Archive for the ‘Ukraine’ Category

Ukraines GDP crashed by 29.1 percent in year of Russian invasion – POLITICO Europe

Ukraines economy plummeted in the year that Russia started its war in Ukraine, with the gross domestic product (GDP) falling by 29.1 percent in 2022, data from the state statistics service published late on Wednesday shows.

Ukraines export-led economy has been battered by the consequences of Moscows full-scale invasion in February 2022, with the highly restricted access to Black Sea ports hindering crucial metal and grain shipments and the infrastructure industry dramatically weakened.

In peacetime, Ukraines farmers supplied a tenth of the wheat and half the sunflower oil sold on world markets. Its shipments of grains and oilseeds through the Black Sea fell to zero last March, from 5.7 million metric tons in the previous month.

The Ukrainian government has predicted a slightly harder drop of 30 percent drop in earlier forecasts, with risks and uncertainties remaining high. It expects the economy to grow by 1 percent this year, expecting the situation in the transport, retail and construction sectors to improve.

The sharpest drop in Ukrainian GDP in the decade before 2022s plunge was recorded in 2014, the year of the Russian invasion of Crimea, when GDP dropped by 9.8 percent.

See original here:
Ukraines GDP crashed by 29.1 percent in year of Russian invasion - POLITICO Europe

Russia-Ukraine war at a glance: what we know on day 413 of the invasion – The Guardian

Ukraines President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has issued a strong statement urging international leaders to act after videos circulated on social media that appeared to show Ukrainian soldiers beheaded by Russian forces. One video being circulated appears to show the beheaded corpses of two Ukrainian soldiers lying on the ground next to a destroyed military vehicle. A voice says: They killed them. Someone came up to them. They came up to them and cut their heads off. A second clip, which may have been filmed in summer last year, judging by the appearance of foliage in the clip, claims to show a member of Russian forces using a knife to cut off the head of a Ukrainian soldier. The Guardian has not independently verified the origins and veracity of the two videos, but Ukrainian authorities are treating them as genuine.

The Kremlin has described a video of Russian soldiers apparently beheading a Ukrainian prisoner of war lying on the ground as awful, but questioned the videos authenticity.

Serbia, one of the only countries in Europe that has refused to sanction Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, agreed to supply arms to Kyiv or has sent them already, according to a classified Pentagon document. The document, a summary of European governments responses to Ukraines requests for military training and lethal aid or weapons, was among dozens of classified documents posted online in recent weeks in what could be the most serious leak of US secrets in years.

The UK government has imposed sanctions on the financial fixers who have allegedly helped Russian oligarchs Roman Abramovich and Alisher Usmanov hide their assets. The new sanctions, unveiled by the Foreign Office on Wednesday, are targeted at what officials describe as oligarch enablers whom they accuse of knowingly assisting the billionaire businessmen to shield their wealth.

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Tuesday said the United States will investigate the leak until the source is found. We will continue to investigate and turn over every rock until we find the source of this and the extent of it, Austin said during a press conference at the state department.

US intelligence reportedly warned Ukraine in February that it might fail to amass sufficient troops and weaponry for its planned spring counter-offensive, and might fall well short of Kyivs goals for recapturing territory seized by Russia, according to a trove of leaked defence documents.

The same leaked US military documents indicate that the UK has deployed as many as 50 special forces to Ukraine. The documents suggest that more than half of the western special forces personnel present in Ukraine between February and March this year may have been British. It is unclear what activities the special forces may have been engaged in or whether the numbers of personnel have been maintained at this level.

The leak of a trove of highly sensitive documents online could be a move by the US to deceive Russia, its deputy foreign minister was quoted as saying Wednesday. Its probably interesting for someone to look at these documents, if they really are documents or they could be a fake or it could be an intentional leak, Sergei Ryabkov told Russian news agencies.

Ryabkov also said Russia was currently considering granting US diplomats consular access to Evan Gershkovich, but that the US designation of the Wall Street Journal reporter as wrongfully detained meant nothing to Russia and would not change its approach to his case. We will not tolerate any attempts to pressure us, and it has no significance what status they assign to this person in Washington. We will act in accordance with our own internal needs, norms and laws that apply in this situation, and nothing more, Tass quoted Ryabkov as saying.

The Kremlin has said the outlook for the Black Sea grain deal was not so great, claiming that promises to remove obstacles to Russian exports of agricultural and fertiliser exports had not been fulfilled. On Tuesday no vessels were cleared to travel using the grain initiative, after Russia scrubbed out the names of three ships, submitted by the Ukrainian side, as they returned home. Ukraines deputy infrastructure minister for seaports and maritime, Yurii Vaskov, described the situation as critical. If the standoff continues, global food prices are likely to go up by 15%, he said.

South Korea has agreed to lend the US 500,000 rounds of artillery, a newspaper reported on Wednesday, as Seoul attempts to minimise the possibility that the ammunition could end up in Ukraine - a move that could spark domestic criticism of President Yoon Suk Yeol. Citing unidentified government sources, the Dong-A Ilbo said South Korea had decided to lend the shells rather than sell them - an approach it believes would lower the likelihood of them eventually being supplied to Kyiv.

Protests by European farmers are political and shipments of Ukrainian grain are not reducing the profitability of their business, Ukrainian food producers union UAC claimed on Wednesday. Poland last week said it would temporarily halt Ukrainian grain imports after farmers protests led Polands agriculture minister to resign, but transit would still be allowed. The political nature of the European farmers strikes is obvious. Ukraine sells some grain to Poland, and this is not a massive amount, Denys Marchuk, deputy chair of the Ukrainian agrarian council (UAC), said in a statement. However, certain forces need to demonstrate that this is due to an oversupply of Ukrainian grain, he said, noting that the country faced elections later this year.

Ukraine has asked India for additional medicines and medical equipment, the South Asian countrys foreign ministry said on Wednesday. The request came during the three-day visit to India by Ukraines deputy foreign minister Emine Dzhaparova.

Russias upper house of parliament has voted to introduce electronic call-up papers via an online portal for the first time. The Federation Councils vote came a day after the State Duma, the lower house of parliament, gave its approval to changes in the law. The bill will now go to President Vladimir Putin, who is now expected to sign it into law. Changes to the legislation would mean that once an electronic summons is received, citizens who fail to show up at the military enlistment office are automatically banned from travelling abroad.

View original post here:
Russia-Ukraine war at a glance: what we know on day 413 of the invasion - The Guardian

Ukraine war: Russian parliament approves online call-up – BBC

12 April 2023

Image source, Getty Images

Russia has suffered big losses on the battlefield and needs to replenish its forces in Ukraine

The Russian parliament has approved legislation to start serving call-up papers online.

The Kremlin has denied the move is aimed at speeding up further mobilisation of Russian men or putting a stop to widespread draft-dodging.

Thousands of Russians have avoided the draft to escape the war in Ukraine.

Critics say the law is further evidence of authorities creating an "electronic Gulag", referring to the Soviet-era network of prison camps.

Until now, conscription papers in Russia have had to be served in person or via an employer.

In reality, it has meant many avoiding the draft by moving away from where they were registered to live, or simply not opening the door when military officials came calling.

Under the new legislation, call-up papers will be deemed to be served as soon as they appear on a special "State Services" government portal called "Gosuslugi".

"The summons is considered received from the moment it is placed in the personal account of a person liable for military service," Andrei Kartapolov, chairman of the Russian parliament's defence committee, said on TV.

From that moment, a conscript will be obliged to turn up at his local enlistment office.

Citizens who fail to show up will be banned from travelling abroad and could face other restrictions. They will not be able to buy or sell property, their driving licences will be invalidated and they will be unable to register small businesses.

Of the 395 Russian MPs who voted on the legislation, 394 supported it and one abstained. Russia's lower house or State Duma has 450 MPs.

The new legislation will come into effect when it is signed by President Vladimir Putin, which is likely to happen soon.

Last September, the Kremlin began a chaotic emergency mobilisation campaign to support Russia's "special military operation" in Ukraine, amid a series of humiliating defeats after its full-scale invasion.

Image source, ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP

Some of those who protested against Russia's military mobilisation were themselves handed draft papers

More than 300,000 former soldiers and ex-conscripts are believed to have been called up, in a drive that often saw young men being picked up on the street or in shopping malls.

Thousands of men aged 18 to 27 fled abroad to avoid the draft and protests broke out in numerous Russian cities, although they were swiftly suppressed.

According to leaked US documents, Russia is estimated to have suffered between 189,500 and 223,000 casualties. Those numbers include 35,500-43,000 men killed in action and another 154,000-180,000 wounded.

BBC News Russian has compiled a list of 17,000 Russian servicemen who are confirmed dead, through gathering information from open sources, with names, ranks and in many cases, the military units they served in.

The last time Russian authorities revealed casualties figures was in September last year, when they confirmed the deaths of 5,937 servicemen.

"A once convenient online government portal turned out to have a flip side," tweeted Ilia Krasilshchik, who founded the Helpdesk website, which offers advice and assistance to Russian men trying to avoid being sent to fight in Ukraine.

"In an instant, you can be marked out and your exit from the country can be shut off. That's it. Who needs new waves of mobilisation? Take people out one by one in an attractive interface of a digital state."

The State Services government web portal is widely used by Russians to apply for a new passport or a marriage licence, pay bills and fines or make an appointment with a GP.

But Mr Krasilshchik warned that the state had turned it into a site to provide the Russian state with cannon fodder for Ukrainian guns.

President Putin's press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, denied the new legislation was linked to an attempt to widen mobilisation: "This is simply to improve military records. The system has to match modern requirements."

See more here:
Ukraine war: Russian parliament approves online call-up - BBC

Short of troops, Ukraine is recruiting, and drafting, reinforcements – The Washington Post

A Ukrainian armed forces mobilization campaign poster in central Kyiv reads, Turn your rage into a weapon. (Alice Martins for The Washington Post)

Updated April 11, 2023 at 3:43 p.m. EDT|Published April 10, 2023 at 1:00 a.m. EDT

KYIV, Ukraine The men in uniform could show up almost anywhere, anytime.

They knock on civilians front doors and randomly stop them on street corners, handing out draft papers that can turn lives upside down.

Ukraine needs more soldiers and fast. Kyiv is preparing for an imminent assault on Russian occupying forces, and while Ukraine does not disclose its casualty counts, commanders in the field have described large losses. In a trove of leaked classified files, the U.S. government recently estimated that between 124,000 and 131,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed or wounded since the start of the invasion more than five times what Kyiv has publicly disclosed.

We need to understand if the war lasts another year, were all going to be in the army, said Sasha, 35, a casting director and amateur kickboxer who is taking a private military training course in the capital in case he is drafted. He spoke on the condition that only his first name be used, because of concerns over publicizing his mobilization status.

The much-hyped counteroffensive will rely on both new soldiers and more experienced troops newly trained on donated Western equipment, including Leopard 2 tanks. And the pace and aggression with which officials are now calling on civilian men to report to military offices or sign up on their own are sowing panic among those who feel unprepared or unwilling to serve.

Previously, officials could only deliver draft papers to peoples homes, and some avoided the notices by staying at different addresses than where they are officially registered. But new rules have widened the scope of places where men can be stopped and questioned about their draft status.

Martial law in place in Ukraine since February 2022 bars most men between ages 18 and 60 from leaving the country. Under mobilization rules, any man in that range can theoretically be called to fight. Exceptions are made, including for students; parents with three or more children under 18; caretakers of disabled dependents; and those deemed medically unfit, among others.

Almost a quarter-million Ukrainians will turn 18 this year making them old enough to sign up to fight, or, if theyre male and still in the country, too old to leave.

The Ukrainian army has long relied on volunteers. But now many Ukrainian men even those working as volunteers or doing other useful jobs as civilians cannot escape the draft, or at least registering in military offices.

Oleksii Kruchukov, 46, a washing machine repairman waiting in line outside a recruitment office in Kyiv, said he was ordered to report there after police broke up a fight he got into on the street. He did not have any valid military exemptions and said he expected that the incident will result in him soon being sent to training, and then the front.

Oleksandr Kostiuk, 52, a road repairman who helped set up barriers against Russian forces around Kyiv last year, recently received his notice via his human resources department at work. He is willing to go to the front if he has to but fears for his safety. Now we understand whats going on, so Im more nervous, he said.

Thousands of other civilians are preempting such situations, instead signing up in droves for a force called the Offensive Guard made up of eight new assault brigades.

Some are responding to the posters plastered across the countrys highways calling on civilians to join and turn your rage into a weapon. The young men may have recently turned 18 and now qualify, or have cleared up family obligations that previously stopped them from joining. Others hope enlisting of their own accord will give them better training and prestige than if they were drafted.

Since early February, more than 5,000 people have applied to join what was formerly known as the Azov Battalion, a controversial former right-wing militia that was incorporated into Ukraines national guard. Last year, the battle-hardened group was hailed as heroic for withstanding a months-long siege of the southeastern city of Mariupol.

Then, in February, the Ukrainian Interior Ministry announced that Azov would be expanded into an assault brigade as part of the new Offensive Guard.

Under its rules, Azov only accepts those who sign up of their own accord not draftees and it reserves the right to reject people whom it does not believe will be a good fit, which it says allows it to select the most motivated soldiers. Azov has launched a massive recruitment campaign for its new status as a brigade, with many of its men who were captured in Mariupol last year and eventually released now training recruits.

Other civilians, unwilling to enlist just yet but preparing in case they are called up, are attending private trainings or workout sessions so that when the time comes, they are not starting from scratch.

Im 100 percent sure Ill be drafted sooner or later, Sasha, the casting director informally training with friends in the capital, said. Despite having taken a military course at university that would technically qualify him to serve as an officer in the army, he could barely handle a weapon until recently. Now he believes his civilian days are numbered, especially with the counteroffensive everyone is waiting for, and he has enrolled in training.

Im literally forcing myself because I understand it might happen, he said.

His worst fear, he said, is that even after attending basic training, he will not feel ready to fight.

That concern is not unfounded.

On a recent afternoon outside Lyman in eastern Ukraine, a seasoned enlisted leader vented about the quality of initial training among newly arrived troops, describing it as largely glossing over fundamentals needed in the field that have to be taught when they get to their units.

Theyre taught to sing songs and march in basic training, the leader said, speaking on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak with reporters.

Once deployed, the troops need instruction even on the most ancient practice of soldiering: how to dig, the leader said. They do not know how to hold their shovels or fortify trenches and fighting positions. For practice, a group of fresh troops dug their spades into a nearby trench line.

The leader walked an instruction line to teach four soldiers how to change their rifle magazines during a firefight, explaining that it wont be so easy to just stand there. You need to take cover, he explained. Often youll need to do it a prone position. The unloaded rifles clicked in discord as the trainees ran through the drills.

Some of them struggled to move quickly and smoothly through the steps of inserting a fresh magazine and sliding the bolt forward. The instructor singled out the worst performer and yelled.

Adjust your sling! he roared, as the soldier fidgeted with his weapon. How are you going to shoot with your sling twisted like that?

Meanwhile, at a training camp in the Kyiv region, Azov recruits lined up at a shooting range, learning to use C7A1 rifles. One of their trainers, a Russian-speaking former American Marine who joined Azov and goes by the call sign Frodo, said that the majority of these guys a month ago were civilians. One sat against a wall, studying a translated U.S. military handbook.

That they were motivated enough to sign up on their own means they act more like warriors than soldiers, Frodo said.

The training condenses the roughly three-month U.S. Marine Corps basic training into just four weeks, he said. During that time, the troops learn everything from marksmanship and cartography to radios and engineering. Its possible likely even that they could then be deployed almost immediately to the countrys hottest front lines.

In one tent, dozens of men sat in rows as an instructor went over the different types of mines they needed to be able to identify in the field. Outside, a group of men came jogging across the sand then all came to an abrupt halt and lit up cigarettes. They only get three smokes a day, Frodo explained, and during training, they are required to run everywhere they go.

Its a short period to build discipline, he said.

Its fear over this lack of readiness that pushed Sasha and eight other men to attend training at an abandoned warehouse in Kyiv on a recent Sunday. They ran up the stairs in twos and threes, rifles raised to their shoulders as they paused on each landing to check for Russian troops.

Bam! Bam! Bam! I made contact! one shouted. Then came a new threat from above: GRENADE!

They all hit the floor but nothing exploded. The grenade was plastic, the Russian soldier was cardboard, the warehouse was in an area under Ukrainian control and the consequences for mistakes were minimal. Whoever died stupidly, you do 30 squats! the commander yelled.

Their trainer an active-duty serviceman who trains the men in between assignments and spoke on the condition of anonymity because of security concerns said that days drills were intended to prepare these civilian men, who work in IT, advertising and project management, to clear an area of any Russian forces left over after a counteroffensive.

I can kill 10 Russians, but if I teach 10 others how to kill, they might kill 100 Russians, he said. When I see their motivation and their energy it gives me shivers. Their motivation is my motivation.

If they do end up on the front, he said, his main goal is for them to live for as long as possible.

Kamila Hrabchuk in Kyiv and Alex Horton and Anastacia Galouchka in Lyman contributed to this report.

Portraits of Ukraine: Every Ukrainians life has changed since Russia launched its full-scale invasion one year ago in ways both big and small. They have learned to survive and support each other under extreme circumstances, in bomb shelters and hospitals, destroyed apartment complexes and ruined marketplaces. Scroll through portraits of Ukrainians reflecting on a year of loss, resilience and fear.

Battle of attrition: Over the past year, the war has morphed from a multi-front invasion that included Kyiv in the north to a conflict of attrition largely concentrated along an expanse of territory in the east and south. Follow the 600-mile front line between Ukrainian and Russian forces and take a look at where the fighting has been concentrated.

A year of living apart: Russias invasion, coupled with Ukraines martial law preventing fighting-age men from leaving the country, has forced agonizing decisions for millions of Ukrainian families about how to balance safety, duty and love, with once-intertwined lives having become unrecognizable. Heres what a train station full of goodbyes looked like last year.

Deepening global divides: President Biden has trumpeted the reinvigorated Western alliance forged during the war as a global coalition, but a closer look suggests the world is far from united on issues raised by the Ukraine war. Evidence abounds that the effort to isolate Putin has failed and that sanctions havent stopped Russia, thanks to its oil and gas exports.

Understanding the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Read more here:
Short of troops, Ukraine is recruiting, and drafting, reinforcements - The Washington Post

Russia-Ukraine war: Hungary signs new energy deals with Russia; UN tally of Ukraine civilian deaths approaches 8,500 as it happened – The Guardian

A spokesperson for the Ukrainian armed forces has denied a claim by Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of Russias private Wagner mercenary group, who said Russian forces now controlled more than 80% of Bakhmut city. I can confidently state that the Ukrainian defence forces control a much larger percentage of the territory of Bakhmut, Serhii Cherevatyi, a spokesperson for the eastern grouping of the Ukrainian armed forces, told CNN.

Russias lower house of parliament has voted unanimously to introduce electronic callup papers via an online portal for the first time. The State Duma gave its preliminary approval to changes in the law that are intended to facilitate mobilisation, as Russia seeks to make it harder to avoid the draft. Changes to the legislation would mean that once an electronic summons is received, citizens who fail to show up at the military enlistment office are automatically banned from travelling abroad.

Hungarys foreign minister, Pter Szijjrt, has announced new agreements to ensure the countrys continued access to Russian energy, a sign of the countrys continuing diplomatic and trade ties with Moscow amid the war in Ukraine. While in Moscow, Szijjrt met the Russian deputy prime minister for energy, Alexander Novak, and the chief executive of the Russian state nuclear energy company Rosatom, Alexey Likhachev.

The Russian-appointed leader of Crimea has said Moscows forces are ready for a possible Ukrainian assault, days after President Volodymyr Zelenskiy reaffirmed Kyivs intention to take back the Black Sea peninsula that Russia illegally annexed from Ukraine in 2014. Sergei Aksyonov said Russian forces in Crimea had built modern, in-depth defences and had more than enough troops and equipment to repel what may be an impending Ukrainian counteroffensive.

Almost 8,500 civilians are confirmed to have been killed in Russias invasion of Ukraine, a UN body has said, with many thousands more unverified deaths feared. The Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) has long described its figures as the tip of the iceberg because of its limited access to battle zones. The majority of the deaths were recorded in territory controlled by the Ukrainian government and under attack by Russian forces.

A Danish decision on whether to supply western fighter jets to Ukraine is likely to take place before the summer, Denmarks acting defence minister, Troels Lund Poulsen, has said. Discussions are taking time because countries have to act together, Poulsen said during a visit to Ukraine. Poulsen yesterday confirmed Denmarks intention to provide refurbished 100 Leopard 1 battle tanks to Ukraine.

The UN-brokered deal that enables Ukraine to export grain via the Black Sea is in a critical state because of Russias actions, a Ukrainian government minister told the Guardian on Tuesday. Yurii Vaskov, Ukraines deputy minister responsible for seaports and maritime, said: The Russians have violated the conditions of the Black Sea grain initiative. They decided to unilaterally change the plans of Ukrainian ports. Its unacceptable.

Canadas prime minister, Justin Trudeau, has pledged fresh military support for Ukraine after meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart, Denys Shmyhal. Canada will send 21,000 assault rifles, 38 machine guns and 2.4m rounds of ammunition to Ukraine and impose sanctions on 14 Russian individuals and 34 entities, including security targets linked to the private mercenary Wagner group, Trudeau said.

Leaked US intelligence documents appear to indicate that Egypt was planning to covertly supply Russia with rockets and munitions. A document dated 17 February is claimed to summarise conversations between President Abdel Fatah al-Sisi and senior Egyptian military officials in which Sisi instructs officials to keep the production and shipment of rockets secret to avoid problems with the west, and additionally references plans to supply Russia with artillery rounds and gunpowder.

Ukraine needs more long-range weapons and less contemplation on leaks, said the senior presidential adviser, Mykhailo Podolyak, referring to the recent leak of Pentagon documents. If we had time, we could watch the [Russian Federation] fall apart & its elites devour each other. But we dont have it, as our people are dying, he posted to Twitter.

The Kremlin, appearing to pre-judge any judicial hearing, said on Tuesday that the Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich had violated Russian law and been caught red-handed, after the US state department officially designated him as having been wrongfully detained by Russia. Russia has presented no evidence to support the case against Gershkovich. Next week, a court will hear an appeal from Gershkovichs legal team against an order that he be held in pre-trial detention at Moscows Lefortovo prison until 29 May.

Originally posted here:
Russia-Ukraine war: Hungary signs new energy deals with Russia; UN tally of Ukraine civilian deaths approaches 8,500 as it happened - The Guardian