Now more than ever, Democrats need Hillary Clinton – The Hill
Earlier this year, I co-authored apiecefor TheWall Street Journalthat argued that a perfect storm in the Democratic Party is making a once unfathomable scenario a comeback for Hillary Clinton in 2024 highly plausible.
Our reasoning was that President Bidenslow approval rating, doubt about his capacity to run again, Vice President Harrissunpopularity, and the absence of another strong Democrat to lead the ticket have created a leadership vacuum within the party that only Clinton as an experienced and politically savvy change candidate can fill.
In light of the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade upending decades of precedent and revoking a constitutional right that American women have enjoyed for half a century the case for Clintons candidacy is even clearer.
Regardless of ones own political affiliation or opinion of Clinton, the country knows her as an experienced politician and a champion of womens rights. From her declaration at the United Nations in 1995 that womens rights are human rights to being the first woman nominated as a major partys candidate for president in 2016, she offers the exact type of leadership that the Democratic Party desperately needs.
Whether or not party leaders will admit it, Democrats know that they need to move on from Biden if they want to stay in the White House in 2024 and even more importantly have a fighting chance at building a sufficient enough majority in Congress to advance any element of their agenda going forward, including, and especially, codifying abortion rights.
Put another way, the stakes are simply too high for Democrats to remain on this slowly sinking ship.
Democrats are headed for a blowout loss in November, even worse than in1994 and 2010 the two worst midterm election years for the party in recent history when they lost53 and 63 seats, respectively, per Gallups analysis of four key national mood indicators.
Indeed, Bidens approval rating is lower than both Obamas and Clintons at the same points in their presidencies, and Americans in 2022 are less satisfied with the direction of the country, more negative about the economy and more disapproving of Congress.
Polls generally show Republicans with a lead of at least 2 or 3 points in the 2022 generic vote for Congress. This advantage would likely give the GOP a solid majority in the House considering the favorable Republican rulings in redistricting litigation in key states as well as the likelihood that Republican turnout will be even higher than most pollsters are currently accounting for.
While Biden was the right person to defeat former President Trump in 2020, he is clearly not the right person to lead the Democratic Party going forward as only 36 percent of Democrats believe that Biden gives them the best chance to win the presidency in 2024, perrecent polling.
To be sure, Democrats confidence in Biden will only decline further after the party experiences a shellacking in the midterm elections. These voters will be looking for a change candidate who is experienced, effective, savvy and committed to the issues they care most about namely, womens rights and civil rights.
At that point, Clinton will have a unique opportunity to position herself as an experienced candidate capable of leading Democrats on a more successful path who will also fight as she has done her entire career for womens rights.
As John Elliswrotethis week, The Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade creates the opening for Hillary Clinton to get out of stealth mode and start down the path toward declaring her candidacy for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination.
Based on her latest public statements, its clear that Clinton not only recognizes her position as a potential front-runner but also is setting up a process to gauge whether or not she should pursue the presidency once more.
Repositioning herself in the national spotlight, Clinton spoke this week at the Aspen Ideas Festival andbashedthe overturning of Roe v. Wade as the most arrogant misreading of history in law that you could ever find and a decision that is rolling the clock back on our civil rights, our human rights.
Moreover, in a separate interview earlier in the week, Clintonrefusedto rule out a 2024 run.
Aside from Clinton, the Democratic Party lacks any other rising stars who could take the torch from Biden if he chooses not to run and win in a general election. The most natural successor would be Harris. However, Harris is even more unpopular than Biden and would almost guarantee a Republican victory in 2024.
Further, Harriss response to Roebeing overturned missed the mark, as she was widelycriticizedfor trying to make the case that abortion access will greatly impact Americas sons.
Ultimately, Clinton is the only prominent Democrat with the experience, the campaign infrastructure, the political know-how and the proven track record who can win a general election.
As Fox News Channels Juan Williamswrote earlier this week, Democrats need a strong voice ready to fight to restore womens rights, now that the Supreme Court has struck down Roe v. Wade. Theres only one Hillary Clinton.
If Democrats want a chance at winning the presidency in 2024, Clinton is now more than ever their best chance.
Douglas E. Schoen is a political consultant who served as an adviser to former President Clinton and to the 2020 presidential campaign of Michael Bloomberg. He is the author of The End of Democracy? Russia and China on the Rise and America in Retreat.
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Now more than ever, Democrats need Hillary Clinton - The Hill
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