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The 2024 presidential race remains extremely close between President Biden and former President Donald Trump, according to the latest polling from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist. Evan Vucci/AP; Eduardo Munoz/pool/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

The 2024 presidential race remains extremely close between President Biden and former President Donald Trump, according to the latest polling from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist.

The fear factor is real in America, but Democrats and Republicans are scared for the country's future for different reasons, the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds.

They also believe very differently about what children who will inherit that future should be taught.

Looking at this year's presidential election, the survey also found big shifts with key voter groups, along generational, racial and educational lines.

It also explored how third-party candidates and so-called "double haters" who have unfavorable ratings of both President Biden and former President Donald Trump could affect the race.

Finally, it finds a jump in Republicans now believing Trump has done something unethical, as he continues to contend with dozens of criminal charges and legal troubles.

Democrats overwhelmingly said teaching children to treat others as you would want to be treated, the "Golden Rule," is the most important value to teach children. That was followed farther back by "education being the key to success" and "be happy and follow your dreams."

Democrats are most concerned about a rise in extremism and fascism, topping everything else by a wide margin.

Republicans, on the other hand, said instilling children with faith in God, teaching them that hard work and discipline pay off, and to abide by the "Golden Rule" were most important.

Their biggest concerns for the country were a lack of values and becoming weak as a nation.

Fewer than half of respondents said they're following Trump's New York hush money trial closely, but with the Republican primary over and Trump's continued legal troubles, a majority of Republicans now say they believe Trump has done something wrong, whether that's something unethical or illegal.

The number of Republicans saying Trump has done something unethical has jumped 12 points since February, from 34% to 46%. Still, only 8% of Republicans think he's done something illegal, compared to almost half of respondents overall (47%).

A whopping 77% overall think Trump has done something illegal or at least unethical, and a majority believes the investigations into his conduct are fair.

When looking at the presidential election, Biden and Trump remain in a virtual tie among registered voters, with 50% for Biden and 48% for Trump. Among people who say they are "definitely voting" in November, Biden's lead expands out to 5 points, 52%-47%. The survey shows Biden is doing better with groups that say they're likely or definitely voting older voters and college-educated whites, in particular.

That may seem like the same old story two well-known candidates who were expected to be in a close race are now in a close race. But the top line numbers mask important shifts taking place by age, race and education.

Here are some key findings:

Age

Race and education

Polls have been unclear about which candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has the potential to pull support from more. This survey shows him taking a bit more from Biden than from Trump.

Biden's 2-point lead with all adults and 5-point lead with registered voters evaporates when RFK Jr. and others are considered. RFK Jr. takes in 11% of the vote, which is about how much he's been registering on average in previous Marist polls and other surveys.

It's no secret that there's a lot of cynicism and disaffection among many voters. Highlighting the country's partisanship, respondents said both men essentially represent equal threats to democracy, and majorities say they dislike both.

In this survey, 56% have an unfavorable view of Trump, and 54% have an unfavorable opinion of Biden. That's the well from which RFK Jr. is drawing.

In a matchup between Biden, Trump and RFK Jr., RFK Jr. gets 31% with those who have an unfavorable rating of both Trump and Biden, the "double haters." Another 31% of the "double haters," when faced with this choice, chose Trump and only 20% side with Biden.

That's a major warning sign for Biden because in 2020, Biden did well with "double haters," according to Democratic pollsters. When it's just Biden against Trump, the two men are statistically tied with the group, 46% for Trump, 45% for Biden.

Among the other groups RFK Jr. gets his most support: independent women (22%), independents overall (17%), those in the West (15%), parents with children under 18 (14%), white women with college degrees (14%), those under 45 (13%) and Gen Z/Millennials.

The survey of 1,199 adults was conducted April 22-25 by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Originally posted here:
2024 election poll: Trump vs. Biden and what Republicans and Democrats fear - NPR

Last month, Marjorie Taylor Greenes GOP colleagues responded to her calls to oust House Speaker Mike Johnson by saying things like, Dont bother us, and stop airing your grievances, and Nobody cares what Marjorie Taylor Greene says or thinks. Unfortunately for Greene (or maybe unfortunately for her coworkers), she did not appear to get the message, and rather than moving on, decided on Wednesday to dig in.

Speaking to reporters in Washington, the far-right congresswoman announced that she will officially raise a motion to vacate Johnson next week, i.e. try to boot him from his leadership position. Claiming Johnson is not capable of doing his job, Greene said she was giving Republicans the weekend to prepare, adding, I care about my conference. It also seems likely shes hoping people will change their minds over the next several days, because currently she appears to have little supporton either side of the aisle. As The Washington Post reports, representatives Thomas Massie and Paul Gosar are the only Republicans whove publicly backed Greenes effort to remove Johnson, while Democrats, who helped oust Kevin McCarthy last year, have said they wont do the same this time around.

On Tuesday, House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries said Democrats would vote to table Greenes motion, which would effectively kill it. Not because they think Johnson is greatas a reminder, hes antiabortion, anti-gay-marriage, and in favor of overturning the 2020 electionbut because they want Congress to be able to operate. (And maybe also because theyre sick of Greenes shit.) Representative Becca Balint told Axios Wednesday that Johnsons positions and actions on LGBTQ rights and reproductive rights are abhorrent, but added, My constituents and I want a functioning Congress. I will vote to end the chaos and to strip MTG of her power and influence. Referring to the chances of Greenes efforts being successful, a senior House Democrat told the outlet: She is about to realize her inevitable irrelevance.

Greene has claimed her attempt to boot Johnson is, in part, about defending Donald Trump, saying the House leader made a grave error when he funded the Justice Department because said DOJ, according to Greene, wants to imprison Trump for life. Yet Trump has endorsed Johnson publicly. Johnsons other sins, according to the Georgia congresswoman, were reauthorizing a government surveillance bill, and sending $61 billion to Ukraine.

While Greenes attempt to dump Johnson currently appears futile, and the work of an attention-seeking chaos machine, as my colleague Eric Lutz pointed out last month, Matt Gaetzs attempt last year to boot McCarthy seemed similarly fated at firstuntil it was successful. Matt Gaetzs pursuit to oust Kevin McCarthy began as grandstanding too, Lutz wrote. It ended with McCarthy losing his gavel and giving up his seat.

Is he making a list and checking it twice?

Narrator: He did not appear to know he was not president three years ago

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Republicans, Democrats, and Donald Trump Agree on One Thing: Marjorie Taylor Greene's Move to Oust Mike ... - Vanity Fair

I think that many Utahns agree that the issue that most reveals the basic values of our two U.S. parties is health care.

For the Republicans, it is not one of the unalienable rights but a privilege or a benefit that people receive from their generous employers, and it is best managed by the private sector. The private sector will make sure that people receive health care according to what they work for and pay for, so that hard workers will be compensated for their efforts, and laziness will be intrinsically scolded, as justice requires.

For example, higher-earning employees will be able to pay for a platinum insurance plan that will allow them to pay very little in extra cash. Instead, lower-income employees can afford only a silver or bronze plan and will have to pay thousands of dollars if they need a hospitalization. So, they pay less monthly for insurance, but they lose the peace of mind of not having to pay huge cash payments. They are scolded for their lower productivity. A complex administration of gatekeepers will be needed to take into account all these different insurance metals. Lots of paperwork...

The Democrats, instead believe that standard health care belongs to the unalienable rights (life) and should be provided as a public service to all citizens, with no or minimal cash extra payments for all. Such as it happens with our decent K-12 public education. The productivity of people can find plenty of just rewards in other non-necessary products and services, but not in the necessary ones.

Because the necessary ones belong to the general welfare, which is a constitutional right, dependent on all men are created equal and connected equal dignity. Are the Democrats more faithful to our great U.S. Constitution than the Republicans? And, ultimately, do they propose a better organized health care system, with easier administration?

Adrian Comollo, Lehi

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Letter: Are the Democrats more faithful to the Constitution than the Republicans? Let's consider health care to answer ... - Salt Lake Tribune

Congressional Republicans on Wednesday said they had asked NPRs new chief executive, Katherine Maher, to address accusations of political bias in the radio networks journalism during a hearing next week.

A trio of Republican lawmakers Representatives Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington, Bob Latta of Ohio and Morgan Griffith of Virginia sent a six-page letter to Ms. Maher that notified her of an investigation into the network and requested her appearance on May 8.

As a taxpayer funded, public radio organization, NPR should focus on fair and objective news reporting that both considers and reflects the views of the larger U.S. population and not just a niche audience, the letter said.

The lawmakers, all members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, said the hearing would be held by the panels oversight subcommittee.

NPR declined to comment, but Ms. Maher may have a scheduling conflict. According to an agenda of NPRs upcoming board of directors meeting, Ms. Maher is scheduled to convene with NPRs board all day on May 8.

NPR has been scrutinized by conservatives in recent weeks after the publication of an essay by Uri Berliner, a former senior editor at the network, who said that the network had allowed progressive politics to affect its coverage of major stories. Mr. Berliner, who has since resigned, cited the networks coverage of the Covid-19 pandemic, the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and Hunter Bidens laptop as examples of bias.

Mr. Berliners essay has generated vociferous pushback from many employees at NPR, who say that many of his points were factually inaccurate. Tony Cavin, NPRs managing editor for standards, has said the networks coverage of Hunter Bidens laptop, the Covid-19 pandemic and the investigation into Russian collusion by Robert S. Mueller III, a special counsel, hewed closely to responsible coverage by other mainstream news organizations.

Ms. Maher, who joined the network this year, has personally been targeted by conservative activists who have combed through her social media history and resurfaced posts that promoted progressive causes and critiqued former President Donald J. Trump. In one post, from 2018, Ms. Maher called Mr. Trump a racist; another from 2020 showed her wearing a hat with the logo of the Biden campaign.

NPR has said that Ms. Maher, the former chief executive of Wikimedia, wasnt working in news at the time she made the posts, and added that she was exercising her First Amendment right to free expression.

Over the years, Republicans have occasionally threatened to pull government money from NPR, which comes from the taxpayer-funded Corporation for Public Broadcasting. But those threats havent resulted in any significant funding reduction for the organization, which generates much of its revenue by selling radio programming to its member stations across the United States.

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Republicans Call on NPRs Chief, Katherine Maher, to Testify on Bias - The New York Times

House Republicans were largely dismissive of Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greenes (R-Ga.) announcement Wednesday that she would force them to vote on ousting Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) next week, with many predicting her move would fail.

Greenes escalation has further divided the deeply fractured Republican conference, with lawmakers eager to move past their internal rancor and focus on retaining their slender House majority in November.

Greenes move has also frustrated top advisers to former president Donald Trump, and one person said Trump has repeatedly described the Republican infighting as embarrassing.

He wishes it would just go away, this person said.

His advisers believe the situation puts Trump in the difficult bind of choosing between allies he likes and is furthermore unnecessary in the middle of an election year where they want to be talking about immigration, inflation, campus protests and other issues they view as more favorable.

We are trying to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory by making the story Republican infighting, said the person who, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss Trumps thinking.

Trump has endorsed Johnsons handling of the speakership, but its unclear if the presumptive GOP presidential nominee will proactively intervene to halt Greene from introducing her motion to vacate because she has been a consistently loyal ally. A fired-up Greene claimed Wednesday morning she was bringing her motion to help Trump, arguing that Johnson has fully funded the Justice Department that she charges wants to put Trump in jail for life.

I fight for [Trumps agenda] every day, and thats why Im fighting my colleagues now, Greene said. We have to do this. We have to win in November. We have to keep the majority.

Trump spent multiple hours with Johnson last month at Mar-a-Lago, where they discussed candidate endorsements and party politics. Trumps new head of the Republican National Committee, Michael Whatley, told Republicans on Tuesday that Trump wants to see the GOP conference remain united.

Trumps involvement may not be necessary as a majority of Republicans plan to vote with a sizable amount of Democrats to prevent Johnsons ouster and avoid plunging the House into uncertainty.

Rep. Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), who chairs the largest factions of conservatives in the Republican Study Committee, said Trump wants Republicans to focus on bigger issues and not get sidetracked with feuding. Lets get focused on winning in November, keeping the House, taking the Senate and having the White House in January and really run hard to get a lot of great things done for Americans, he said.

Greene intends to act sometime next week and as of Wednesday afternoon, there were only two other Republicans Reps. Thomas Massie (Ky.) and Paul A. Gosar (Ariz.) who publicly backed her motion. The House would have two legislative days to consider the motion, but would first consider a move to reject it that Democrats are expected to support.

Forcing the House to consider ousting Johnson marks the second time Republicans have acted to remove their speaker over the past six months. Rep. Matt Gaetz (Fla.) led the charge to get rid of then-Speaker Kevin McCarthy (Calif.), who became the first speaker in history to be removed from the post after seven other Republicans and all Democrats supported his ouster. As a result, the House stopped functioning for almost a month as the Republican majority devolved into chaos, repeatedly failing to elect a speaker until GOP members unanimously elected the ultraconservative, and little-known, Johnson.

Mike Johnson is not capable of that job. He has proven it over and over again, Greene said Wednesday morning, adding that she wants to see lawmakers vote on the record.

Greenes chances of success, however, are in doubt because House Democratic leadership has pledged to rescue Johnson by attempting to kill the measure before it can gain any traction. Nonetheless, Republicans will hold a one-vote House majority by next week, and anything could happen in the volatile chamber where support from GOP hard-liners is always in question.

Several people familiar with House GOP leaderships thinking say its possible that Johnson would call up the vote for immediate consideration after Greene formally triggers it. A vote to table or effectively kill the measure would come first, which is the motion Democrats have pledged to support. If that isnt successful, only then would a final vote occur to oust Johnson and Democrats have said they wont intervene to save the speaker in that case.

Marjorie Taylor Greene is the star of the show. The show is called Republicans Gone Wild, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said. House Republicans are either unwilling or unable to get [Greene] and the extreme MAGA Republicans under control, and so, its going to take a bipartisan coalition and partnership to accomplish that objective.

Several Republicans said some hard-liners might oppose the move to table Greenes motion because they know Johnson wont ultimately be ousted.

I think thats a possibility, Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good (R-Va.) said.

Its unclear, however, how Republicans would actually vote if the vacate motion came to the floor. If all lawmakers are present and participating in a final vote to oust Johnson, Greene, Massie and Gosars support would be enough to remove the speaker from the office because House Republicans razor-thin voting margin will temporarily go down to one once Democrat Tim Kennedy is sworn in to fill an open seat in New York.

After months of threats, Greene and Massie held an early-morning news conference in which they finally tipped their hands. Greene indicated that she wanted to give Republicans the weekend to reflect on how they will vote, and she suggested Johnson should pray on it and resign rather than embrace the endorsement of Jeffries and House Democrats.

Everybody needs a weekend to prepare. Im not irresponsible. I care about my conference. I have been measured. I have given this time. I have been giving warning after warning, Greene said. It was a warning to stop serving the Democrats and support our Republican conference and support our agenda. And [Johnson] didnt do it.

Johnson responded quickly: This motion is wrong for the Republican Conference, wrong for the institution and wrong for the country.

The steps to oust Johnson from the speakership

Greene has said she will formally introduce a motion to vacate next week.

This kicks off a 48-hour process in which the House can remove the speaker.

Motion to table

introduced

No motion

to table is

introduced

Democratic leadership has pledged to support a motion to table, effectively killing the measure.

The steps to oust Johnson from the speakership

Greene has said she will formally introduce a motion to vacate next week.

This kicks off a 48-hour process in which the House can remove the speaker.

Motion to table introduced

No motion to table is

introduced

Democratic leadership has pledged to support a motion to table, effectively killing the measure.

Greene devoted a majority of her 30-minute news conference to discussing Johnsons reliance on House Democrats to pass votes the far-right vehemently disagreed with, even though their quest for ideological purity on must-pass legislation helped drive Johnson into Democratic arms.

Now we have Hakeem Jeffries coming out over and over again, embracing Mike Johnson with a warm hug and a big wet sloppy kiss. They want to keep the band together, she said. Theyre sharing the gavel. Theyre holding it together.

Before Greenes announcement, Johnson had some choice words for her. Often referencing her as a friend, Johnson said in an interview on NewsNations The Hill program that he no longer considers her a serious lawmaker.

Bless her heart, Johnson said, deploying a subtle insult often used in the South. I dont spend a lot of time thinking about her. Ive got to do my job, and we do the right thing and we let the chips fall where they may.

In response, Massie said that Greene is the most serious representative up here.

If you listen to the speech that she just gave, she captured exactly what Republicans back home are thinking. They are tired of this swamp, he said.

Greene and Massie charge Johnson with committing three sins during his six months helming the House: relying on Democrats to fund the government in late March, pushing past far-right concerns over a government surveillance reauthorization bill, and sending $61 billion to aid Ukraine as part of a $95 billion foreign aid package.

Greene did not name anyone she thought could cobble enough votes together to win the speakership if her effort is successful. That has been a major concern among Republicans who recognize that their inability to agree on much of anything could jeopardize their ability to elect a conservative as speaker again.

Im not naming names, but I think we have people that are capable. Anybody thats willing to fight for our agenda anyone that refuses to share the power with Hakeem Jeffries, she said.

Massie addressed the alleged futility of trying to oust Johnson when the large majority of the House appears ready to save the speaker, urging Republicans to ask Johnson to resign in discussions with him before the vote occurs.

What weve seen here is the coming out of the uniparty and it will be apparent next week, Massie said, referring to Johnson and Democrats working together to save the speaker. We cannot coast this one out.

One Republican said, despite Greenes charge that voters are outraged by the way the House does business, that no one outside of Washington cares about the intraparty infighting.

Weve got an election coming up. You go anywhere in America and you talk to a person on the street, theyre not going to say who the next speaker is is the most pressing issue that they have, said Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.), a member of the Freedom Caucus who will not vote in support of ousting Johnson.

Mariana Alfaro contributed to this report.

Link:
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene launches her plan to oust Speaker Johnson - The Washington Post - The Washington Post