Archive for the ‘Ukraine’ Category

Former Trump campaign chief blackmailed over meeting between Trump and pro-Russian forces in Ukraine – Daily Kos

Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort during RNC

Former Donald Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort quit Trumps campaignin Augustunder a cloud of suspicion, but it now appears that more than potential investigations may have been behind his departure. Manafortwas also being strong-armed by someone with inside knowledge ofunder-the-tablepayments and a secret meeting between Donald Trump and a pro-Russian Ukrainian politician.

The undated communications, which are allegedly from the iPhone of Manaforts daughter, include a text that appears to come from a Ukrainian parliamentarian named Serhiy Leshchenko, seeking to reach her father, in which he claims to have politically damaging information about both Manafort and Trump.

Attached to the text is a note to Paul Manafort referring to bulletproof evidence related to Manaforts financial arrangement with Ukraines former president, the pro-Russian strongman Viktor Yanukovych, as well as an alleged 2012 meeting between Trump and a close Yanukovych associate named Serhiy Tulub.

Leshchenko, a former investigative journalist,has claimed to have no connection to the texts, but whatever their source, the authorseemedto have advance knowledge of the investigation launched by Ukrainian officials into more than$12 million in off the books payments supposedly funneled to Manafort. These payments may have continued while Manafort was employed by Trump.

As for the meeting between Trump and Tulub

The White House did not respond to a question about whether Trump had met with Tulub, a hunting buddy of Yanukovychs who had served as part of government when Yanukovych was prime minister.

Serhiy Tulub is the former coal industry minister and head of the Cherkasy Regional State Administration, and a close associate of Yanukovych. Its unclear what reason he would have had for meeting with Donald Trump.

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Former Trump campaign chief blackmailed over meeting between Trump and pro-Russian forces in Ukraine - Daily Kos

Why Belarus Can’t Afford to Be the New Ukraine – The National Interest Online

On February 3 Belarusian president Aleksandr Lukashenko launched the fiercest of his rhetorical attacks against Russiaa country that has been financially underpinning Lukashenkos regime. Despite the audacious comments of the Belarusian leader, there is little chance that his words will convince Moscow to continue providing support to his country with few strings attached. The status quo will likely be extended, which means there will constantly be a diminishing value for Russia. Thus, Lukashenkos options are few. Either he fully participates in Russias integration initiatives, or he sees his power collapsing. At this point, Moscow does not even have to make dramatic moves to rein in Lukashenko, since time is working against the Belarusian president.

Lukashenko spent several hours at his press conference listing the grievances committed by Russia. Minsk made several (mostly symbolic) moves aimed at escalating a showdown with Moscow, which included the extradition of travel blogger Alexander Lapshin, a Russian-Israeli dual citizen, to Azerbaijan. (Baku is persecuting Lapshin for visits to Nagorno-Karabakh.) Lukashenko recently skipped several summits held by various Moscow-oriented organizations about the post-Soviet space and the neverending soap opera surrounding the Russian military base in Belarus. Minsk and Russia were supposed to establish a Single Air Defence System, per a controversial treaty signed years ago. The establishment of that system has been delayed, and now observers have begun discussing the possibility that a full-blown crisis could explode between Moscow and Minsk. How will that crisis unfold?

The mathematics behind Russian-Belarusian relations during the last twenty years is simple. The numbers vary, but moderate estimates show that Belarus has received approximately $100 billion of various Russian investments, preferences and support. Russias return, on the other hand, is very limited. The country receives no significant profits from bilateral enterprises, and incurs billions of losses to its budget as a result of different schemes for importing foreign goods through Belarus. Belarusian kiwis and Spanish hambecame the source of jokes in Russia after Belarusian entrepreneurs started supplying Western fruits and gourmet food that had been banned in Russia under the label Made in Belarus.

Politically, the Union State of Russia and Belarus that was formed in December 1999 never fully materialized. Furthermore, despite the geopolitical showdown between Russia and the West, Lukashenko has always adopted cautious positions, and Minsk has conducted its foreign-policy negotiations independently from Moscow. For example, Belarus has never recognized South Ossetia or Abkhazia as independent states. Belarus has also prevented its citizens from volunteering to fight for the Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics as a show of good will toward the new Ukrainian authorities.

At the same time, the Eurasian Economic Union, an international organization in the post-Soviet space, initiated and advanced by Russia, has been maturing. The main difference between the union and previous Russian projects is that the union is more structured. Additionally, it has clear plans and benchmarks for integration that are similar to those of the European Union. That structured integration has left little space for Lukashenkos omnipotence and temper. The disagreements and conflicts between Minsk and Moscow have continued to multiply. After 2014, against the background of Ukrainian turmoil and a geopolitical face-off with the West, Moscow became increasingly prudent in managing its resources, including its foreign-political resources. An audit of relations with all Russian allies was on the Kremlins agenda. Under such circumstances, it was of no surprise that Lukashenko found himself under growing pressure to follow Moscows script or to defend his position.

Lukashenko chose the latter. Moscow will make the next move. Some observers predict that this move could be a very powerful one and could potentially include the forced removal of Lukashenko. Still, such drastic measures do not seem necessary. Lets remember that, theoretically, Minsk could win a showdown with Moscow by turning from Russia to the West. However, it seems the Belarusian president passed the opportunity to make such a turn a long time ago.

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Why Belarus Can't Afford to Be the New Ukraine - The National Interest Online

Eastern Ukraine ceasefire begins — but will it hold? – CNN.com

But Russian President Vladimir Putin effectively withdrew from the Minsk agreement last week by signing an executive order recognizing travel documents issued by separatist authorities in the region.

Critics fear that recognizing the pro-Russian governments in eastern Ukraine is a step toward Putin's government declaring the disputed regions to be independent states.

But Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that Russia is recognizing the travel documents "for humanitarian reasons."

"This law does not violate international law in any way," Peskov said. "For humanitarian reasons, it was necessary to do it and recognize these documents. Imagine, the situation only happened because of the official blockade of Kiev, hundreds of thousands (of people) do not have the opportunity to apply for passports, renew their passports, driving licenses, etc."

By "blockade," Peskov was referring to the claim that the Ukrainian capital was making life in the east difficult by not letting people apply for passports and pensions.

Ceasefire violations in eastern Ukraine have been significantly reduced since the new truce took effect at 12 a.m. local time Monday, but "ingredients" for a "further flare-up" remain, said Alexander Hug, chief monitor of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine.

"Since midnight, we have seen them significantly reduced, and we have only seen up until now small arms fire in the Donetsk region, that is promising," Hug said by phone from Kiev.

"However, heavy weapons remain on both sides of the contact area where they shouldn't be, and positions of the Ukrainian armed forces and the formations on the other side are far too close to one another -- ingredients of further flare-up."

Ukrainian military spokesman Col. Oleksandr Motuzyanyk said, "The intensity of fire was 10 times less, but there were no calm places at the front line."

On Monday afternoon, he said there had been 24 ceasefire violations in the Donetsk region, including 12 with heavy weapons.

Ukrainian Secretary of National Security and Defense Oleksandr Turchynov said Putin's order was the death knell for the Minsk agreement, the framework for peace in the region since pro-Russian militants occupied areas of eastern Ukraine in 2014.

"By signing this decree, Putin legally recognized quasi-terrorist groups that have this as a fig leaf covering the Russian occupation of Donbass," he said.

The German government slammed Putin's move.

"Recognition of identity documents from separatist-held areas by #Russia is (a) clear violation of spirit and objective of #Minsk," the German Foreign Ministry tweeted.

Eastern Ukraine has seen a spike in violence in recent months between Russian-backed separatists and Ukrainian armed forces.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said it was a positive move that the foreign ministers "agreed once again for the state of a ceasefire on February 20." He said the deal also includes the start of the withdrawal of heavy arms in eastern Ukraine.

OSCE Secretary-General Lamberto Zannier said that Putin's executive order would hurt the chances of the ceasefire to take hold.

It called for the "bilateral cessation of the use of all weapons," and the decentralization of power in the region "with respect to the temporary status of local self-government in certain areas of the Donetsk and the Lugansk regions."

At the time, Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk spoke with guarded optimism.

"We had just two options: bad, and worse," he said. "So we decided at this particular period of time to get the bad option. Probably this option will save the lives of Ukrainian soldiers, and I hope this option will save lives of Ukrainian civilians, of innocent people, who are under a constant shelling of Russian-led terrorists."

"It's better to have this new deal rather than not to have (it)," he said. "But we do not trust any words or any papers. We are to trust only actions and deeds."

Speaking at the Munich Security Conference in Germany on Saturday, Vice President Mike Pence told world leaders that the United States will stand firm against Moscow -- while also seeking avenues for cooperation.

"Know this -- the United States will continue to hold Russia accountable, even as we search for new common ground, which as you know, President Trump believes can be found," Pence said.

Outspoken Russian lawmaker Alexey Pushkov interpreted Putin's executive order as a response to the tough words that Pence and US Defense Secretary James Mattis have had for Russia in recent days.

"With the recognition of passports to Donetsk and Luhansk Peoples Republics, Moscow lets everybody know that pressure on the Ukrainian question won't give any results," Pushkov tweeted.

Euan McKirdy wrote from Hong Kong, and Emma Burrows reported from Moscow. CNN's Holly Yan, Radina Gigova, Victoria Butenko, Sebastian Shukla, Nick Paton Walsh and Kevin Liptak contributed to this report.

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Eastern Ukraine ceasefire begins -- but will it hold? - CNN.com

Ukraine Lawmaker Who Worked With Trump Associates Faces Treason Inquiry – New York Times


New York Times
Ukraine Lawmaker Who Worked With Trump Associates Faces Treason Inquiry
New York Times
Prosecutors in Ukraine are investigating whether a member of Parliament committed treason by working with two associates of President Trump's to promote a plan for settling Ukraine's conflicts with Russia. In a court filing on Tuesday, prosecutors ...
Ukraine backs more sanctions against Russia in passport spatWashington Post
Ukrainian MP Plans to Travel to Washington to Push Peace PlanU.S. News & World Report
As casualties mount in eastern Ukraine, some wonder whether Putin is testing TrumpFox News
NBCNews.com -Business Insider -CNN -Washington Post
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Ukraine Lawmaker Who Worked With Trump Associates Faces Treason Inquiry - New York Times

Austrian court approves extradition of Ukrainian oligarch tied to Trump campaign adviser – Washington Post

An Austrian appeals court on Tuesday approved the extradition to the United States of a Ukrainian oligarch withties to a former senior Trump adviser on corruptioncharges.

Dmytro Firtash, a billionairewho made a fortune as a middleman in Ukraines rough-and-tumblegas industry, has been indicted by U.S. prosecutors for allegedly bribing Indian officials to secure a titanium deal. An extradition request in 2015 had been denied by a Viennese court, which called the U.S. allegationspolitically motivated. A final decision on whether to hand over Firtash to the United States will be made by Austrias justice minister.

Firtash wielded significant political power in Ukraine under former president Viktor Yanukovych, who was overthrown amid street protests in 2014. Firtash was arrested in Vienna on an FBI warrant just weeks after Yanukovych fled to Russia and was succeeded by a vocally pro-Western government. Firtashs lawyers say that he is being targeted by the United States as part of a political inquisition against Yanukovychs former political allies.

It wasnt for us to judge whether Mr. Firtash was guilty, but only whether the extradition is allowed, Judge Leo Levnaic-Iwanski said in the ruling on the U.S. request Tuesday, Bloomberg News reported. This decision only means that another country will make a decision whether he is guilty.

Lawyers for Firtash had sought to paint the allegations against Firtash as a strategy to limit Russian influence in Ukraine.The criminal investigation was initiated duringthe Obama administration.

In a statement, Firtashs U.S. legal team said it wasdisappointed by the appeals court decision and said he was innocent.

If and when Mr. Firtash is required to come to the United States, the team will fight to obtain dismissal of this unjust case by the Department of Justice or, if necessary, in U.S. courts, to clear Mr. Firtash's name, the statement read.

Firtash had previously weighed teamingup with American investors and political strategist Paul Manafort, who for a time managed Donald Trumps presidential campaign, to buy high-end real estate in the United States, including the famous Drake Hotel in New York.

According to correspondence revealed in a 2011 lawsuit brought against Firtash by former Ukrainian prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko,Manafort met with Firtash in May, June and August of 2008 to seal the Manhattan real estate deal, according to a memo by Rick Gates, another Trump strategist. Firtash had agreed to put $112 million into buying the Drake Hotel, tearing it down and building a new luxury skyscraper, to be called the Bulgari Tower.

Tymoshenko claimed that Firtash was trying to invest ill-gotten proceeds from gas deals in Ukraine. The lawsuit was thrown out of a U.S. court for lack of evidence. No deals were completed, and Firtash has denied that he invested in the project.

Firtash owned half of a company that negotiated natural gas sales from Russia and Central Asian countries to Ukraine, a lucrative business that Reuters in 2014 reported made him billions of dollars.

In another twist, Firtash was detained shortly after Tuesdays decision by Austrian police serving a Spanish warrant separate from the extradition ruling. Spain in November sought Firtashs arrest for charges of money laundering and reported ties to organized crime. It was not immediately clear why the arrest came shortly after the extradition ruling or whether the Spanish extradition request would take precedence.

Read more:

Inside Trump adviser Manaforts world of politics and financial dealmaking

Trump campaign chief Paul Manafort named in Ukraine anti-corruption probe

Ukrainian oligarch with ties to Russias Gazprom arrested on FBI warrant

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Austrian court approves extradition of Ukrainian oligarch tied to Trump campaign adviser - Washington Post