Archive for the ‘Republicans’ Category

Hispanic Republicans see political peril in Trump immigration plan – Sacramento Bee


Washington Examiner
Hispanic Republicans see political peril in Trump immigration plan
Sacramento Bee
But after the White House this week threw its support behind a proposal that would drastically reduce legal immigration, Latino Republicans are warning anew about the political perils of Trump's hardline position for him, and for the rest of the party.
Senate Republicans not sure about Trump-backed immigration billWashington Examiner
Republicans are trying to have it both ways on immigrationHouston Chronicle
President Trump Backs Republican Plan to Curb Legal Immigration With Skills-Based SystemKTLA

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Hispanic Republicans see political peril in Trump immigration plan - Sacramento Bee

Republicans Tell Trump: Your Immigration Agenda Leads to More Illegal Immigration – Newsweek

President Donald Trumps immigration agenda is finally taking shape, and some Republicans arent too happy with the announced plansafter months of the GOP endorsing the White Houses most controversial proposals, from a border wall to a big increase in detention and deportations.

South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham warned the president the merit-based immigration plan he supports, which would cut in half legal immigration into the U.S. over the next decade and effectively favor green card applicants who display skills in language and education, would spell disaster for South Carolina.

Related: Heres how Donald Trump could actually be impeached

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After dealing with this issue for more than a decade, I know that when you restrict legal labor to employers it incentivizes cheating,Graham said in a statement.

The RAISE Act was announced Tuesday afternoon by Trump and the two Republican senators who created the proposal, Tom Cotton and David Perdue. Since then, its received blowback from numerous Democratic lawmakers and a number of Republicans like Graham, who says the bill would put the service industry in peril.

South Carolinas No.1 industry is agriculture, and tourism is No. 2. If this proposal were to become law, it would be devastating to our states economy, which relies on this immigrant workforce,Graham said. South Carolinas agriculture and tourism industry advertise for American workers and want to fill open positions with American workers. Unfortunately, many of these advertised positions go unfilled. Hotels, restaurants, golf courses and farmers will tell you this proposalto cut legal immigration in halfwould put their business in peril.

Senator Tim Scott, another South Carolina Republican, expressed the need to fix our broken illegal immigration problemin a statement following the RAISE Acts introduction but also expressed his support for continuing to encourage the legal process,noting its positive effects on the labor force.

Senate Republican Conference Chairman John Thune echoed concerns about a reduction in the labor workforce in an interview with the Washington Examiner Tuesday. If we get on immigration, there will be a lot of different perspectives on that.... We have workforce needs, and some of those are filled by the immigrant labor supply.

Trumps promised rollback of immigration into the U.S., one he made clear on day one of his presidential campaign, was a critical component to his election victory.

The sentiments he expressed along the campaign trailsaying during his campaign announcement, When Mexico sends its people, they arent sending their best,claiming immigrants steal jobs from Americans, when statistics reveal otherwisestruck a nerve among the GOP and its supporters, with polls showing 82 percent of Republicans supported Trumps executive order restricting travel from several Muslim-majority nations.

I campaigned on creating a merit-based immigration system that protects U.S. workers & taxpayers,Trump tweeted Tuesday.

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Republicans Tell Trump: Your Immigration Agenda Leads to More Illegal Immigration - Newsweek

New Deal Republicans – Fox News

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On the roster: New Deal Republicans - Ill Tell You What:Together again - Trump told Mexican prez wall was about politics - Inside the McMaster-Bannon war - Once you learn to quit, it becomes a habit

NEW DEAL REPUBLICANS President Trumptoday travels to the very heart of his coalition as he heads to Huntington, W. Va.

He is also traveling to the center of one of the poorest regions of the country.

Southern West Virginia, Southeastern Ohio and Eastern Kentucky have had hard times for so long that fighting poverty there has become a fixture of presidential politics.

Trumps promise differs from some of his predecessors in that he is promising to create jobs by aiding employers rather than by offering new government programs, but his political lineage in this trip stretches back almost 90 years.

BeforeBill Clintonoffered hope, beforeLyndon Johnsondeclared war on poverty, beforeJohn Kennedypromised residents of the region help me, and I will help you, this was ground zero forFranklin Roosevelts New Deal.

As Trump heads into Central Appalachia, he is punctuating one of the most remarkable pivots in American politics of the past 50 years: The Republican inheritance of Roosevelts New Deal coalition.

Conservative Republicans have tended to be very unhappy about Trumps policies. He favors activist government in many cases and rejects long-held views on the right about entitlements and welfare.

But it should not surprise members of Trumps adopted party that as they have absorbed the descendants of the longtime Democratic core, the GOP would look different, too.

Trumps critics on the left often marvel that so many people from so many poor regions of the country have embraced Trump. Much of the analysis has suggested that the rich man from New York is exploiting racism and cultural anxiety to convince downscale voters to cast ballots against their own economic self-interest.

When Trump is done rallying his supporters in Huntington, he will set off for an extended vacationat his ritzy country club in New Jersey. Some populist, they will say.

The same tastemakers presumably find nothing so jarring as the idea of patrician Roosevelt summering in his New York estate, wintering in Georgia and living an upper-crust life while his fellow Americans waited in breadlines.

Economists still disagree about whether Roosevelts policies were effective in combating the Great Depression or whether they actually made it worse. One could certainly argue that the residents of central Appalachia who voted four times for FDR were voting against their own economic interests, too.

Historians, on the other hand, are not divided on Roosevelts political accomplishments. Downtrodden voters were drawn to the swagger and confidence of a child of privilege who overcame adversity and convinced his fellow Americans to be brave in the face of economic collapse and then a war that threatened the very existence of the nation.

Now, Trump is no FDR. But it does not take much discernment to see why the grandchildren of Roosevelts voters are now backing Trump with the kind of fervor we have not seen in the region for any candidate in decades.

He promises hope, economic restoration and, most of all, the return of pride for people who have a strong tendency to think even less of themselves than their countrymen do.

It is convenient for people unfamiliar with the region to correlate support for Trump with racism or xenophobia. But that gives too little credit to voters who, after being neglected for so long, finally feel they have a champion.

The reversal of the two major partys coalitions continues, as Republicans become the party of working-class white voters and Democrats seek to expand with more affluent, college-educated suburbanites. And so the politics of both parties will continue to change.

A populist electoral base for Republicans, will produce more populist policies. Maybe it wont happen in this Congress, but it is not unreasonable to think that the party that inherited the New Deal coalition from the Democrats will embrace the same combination of social conservatism and governmental activism that was the core of the Democratic Party for years.

Democrats are wrestling with the question of how willing they are to reach out to voters Republicans are leaving behind in their move to cater to voters in places like Southern West Virginia. It may prove harder for liberal Democrats to reach out to fiscally conservative, socially indifferent suburbanites then it has been for Republicans to raid the neglected former Democratic base.

Whatever shape it takes, however, the political inversion of our era may well end up being just as profound as the one Roosevelt ushered in in 1932.

THE RULEBOOK: PICK YOURSELF UP, DUST YOURSELF OFF Whatever efficacy the union may have had in ordinary cases, it appears that the moment a cause of difference sprang up, capable of trying its strength, it failed. Alexander HamiltonandJames Madison,Federalist No. 19 TIME OUT: TEAM OF RIVALS Paris Review: Once a famous beauty, by the late 1950sDagmar Godowskyfound herself subsisting on caviar, cake, and tales of the past. Typecast as a vamp in the silent-screen era of the early 1920s, she had hissed her way through a thousand scenes. It was her storytelling that luredSandford Dody.A struggling playwright, Dody became witness to Dagmars spiel one night at a party.In a remarkable error of judgment that launched an entire, regrettable career, Dody offered to ghostwrite Dagmars autobiography an endeavor that, he was sure, would be both profitable and easy. It was neither. Published asFirst Person Pluralin 1958, the memoir takes us from the present day into her childhood, and then back, replete with cameos from the Fitzgeralds,Dorothy Parker,Adolf Hitler, EmperorFranz Josef, and just about all of golden-era Hollywood.

Flag on the play? -Email us at HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COMwith your tips, comments or questions.

SCOREBOARD Trump net job-approval rating:-19.8 points Change from one week ago:down 1.8 points

[President Trumps score is determined by subtracting his average job disapproval rating inthe five most recent, methodologically sound public polls from his average approval rating, calculated in the same fashion.]

ILL TELL YOU WHAT:TOGETHER AGAIN In this edition of I'll Tell You What,Dana PerinoandChris Stirewaltrun through General Kellys first week as White House Chief of Staff, break down the new immigration policy and the duo takes a look at the I'll Tell You What mailbag. Plus, in a shocking turn Dana and Chris find common ground on country music. Yee-haw! LISTEN AND SUBSCRIBE HERE

TRUMP TOLD MEXICAN PREZ WALL WAS ABOUT POLITICS WaPo:President Trumpmade building a wall along the southern U.S. border and forcing Mexico to pay for it core pledges of his campaign. But in his first White House call with Mexicos president, Trump described his vow to charge Mexico as a growing political problem, pressuring the Mexican leader to stop saying publicly that his government would never pay. You cannot say that to the press, Trump said repeatedly, according to a transcript of the Jan. 27 call obtained by The Washington Post. Trump made clear that he realized the funding would have to come from other sources but threatened to cut off contact if Mexican PresidentEnrique Pea Nietocontinued to make defiant statements. He described the wall as the least important thingwe are talking about, but politically this might be the most important. The heated exchange came during back-to-back days of calls that Trump held with foreign leaders a week after taking office. The Post has obtained transcripts of Trumps talks with Pea Nieto and Australian Prime MinisterMalcolm Turnbull.

INSIDE THE MCMASTER-BANNON WAR Weekly Standard: GeneralJohn Kellymay be trying to institute military-style discipline in the West Wing, but that hasnt put a stop to the civil war happening over President Donald Trumps National Security Council. If anything, the dawning of the Kelly era may have accelerated that war. The national security adviser,H.R. McMaster, has removed three NSC aides loyal to Trump aideSteve Bannonin the last three weeks. Bannon allies inside and outside the administration have fired back, starting rumors that McMaster is on his way out the door and documenting the Army generals deviations from President Trump. The latest move against Bannonites came Wednesday when McMaster fired the NSCs senior director for intelligence,Ezra Cohen-Watnick. McMasters previous attempt to remove Cohen-Watnick from the staff had been blocked by Bannon and Trump himself. Meanwhile, Bannons allies outside the White House are trying to put the squeeze on McMaster. On Wednesday, radio hostLaura Ingrahamtweeteda months-old article from theNew York Timesabout McMasters break with the administration on Islam.

Trump reportedly fumed to generals over losing Afghan war -NBC News:President Donald Trump has become increasingly frustrated with his advisers tasked with crafting a new U.S. strategy in Afghanistan and recently suggested firing the war's top military commander during a tense meeting at the White House, according to senior administration officials. During the July 19 meeting, Trump repeatedly suggested that Defense SecretaryJames Mattisand Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen.Joseph Dunfordreplace Gen.John Nicholson, the commander of U.S. forces inAfghanistan, because he is not winning the war, the officials said. Trump has not met Nicholson, and the Pentagon has been considering extending his time in Afghanistan. Over nearly two hours in the situation room, according to the officials, Trump complained about NATO allies, inquired about the United States getting a piece of Afghans mineral wealth and repeatedly said the top U.S. general there should be fired.

Trump considering Perry for Homeland Security -Bloomberg: Energy Secretary Rick Perryis among the candidates being considered to replaceJohn Kellyat theDepartment of Homeland Security, according to three people familiar with the deliberations. White House officials are considering others for the position, the people said. They asked not to be identified discussing a personnel matter. Its not clear Perry even wants the job. Secretary Perry is focused on the important mission of the Department of Energy. Hes honored to be mentioned, but he loves what hes doing, saidRobert Haus, director of public affairs at the department.

Report: Kelly called Sessions to say job is safe-AP: New White House chief of staff John Kelly, in one of his first acts in his new post, called Attorney GeneralJeff Sessionsto reassure him that his position was safe despite the recent onslaught of criticism he has taken from President Donald Trump. Kelly called Sessions on Saturday to stress that the White House was supportive of his work and wanted him to continue his job, according to two people familiar with the call. The people demanded anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about a private conversation. Kelly, who was appointed to the post the day before, described the president as still miffed at Sessions but did not plan to fire him or hope he would resign.

TRUMP OUTPACES PREDECESSORS ON JUDGES Fox News:President Trump has outpaced his immediate predecessors when it comes to having his choices for federal judgeships confirmed. The Senate this week approved a fifth Trump nominee, placing Trump on a faster pace for approvals than either PresidentBarack Obamaor PresidentGeorge W. Bush. Most recently, Alabama lawyerKevin Christopher Newsomwas confirmed to a seat on the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, on a 66-31 vote, with 16 Democrats joining the GOP on the affirmative side,the Washington Times reported. Newsom was the third Trump pick for circuit judge to be approved so far. Combined with one district judge and the Supreme Court appointment ofNeil Gorsuch, the Trump administration and the Republican-led Senate are well ahead of the normal pace for judicial approvals. Obama had no judges confirmed during his first six months at the White House Bush didnt have three picks confirmed until August of his first term.

GOP clash looms over debt ceiling hike-Politico: Republican congressional leaders are quietly preparing to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, according to multiple senior GOP sources setting the stage for a high-risk showdown with rank-and-file Republicans this fall. Trump administration officials, led by Treasury SecretarySteven Mnuchin, are imploring Congress to raise the $19.8 trillion debt limit with no strings attached by the end of September. And Senate Majority LeaderMitch McConnelland SpeakerPaul Ryan well aware they need Democrats to pass any debt bill through the Senate are on board, albeit begrudgingly so. But beyond the leadership, there are few Republican takers, at least so far.

Lawyers, lawmakers leave Trump admin in limbo on Obamacare subsidies-Politico: President Donald Trump has told advisers repeatedly he wants to end Obamacare cost-sharing subsidies that are crucial to the marketplaces continuing to work, and he has publicly said it would make sense to blow up the system, put the blame on the Democrats and force a negotiation. But after the inability of Republicans in Congress to repeal and replace the law, the White House is not expected to immediately end the subsidies, officials said, even as Trump stews in the legislative defeat. And they could remain in place indefinitely, some officials said.

TRUMP AGREES WITH MEDVEDEV: ITS CONGRESS FAULT Fox News:President Trump on Thursday accused Congress of bringing relations with Russia to an all-time & very dangerous low after sending him a sanctions bill which he reluctantly signed a day earlier legislation that prompted a furious response from Russias prime minister. Our relationship with Russia is at an all-time & very dangerous low. You can thank Congress, the same people that can't even give us HCare! Trump tweeted. The accusation came after Trump signed the sweeping package of sanctions, which had passed both houses of Congress with a veto-proof majority. In signing the bill, Trump issued a written statement complaining that Congress was overstepping its constitutional bounds and impeding his ability to negotiate with foreign countries. The sanctions were answered with a stinging rebuke by Prime MinisterDmitry Medvedev.He tweeted that the administration had shown total weakness by handing over executive power to Congress in the most humiliating way.

Bipartisan bill would protect Mueller -CBS News: Two members of the Senate Judiciary Committee are moving to protect Special CounselRobert Mueller's job, putting forth legislation that aims to ensure the integrity of current and future independent investigations. Republican Sen.Thom Tillisof North Carolina and Democratic Sen.Chris Coonsof Delaware plan to introduce the legislation [today]. The bill would allow any special counsel for the Department of Justice to challenge his or her removal in court, with a review by a three-judge panel within 14 days of the challenge. The Tillis and Coons bill would allow review after the special counsel had been dismissed. If the panel found there was no good cause for the counsel's removal, the person would be immediately reinstated.

The Judges Ruling: Above the law? Fox News Senior Judicial Analyst JudgeAndrew Napolitanoraises questions about the way Congress and the rest of the federal government stretches the Constitution to facilitate mass surveillance: What if a basic principle of constitutional law is that Congress is subject to the Constitution and therefore cannot change its terms or their meanings? Morehere.

PLAY-BY-PLAY Sen. Capitos West Virginia office vandalized-WDTV Former Rep.Michael GrimmR-N.Y. reportedly considering post-scandal comeback-The Hill

2018 map favors Dems on governor races-Center for Politics

AUDIBLE: (it wasnt) I didn't dump the nachos on him or anything, which was an option. Gov.Chris Christiesaidabout confronting the Chicago Cubs fan who heckled him at a game.

FROM THE BLEACHERS I was reading an article today about all of the spending cuts President Trump proposed in his recent budget - followed by notations on how much Congress actually increased spending for many of the departments, regardless of what the President requested. Since all of the department heads are nominated by Trump and I presume serve at his pleasure - what's to stop him from telling them he only wants them to spend the amount he proposed in his budget - and nothing more? I wouldn't think Congress can force department heads to spend what Congress allocates, but since they report to the President I would think he could force them to not spend it? (Otherwise, You're Fired). I'm sure I'm missing something - and you will let me know. Steve Gingras,Orefield, Pa. [Ed. note: Certainly youre quite right, Mr. Gingras. There is no law that says departments must spend all that is allocated to them. But, Congress has more to say about how administrative agencies carry out their duties. Congressional oversight is all about the money. When agencies do not act in accordance with their congressional mandates, lawmakers can do more than just drag department chiefs to the Hill for hearings, they can cut off other money for programs or issue new directives. Yes, the president can veto legislation, but that could end up being politically quite costly and time consuming. When it comes to spending, the legislative branch reigns supreme in our system of separated powers. But it would be fun to see what would happen in your scenario!] Re Trump referring to the White House as a dump, while he may have been facetious it was close to being literally true whenPresident Trumantook office. He once wrote in a letter to his sister: The engineer said that the ceiling in the state dining room only stayed up from force of habit! One summer's day in 1948, a leg on the piano that the Trumans moved into the White House for their daughter Margaret fell through the floor of her room. Such was the disarray that the present White House's entire interior had to be rebuilt and was expanded over four years of the Truman presidency. Bob Foys, Chicago [Ed. note: Great point, Mr. Foys! Trumans remaking of the White House, particularly the addition of the balcony on which we are now so accustomed to seeing presidents and their families smiling and waving, was a big deal indeed. We owe the Palladian design of the building to Irish architectJames Hoban, who got the gig afterGeorge Washingtonsaw his work at the court house in Charleston, S.C. We owe the interior design style to Francophile PresidentJames Monroe. But Truman certainly gets credit for being the one to refashion the building as what it is now: The most important office building in the world, with rooms upstairs for the boss and his family.]

This, I'm sure has no reality to it but it stays in my mind just the same. My fantasy scenario begins with the President calling an old friend. Hey buddy, I need a big favor. Can you spare two weeks of your precious time to come down and shake up the troopsin the West Wing and maybe get rid of some dead woodthat's not performing well? I'll make it worth your while and will even give you a title.Its only for two weeks, tops, promise Manny Lekkas,Winston-Salem, N.C.

[Ed. note: And with that, the Mooch slipped back on his sunglasses and left town]

Can you recommend a good biography on President Coolidge? Bill Hodges,Oakland, Calif.

[Ed. note:That is an easy one, Mr. Hodges!Amity Shlaes 2013 Coolidge is truly wonderful. The book does a fantastic job of dealing with Coolidges presidency and policies, but also fitting that into the life story and character of the man himself. It has taken almost a century for the quiet heroism of the 30thpresident to come into full relief.]

Share your color commentary:Email us at HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COMand please make sure to include your name and hometown.

ONCE YOU LEARN TO QUIT, IT BECOMES A HABIT WLUK: The Green Bay middle school named for the most famous Green Bay Packers coach wont offer football this season. I was really looking forward to playing for them this season, saidAlex Coniff, an 8th grade student at Lombardi Middle School. It makes me mad that they don't have them, but I can still play football, so thats good. Coniff estimates Lombardi had about 55 students on its two football teams last season. In a letter to parents, Lombardi principalJim Van Abelwrites the school had been advertising coaching vacancies since last April and have not had anyone apply to the positions. He also writes with the time it takes to hire quality people, interviews, reference, and background checks, the school has simply run out of time. AND NOW, A WORD FROM CHARLES We should be doing what Canada and Australia are doing and cashing in on the fact that the world wants to come in. This is so obvious it's almost amazing we haven't done this. And that I think is the core of the issue. CharlesKrauthammeron Special Report withBretBaier.

Chris Stirewaltis the politics editor for Fox News.Brianna McClellandcontributed to this report. Want FOX News Halftime Report in your inbox every day? Sign uphere.

Chris Stirewalt joined Fox News Channel (FNC) in July of 2010 and serves as politics editor based in Washington, D.C. Additionally, he authors the daily Fox News Halftime Report political news note and co-hosts the hit podcast, Perino & Stirewalt: I'll Tell You What. He also is the host of Power Play, a feature video series on FoxNews.com. Stirewalt makes frequent appearances on network programs, including Americas Newsroom, Special Report with Bret Baier and Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace. He also provides expert political analysis for FNCs coverage of state, congressional and presidential elections.

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New Deal Republicans - Fox News

Capitol Shocker: Democrats and Republicans Start Working Together on Health Care – New York Times

Photo Credit Linda Huang

Something unusual and important is happening in Congress: Republicans and Democrats are working together to improve the health care system. And theyre doing so in defiance of President Trump, who appears determined to sabotage the Affordable Care Act and the health insurance of millions of people.

This surprising if modest burst of bipartisanship comes just days after the Senate failed to pass a Republican bill to repeal important provisions of the A.C.A., or Obamacare. On Monday 43 members of the House outlined a proposal to strengthen the insurance marketplaces created by the 2010 law. On Tuesday Lamar Alexander and Patty Murray, the Republican and Democratic leaders of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, said they would hold hearings and introduce a bill to cut premiums and encourage insurers to sell policies on the marketplaces for 2018.

It is, of course, impossible to know if such efforts will succeed. Even if they result in legislation, Republican leaders could refuse to bring it to the floor for a vote. Having treated Obamacare as a political piata for seven years, Republicans might find it hard to actually help the program. Another danger is that Mr. Trump and his health and human services secretary, Tom Price, could try to pre-emptively weaken the marketplaces through administrative measures. Still, its good to see politicians actually doing their jobs. The sight of members of both parties working together in the public interest is uplifting, especially after the long partisan campaign to take insurance away from so many Americans.

Contrary to Mr. Trumps tweets, Obamacare is not collapsing. But it needs work, and some insurance markets are in trouble. Insurers have said they will no longer sell policies in 20 counties in Indiana, Nevada and Ohio, and many are proposing to raise premiums because of the uncertainty created by Mr. Trumps threats. Experts say insurers could withdraw from even more counties, especially in rural and suburban areas, if the president sabotages the law.

The biggest fear, one shared by Mr. Alexander and Ms. Murray, is that Mr. Trump will stop subsidies authorized by the A.C.A. to make health care affordable to low-income people. The government pays these subsidies, about $7 billion this year, to insurance companies every month. In exchange, the companies reduce the deductibles and co-pays for people who earn between 100 percent and 250 percent of the federal poverty line, or $12,060 to $30,150 a year for a single person.

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Capitol Shocker: Democrats and Republicans Start Working Together on Health Care - New York Times

This is why more Republicans in Congress haven’t criticized Trump – Washington Post

By Alexandra Filindra and Laurel Harbridge-Yong By Alexandra Filindra and Laurel Harbridge-Yong August 2 at 5:00 AM

President Trumps political missteps have been severely criticized by Democrats, media observers, legal experts and even police chiefs.Some of these scandals have been viewed as so serious that some legislators and observers,such asVox columnist Matthew Yglesias, have declared that FBI Director James B. Comeys dismissal put impeachment on the table.

But despite passing the sanctions against Russia, which implicitly criticized Trumps policies, few Republican legislators have openly criticizedthe president. There have been a few exceptions including Sens. John McCain (Ariz.), Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.)and Charles E. Grassley (Iowa) but why havent there been more?

Our studies show that Republicans have good reason to keep their criticism to themselves: Alegislator who rebukes Trump risks losing voter support in the next primary.

As he hosted Senate Republicans for a health-care meeting at the White House, July 19, President Trump said he "worried" whether Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.) would support a revised GOP health-care bill that collapsed on July 17. (The Washington Post)

Heres how we did our research

To study how Republican voters might respond to Republican politicians who rebuke Trump, we fielded two experiments in May shortly after news broke about the relevant events. One experiment, fielded in early May, related to the Comey firing, and a second, fielded in mid-May, related to the news that, in a meeting with Russian officials, Trump revealed classified intelligence on the Islamic States strategy in Syria. Respondents were recruited on Amazons MTurk platform and included 144 (in early May) and 197 (in mid-May) self-identified Republicans. While not representative of the national population of Republicans, these samples include similarly sized proportions of people who identify with the party strongly and weakly.

[Why did Trump win? More whites and fewer blacks actually voted.]

In each study, respondents who identified as Republicans were split into two groups. All were told about the relevant action and Trumps justification for it.

In the first group, respondents were then told that the Republican leadership echoed Trumps justification. In the second group, however, respondents were told that the Republican leadership condemned the presidents action. We then asked follow-up questions, which we will look atbelow.

Republican voters were more willing to disapprove of the presidents actions if their partys leaders criticized him.

First, we asked respondents whether Trump did the right thing or the wrong thing.

In both experiments, respondents in the second group who had been told that GOP leaders had criticized the president were more likely to say that Trump had done the wrong thing.

[Its time to bust the myth. Most Trump voters were not working class.]

You can see this in the graph below, which shows our results from the Comey experiment. When told that GOP leaders backed Trump, 59 percent of respondents said Trump did the right thing, and only eightpercent said he had done the wrong thing. When told that Trump was rebuked by congressional leaders, 49 percent said he did the right thing, while the number who saidhe did the wrong thing jumped to 25 percent.

Results were similar when we asked about Trump giving classified information to a visiting Russian delegation. The share of Republicans who said Trump did the wrong thing increased from 21 percent, when told GOP leaders supported the president, to 42 percent, when told GOP leaders rebuked the president. This suggests that partisans are more likely to be critical of their leader when the party is critical.

But voters were also critical of their partys leadership.

Second, we asked respondents how much they agreed with the Republican leaderships response. What we found might worry GOP officials who criticize Trump.

When told that the Republican Party leadership supported Trump, voters were significantly more likely to support their leaders than when told that theyd been critical of the president. In the Comey experiment, on a scale from 0 to 1, Republican voters average agreement with their leadership fell from 0.66 to 0.51. In the intelligence experiment, Republican voters average agreement with the party leadership fell from 0.62 to 0.55.

[Thanks to Trump, Germany says it cant rely on the U.S. Heres what that means.]

In another question, we also found that those in the second group were less likely by about 0.12 and 0.07 on the 0 to 1 scale, for the Comey and intelligence studies, respectively to say they thought the Republican Party response was appropriate than those in the first.

Trumps approval rating stayed the same,whether supported or rebuked byother Republicans.

Third, we checked on whether this theoretical Republican rebuke affected Trumps approval rating. It didnt. Even when voters were told that GOP leaders had criticized Trump, it didnt affect their overall approval of the president.

But rebuking the president looked politically risky for members of Congress.

Fourth, but only in the intelligence-sharing experiment, we asked respondents how they would vote in the general election and whether they would support their senator in the next primary if their senator signed on to the leaderships response, positive or negative.

As you can see in the graph, few Republicans would abandon their partys nominee in the general election. But Republican voters who said theyd support their Republican senator in the primary dropped from 88 percent to 77 percent for senators who supposedly signed on to this theoretical rebuke. These numbers do not include respondents who said not sure for how they would vote in the general election; the not sure group was about the same for both groups.

Not surprisingly, Trump supporters were more likely to say they wouldnt support a primary candidate who had criticized the president. For instance, among respondents who had tepid feelings about Trump rating him at 40 on a 100-point feeling thermometer being told that their senator had rebuked Trump did not significantly affect whether the voter said theyd support him or her in the primary.

But among more fervent Trump supporters those who gave him an 80 on the feeling thermometer their likelihood of supporting the senator in a primary election fell from 97 percent to 75 based on whether they were told he/she supported or criticized the president. Thats a statistically significant difference of 22 percentage points.

Although not a typical Republican in any way, Trump has cultivated a strong personal following among the Republican base. Loyalty to Trump may lead strong partisans to penalize Republican critics as disloyal. Recent reports suggest that some Republicans who dislike Trump are leaving the party. That means the hold that Trump has on the remaining base may be even more of a problem for critics within the party.

Alexandra Filindra is associate professor of political science andpsychology at the University of Illinois at Chicago, where her research focuses on the effects of race and ethnicity on public policy. Find her on Twitter @aleka1971.

Laurel Harbridge-Yong is associate professor of political science and a faculty fellow at the Institute for Policy Research at Northwestern University andauthor of Is Bipartisanship Dead? Policy Agreement and Agenda-Setting in the House of Representatives(Cambridge University Press, 2015).

Originally posted here:
This is why more Republicans in Congress haven't criticized Trump - Washington Post