Archive for the ‘Republicans’ Category

Bailey Republicans won the battle. Can they win the war? – Rockford Register Star

Bob Evans| Special to the Rockford Register Star

The wise philosopher Yogi Berra once advised, When you come to a fork in the road, take it.

Illinois Republicans just took that advice in a big way. Facing a choice between two profoundly different definitions of what it means to be a Republican, they chose the path that leads to the right.

As is always the case with such choices, there will be consequences.

The choice was represented by Darren Bailey and Richard Irvin. Bailey represented the populist, Trumpist, socially conservative, pro-life, pro-gun Republicans, concentrated in rural, central, and southern Illinois. Irvin represented urban and suburban, middle class and professional, more moderate Republicans.

Illinois Republicans constitute not only a minority party, but a deeply divided one. Can they hang together?

We must note, by the way, that this internecine struggle rages all around the country. Republicans everywhere contest the basic identity of their party .

As a footnote to these observations note the primary contest in southern Illinois between Miller and Davis in the gerrymandered 15th District.

The gravity of this dispute is measured in part by both the amount of money spent as well as by who spent it. A conservative donor contributed millions of dollars to support Bailey. A Chicago businessman contributed millions of dollars to support Irvin. Control of the party was clearly at stake.

Many more millions were contributed by Pritzker and the Democratic Governors Association to promote Bailey as ultimately the weaker candidate. This crossover intervention has, by the way, been rarer in the past. Everyone recognized the centrality, albeit for different reasons, of the definition of the Illinois Republican party.

What next? For now the Trumpist wing of the party holds sway.

Will the Irvinists lick their wounds and then rejoin the fray for the fall? A late primary compresses healing time. Bailey Republicans have won the battle. Can they win the war?

Robert Evans is an associate professor of economics, business and political science at Rockford University.

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Bailey Republicans won the battle. Can they win the war? - Rockford Register Star

Republicans Working the Refs, Gmail Edition – Daring Fireball

Lachlan Markay, reporting for Axios:

The Republican National Committee fired the latest shot onWednesday, when chairwoman Ronna McDaniel claimed in a statementto Axios that Google has systematically attacked its digitalprogram. The RNC claims Googles Gmail, the nations top emailclient, has been suppressing fundraising emails duringstrategically critical periods this year.

Google told Axios its spam filter is thoroughly apolitical, andthat its taking steps to ensure political messages arentinadvertently flagged. [...] Google did not address the RNCsspecific complaints, but stressed, we do not filter emails basedon political affiliation.

We recently asked the Federal Election Commission to advise us ona potential pilot for political bulk senders that would providemore transparency into email deliverability, while still lettingusers protect their inboxes by unsubscribing or labeling emails asspam, said Google spokesperson Jos Castaeda in an emailedstatement.

That pilot, first reported by Axios this week, wouldinitially exempt political senders from Gmails spam filter, whilegiving recipients more visible options to flag those messages asspam going forward.

For the sake of argument, lets concede that Gmail flags as spam more political emails from Republicans than Democrats. Id bet that this is in fact trueand if its not true, theres no basis for this controversy.

One possible explanation is that Google is doing this deliberately to hinder Republican fundraising. This is what the GOP is claiming.

Another possible explanation is that GOP fundraising emails really do tend to be more spammy, both in content and in frequency, and thus should be getting flagged as spam more frequently than those from Democrats by non-partisan filtering algorithms. I.e. that Gmails spam filtering algorithms are biased only against junky messages. I get a lot of email from Democrats based on my political donations. I also voluntarily signed up for emails from the Trump campaign in the 2020 election, just to see what they were like. In my experience, the scenario I describe in this paragraph is almost certainly the case: Republican political emails are spammier.

Fundraising emails from Democrats are very frequent, and often melodramatic in their ostensible urgency, but in my experience they are legit. Unsubscribe links are where you expect them at the bottom of the emails, and unsubscribing works.

Fundraising emails from Republicansespecially those from the Trump campaignlook and read like scams. And, apparently, often now are outright scamsthe Trump family has apparently raised over $250 million since the 2020 election for an Official Election Defense Fund that doesnt exist. Emails with subject lines claiming that you have one hour to claim your free gift, or that Trump himself has recorded a personal message just for you but he needs some dough before hell send it to you. All political fundraising solicitations are a bit greasy, but the Trumpy ones are so scammy theyre beyond parody.

The Republican argument is that Gmail (and all other email providersbut Gmail is the biggest in the U.S.) ought to flag Republican and Democratic emails as spam in equal measure, and if Republican emails are flagged more frequently, its prima facie evidence that Google is biased against Republicans. Its like a basketball team that plays rough and commits a lot more fouls than their opponent but yells and screams that the refs are biased against them because more fouls are called against them. The refs arent biased if the team they flag for more fouls actually commits more fouls. And a spam filter isnt biased if one partys emails are more spammy and thus more likely to be flagged as spam.

But it sounds like Google, eager to avoid being tagged as anti-conservative, is working on something to exempt political emails from their general spam filtering algorithms. I get it that this bullshit is a headache Google doesnt need, but Id like to see them stand firm that their spam filters are working as intendedflagging messages based on their junkiness, not their political slant.

Friday, 1 July 2022

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Republicans Working the Refs, Gmail Edition - Daring Fireball

Republicans Are Trying to Cover Up Greatest Political Scandal in U.S. History – New York Magazine

The January 6 hearings have two basic functions. The first is to reveal, to the degree it is possible, as much as can be uncovered about Donald Trumps efforts to negate the 2020 election result and remain in office. The second is to expose the allies who are, in one way or another, complicit in his crime. On both counts, the committee is delivering.

Tuesdays hearings produced numerous revelations. Cassidy Hutchinson, an aide to chief of staff Mark Meadows and a first- or secondhand witness to the coup attempt, deepened Trumps complicity in the insurrection. She testified that Trump instructed Meadows to call Roger Stone and Michael Flynn, two aides who were connected to the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers, the main paramilitary organizations that directed the violence; that Trump, after being told his supporters were bringing weapons to his rally, told the Secret Service to remove the metal detectors because theyre not here to hurt me; and that Trump was so desperate to join the march on the Capitol that he actually assaulted a Secret Service agent when he was denied on security grounds.

At this point, even with the hearings in progress, it seems safe to rate this as the greatest political scandal in American history. This is true when measured by its depth (the lengths the perpetrators were willing to go extended to the violent overthrow of the U.S. government) as well as its breadth (the guilty parties included elected officials, lawyers, foot soldiers, and, of course, the president of the United States).

It is all the more striking, then, that the Republican Party stance was, and is, that none of this should be investigated. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell opposed the formation of the commission. (After careful consideration, Ive made the decision to oppose the House Democrats slanted and unbalanced proposal for another commission to study the events of January 6th, he announced on the Senate floor last year.) House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy appointed a collection of Trump lackeys. When House Speaker Nancy Pelosi refused to seat two of them Jims Jordan and Banks on the grounds that they were personally implicated in the investigation, McCarthy ordered his entire caucus to boycott the hearings.

Republicans have responded to the stream of revelations by dismissing them as boring and partisan. Their party-controlled media have either ignored the hearings, engaged in frantic whataboutism, or supplied talking points to distract from the damning news. They have turned against the only members of their party willing to participate in the hearings, branding them as traitors.

This in turn has sent a message to every staffer privy to the coup who is contemplating the choice to share what they know or stick to the omert. The future in Republican politics belongs to those who do not betray Trump. They may not be required to pledge open obedience to him, but silence is far safer for their careers as Republicans than testifying against Trump is. Republicans could have made cooperating with the committee the safe choice. Instead, they have made it dangerous.

Republicans probably justify all this as simple partisan logic. If you are able to conceive of events only in terms of political benefit, then the function of the hearings is to hurt Republicans; therefore, the Republican task is to engage in damage control.

But this is precisely the kind of rank partisanship that carried most of the party along with Trump through, and past, his reelection campaign. It brought him within a fraction of a percent of the vote of winning a second term and let his postelection coup attempt come harrowingly close, at minimum, to provoking a violent crisis.

After Trump refused to accept the election outcome, a Republican aide infamously said, What is the downside for humoring him for this little bit of time? It was an astonishing quote even then. January 6 revealed how dangerous that mentality is. The partys response to the hearings reveals that this mentality has not changed.

Irregular musings from the center left.

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Republicans Are Trying to Cover Up Greatest Political Scandal in U.S. History - New York Magazine

A Republican Insider Studies His Burned Bridges and a Combustible G.O.P. – The New York Times

At a stately house in Washingtons diplomatic quarter, Never Trump luminaries gathered on Saturday for one of the citys more exclusive book parties, where many of the capitals elite political journalists rubbed elbows with the Republican operatives who broke with the former president often at great risks to their careers and sanity.

Over spreads of sushi, flatbread pizzas and endless cups of vodka sodas, the crowd of 100 or so traded gossip and discussed Why We Did It, the wrenchingly personal and at times flamethrowing new memoir by Tim Miller, a former Republican insider who was once a rising star with access to the highest levels of power inside the G.O.P.

Over the course of about a decade, Miller gradually broke not only with the Trump-aligned forces that steadily took over the Republican Party beginning with Sarah Palins vice-presidential run, but also the so-called establishment of the party. These normal Republicans who made up his network of friends and colleagues, he says, were the not-as-ideological adults in the room you hear so much about.

So why, as the books title asks, did he do it?

Partially atonement, partially a genuine sense that despite living through all this for six to seven years, I still didnt quite understand why my former friends and colleagues and I kept going along with it, Miller said in an interview as he took an Acela between New York and Washington.

When we spoke, Miller was on his way to the Politics and Prose bookstore in the leafy Cleveland Park neighborhood of northwest Washington. The store happens to be on the same block as Comet Ping Pong, a beloved pizza parlor that was stormed by a confused gunman in 2016 in search of a phantom child sex ring amplified online by some of the very people associated with Trumps rise.

The new book is marbled with pearls of wisdom, observations on human psychology and entire chapters of harsh self-reflection that only an insider like Miller who by all accounts is a supremely talented opposition researcher and communications strategist who had a direct hand in everything from planting hit pieces on various politicians in Breitbart to knifing rivals could pull off.

At one point, my editor told me to take off the hair shirt, Miller said, because there was too much culpa in his mea culpa.

The editor, Eric Nelson, runs Broadside, the conservative imprint of Harper Collins, making him an especially apt partner for the project. Nelson has turned conservative intramural skirmishes into a cottage industry, working with other prominent figures in Never Trump circles like Amanda Carpenter and Ben Howe, while also landing books from hardcore MAGA luminaries.

On his way out of the mainstream G.O.P. class, Miller blew up every bridge he had built over his years in Washington, fled to Oakland and adopted a daughter, Toulouse, with his husband.

Friends say that Miller walked off a cliff into a future that could mean ostracism and threats to his mental health and physical safety. His book, which chronicles his relationships with the Republicans he left behind, tries to unpack why he did what he did and why they did what they did.

Not a lot of people have been both brave and successful, said Juleanna Glover, a public affairs consultant and former press secretary for Vice President Dick Cheney who hosted the party last weekend. Her home has become a refuge of sorts for various causes over the years, from Syrian refugees to Americans taken hostage in Russia.

Glovers soiree was an especially revealing moment not only because of the exclusive company, but also because it revealed just how small the world of serious Republican strategists who rejected Trump really is.

There was Sarah Longwell, a close Miller ally who was the mastermind behind Republican Voters Against Trump, one of a constellation of anti-Trump groups that spent millions helping Democrats in key swing states like Georgia in 2020.

Jeremy Adler, a top communications adviser to Representative Liz Cheney, glided down the stairs with Sam Cornale, the executive director of the Democratic National Committee, while Andrew Bates, a White House deputy press secretary, found a quiet corner to field one of the hundreds of pings he gets each day from the Washington press corps.

Many of the capitals most plugged-in reporters were there too, including Ryan Lizza and Alex Thompson of Politicos Beltway insider Playbook franchise; Josh Dawsey, a former Politico reporter and scoop machine now at The Washington Post; and Mark Leibovich, a longtime New York Times writer who is now at The Atlantic. Leibovich wrote a 2013 book about such scenes called This Town, a title that has become an arch metonym of sorts for all things Washington.

There, too, was Marcus Brauchli, the former Washington Post and Wall Street Journal editor who now directs Donald Grahams overseas investments in journalism projects, along with Neera Tanden, the Twitter-happy staff secretary in the Biden White House and a frequent guest at Washington parties.

On the central question the book seeks to answer, Miller reaches no firm, one-ring-to-rule-them-all conclusion to explain the mystery of why some Republican operatives stuck with Trump and those Miller sees as the G.O.P.s new MAGA overlords, while a few others, like him, bowed out.

Nor was there any single Eureka moment when he decided he could no longer compromise his values by working for politicians he despised, he said. But he noted that Republicans from marginalized groups, such as the L.G.B.T.Q. community, seemed more likely to be offended by Trumps boorish behavior than others.

For Miller, leaving the Republican establishment was a zigzagging personal journey of fits and starts. He worked for Ken Cuccinelli, the Republican nominee for governor of Virginia in 2013, despite Cuccinellis opposition to same-sex marriage and his defense of the states anti-sodomy law.

And in early 2017, while doing what he calls corporate P.R. skulduggery to make ends meet, Miller took on as a client Scott Pruitt, the administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, who later resigned under a series of ethics investigations.

Feeling deeply ashamed of his own actions, those experiences landed Miller in therapy, which he says helped unlock the emotional self-awareness to write the book and again feel at peace with his decisions.

The book is as much a warning as it is a searing exploration of his own self-loathing. By most indications, Trump seems to be preparing for another presidential run in 2024, and the same pathologies that drove Miller out of the Republican power centers he once ran in have only grown more cancerous, in his estimation.

Maybe, he said, I should have called the book Why Are We Still Doing It?

The Supreme Court today narrowed the sweep of its landmark 2020 decision declaring that much of eastern Oklahoma falls within Indian reservation lands, allowing state authorities to prosecute non-Indians who commit crimes against Indians on the reservations.

Blake

Is there anything you think were missing? Anything you want to see more of? Wed love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.

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A Republican Insider Studies His Burned Bridges and a Combustible G.O.P. - The New York Times

Real conservatives need to help some Republicans get real The Nevada Independent – The Nevada Independent

I believe in the conservatism of Sen. Barry Goldwater, Sen. Robert Taft, President Reagan, and others like them. These men will always carry a reverential attachment for me. But Donald Trump is not one of these men.

I cheered when Richard Nixon beat Hubert Humphrey for the presidency in 1968. But I also nodded my head when John Dean testified against Nixon during the Senate Watergate hearings in 1973. I believe in constitutional governance. Principles and character are tested in moments of temptation, and President Nixon succumbed to the temptations of power.

I'm frustrated that this standard does not apply to Donald Trump. Many of my conservative friends are unmoved by the January 6 hearings, calling Liz Cheney a "traitor" and dismissing the hearings as a "witch hunt." This has gone beyond mistrust and skepticism. This is willful blindness to the effacement of our democracy and our Republican Party. Trump has perverted the Constitution and the Republican Party. And by the looks of our Nevada primary last week, authoritarianism continues to challenge our democratic processes, and our state's GOP is letting this go unpunished.

Donald Trump is trying to reclaim his ascendancy through his surrogates. He is trying to replace those who know and speak the truth about his deliberate plot to overthrow the government of the United States. And he's been hard at work building a list of those replacements in our state.

The party is lost, indistinct, and not what I signed up for many years ago. In Nevada's GOP primary election, U.S. Senate candidate Adam Laxalt, secretary of state candidate Jim Marchant, and gubernatorial candidate Joe Lombardo advanced to the general election in November. But don't be fooled. To call them Republicans is almost a misnomer.

These are not conservative candidates. These are not even politicians. These are the conspiratorialist soldiers of Donald Trump. If you don't know these names, learn them quickly.

Most alarming is Marchant's advancement. He is one of Trump's most loyal election deniers who was part of the alternate slate of electors the Nevada GOP offered in a bid to overturn the 2020 election. Marchant has fruitlessly made claims, with no evidence, that the election was stolen and has said that he would not have certified the election.

Moreover, he plans to abandon electronic voting machines in favor of hand-counted ballots. This process would cause the "tiniest of counties to miss the statutory deadline for canvassing their results," according to The Washington Post. As secretary of state, he would have authority over enforcing election processes and supervising local officials. That's like making Colonel Sanders the spokesperson for Beyond Meat.

As a Trump campaign co-chair, Adam Laxalt was responsible for the numerous presidential election challenges evaluated in state courts. These claims were so devoid of evidence that they were struck down 25 times by Nevada courts.

Sheriff Joe Lombardo also echoes false claims about the 2020 election. He told reporters that he saw no fraud in the 2020 election but refused to acknowledge its general legitimacy.

These conspiratorialists have littered the ballot and turned the Nevada GOP into a mockery. The Nevada Independent reported that "16 candidates in about a third of state legislative primaries have publicly cast doubt on the election process, or expressed their support for the 'Big Lie.'"

Many of these candidates have advanced to the general election, and we need to be more alert to these dangers.

I'm still a conservative. I believe in low taxes, personal liberty, and the strengthening of American diplomacy.

I'm sure many of you share my frustrations with politics right now. But Joe Biden won the 2020 election. It's time to move on, and these finger-pointer candidates are only looking in the rearview mirror. Electing these candidates will not fix our gas prices, high grocery bills, or mortgage rates. They are too busy trying to cast doubt on our election process and undercut our democracy to care about you or me. These are not public servants. These are not candidates worthy of elected office.

While I'm hoping to sound the alarm on these candidates, it's not time to be cynical. It's time to define what it means to be a Republican. If that means voting for a Democrat in November, so be it.

Lansford Levitt is an attorney and a lifelong Republican who lives in Reno.

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Real conservatives need to help some Republicans get real The Nevada Independent - The Nevada Independent