Archive for the ‘Ukraine’ Category

The ‘Gray Cardinal’ Has Left The Kremlin. What Does That Mean For The War In Ukraine? – Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty

After seven years overseeing the Kremlin's policy regarding Ukraine a period which included Russia's seizure of Ukraine's Crimea region and the unleashing of a conflict in parts of eastern Ukraine that has left more than 13,000 people dead -- Vladislav Surkov has been dismissed.

His departure has sparked speculation that Russian President Vladimir Putin could be ready for compromises with Kyiv and the West, and bodes well for an end to the war in the Donbas. But some analysts are skeptical, suggesting that the change may be more a shift in symbolism and style than in substance.

Following weeks of rumors that Surkov was leaving, the Kremlin on February 18 issued a terse decree making it official.

It followed one week after an announcement that Dmitry Kozak, a deputy head of Putins administration, had been tapped as the Kremlin's point man on Ukraine.

The Cardinal And The Cat

"In his new role, Kozak is in charge and will continue to be in charge of Ukrainian issues," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists in Moscow.

In a nutshell, Surkov known in Russia as "the gray cardinal" for his behind-the-scenes political machinations has been replaced by Kozak, known as "the Cheshire Cat" for his inscrutability.

When the rumors of Surkov's departure emerged last month, Aleksei Chesnakov a Kremlin insider who is close to Surkov was quoted as saying Surkov was leaving because of a Kremlin "change of course on Ukraine."

In Ukraine itself, many were skeptical.

"I'm not sure this is a change," former Ukrainian lawmaker Serhiy Vysotskiy told RFE/RL's Russian Service. "Ukraine is such an important country for President Putin that there won't be a change of course. The course is gradual movement to the complete absorption of Ukraine as a state."

However, observers in Russia said that replacing Surkov with Kozak could mark a symbolic end to the ambitious Novorossia project, which was associated with Surkov and envisioned the absorption into Russia of considerable swathes of eastern and southern Ukraine.

Putting Kozak in place, some said, does not suggest that Putin is ready for a real compromise but that he is focused on securing a status quo that could stymie Kyiv's integration with the West and create opportunities for Moscow to reassert its influence over its neighbor.

Moscow-based political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin placed the change in the context of the domestic political situation in Russia as Putin's current term comes to an end in 2024 and the constitution bars him from seeking a new one -- the so-called "2024 problem."

As Putin prepares to substantially amend the constitution in what may be a ploy to maintain his political power in Russia beyond that date, Oreshkin says, the Kremlin is seeking stable or improved relations with the outside world.

'Negotation, Fear-Mongering, And Blackmail'

"Politically, I think, we are entering into a period when Vladimir Putin wants to reconcile with the outside world in these new conditions," Oreshkin said.

The Kremlins conditions, he said, are that Crimea is part of Russia but the areas held by Russia-backed separatists in Ukraine's Donetsk and Luhansk regions are up in the air, subjects of negotiation, fear-mongering, and blackmail."

Putin is not interested in reconciling with Ukraine at all. Ukraine is a means for reconciling with the West."

"The main thing is maintaining 'business as usual,' reducing the sanctionskeeping things quiet," he added. "Now [Putin's] task is to settle things with his own population and, to do that, he needs to somewhat smooth relations with Europe and, maybe, even with America. In this situation, he made a knight sacrifice of Surkov."

Oreshkin noted that Ukraine and the outside world see Surkov as "responsible" for the creation of the Russia-backed separatist formations in parts of eastern Ukraine.

"They have no love for him in Ukraine," Oreshkin said, and the moment seemed ripe to present a new interlocutor to Kyiv and the West.

Political analyst Leonid Radzikhovsky offered a similar analysis.

"Putin is not interested in reconciling with Ukraine at all," he told RFE/RL. "Ukraine is a means for reconciling with the Westso that the new power construction that emerges in Russia will be recognized as legitimate in the West -- which is both loathed and revered in Russia."

Kozak, 61, was born in Soviet Ukraine and served as deputy prime minister before moving over to Putin's presidential administration. He is reputed to have good working relations with Andriy Yermak, who was appointed presidential chief of staff by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on February 11. Yermak told Ukrainian television that he considered Kozak an improvement over Surkov.

The Moldova Factor

Earlier, Kozak controlled Moscow's policies in Moldova and, analysts say, achieved results there that probably impressed the Kremlin. When he took the reins, Moldova's government was controlled by an unstable but decidedly pro-Western coalition government. It was a successful participant in the European Union's Eastern Partnership program and had been granted a visa-free travel regime with the bloc.

In 2016, however, former Socialist Party head and outspokenly pro-Russian politician Igor Dodon was elected president of Moldova. In June 2019, Dodon struck an agreement with Moldova's pro-Western parties to form a coalition against oligarch Vlad Plahotniuc.

This unlikely alliance of pro-Western and pro-Russian forces was broken in November when the Socialist Party filed a successful no-confidence motion against the coalition government voting together with Plahotnuic's party to oust the coalition government. Dodon was able to install technocrat Ion Chicu as prime minister and more than half of Chicu's cabinet seats were filled by former Dodon advisers.

Analyst Radzikhovsky said the Kremlin may be hoping for similar incremental results from Kozak in Ukraine.

"The instrumentation of reconciliation [with the West] is the end of active military action in Ukraine, which has already largely been achieved," he said, despite frequent cease-fire violations in the ongoing war between Kyivs forces and the Russia-backed separatists. "And also some sort of solution of the political situation in Ukraine. We should see the replacement of Surkov by Kozak in this context. But the essential thing is not about Surkov or Kozak. Both Surkov and Kozak are capable, energetic management bureaucrats. They do not set policy."

Putin is "symbolically demonstrating a change of course," he added, by "replacing the man who symbolizes one approach with a man who symbolizes the other."

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The 'Gray Cardinal' Has Left The Kremlin. What Does That Mean For The War In Ukraine? - Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty

Hunter Biden Served On Board Of Coalition Pushing For Aid To Ukraine – The Federalist

Former Vice President Joe Bidens son Hunter, who is at the center of controversy surrounding conflicts of interest related to Ukraine, served on the board of a trade coalition that lobbied the Obama administration for additional aid to the eastern European country, according to the Daily Caller.

Hunter Biden worked from 2012 to 2018 on the board of the U.S. Global Leadership Coalition (USGLC), which pushed for increased spending and assistance to Ukraine, while his father dictated U.S. policy toward the former Soviet nation.

Hunter Bidens technical role was director of the Center for U.S. Global Leadership. Its firm, Rosemont Seneca, made up a part of the coalition.

While on the board of the USGLC, Hunter Biden was also recruited by one of the countrys most notoriously corrupt energy companies, Burisma, for upwards of $50,000 a month despite no prior experience in the industry in 2014. A Federalist analysis of Hunter Bidens pay reveals just how much he was being showered with excess compensation from Ukrainian elites seeking White House access. For example, executives on the board of Exxon Mobil, a company worth billions more than Burisma, only pay its members little more than half of what Hunter Biden was raking in.

In February 2014, Joe Biden played a role in securing additional aid to Ukraine following the ouster of Ukraine President Viktor Yanukovych. Two years later, with Hunter Biden on the board of Burisma and the USGLC, Joe Biden threatened to withhold $1 billon in assistance to Ukraine, provided by legislation for which the trade coalition had lobbied.

Hunter Bidens business dealings with Ukraine have come under heightened scrutiny in recent months after the failed impeachment coup launched against President Donald Trump brought the Bidens interactions with Ukraine into the spotlight.

Weeks after Trumps exoneration in the Senate, two top Republican senators have pivoted their focus on Hunter Bidens work in Ukraine, conducting a probe of the perceived conflicts of interest. Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, who chairs the Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee, and Chuck Grassley of Iowa, who chairs the Finance Committee, have formally requested records from federal agencies as part of their ongoing probe. Earlier this month, the Treasury Department confirmed the presence of Suspicious Activity Reports filed in relation to Hunter Bidens overseas work.

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Hunter Biden Served On Board Of Coalition Pushing For Aid To Ukraine - The Federalist

Trump Just Comes Out and Admits to Entire Ukraine Scam – Vanity Fair

Years after O.J. Simpson was found not guilty for the murders of Nicole Brown Simpson and Ron Goldman, he wrote a book called If I Did It, in which he basically explained exactly how the two were killed with a level of detail that only someone who participated in the murders could possibly have been privy to. Now that Donald Trump has been acquitted by Republicans for extorting Ukraine for personal gain, hes kind of doing the same thing, except (1) he freely admitted to many of the details of the alleged crime even before his Senate trial, and (2) hes not even doing the people who let him get away with it the courtesy of throwing an if in there for plausible deniabilitys sake.

In a podcast interview with Geraldo Rivera that aired on Thursday, Trump was asked, Was it strange to send Rudy Giuliani to Ukraine, your personal lawyer? Are you sorry you did that? Rather than stick with his previous denials of ever having dispatched Giuliani to Ukraine to investigate the Bidens in the first place, Trump happily copped to it all, responding: No, not at all...I deal with the Comeys of the world or I deal with Rudy, the former of whom, per the president, left a very bad taste in his mouth due to the whole Russia investigation. So when you tell me, why did I use Rudy, and one of the things about Rudy, number one, he was the best prosecutor, you know, one of the best prosecutors, and the best mayor, Trump said. But also, other presidents had them. FDR had a lawyer who was practically, you know, was totally involved with government. Eisenhower had a lawyer. They all had lawyers. FDR and Eisenhower didnt use their personal lawyers to uncover nonexistent dirt on their political rivals, but, sure, great history lesson.

In the new interview, Trump defended the decision to use Giuliani, even though U.S. diplomats previously testified that Giuliani had undermined long-standing U.S. policy toward Ukraine.... Multiple witnesses described how Giuliani met with former Ukrainian officials in search of dirt against Joe and Hunter Biden. Other key players described how Giuliani and his allies pressured Ukraine to announce investigations into the Bidens. Trumps past denials came in November, when the House of Representatives was investigating the presidents conduct with Ukraine.

Trump, of course, has insisted up to this point that he never sent Giuliani to Ukraine, claiming last year that didnt direct the former NYC mayor to take a fact-finding trip to the Eastern European country, and that the great corruption fighter had taken the initiative himself.

Obviously, the president didnt exactly try to hide his corrupt ways prior to the formal impeachment proceedings, having stood in front of the White House last October and calledon camera!for Ukraine and China to investigate the Bidens. But now that hes free of the fear of impeachment, hes apparently just going for broke with the admissions, in addition to getting revenge on the individuals who had the audacity to cooperate with the Houses inquiry, like Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, who was escorted out of the White House last week and whom Trump has asked the military to further punish for disrespecting the king. (In other just coming out and saying it news, Trump tweeted this morning that hes never asked Attorney General William Barr to do something underhanded in a criminal case but totally could if he wanted to, which means he probably has already.)

Anyway, the many lawmakers who chose to acquit the president while insisting that hed totally learned his lesson have not yet commented on the fresh confessions, but presumably theyre feeling pretty stupid right now (and will continue to let Trump get away with whatever his heart desires moving forward).

More Great Stories From Vanity Fair

After acquittal, Trump plots revenge on Bolton and other impeachment enemies Behind the scenes of Trumps secret birther implosion Why Bernies message and media machine could be potent against Trump With accused wife-murderer Fotis Dulos on life support, a look inside the grim end of a perfect couple The hedge fund vampire that bleeds newspapers dry now has the Chicago Tribune by the throat The most deranged moments from Trumps post-acquittal press conference From the Archive: If Donald Trump is the political equivalent of a pathogen, whos responsible for letting him wreak havoc in the national bloodstream?

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Trump Just Comes Out and Admits to Entire Ukraine Scam - Vanity Fair

Putin forever: Ukraine faces the prospect of endless imperial aggression – Atlantic Council

Russian President Vladimir Putin's speech announcing plans to change the Russian Constitution is broadcast on the exterior of a Russian skyscraper. January 15, 2020. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov

Vladimir Putins plans to change the Russian Constitution are not yet finalized, but few doubt that his true intention is to remain in power indefinitely. The Russian leaders January 2020 announcement of constitutional revisions came following months of speculation over the future prospects for the country once his fourth presidential term ends in 2024. That uncertainty now appears to be over. Russias future will look much like Russias recent past, with Putin dominating national life.

The rewriting of the Russian Constitution is the latest step away from the brief democratic flirtation of the early 1990s and towards the countrys authoritarian traditions. This is entirely in keeping with Putins increasingly open enthusiasm for a brand of Russian imperial nationalism rooted in the early nineteenth century Tsarist trinity of Orthodoxy, autocracy and nationality.

Putins plans for lifelong rule look particularly ominous when viewed from Ukraine, which faces the prospect of perpetual imperial aggression at the hands of an adversary who views much of modern Ukraine as historically Russian and continues to ask fundamental questions about the countrys right to exist. For Ukrainians, Putin forever means war without end.

Putins imperial ideology is not simply the revival of 200-year-old doctrines. His brand of imperialism is hybrid in nature, incorporating elements from both the Soviet and Tsarist eras. During his first year in power, Putin made his revanchist intentions clear by reinstating the Soviet national anthem. This set the tone for further efforts to rehabilitate the Communist period and draw a line under the soul-searching of the early post-Soviet years. Putin has since taken veneration of the Red Army victory over Nazi Germany to new heights and made it the basis of modern Russian national identity, while gently ushering Stalin himself back into polite society as an example of severe but successful Russian leadership.

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In religious matters, the godless Soviets had little to offer Putin. Instead, he has sought to make the Russian Orthodox Church the official state religion of the Russian Federation, despite the fact that Russias Orthodox faithful constitutes less than 50% of a population including many millions of Muslims and Buddhists.

The ascendancy of the Russian Orthodox Church during Putins reign reflects his view of the Churchs importance as a tool of imperial influence. Tellingly, when Constantinople granted Ukraine Orthodox independence in early 2019, Putin called an emergency session of the decidedly secular Russian Security Council. Such moves hint at the political role of the Russian Orthodox Church, which is implacably hostile to the idea of an independent Ukrainian Orthodox Church and remains the Kremlins greatest single agent of influence in Ukraine.

Alongside an emphasis on the supremacy of the Russian Orthodox Church, Putins other great borrowing from the Tsarist era is his broad interpretation of Russian nationality, with Ukrainians and Belarusians also seen as part of the three-branch Russian people. In his public statements, Putin has repeatedly stressed his personal belief that Russians and Ukrainians are one people.

The evolution of Putins Tsarist imperialism became more noticeable following his first re-election in 2004, when Russian anger over Western support for the Rose Revolution in Georgia and Ukraines Orange Revolution led him to adopt an increasingly nationalistic posture. This extended to gestures such as returning the remains of Russian White Army General Anton Denikin to Russia for reburial with full state honors. At the time, Putin specifically praised Denikins early twentieth century opposition to Ukrainian independence and encouraged journalists to read the generals diary entries on the subject. He (Denikin) has a discussion there about Big Russia and Little Russia (Ukraine). He says that no one should be allowed to interfere in relations between us; they have always been the business of Russia itself, commented Putin approvingly.

Putins hybrid mix of Tsarist and Soviet Russian nationalism led to the establishment in 2007 of the Russkiy Mir Foundation (Russian World Foundation), followed by the emergence of a Russian World doctrine calling on the Russian state to intervene on behalf of Russians throughout the former Soviet Union. Although the term is subject to different interpretations, the Russian World concept broadly aims to unite the three modern eastern Slavic nations (Russia, Belarus and Ukraine) under Moscows leadership, with the population of this informal empire bound together by the Russian language and the Russian Orthodox Church. This mirrors Soviet and Tsarist historical narratives which depicted Russians, Belarusians and Ukrainians as fraternal nations born together in the medieval Kyiv Rus and destined to remain united.

Throughout his time in power, Putin has consistently promoted Russias ancient ties to the Kyiv Rus state as a way of furthering eastern Slavic unity. This makes it all the more difficult for him to now accept the loss of a westward-looking Ukraine, as this would mean acknowledging Russias separation from the countrys historic heartlands. Indeed, in his March 2014 speech accepting Crimea into the Russian Federation, Putin referenced Kyiv Rus specifically. Two years later, he erected a huge monument to tenth century Kyiv prince Volodymyr the Great in Moscow, a city that was not founded until over a century after Volodymyrs death.

Russian appeals to Slavic unity are usually followed by assertions that Ukraine is undeserving of independent statehood. At a NATO summit in 2008, Putin told US President George W. Bush that Ukraine was not even a state. This idea of modern Ukraine as a manufactured nation has long been a staple of Russian state media. It was finally put to the test six years ago, with results that few in the Kremlin had anticipated.

Following the February-March 2014 seizure of Crimea, Russia sought to partition mainland Ukraine and unveiled plans to transform approximately half the country into a Russian protectorate. As part of these efforts, Moscow revived the Tsarist term New Russia, which had been used in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries to refer to southern and eastern Ukraine. Operating under the New Russia banner, Kremlin agents attempted to spark local pro-Russian uprisings in major cities throughout the south and east of the country.

Unfortunately for Putin, the majority of people in these predominantly Russian-speaking parts of Ukraine showed themselves to be Ukrainian patriots. Nevertheless, Putin continues to cling to his fantasies of rescuing Russian-speaking Ukrainians. During his annual press marathon in December 2019, he once more referred to southeastern Ukraine as ancestral Russian lands, claiming they had been inexplicably and erroneously handed to Ukraine by the Bolsheviks.

UkraineAlert sources analysis and commentary from a wide-array of thought-leaders, politicians, experts, and activists from Ukraine and the global community.

Such comments suggest Putin has failed to learn the lessons of 2014. Ukrainian statehood and national identity were strong enough to fight back against Russian military aggression six years ago, and Ukraines ability to defend itself has increased considerably since those desperate days of national improvisation. Indeed, it is worth noting that Russias invasion has played a key role in nation-building processes throughout eastern Ukraine, largely because this region has suffered the highest military casualties and has absorbed many of the estimated 1.7 million Ukrainians displaced by the conflict. Nevertheless, as a military and energy superpower, Russia can call upon vastly superior resources and will always be able to outgun Ukraine. This is a recipe for bloody stalemate.

Ukrainian society may have passed the ultimate statehood test in 2014, but the country looks set to remain a target of Kremlin hostility and hybrid aggression for many years to come. Putins embrace of Tsarist imperialism and his desire to remain Russias national leader mean there is little chance of a sustainable peace in Ukraine. On the contrary, Ukraines centrality to Putins understanding of Russian identity and national interests makes it difficult to imagine a settlement that would leave both parties satisfied.

It is therefore imperative that Ukraines current leaders are on the same page as the countrys citizens, many of whom have long believed no peace is possible while Putin is still in power. It is also vital for the international community to grasp the existential nature of Putins imperial ambitions in Ukraine, and to recognize that Kremlin-friendly compromises will only prolong the problem.

Vladimir Putin is now the uncrowned Tsar of Russia. His reign is likely to last for as long as he lives. Given that he is currently 67 years old and in good health, the Putin era could extend into the future for decades to come. This means Russian aggression against Ukraine will also continue indefinitely, serving to destabilize the wider geopolitical environment until it is decisively confronted.

Taras Kuzio is a non-resident fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute at Johns Hopkins-SAIS and a professor at the National University of Kyiv Mohyla Academy. He is also author of Putins War Against Ukraine and co-author of The Sources of Russias Great Power Politics: Ukraine and the Challenge to the European Order.

Mon, Jan 20, 2020

Many hoped President Zelenskyys April 2019 election could break the deadlock in peace talks with Russia. However, it now looks like the best Ukraine can expect is a transition from hot war to frozen conflict. That may not be such a bad outcome, argues James Brooke.

UkraineAlertbyJames Brooke

Tue, Feb 4, 2020

Rival interpretations of the 2015 Minsk Protocols have brought Ukraine and Russia to deadlock in negotiations to end the undeclared six-year war between the two nations but could international law help Ukraine to win the diplomatic argument?

UkraineAlertbyMichel Waelbroeck and Willem Aldershoff

Mon, Jan 27, 2020

The departure of Vladimir Putins gray cardinal Vladislav Surkov and his replacement as Ukraine policy curator by Dmitry Kozak has led to speculation that Russia could be planning a change in its Ukraine strategy.

UkraineAlertbyAnders slund

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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Putin forever: Ukraine faces the prospect of endless imperial aggression - Atlantic Council

Ukraine Plane Shot Down Because of Human Error, Iran Says …

Iran blames disastrous mistake for the downing of Flight 752.

After maintaining for days that there was no evidence that one of its missiles had struck a Boeing 737-800 minutes after it took off from Tehran on Wednesday with 176 people on board, Iran admitted early on Saturday that its military had shot down the passenger jet by mistake.

The military blamed human error. In a statement, it said Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 had taken a sharp, unexpected turn that brought it near a sensitive military base. Hours later, though, an Iranian official walked back that claim.

The plane was flying in its normal direction without any error and everybody was doing their job correctly, Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps airspace unit, said during a televised news conference later Saturday. If there was a mistake, it was made by one of our members.

In a post on Twitter, Irans foreign minister, Mohamad Javad Zarif, apologized but appeared to also blame American adventurism for the tragedy, writing: Human error at time of crisis caused by US adventurism led to disaster.

President Hassan Rouhani said on Twitter that Iran deeply regrets this disastrous mistake.

In a statement cited by the semiofficial Fars News Agency, the president offered condolences to the victims families and said that the terrible catastrophe should be thoroughly investigated and those responsible would be prosecuted.

But facing the possibility of American military strikes on Iran on Wednesday, Mr. Rouhani added, the armed forces made a human mistake.

This painful incident is not something we can easily overcome, he added, saying that was imperative to correct shortcomings in the countrys defense mechanisms.

Iranians vented fury toward their government after Tehrans admission, with thousands pouring into main squares around the city Saturday afternoon. Gatherings organized on social media to mourn the victims of the crash swiftly turned into angry protests against the governments actions.

Death to liars! and Death to the dictator! people chanted, according to videos posted on social media. You have no shame, shouted several young men, as the crowd joined in a chorus, another video showed.

The countrys elite security force was not spared. At universities, crowds called the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps incompetent and the peoples shame.

But as protests spread throughout the capital and to other cities, the publics anger seemed to find a one clear target: Ayatollah Khamenei, the countrys supreme leader and its commander in chief.

In Tehran, video posted to social media showed, protesters demanded that Mr. Khamenei resign, thrusting their fists in the air and screaming: Khamenei is a murderer! His regime is obsolete!

The protests turned violent in Tehran with anti-riot police using tear gas and opening water cannons at the crowd, videos showed.

Even conservatives and supporters of the government accused the authorities on social media of initially misleading the public about what had brought down the plane, whose passengers included many young Iranians on their way to Canada for graduate study.

The semiofficial Fars News Agency, which is affiliated with the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, posted a harsh commentary condemning Irans leaders, saying their shortcomings have made this tragedy twice as bitter.

It is pivotal that those who were hiding the truth from the public for the past 72 hours be held accountable, we cannot let this go, it read.

Individuals, media, political and military officials who commented in the past 72 hours must be investigated. If they knew of the truth and were deliberately speaking falsehood or for any reason were trying to hide it, they must be prosecuted, no matter what post they hold.

Siamak Ghaesmi, a Tehran-based economist, addressed the countrys leaders in an Instagram post: I dont know what to do with my rage and grief. Im thinking of all the human errors in these years that were never revealed because there was no international pressure. Im thinking of the little trust left that was shattered. Im thinking of the innocent lives lost because of confronting and being stubborn with the world. What have you done with us?

Mohamad Saeed Ahadian, a conservative analyst in Iran, said on Twitter, There are two major problems with the Ukrainian Airlines issue. One is firing at an airplane and two is firing at the publics trust. The first can be justified, but the latter is a mistake with absolutely no justification.

Some social media posts made use of the term harsh revenge, which Irans leaders had promised to inflict on the United States for the killing of Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani, a top Revolutionary Guards commander; an Iraqi militia leader, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis; and others as they left the airport in Baghdad. The generals killing sent shock waves through the Middle East and led to calls for revenge in Iran, as well as a vote by Iraqs Parliament to oust American troops from that country.

Mojtaba Fathi, an Iranian journalist, wrote on Twitter, They were supposed to take their harsh revenge against America, not the people.

The British ambassador to Iran was briefly detained by the authorities in Tehran as protests exploded across the country, a move denounced by Britain as a flagrant violation of international law.

The ambassador, Rob Macaire, was held for a few hours after being picked up during a demonstration at Amir Kabir University, one of the large protests sites in Tehran, according to Tasnim, an official Iranian news agency.

Tasnim said Mr. Macaire was detained for involvement in provoking suspicious acts, a claim that was immediately disputed by British officials.

The arrest of our ambassador in Tehran without grounds or explanation is a flagrant violation of international law, Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said in a statement. The Iranian government, he added, was at a crossroads.

It can continue its march toward pariah status with all the political and economic isolation that entails, or take steps to de-escalate tensions and engage in a diplomatic path forwards, Mr. Raab said.

The Iranian authorities plan to summon Mr. Macaire for questioning on Sunday, Tasnim reported.

President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine praised the 45-member Ukrainian investigative team that arrived in Iran this week for helping bring the circumstances of the disaster to light.

Their high professionalism and promptness and the preliminary evidence they found in Tehran have not allowed the truth to be hidden, Mr. Zelensky said in a video address on Saturday.

In the address, Mr. Zelensky said Ukraine had received important intelligence from the United States and Britain, but he called on the international community to be persistent until all the circumstances of the crash are identified.

He pledged that the guilty will be punished and that the bodies of Ukrainians killed in the crash would be returned promptly.

Earlier, in a Facebook posting, Mr. Zelensky said Kyiv would insist on a full admission of guilt from Iran. Mr. Zelensky had come under some domestic criticism this week for refusing to publicly blame Iran for the disaster even as the United States, Canada and Britain did.

The lead Ukrainian investigator said Iran had little choice but to allow his team access to the site because the International Civil Aviation Organization would have closed Iranian airspace if it had not.

As we saw it, Iran had to face the reality that theres no way theyll get out of this, he said.

But Mr. Danilov said Iranian authorities had complicated the investigation by scraping the wreckage into piles rather than photographing and mapping the coordinates. Over all, he said, they had acted inappropriately.

When a catastrophe happens, everything is supposed to stay in its place. Mr. Danilov said. Every element is described, every element is photographed, every element is fixed in terms of its location and coordinates. To our great regret, this was not done.

The Trump administration had for hours stayed relatively quiet about Irans admission and the tumultuous aftermath. But by Saturday afternoon, both President Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo had weighed in on Twitter.

There cannot be another massacre of peaceful protesters, nor an internet shutdown, Mr. Trump wrote, apparently referring to the deadly repression of protests in November. Though human rights issues have not typically been at the top of the administrations agenda, Mr. Trump called on the Iranian authorities to allow rights groups to monitor the protests and report abuses.

For his part, Mr. Pompeo said that Iranians are fed up with the regimes lies, corruption, ineptitude and brutality. He described the government led by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as a kleptocracy.

The voice of the Iranian people is clear, Mr. Pompeo said.

Flight 752 followed the same departure route as other planes leaving on Wednesday, Igor Sosnovsky, the airlines vice president for flight operations, told reporters on Saturday. There was no deviation from any routes that some are hinting at, he said.

Iranian officials initially said that the plane had taken an unexpected turn that brought it near a sensitive military base, but hours later a top official walked back that claim and said the plane was flying in a normal direction.

The airline presented maps showing the jet took a similar path out of the airport as other departures Wednesday morning and the same path that Flight 752 had taken on dozens of previous departures from November to January.

Irans decision not to shut down its airspace on Wednesday morning, shortly after it struck American positions in Iraq, was absolutely irresponsible, Mr. Sosnovskiy said.

When you act in war, then you act however you wish, he said at a news conference. But there must be protection around ordinary people. If they are shooting somewhere from somewhere, they are obliged to close the airport.

Yevhen Dykhne, the airlines president, said the Iranians had provided no information about possible risks before the planes takeoff.

A commander of the aerospace division of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps in Iran, Amirali Hajizadeh, said on Saturday that he accepted responsibility for the planes downing minutes after takeoff in Tehran, according to Iranian state TV.

In a televised address, he gave more details about the sequence of events that he said had led to the disaster. He said it had been misidentified as a cruise missile, and was shot down with a short-range missile.

He also said that the Iranian missile operator had acted independently because of jamming.

I wish I was dead, Mr. Hajizadeh was quoted as saying by local news outlets. I accept all responsibility for this incident.

He said that whatever decision the Iranian authorities made, I will accept with the arms open.

The downing came hours after Iran had fired a barrage of missiles at two American air bases in neighboring Iraq, in retaliation for an American drone strike that killed a top Iranian general, an Iraqi militia leader and others in Baghdad.

Asked during his address why Iranian airspace was not shut to commercial air traffic amid the attacks, Mr. Hajizadeh had no clear answer.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Canada said on Saturday that he was furious and outraged at the Iranian government.

Canada will not rest until we get the accountability, justice and closure that the families deserve, Mr. Trudeau said at a news conference. Canada and the world still have many questions questions that must be answered.

He repeated his demand that Canada participate in the crash investigation with the full cooperation of Iranian authorities. Providing compensation to the families, Mr. Trudeau added, should be part of the mix.

Mr. Trudeau told President Hassan Rouhani of Iran in a phone call earlier in the day that the admission of responsibility was an important step but that much more needed to be done.

The crash killed 57 Canadians, including a number of students and faculty at the University of Alberta in Edmonton. More than 25 residents of Edmonton were on the plane.

In Canada, Iranians are comparative newcomers: Most arrived after the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Today, by some counts, Canada has the third-largest number of expatriate Iranians in the world and its universities are a top destination for Iranian graduate students.

Though Canada has not had diplomatic relations with Iran since 2012, Mr. Trudeau spoke to President Hassan Rouhani of Iran on Saturday and said the Iranian leader promised to cooperate with Canadian investigators.

International pressure had been building on Iran to take responsibility. American and allied officials had said that all intelligence assessments indicated that surface-to-air missiles fired by Iranian military forces had shot down Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752.

Hours after the crash, Ukraine International Airlines officials had consistently ruled out pilot error or mechanical problems as the cause of the crash. They had said the Boeing 737-800, which was less than four years old, was helmed by some of the airlines most experienced crew.

We never thought for a second that our crew and our plane could have been the reason for this terrible, horrific aviation catastrophe, the airlines president, Yevhenii Dykhne, said in a Facebook post on Saturday after Irans admission. These were our best young men and women. The best.

The crew maintained normal radio contact with the tower in Tehran, airline officials said, and followed a standard departure procedure for the airport. After reaching an elevation of 6,000 feet, the pilots were instructed to make a slight northerly turn. In the last communication, he said, one pilot simply read back this instruction from the tower, saying, Turn and climb.

Addressing criticism that the airline should not have sent a plane to Iran at all, in light of tensions in the region, the officials said it was Irans responsibility to close airspace if it intended to fire missiles.

There was no immediate reaction from the United States to Irans admission, but Secretary of State Mike Pompeo had been the first American official to publicly confirm the intelligence assessments.

We do believe that its likely that the plane was shot down by an Iranian missile, Mr. Pompeo said at a briefing at the White House announcing new sanctions against Iran on Friday.

President Hassan Rouhani of Iran called his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, on Saturday to apologize for the downing of Flight 752.

Mr. Rouhani told Mr. Zelensky that errors made by the Iranian military led to the plane being shot down and that those responsible would be punished, according to Ukraines summary of the call.

Mr. Rouhanis statement appeared to be the latest effort at damage control by Iran, whose military first claimed that the Ukrainian flight crew had made a sharp, unexpected turn toward a military base, only to retract that accusation a few hours later.

Mr. Zelensky, in a tweet after the phone call, described Irans acknowledgment of the missile strike as a step in the right direction. He told Mr. Rouhani that the bodies of the 11 Ukrainian victims needed to be identified and repatriated by Jan. 19.

The acknowledgment of the missile version of events as the cause of the catastrophe has opened the door to continuing the investigation without any delays or obstacles, Mr. Zelensky said in a statement. I expect further constructive cooperation with Iran in accordance with the norms of international law.

Konstantin Kosachev, the head of the foreign relations committee in the Russian Senate, said Irans admission showed the downing of the plane had been a tragic incident and should not lead to further escalation between Iran and the West.

It was a tragic incident; people cannot be returned, Mr. Kosachev told the Interfax news agency. The admission of error, although not immediate, and expression of condolences is sufficient to be accepted. With this, the incident should be closed.

All sides should learn lessons from what happened, he said.

Mr. Kosachev also pushed back on reports that the missile used to strike the plane had been Russian-made. He did not deny the missiles origin, but rejected any Russian responsibility for what had happened. At the height of this tragedy, he said, it is absolutely immoral.

American intelligence officials have said that a Russian-made missile system designated SA-15 by NATO and known in Russia as the Tor struck the civilian airliner shortly after takeoff.

The Tor system is a mobile missile launch system, with eight missiles carried on either a tracked vehicle or a truck. The vehicles can operate without relying on other air defense infrastructure.

They carry both a radar to detect targets and a launch system. The low- to medium-altitude missiles were developed by Soviet engineers in the 1970s as a so-called lower-tier air defense weapon.

Russia sold the Tor systems to Iran in 2005 as part of a $1 billion arms deal and over the objection of American diplomats. It has also sold the system to more than a dozen other countries.

A New York Times analysis of flight path information and video of the missile strike determined that the plane stopped transmitting its signal for between 20 seconds and 30 seconds before it was hit.

Civilian airplanes identify themselves with radio signals constantly streaming from a system known as a transponder on the planes, said Ian Petchenik, a spokesman for Flightradar 24, which tracks the signals for flights around the world.

The Tor software relied on radar and visual identification of a plane as well as the identification signals from the transponder, John Cox, an accident investigator and former pilot who is the chief executive of Safety Operating Systems, said. If the identification is incorrect or absent from the plane, Mr. Cox said, the system will declare it a threat.

From there, he said, the missile navigates via radar, and when it gets in proximity to target it explodes, releasing deadly fragments. A second missile is usually fired immediately after the first.

At that point, the plane, in flames, glided down to its demise.

Reporting was contributed by Farnaz Fassihi, Anton Troianovski, Ian Austen, Andrew E. Kramer, James Glanz, Malachy Browne, Christiaan Triebert, Ivan Nechepurenko and Edward Wong.

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Ukraine Plane Shot Down Because of Human Error, Iran Says ...