easily win back control from a 50-50 senate but, with just two months to go, Republican prospects are dimming for the Party shaped in Donald Trumps image.

Many forget that Republicans lost two Senate seats in the 2016 election even though Donald Trump swept surprisingly into office. In 2018, Republicans netted two seats, but lost seats in the key swing states of Arizona and Nevada (winning back seats in solid-red Montana, Indiana, Missouri and trending-red Florida). And with Trump on the ballot in 2020, Democrats won the presidency and took back the Senate, winning Arizona, Colorado, and two seats in Georgia. The only upper-chamber seat to flip to Republicans that year: ruby-red Alabama.

WHAT'S AT STAKE FOR REPUBLICANS, DEMOCRATS IN MIDTERMS NOW THAT PRIMARY ELECTION SEASON IS OVER

2022 was supposed to be the year the GOP would easily win back control from a 50-50 Senate but, with just two months to go, Republican prospects are dimming for the party shaped in Donald Trumps image.

His primary-endorsed Senate candidates in Arizona, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are vastly underperforming their Democratic rivals in both polling and fundraising. In fact, many of these races would not even be competitive for my party had Trump not given his endorsement.

That is not to say that all Trump-endorsed candidates will fail this November. The former president often makes it a habit of endorsing candidates who are already going to win in the fall, and then claims credit for their success. Candidates like state Rep. Russell Fry in South Carolina, who defeated incumbent Rep. Tom Rice in a Republican primary, and Harriett Hageman, who beat Rep. Liz Cheney in Wyoming, will certainly be joining the 118th Congress.

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Ultimately, even as history tells us that the party in the White House should lose seats this year, candidates matter. Democrats like Rep. Tim Ryan in Ohio and Sens. Rafael Warnock and Mark Kelly are running much ahead of their Republican rivals because they are better candidates who know their states far better.

Sen. Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., during a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in Washington May 10, 2022. (Tom Williams-Pool/Getty Images)

Depending on Novembers results, Republicans will have to face a reckoning as a party: will they continue to pledge fealty to Donald Trump and support his hand-picked candidates or will they realize that independent voters matter and that politics is a game of addition, not subtraction. The latter has worked quite well for Republican Govs. Asa Hutchinson, Brian Kemp, Phil Scott, Larry Hogan and Glenn Youngkin. Its also worked for Sens. Susan Collins and Mitt Romney.

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They say that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. 2022 will test the veracity of that theory.

There is no question that former President Donald Trump is a GOP primary kingmaker but come November when that supposed Red Wave hits a solid blue wall of Democrats and Independents, he may very well end up this elections spoiler for the Republicans.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM KEVIN WALLING

Kevin Walling is a Democratic campaign strategist, former Biden 2020 campaign surrogate, vice president at HGCreative. Follow him on Twitter @KevinPWalling.

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Republicans think Trump will be a midterm kingmaker. Democrats like me think he may be a spoiler - Fox News

The ‘red wave’ was such a sure thing, of course Republicans are blowing it The Nevada Independent – The Nevada Independent

There are few things in politics as dangerous as a sure thing.

Maybe thats because when a political party believes victory is certain, the kooks and grifters come out in droves to profit off it generally eroding whatever advantage that party might have had to begin with in the process.

And so, with the possibility of a red wave in 2022 widely considered to be a sure thing, it really shouldnt have been surprising that some of Team Reds candidates are almost comically damaging to Republican prospects.

Given Nevadas unique position in national politics, its only fitting that many of the GOPs unforced errors would take place here especially because much of the Republican consulting class in this state appears to be more interested in the grift than they are in propelling credible and qualified candidates to victory.

A recent case in point would be Michele Fiores inexplicable decision to brag even campaign on the fact that a disgraced former councilman-turned-lobbyist, Ricki Barlow, endorsed her campaign for treasurer.

Certainly, most campaign consultants would jump at the chance to have an endorsement from someone in the opposing party a phenomenon some Democrats have enjoyed several times this election cycle. Nonetheless, most competent campaigns would also give at least a modicum of consideration to the reputation of the person giving the endorsement before bragging about it to potential voters.

The grifters who comprise certain factions within the Republican Party, however, apparently dont consider such nuanced considerations to be important. And so, the woman who has, herself, been investigated for shady financial practices is publicly promoting the endorsement of a disgraced colleague.

Fiores trademarked poor judgment, however, is not an isolated incident.

Sigal Chattah, the Republican running for attorney general, has demonstrated a similar level of incompetent politicking in her race. Her comments, demeanor and political views aside, her recent lawsuit to remove the (ineligible) Libertarian candidate from the ballot had the fingerprints of rank political amateurs all over it.

One can presume her attempt to boot the Libertarian candidate from the ballot stems from a belief that he would siphon votes from the Republican ticket on election day therefore further frustrating what is already turning out to be a challenging race for her. Since the Libertarian has already sought to withdraw his candidacy, it makes sense Chattah would seek to remove the spoiler-candidates name from the ballot.

However, her lawsuit was filed months later than it should have been if there was ever going to be any hope of removing his name and after the last legal day for name changes to be made to the ballot. Chattahs team effectively waited until ballots were ready to roll off the printers and get stuffed into envelopes leaving Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske, the judicial branch, or even the lowly-paid employee responsible for hitting print on the big machine at the ballot factory, incapable of actually doing anything about it.

It should come as no surprise that Chattahs lawyer for this matter was Joey Gilbert the very same man who threw a litigious temper-tantrum after his entirely predictable primary loss to Republican Sheriff Joe Lombardo. If the last headline-grabbing lawsuit he was a part of was any indication of future performance, reasonable observers should have known this one wouldnt pan out well for team red.

And sure enough, a district court judge ruled last week that the ineligible Libertarian candidates name will, indeed, remain on the ballot.

Beyond these specific examples, theres also a growing (and ill-advised) belief among many Republican candidates that being actively hostile toward the news media is, somehow, a winning campaign strategy.

Adam Laxalt, for example, has effectively built a wall around his campaign to keep out reporters who might ask occasionally difficult questions. So far, Laxalt has even refused to agree to a debate with his Democratic opponent putting him out of step with other high-profile Republicans, such as Joe Lombardo, who have already agreed to the pretty standard practice of public debates in major political contests.

Of course, to be fair, Laxalts apparent inaccessibility isnt a uniquely Republican trait. For example, his opponent Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto has refused to grant The Nevada Independent the kind of long-form interview that Republicans Mark Amodei and Joe Lombardo have already provided.

But why would she? Why risk being asked a handful of difficult questions when Laxalt is willfully limiting his own ability to talk to voters through the media? In a very tangible way, Laxalts resistance to engaging with reporters has given Cortez Masto the freedom to be highly selective about when (or if) she decides to engage with objective news outlets and that freedom is a pretty welcomed gift to any incumbent trying to defend their office.

By many measures, 2022 should have been a very successful election year for the GOP with economic challenges, midterm trends and a deeply unpopular Democratic president setting the stage for a red wave in November. However, that advantage effectively gave rise to a goldrush of amateurs, opportunists, and grifters seeking to profit quickly off such a sure thing.

And those are exactly the types of people capable of turning a predicted red wave into something more like a ripple.

Michael Schaus is a communications and branding expert based in Las Vegas, Nevada, and founder of Schaus Creative LLC an agency dedicated to helping organizations, businesses and activists tell their story and motivate change. He has more than a decade of experience in public affairs commentary, having worked as a news director, columnist, political humorist, and most recently as the director of communications for a public policy think tank. Follow him at SchausCreative.com or on Twitter at @schausmichael.

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The 'red wave' was such a sure thing, of course Republicans are blowing it The Nevada Independent - The Nevada Independent

It will come home to roost at the polls: Republicans prepare for voter backlash following overturn of Roe – MSNBC

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It will come home to roost at the polls: Republicans prepare for voter backlash following overturn of Roe - MSNBC

History will judge Republicans who stay silent about the big lie – The Guardian

I have a serious question for people who have power in America, and who continue to deny the outcome of the 2020 election and enable Trumps big lie: what are you saying to yourself in private? How are you justifying yourself in your own mind?

I dont mean to be snide or snarky. Im genuinely curious.

If you hold public office and deny the outcome of the 2020 election, are you telling yourself that despite the overwhelming evidence that Biden won and the lack of evidence of fraud, you still genuinely doubt the outcome?

But you must know that 60 federal courts have found no basis in Trumps claim, nor have any so-called state audits and even Trumps own attorney general found the claim baseless.

Or are you telling yourself that it will soon be over that Trump will fade, that the big lie will disappear, that your party and America will soon move on?

But you must know youre wrong. The big lie is growing. It has metastasized into a cancer thats dividing the nation and devouring our democracy.

Or are you telling yourself that you have no real choice but to support the lie if you want to keep or obtain political power?

Even if true, is power so intoxicating to you so important as an end in itself that youll do anything for it?

Where will you draw the line? If Trump is reelected and imposes martial law? If he or another Republican president forbids public criticism of his administration? If he calls for violence against those who oppose him?

And what do you tell yourself about the measures your party is taking based on the big lie: suppression of votes, takeovers of election machinery, assertions that state legislatures can overturn voter preferences in the certification process, rejection of the January 6 committees findings?

You have sworn an oath to uphold the constitution. How do you defend yourself in your own mind?

Im asking you, Kevin McCarthy. And you, Lindsey Graham, and Marco Rubio, and Rick Scott and Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz and Ron Johnson. And others.

And Im asking those of you with significant power in the Republican party who have remained silent in the face of all this such as you, Mitch McConnell, and you, Mitt Romney: how do you justify your silence?

And I ask those of you now running for office who are denying the 2020 election results and pushing other aspects of Republican authoritarianism such as you, JD Vance, and Blake Masters, Mehmet Oz, Herschel Walker, Doug Mastriano, and Kari Lake: what are you telling yourself in private? How are you excusing yourself? Why are you even running?

And I ask the billionaires and CEOs who are bankrolling these people: how do you rationalize spending millions, even tens of millions, helping them get or remain elected?

Im asking you, Peter Thiel, and you, Stephen Schwarzman, and Ken Griffin and Steve Wynn and Mike Lindell and Patrick Byrne and others: is this really the way you want to spend your fortune? Is this your legacy to the nation?

And I ask all the people making money off this rot the TV hosts and producers and media moguls who are raking it in while poisoning the minds of America with bald-faced lies what are you telling yourself in private?

Im asking you, Rupert Murdoch, and you, Tucker Carlson, and you, Sean Hannity, and you, Laura Ingraham: how are you defending yourself to yourself?

I dont expect you to answer me. This is a question for you to answer to yourself, alone and in private.

But before you do, may I have a confidential word?

Whether youre a politician supporting the big lie, a billionaire backer of it, or a broadcaster whos pushing it, it is not too late for you to get off the road you are on.

Yet if you continue to promote or enable this lie, you are undermining our democracy. The crisis you have helped create is worsening. You bear part of the responsibility for what comes next.

When the history of this trying time is written, future generations of Americans will judge your actions and your silences harshly.

They will recall your cowardice and your self-justifications. They will remember your lust for power and your moral blindness. They will recollect your unwitting ignorance or your witting failure to come to democracys defense in this perilous time.

Generations to come will sit in judgment about what you have wrought. And if the democratic experiment called America continues to unravel because of what you did or failed to do, you will live in infamy.

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History will judge Republicans who stay silent about the big lie - The Guardian

Connecticut Republicans trying to win attorney general’s office for first time in more than 60 years in 3-way battle – Hartford Courant

HARTFORD Connecticut Republicans have not won the state attorney generals office in more than 60 years as they have been defeated by big-name Democrats like Joe Lieberman and Richard Blumenthal.

But they think this year could be different with attorney Jessica Kordas of Norwalk battling against incumbent Democrat William Tong as Republicans believe they have political momentum at a time of weak poll ratings for President Joe Biden.

Democrats dispute that notion; they have a wide voter registration advantage over Republicans and have swept every statewide and Congressional office since 2006. In addition, Tong has won multiple high-profile settlements over the past four years, including more than $40 billion from multiple drug manufacturers and distributors in a national settlement in connection with deaths from opioids.

Jessica Kordas, Republican candidate for Connecticut attorney general, stands with her children as she is nominated at the State Republican Convention on May 6. (AP Photo/Jessica Hill) (Jessica Hill/AP)

A first-time candidate at the age of 39, Kordas said deep concerns about mask requirements imposed on her two children, aged 8 and 10, and their classmates in the public schools sparked her interest in politics during the coronavirus pandemic.

I really got involved this January with fighting against mask mandates, Kordas told The Courant in an interview. Ive been fighting to protect and defend the constitution my entire career. ... In this particular instance, it was hearing my kids cheer when we found out we could choose whether or not to wear masks. We all know that families are unique. Parents should be in a position to make choices. They know their kids and their family situation better than anyone else, and certainly better than administrators at a school and definitely better than the governor making mandates under executive orders.

Kordas is also concerned about the multiple extensions of Gov. Ned Lamonts extraordinary powers, which have since ended. She criticized Tong as a rubber stamp for the governors abuse of power. Part of the reason why the extensions were made six times in 2020 and 2021 by the Democratic-controlled legislature was so that Connecticut could continue a state of emergency in order to qualify for more than $50 million in federal funding that included food stamps for the poor and temporary housing for the homeless.

My freedom is not for sale, Kordas said. I dont intend to sell my childrens freedom, either, simply for the benefit of federal funds coming into our state. Thats not the intention of executive power. It felt so wrong that the attorney general in that particular case did nothing. He certainly didnt protect small businesses from having to be closed and sheltered for so long. He didnt protect children that werent being properly educated, that were having trouble learning different phonics. If you cant see someones mouth, its really hard to understand the difference between the M and N sound from behind a mask. It left parents in a position where we didnt have a choice. We had to stand up and do something.

Told of his opponents concerns about mask mandates, Tong responded, I believe in science. I believe in masks. I believe in vaccines. I believe in trusting public health professionals. Period.

Tong stressed that, under state law, he is required to represent the governor and all state agencies, such as the departments of transportation and social services. When the governor is sued in his official capacity, Tong and his office must legally defend the governor regardless of whether the office holder is Republican or Democrat.

Ive heard some suggestion that I should have opposed the governor or that I had an obligation to oppose the governor, Tong said. Anybody who suggests that has no idea what the job of attorney general is.

Tong said he would not get into a back-and-forth with Kordas on every point, adding, Im going to run by doing my job.

In a state where Democrats have won every election for Congress and statewide office since 2006, party members believe there is little chance that Tong could lose. Democrats have more than 800,000 registered voters, compared to Republicans with about 455,000 in Connecticut. The largest group is unaffiliated voters at more than 900,000.

Aside from Democrats, Tong has won the endorsement of the union-backed Working Families Party, giving him an important extra ballot line in November. He also held the partys line in 2018, helping ensure his victory with the grassroots assistance of volunteers through door-knocking and phone-banking.

Outside of the state, Tong is supported by the Democratic Attorneys General Association.

Hes fearlessly protected his states consumers on everything from utility bills to potential online crimes and scams, said Sean Rankin, the associations president. Hes brought millions back to Connecticuts residents in settlements, and hes going to continue putting Connecticut families first when hes reelected.

State attorney general William Tong stands with Christine Gagnon and her daughter Daria during the announcement of the signing of aproclamationdeclaring Aug. 31 as Overdose Awareness Day in Connecticut. The Gagnons lost their son and brother, Michael J. Gagnon, 22, to a drug overdose on July 17, 2017. (Douglas Hook / Hartford Courant) (Douglas Hook)

Sitting in a West Hartford restaurant near where he grew up, Tong talked in detail about the large number of settlements he has reached in major cases. In addition, after three decades of fights, negotiations and litigation, Tong settled the Sheff vs. ONeill school desegregation lawsuit and the Juan F. consent decree that oversaw the Department of Children and Families under multiple governors.

In terms of multistate work and settlements, this has been an extraordinary and consequential four years, Tong said in an interview. It has been transformative.

The most recent settlement requires e-cigarette manufacturer JUUL Labs to pay nearly $440 million in connection with marketing and selling to minors as officials attempt to cut down on youth tobacco use.

Tong also forced utilities to pay more than $100 million for problems with slow responses to power outages related to Tropical Storm Isaias. He has won money for consumers from Eversource, United Illuminating, Yankee Gas and Frontier.

From consumer finance and health care to student loans and robocalls, Tong and his team have won hundreds of millions in settlements for consumers and the state. He led a multistate lawsuit against price-fixing by large manufacturers known as Big Pharma and generic drug-makers.

Currently, he is battling against some of the biggest names in America in antitrust cases against Google and Facebook, along with investigating allegations of harm to children by TikTok and Instagram. He also sued ExxonMobil in September 2020, saying that the company knew for decades that burning gasoline leads to climate change.

Tong credits his success, in part, to an understanding of a wide variety of legal issues, gained as the co-chairman of the General Assemblys judiciary committee, and of how corporations operate, gained while working for two large law firms, including New York City-based Simpson Thacher & Bartlett LLP.

State Attorney General William Tong was interrupted at a restaurant table by a West Hartford native who complained about her home heating oil prices for this winter in a handwritten note she presented to him on a napkin. (Christopher Keating)

The biggest issue arguably has been opioids as Tong said he has been seeking even greater accountability against the addiction industry in the face of significant opposition from other states and played a pivotal role in securing a historic $32.5 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic across the country, including approximately $400 million to Connecticut alone.

He added, Through my negotiations, I also secured the opportunity for victims and their families to personally address the most egregious profiters in this tragedy: the Sacklers.

Whether by telephone or email, Tong receives a wide variety of complaints from consumers about price gouging or poor service.

During an interview with The Courant at a restaurant, Tong was approached by a West Hartford native who complained about the jaw-dropping price increases in her home heating oil for this winter in a handwritten note that she presented to him on a napkin. Tong promised to look into the issue.

This is what we do every day, Tong said. I have a dedicated team that focuses on utility customer advocacy, and we have a dedicated constituent services team.

Saying, "This stinks and I promise you I will fight it with every fiber of my being," Ken Krayeske speaks out against a proposed minor league baseball stadium in Hartford at a Hartford City Council meeting in 2014. (Courant file photo) (Mark Mirko / Hartford Courant)

The third candidate in the race is attorney Ken Krayeske,running as a member of the Green Party, which has not won a statewide race in Connecticut in decades.

The Green Party has 1,233 registered members a tiny fraction when compared to more than 800,000 Democrats, more than 455,000 Republicans, and more than 900,000 unaffiliated voters.

Since the Green Party captured more than 1% of the vote in the attorney generals race in 2018, the party has an automatic ballot line for the seat.

Krayeske is not a newcomer to politics. As a blogger and political activist, he gained attention in January 2007 when he was arrested during Gov. M. Jodi Rells inaugural parade. But some lawmakers said he never should have been arrested for breach of peace and interfering with police, and the charges were dismissed by a judge.

In 2010, he ran against U.S. Rep. John B. Larson, a Democratic powerhouse, and captured 1.2% of the vote. Krayeske also served as the campaign manager during the 2006 governors race for Green Party candidate Cliff Thornton, who won 0.85% of the vote.

Krayeske is known partly for asking UConn mens basketball coach Jim Calhoun in February 2009 if he would relinquish some of his $1.6 million salary as the states highest-paid employee as a gesture to help solve the states budget deficit. Calhouns response that he would return not a dime became national news in the sports world and is still available on YouTube 13 years later.

As Krayeske persisted in his questioning in a quickly escalating clash, Calhoun said, Youre not really that stupid, are you?

Yeah, I am, Krayeske responded.

My best advice to you: shut up, Calhoun said.

A year later, Krayeske graduated from the University of Connecticut law schoo and worked for a Meriden law firm. He opened his own firm in July 2013 and now specializes as a solo practitioner in federal civil rights litigation.

His website includes the quotation from a deceased attorney and Harvard Law School graduate who said that a lawyers either a social engineer or ... a parasite on society.

In addition to winning various settlements, Krayeske filed a class-action lawsuit that prompted the state correction department to test and treat all prisoners for hepatitis C. The state has tested about 20,000 prisoners spending $40 million to help cure some prisoners of the liver infection.

When we use the law to lift the health care of the lowest rung of the societal ladder, we take one step closer to Medicare for all, Krayeske said. I encourage the voters of the state to imagine what could be possible if someone like me won the seat.

Krayeske admitted that his race is a long shot, but he vowed to continue fighting to generate a conversation about civil rights and to force a debate with his two opponents that has not yet been scheduled.

We never know who the Tunisian fruit vendor is that is going to spark an Arab Spring, Krayeske said, referring to the uprisings and protests in multiple countries. But we must continue to prime the pump and take risks. I do not suppose for one second that my candidacy is going to spark a revolution. ... But Ive caught lightning in a bottle before.

Christopher Keating can be reached at ckeating@courant.com.

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Connecticut Republicans trying to win attorney general's office for first time in more than 60 years in 3-way battle - Hartford Courant