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Lawrence: No-fly fantasy in Ukraine

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Lawrence: No-fly fantasy in Ukraine07:03

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Lawrence: No-fly fantasy in Ukraine

United States, NATO Allies Sending Additional Weapons to …

Large shipments of Western weapons continue to flow into Ukraine as Russias invasion enters its fourth week.

President Joe Biden announced an additional $800 million in new security aid to Ukraine on Thursday, hours after Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyys address to Congress. The U.S. weapons package to Ukraine will include eight hundred Stinger anti-aircraft systems, twenty million rounds of ammunition, 7,000 light weapons, 9,000 anti-armor systems, and one hundred drones.

"These are direct transfers of equipment from our Department of Defense to the Ukrainian military to help them as they fight against this invasion, Biden said.

Biden singled out the anti-aircraft weapons in the aid package. He also said the United States is helping Ukraine acquire additional longer-range anti-aircraft systems and the munitions for those systems.

One possibility could be transferring long-range S-300 surface-to-air missile systems to Ukraine.

"These S-300s and longer-range artillery forces is what will help close the sky over Ukraine, said Gregory Meeks, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. "President Zelensky is not asking for American troops or American equipment or anything of that nature to close the skies. What he's asking for is the artillery that will do that. The S-300 may be the one that does that.

CNN reported that Slovakia is considering giving Ukraine an S-300 system, but wants assurances that the weapon will be replaced immediately with a system of similar capabilities. Negotiations are reportedly underway to backfill Slovakias missile defense capabilities with a U.S.-made Patriot missile system, but the current status of those talks remains unclear. Slovakia is one of only three NATO members to possess the Soviet-era S-300, with the others being Bulgaria and Greece.

"I want to be honest with you. This could be a long and difficult battle, Biden said. But the American people will be steadfast in our support of the people of Ukraine, in the face of Putin's immoral, unethical attacks on civilian populations.

British defense minister Ben Wallace said to the BBC on Wednesday that Britain is supplying Starstreak man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS) to Ukraine. Wallace told U.K. lawmakers last week that London is considering delivering Starstreak systems to Ukraine, noting certain logistical challenges that include training.

Other forms of military aid to Kiev remain off the table for now. The Biden administration has declined proposals to transfer MiG-29 jet fighters from Poland to Ukraine, with U.S. defense officials claiming that the Ukrainian military is currently not in need of more aircraft and that they can fight more effectively with their western-supplied man-portable missiles. Leaders in Washington and other NATO countries have likewise repeatedly rejected Zelenskyys continued calls for a Western-imposed no-fly zone in Ukrainian airspace, describing the measure as a needlessly risky and escalatory step.

Mark Episkopos is a national security reporter for The National Interest.

Image: Reuters.

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United States, NATO Allies Sending Additional Weapons to ...

The power of the new Ukraine – The Guardian

Ukraine has been an independent country for more than half Vladimir Putins adult life (he turns 70 this year). Its been a free republic for more than 30 years, long enough for the first generation of Ukrainians born since independence to have school-age children of their own. Its had seven different leaders, all of them still alive.

It would be sentimental and patronising to talk about a country having grown up. But 30 years is long enough for countries to change, for better or for worse; long enough for countries to have eras. Ukraine was well into its second era, its European era, when Putin invaded last month. Putin never accepted the right of post-Soviet Ukraine to exist in independent Ukraines first era. In terms of understanding the country, thats the period hes stuck in; Putin doesnt acknowledge that a second era began.

The west shares many of the Kremlins misapprehensions about Ukraine. We are still too ready to see the country through the cliche of a nationalist, Ukrainian-speaking west and a Russia-friendly, Russian-speaking south and east. Or, more crudely and colourfully, neo-communist miners in the east, neo-Nazis in the west. Of course it was never that simple, even in post-Soviet Ukraine. But European-era Ukraine, which emerged in 2014, overturned its own political fundamentals. Faced with an existential struggle against a powerful, ruthless neighbour, Russia, where nationalism now serves autocracy, an emergent class of Ukrainian liberals made common cause with Ukrainian nationalists. Its been an uncomfortable alliance but it has kept the country together. As Ukraine defends itself against Putins terror campaign, mutually estranged liberals and nationalists in other countries the US, England, France would do well to watch.

To talk about European Ukraine isnt to describe an achieved state but a state of hope: hope of membership in the European Union more meaningful to Ukraine, at least until Russia attacked, than membership of Nato.

Ukraines hope of Europe had its material side, a hope of grants, jobs and trade. Since the revolution of dignity also known as Maidan in 2014, trade with the EU soared while trade with Russia plunged. More than a million Ukrainians went to work, legally or otherwise, in the EU. Since Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February, much has been made in Britain of the EUs openness to Ukrainian refugees compared with the barriers put up by London. But its a depressing reflection of how mainstream anti-immigrant assumptions have become in the UK that virtually no one in Britain is aware the EU gave Ukrainians visa-free access years ago, as a reward for their countrys sacrifices in Europes name. Since 2017, as a result of that and of Brexit, Ukrainians have levelled up and Britons levelled down to identical rights of EU entry: 90 days stay without a visa.

Beyond the material hopes of European-era Ukraine, there is the prospect, less tangible and more powerful, of an alternative form of nationhood. Rather than the archaic, romantic, racial mystifications of old Ukrainian nationalism, or Putins neo-imperial vision of Ukraine pulverised and remade as a puppet state to serve Russian nationalism, its of Ukraine pursuing its free course as an equal member of a self-constraining, self-governing association of countries, the EU.

The beauty of the EU, for Ukraine, is the capaciousness of its model for both liberals and nationalists. In some ways, the aims of European-era Ukraine closely resemble those of the Scottish National party and the Irish republic: to use the economic power of the EU to leverage their own, to break out of the orbit of a delusional post-imperial culture, to find national self-determination by accepting multinational rules. As Tom Nairn wrote of Scotland, a country could aspire to a new interdependence where our nationhood will count, rather than towards mere isolation.

For Ukraines more conservative nationalists, its Poland and Hungary that offer the more appealing EU models stridently patriotic, subordinating media, courts and education to national ideals and social conservatism, all while getting subsidies and trading freely within the EU.

The prelude to Ukraines European era occurred in 2013 under president Viktor Yanukovych, a profoundly corrupt politician from the east of the country. Although seen as a proxy for Kremlin interests, and generally loyal to the idea of post-Soviet Ukraine as a Russian client state, he threw his weight behind an association agreement with the EU. He had his country on side, but Putin gave it to be understood that he considered it a betrayal Ukraine could partner with the EU or Russia, not both.

Whether Yanukovych was genuinely up for the deal with Brussels, or simply angling for a bigger bung from Moscow, he changed his mind at the last minute, took a large loan from Putin and turned his back on the EU.

It was November. Protests began in Kyiv against abandonment of the EU deal. There were calls for Yanukovych to resign. Small, peaceful protests were put down violently by the police. Parliament, then controlled by Yanukovych allies, passed repressive laws against free speech and gatherings. As 2013 passed into 2014, the protests grew, their demands expanded and their base spread. Opposition to Yanukovych and calls for deeper ties to Europe evolved into attacks on the entire corrupt, oligarchic system of business and government.

Young members of the liberal intelligentsia were joined by radical nationalist groups, by small-business owners and by factory workers. Opposition MPs aligned themselves with the protesters. Increasingly violent street battles were waged around Kyivs central square, Maidan Nezalezhnosti. Barricades went up. Weapons escalated from clubs and stones and shields to molotov cocktails, to stun grenades and rubber bullets, to actual bullets. Some police were shot; more than 100 protesters were killed.

In the third week of February, for reasons still mysterious perhaps because the security forces ceased to believe in the president the regime collapsed. European foreign ministers brokered a peace deal with Yanukovych, the Maidan crowd refused to accept it, and Yanukovych fled the country. Parliament voted in an interim government and prepared for new elections.

Barely had the revolutionaries victory sunk in before Russia annexed Crimea in a nearly bloodless coup de main. In Yanukovychs home region of Donbas, on the border with Russia, locals angry at the treatment of their lawfully elected president seized administrative buildings. They were quickly ousted, only to be replaced, in April, by a new wave of rebels helped by volunteers from Russia. Fighting escalated to a full-scale war, culminating in incursions by regular Russian troops. Thousands of people were killed. By 2015, the front lines had stabilised and fighting lessened, with part of Donbas under joint Russian-rebel control. The rest of Ukraine was at peace. In 2017, the association agreement with the EU came into force.

Even before the war in the Donbas began, there were warnings of what the longer term held. In what reads now as an astonishingly accurate forecast of what was to come, in an interview with a Ukrainian paper in March 2014, the former Putin adviser Andrei Illarionov spelled it out, failing only to predict that eight years would pass first. Theres an aim and a plan to attack Ukraine which was put together years ago, he said. It has many different elements Crimea, the south-east and, of course, a change of power in Kyiv. And then there are other things: a new [Ukrainian] constitution, to be written in the Kremlin, disarmament of the Ukrainian people, liquidation of Maidan, and so on.

Liquidation of Maidan sounds different from the current Kremlin programme, until you realise this is simply denazification by another name.

It might seem trivial now, when Ukraine is on fire and hundreds are being killed every day, when all that seems important is how many Russian tanks and planes and soldiers the Ukrainians have to blow up to make Putin stop, to talk about abstractions like nationalism and liberalism. And yet without these forces coming together over the past seven years of semi-peace, would Ukraine have held out this long?

I remember being surprised, when I visited Kyiv at the end of February 2014, to see how focused liberals and nationalists alike were on a European future. The spokesman for one of the most notorious radical nationalist groups, Right Sector, talked to me about Poland as a model for the country. European flags were everywhere. I went for dinner one evening with a friend of a friend, a successful businesswoman. The Maidan was very localised; a huge encampment of brown tents crowded together, wreathed in the smoke of hundreds of stoves, in which exhausted people, who had fought nightly battles in freezing conditions, lived difficult lives away from home. But right next door to it were expensive restaurants with waiters in spotless white shirts serving fine wines and tuna carpaccio. You know, the nationalists were very important, said the businesswoman, sipping her grenache. They did very good work at the leading edge.

Ive always been in two minds about that conversation with someone who had been very kind to me. On the one hand, it had that air of somebody being grateful that somebody else was doing their dirty work; that one person had education, good taste and proper gentle sentiments, and they were grateful that their interests were being protected by another person who risked their life with a petrol bomb and a brick, and whose most conservative, chauvinist views the first person would definitely not want to hear at their dinner table in peacetime. On the other hand, my friends friend was being honest about the realities of a dangerous situation, and resistance towards a nasty, increasingly repressive regime: that she was not one of natures fighters, and she was glad to have people prepared to fight for their country on her side. Nationalist and liberal, after all, are words with an extremely broad range of meanings.

For me, national is what allows me to defend Ukraine as an independent, sovereign nation, said the Ukrainian philosopher Evhen Bistritsky in 2018, at a time when disillusionment with Ukraines post-Maidan failures to get to grips with corruption and institutional inertia was running deep.

I am a liberal, defending the independence of Ukraine. Part of Ukrainian society supports conservative values, linking them to security. If were really only going to preach universal, classical, liberal values we promote discord in the country.

In a country not fighting for its existence, in the US, perhaps, or Britain, or France, in some safe part of the EU, such language would have marked Bistritsky out as a centrist, a moderate, even, more pejoratively, an undemocratic compromiser. In the present Ukrainian context, faced with the Russian killing machine, discord becomes failure to fill the ranks.

Recently the Ukrainian writer Artem Chekh published Absolute Zero, his memoir of service in the Ukrainian army on the Donbas front in 2015. In it he faces up to the strangeness of being a liberal, cosmopolitan, intellectual man serving alongside workers and farmers who see the world in patriotic, if cynical, absolutes. I went around to his flat in Kyiv a few weeks ago for coffee and cake. Now he has taken up a gun again to protect the city against the invader. In an article for the London Review of Books blog, he lists his comrades: a music producer, an owner of a household chemicals store, a teacher, an artist, a bank clerk, a former investigator, a doctor. The ability to write, paint, act, play a musical instrument or dance doesnt matter now. What counts is military experience.

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The power of the new Ukraine - The Guardian

The Russia-Ukraine war put Europes far right on the back foot – Al Jazeera English

Today, Europe is experiencing its darkest hour since the Yugoslav wars of the 1990s. Russias all-out invasion of Ukraine put the continents future in serious jeopardy. Russian President Vladimir Putins exclusionary nationalism and imperial designs are now posing an immediate threat to the safety and wellbeing of not only those living in ex-Soviet nations in Russias vicinity but all Europeans.

Since the beginning of Moscows so-called special operation in Ukraine on February 24, it feels like Europe has had nothing but bad news: thousands of desperate refugees rushing towards borders to find safety in neighbouring nations, indiscriminate shelling of residential areas, children sheltering in tube stations and basements, even an attack on a maternity hospital.

But amid all this doom and gloom, there has also been a development that gave democratic-minded Europeans some hope for the future: the continents many far-right politicians, who have long been publicly singing the praises of Putin and his nationalism, entered into a scramble to quickly distance themselves from the Russian leader.

French far-right leader and presidential candidate Marine Le Pens party has reportedly destroyed more than a million campaign leaflets featuring a photograph of her with Putin. While Le Pen did not go as far as to publicly call Putin a dictator, she had to admit that his invasion of Ukraine was a clear violation of international law and absolutely indefensible.

And Le Pens past support for Putin and alleged financial ties to the Kremlin swiftly turned into a political Achilles heel as images of European misery and death caused by the Russian leader filled TV screens across the continent.

In early March, for example, the leader of Italys centre-left Democratic Party Enrico Letta scolded Le Pen at a televised debate saying, Your friends were Trump and Putin, one attacked the Capitol, the other bombed Ukraine. Your foreign policy is a failure. The rebuke swiftly went viral on social media, showing the difficult position Europes Putin-loving far-right politicians found themselves in after the invasion of Ukraine.

Le Pen, however, still managed to assume a contrarian stance on the European response to Putins aggression. While admitting that the invasion partially changed her opinion of Putin, she criticised the crippling sanctions the European Union imposed on Russia and claimed that they will hurt French peoples spending power.

I dont want gas prices to rise eightfold and oil prices to double. I dont want the French to commit hara-kiri, she said at a televised presidential debate, warning that the economic consequences of the war could be a hundred times worse than the pandemic.

This economy above all else stance resonated with her supporters, and allowed her to endure the massive wave of criticism she faced after the invasion of Ukraine.

The leader of Italys far-right League Party, Matteo Salvini, tried to approach his newfound Putin problem in a similar way. He spoke against Russias aggression, but refrained from labelling Putin who he publicly supported for years a dictator. When asked whether he would condemn the Russian leader, he merely said: Certainly, its obvious, we condemn the war, anyone would condemn the war and the aggression.

And like Le Pen, he also spoke against sanctions and said he believes any restrictions directed against Russia will also be harmful to Italian businesses.

Taking his damage control efforts much further than his French counterpart, Salvini also made a visit to the Polish city of Przemysl to demonstrate his support for Ukrainian refugees there. Of course, as someone who has at least twice worn a T-shirt with Putins face on it in public, Salvinis stunt in Poland was not welcomed by the local population.

I have a gift for you, Przemysls Mayor Wojciech Bakun told Salvini in front of cameras. Wed like to go with you to the border and to a refugee welcome centre to see what your friend Putin has done, what the person whom you describe as your friend, has done to these people, who are crossing the border to the tune of 50,000 per day. He then pulled out a T-shirt printed with a black-and-white image of Putin on the front and the words Army of Putin underneath a copy of a T-shirt Salvini was photographed wearing in 2014 in Moscows Red Square.

The Italian leader could do nothing other than walk away.

All in all, Putins unprovoked aggression against Ukraine had the unintended consequence of putting Europes far-right superstars on the back foot. While it is not possible to say they abandoned Putin as a role model completely (another French far-right presidential candidate, Eric Zemmour, for example, still stubbornly defends Putin despite condemning the invasion), they had to accept his brand of exclusionary nationalism leads to nothing but misery and destruction.

Anyone longing for a democratic, inclusive and peaceful Europe should count this as a win at a time when even the smallest of such victories are few and far between.

But we should also never forget that Putins supporters and enablers in Europe were not only far-right agitators like Le Pen and Salvini. Many so-called moderate politicians also had strong ties and good relations with the Russian autocrat.

Countless former Western MPs and ministers have been sitting on the boards of and offering consultancy services to Russian firms including former prime ministers of Finland, Italy and Austria. Italys former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi expressed his admiration for Putin regularly over the years. Germanys former Chancellor Gerhard Schroder too always had a close relationship with him. The former German leader, who is currently mediating to stop the war, has been widely criticised for refusing to abandon the seats he holds on the boards of Russian energy companies after the invasion of Ukraine.

In the United Kingdom and France, too many mainstream politicians have strong financial and political links to Putins Russia and as a result, have been soft on the Kremlins actions falling foul of local and international laws over the years.

Even British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who in the past few weeks emerged as one of Ukraines leading European allies in its war against Russia, is being criticised for his close relations with Moscows known operatives, and the donations his Conservative Party received from oligarchs with strong links to Putin.

Now, as far-right leaders across Europe are being forced to abandon their autocratic and nationalist role model, and being forced to explain why they supported him for so long, similar pressures should be put on mainstream politicians who also worked to whitewash Putin and his undemocratic regime for years.

The views expressed in this article are the authors own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeeras editorial stance.

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The Russia-Ukraine war put Europes far right on the back foot - Al Jazeera English

Ukraines leader warns war will cost Russia for generations – Al Jazeera English

Ukraines president has warned Russians that continuing the invasion would exact a toll for generations after tens of thousands attended a nationalist event to hear a speech by President Vladimir Putin.

The remarks by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Saturday came after a mass rally was held in support of Russian forces in Moscow the previous night.

Noting the 200,000 people reported to have attended the rally was similar to the number of Russian forces deployed to Ukraine, Zelenskyy said Fridays event in Moscow illustrated the high stakes of the largest ground conflict in Europe since World War II.

Picture for yourself that in that stadium in Moscow there are 14,000 dead bodies and tens of thousands more injured and maimed, the Ukrainian leader said.Those are the Russian costs throughout the invasion.

Putin lavished praise on his countrys military forces during Fridays flag-waving rally, which took place on the anniversary of Russias 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine. The event included patriotic songs such as Made in the USSR, with the opening lines Ukraine and Crimea, Belarus and Moldova, its all my country.

We have not had unity like this for a long time, Putin told the cheering crowd.

Taking to the stage where a sign read For a world without Nazism, he railed against his foes in Ukraine with a claim they are neo-Nazis and insisted his actions were necessary to prevent genocide.

The rally took place as Russia has faced heavier-than-expected losses on the battlefield and increasingly authoritarian rule at home. Russian police have detained thousands of antiwar protesters.

Fighting raged on multiple fronts in Ukraine more than three weeks after Russias February 24 invasion.

The northwest Kyiv suburbs of Bucha, Hostomel, Irpin and Moshchun were under fire on Saturday, the Kyiv regional administration reported. The city of Slavutich, 165km (103 miles) north of the capital, was completely isolated, the administration said.

In the besieged port city of Mariupol, the site of some of the wars greatest suffering, Ukrainian and Russian forces battled over the Azovstal steel plant, one of the biggest in Europe, Vadym Denysenko, adviser to Ukraines interior minister, said on Saturday.

Ukrainian and Russian officials agreed to establish 10 humanitarian corridors for bringing aid in and residents out one from Mariupol and several around Kyiv and in the eastern Luhansk region, Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk said.

She also announced plans to deliver humanitarian aid to the southern city of Kherson, which was seized by Russian forces.

In his nightly video address, Zelenskyy said Russian forces were blockading the largest cities with the goal of creating such miserable conditions that Ukrainians will surrender. But he warned Russia would pay the ultimate price.

The time has come to restore territorial integrity and justice for Ukraine. Otherwise, Russias costs will be so high that you will not be able to rise again for several generations, he said.

Vladimir Medinsky, who has led Russian negotiators in several rounds of talks with Ukraine, said on Friday the two sides have moved closer to an agreement on the issue of Ukraine dropping its bid to join NATO and adopting a neutral status.

In remarks carried by Russian media, he said the sides are now halfway on issues regarding the demilitarisation of Ukraine.

However, Mikhailo Podolyak, an adviser to Zelenskyy, alleged that Moscows characterisation was intended to provoke tension in the media.

Our positions are unchanged. Ceasefire, withdrawal of troops & strong security guarantees with concrete formulas, he tweeted.

Britains foreign minister accused Putin of using the talks as a smokescreen while his forces regroup. We dont see any serious withdrawal of Russian troops or any serious proposals on the table, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss told The Times newspaper.

In a phone call with Turkeys President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Putin laid out plans for ending the war, according to the Turkish presidential spokesman, Ibrahim Kalin.

President Putin thinks the positions on the Donbas and Crimea are not close enough to meet President Zelenskyy. What we need is a strategic-level meeting between the two leaders. There seems to be growing consensus We are hoping there will be more convergence on these issues, and this meeting will take place sooner than later, because we all want this war to come to an end, Kalin told Al Jazeera.

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, during a Saturday visit to NATO ally Bulgaria, said the Russian invasion had stalled on a number of fronts but the United States had not yet seen signs that Putin was deploying additional forces.

Major General Oleksandr Pavlyuk, who is leading the defence of the region around Kyiv, said his forces are well-positioned to defend the city.

We will never give up. We will fight until the end. To the last breath and to the last bullet, said Pavlyuk.

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Ukraines leader warns war will cost Russia for generations - Al Jazeera English