Democrats vie for chance to take on Trump as California governor – The Hill
SACRAMENTO, Calif. For a generation of ambitious Democrats, its an almost intoxicating prize: the opportunity to serve as governor of the largest state in the nation and, along with it, become President Donald TrumpDonald TrumpTop Dem: Trump's falsehoods will hurt relations with Congress Trump bans EPA employees from giving social media updates Mexican official: We could leave NAFTA if there are no clear benefits MOREs No. 1 foil.
But even as some of the states best-known politicians begin campaigning for the right to replace term-limited Gov. Jerry Brown (D), they are coming to grips with a new California primary system where the top two vote getters will advance to the general election, regardless of party.
This is uncharted territory in the governors race, said Garry South, a longtime Los Angeles-based Democratic strategist. With the top two, you dont have to finish first. You can finish second, and youre still off to the races.
Already, three prominent Democrats Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, state Treasurer John Chiang and former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa are vying for those top two slots. The field is likely to grow: Billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer and state Senate President Kevin de Len are considering bids, and current Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who is running for reelection in March, has not ruled out a run.
The few public polls that have been conducted show Newsom in the drivers seat. A Field Poll conducted in November showed Newsom taking 23 percent; no other Democrat topped double figures. Two Republicans who have not entered the race, San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer and former Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin, came in with 16 percent and 11 percent, respectively.
Not always a good place to start, Newsom said of being the front-runner. Thats nice, but not something to hang your hat on.
Conventional, if counterintuitive, wisdom in California holds that a Democrat with a political base in the San Francisco Bay Area holds an edge over a Democrat from the more populous Los Angeles area. Bay Area voters turn out at higher percentages and vote more reliably Democratic than Angeleno voters.
But in an unconventional race, the leading contenders are spending their early days wooing voters outside their natural constituencies. Newsom took 84 trips to Southern California in 2016, while Villaraigosa has already spent more than a month campaigning in the Central Valley and the Inland Empire, some of the last Republican bastions in the state.
Historically, neither Democrats or Republicans spend a whole lot of time in the Central Valley or the Inland Empire, Villaraigosa said in an interview. Long before the November election, in the parts of the state where I had an opportunity to visit, it was clear that people are struggling and looking for jobs, concerned about the future. They feel like the economy isnt working for them.
Newsom, too, said it was incumbent on him to reach beyond his existing base: The race will be won or lost on my ability our ability to successfully broaden our appeal in the southern part of the state.
The leading candidates are carving out early niches for themselves.
Newsom, who backed same-sex marriage long before it was popular even among Democrats, and who supported a ballot measure to legalize marijuana for recreational uses, is positioning himself as the liberal favorite. The California Nurses Association, which backed Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersDems unveil infrastructure plan, reach out to Trump Sanders: Trump ignored millions by moving forward with pipelines The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE (I-Vt.) in the Democratic presidential primary, is behind him.
I do think that the Bernie base will go with Gavin, said RoseAnn DeMoro, head of the Nurses Association.
Villaraigosa, a former union organizer himself, is casting himself as the experienced government executive who gets things done for blue-collar constituents. He is also the only Hispanic candidate in the race so far, a key factor in a state where minorities make up a majority of registered voters.
That community is growing, and growing quickly, said Eric Jaye, Villaraigosas chief strategist.
Chiang has less of a geographic base, though as state treasurer, he has tried to appear as the progressive but fiscally prudent heir to Browns legacy. Chiang is being bolstered by the increasingly influential community of Asian-American politicians and donors in the state.
Almost a year and a half before the primary, plenty of wildcards remain. Garcetti has not ruled out a run; in Washington last week, the Los Angeles mayor told The Hill he is only focused on his reelection bid this March.
Steyer, who spent $87 million on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016, has yet to make up his mind. Self-funding candidates often fare poorly in California politics the most recent example is Meg Whitman, who lost the governorship after spending $144 million of her own money in 2010 but Steyer has gone out of his way to introduce himself to voters, both through his environmental activism and by backing a ballot measure to raise taxes on cigarettes in 2016.
Somebody who gets identified as being a total self-funder with very limited political experience, or none, looks opportunistic. That model has been universally a disaster, said Bill Carrick, a Los Angeles-based Democratic strategist. Tom has really worked very hard to make sure people understand he didnt wake up one morning and decide to run for public office.
But in an interview, Steyer sounded less certain of his own future than he had been before Novembers elections, when Donald Trump won the White House.
I said Im going to wait untilNov. 8with the full expectation that the decision [to run for governor] would be made under President-elect Clinton, Steyer told The Hill. The world did not play out onNov. 8the way I expected it to, and I want to make sure whatever I do is well considered and responds to the reality of whats going on.
The final wild card is the weak California Republican Party. If the party is able to line up behind one candidate, that contender has a strong chance of making the runoff. If the field is divided among several candidates, as it was during the 2016 race to replace retiring Sen. Barbara BoxerBarbara BoxerTop Obama adviser signs with Hollywood talent agency: report Democrats vie for chance to take on Trump as California governor Feinstein to hold campaign fundraisers, a hint she'll run again MORE (D), an all-Democratic runoff becomes more plausible.
Faulconer, the popular mayor of San Diego, is the only Republican who startles Democrats, several party strategists said. (The last Republican governor to win a regularly scheduled election, Pete Wilson, was also the mayor of San Diego.) Billionaire tech investor Peter Thiel, a prominent Trump backer, is also said to be considering a bid, though few in California believe he will run.
Though Californias next governor will take office in 2019, he or she is almost certain to become an immediate force on the national landscape. Brown and California Democratic leaders have already set themselves up as bulwarks against Trumps administration, and the next governor is likely to be seen as a potential presidential candidate.
This will be the most followed race in 2018, particularly with the election of Donald Trump, Villaraigosa predicted. People are going to be a lot more interested in the governors race in California, in no small part because California has charted a dramatically different path. Much of what President Obama tried to do and wanted to do, weve been doing.
The California governor will always play an outsized role, Newsom said. Thats our history. And its not just in our rearview mirror. I think its in our windshield.
Despite that outsized role, the next governor faces historical headwinds if he or she opts for a national run: The Democratic Party has never nominated a candidate from a state farther west than Texas. Even Brown, the seemingly undisputed king of California politics, failed to win his partys nomination on three separate occasions.
See the original post:
Democrats vie for chance to take on Trump as California governor - The Hill
- D.C. U.S. attorney probing Democrats over alleged threats, documents show - The Washington Post - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats face pressure to fight Trump agenda, but have limited power in the minority - NPR - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats need to use spending battle to control Trump, Tammy Baldwin says - POLITICO - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats in Congress Lack Trust From Their Own Voters: Poll - Newsweek - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats Announce Plan To Increase Special Education Funding By $40M - CT News Junkie - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- The Interview: Senator Ruben Gallego on the Democrats Problem - The New York Times - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Rep. Alma Adams says Democrats are challenging the Trump administration on several fronts - WFAE - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Republicans are teeing up the next big immigration test for nervous Democrats. Activist groups are watching. - POLITICO - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats Fear They Are Missing the Moment to Remake the Party - The New York Times - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Florida Democrats file bill to repeal six-week abortion ban - WCTV - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Idaho Democrats criticize GOP over Medicaid and education bills - Idaho News - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- The more Democrats fight, the more they'll lose: Former Speaker McCarthy - Fox News - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Senator Warner: Democrats brand is really bad - POLITICO Europe - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Column: Democrats belatedly wake up to start battling Trump and Musk - Los Angeles Times - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- What to expect as Republicans and Democrats meet in Detroit this weekend to select new party chairs - Michigan Advance - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Opinion | Why I still criticize Democrats more than Trump - The Washington Post - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats intend to rapidly pass $40 million spending package to fund special education programs - WTNH.com - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Michael Cohen warns Democrats that Trump 'already owns the libs' and that attacking him 'doesn't work' - Fox News - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- What can Democrats do about Trump and Musk's policy blitz? Here's what Washington lawmakers say - The Spokesman Review - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Gov. Hochul Meeting With Top Democrats About "The Path Forward" For New York City - Legislative Gazette - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats call out Trump actions on Tesla, Musk - The Hill - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- This Small Rust-Belt City Holds the Secret to Democrats Latino Woes - The New Republic - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats Swear Theyll Fight Elon Musk. But What About the Cash They Took From SpaceX? - The Intercept - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- More Democrats Favor Party Moderation Than in Past - Gallup.com - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- What is WAs parental bill of rights? And how are Democrats seeking to change it? - Washington State Standard - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Will an Allegheny County property tax hike haunt Democrats running for County Council? - 90.5 WESA - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Trump's health secretary, over Democrats' loud objections - NPR - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- As Trump steamrolls Washington, Democrats search for a strategy and a voice - The Christian Science Monitor - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Strategic Vision's 2025 Most Loved Vehicle Awards: Republicans and Democrats Choose EVs as their Most Loved Vehicle, and It's Not Tesla - Business... - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- New to the Senate, Gallego challenges Democrats' views on 'working-class Latinos' - NPR - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Republicans think economy will improve over the next year, Democrats expect it to get worse - Pew Research Center - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats rage against DOGE but shouldnt everyone be against waste? - The Hill - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats unveil state legislative map for the next election cycle, with eyes on opposing Trump's agenda and redistricting - NBC News - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- FLORIDA DEMOCRATS RESPOND TO PASSAGE OF IMMIGRATION BILLS - Florida Democratic Party - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Letter From House Democrats on Justice Department Officials - The New York Times - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats call Musk and DOGE 'evil.' But Trump is doing what Americans want. | Opinion - USA TODAY - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Opinion | Why Democrats Fail the Immigration Test Every Time - The New York Times - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats are divided on government shutdown threats - POLITICO - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- "People are pissed": Inside Democrats' growing tension with their grassroots allies - Axios - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Latinos Bolted to the Right in 2024. Can Democrats Win Them Back? - The New York Times - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Aguilar says Democrats would oppose spending bill with Department of Education cuts - NBC News - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats Need Judges to Rein In Trump. Theres No Plan B. - TIME - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Full List of Republicans, Democrats Who Voted Against RFK Jr.'s Nomination - Newsweek - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats target Musk in first DOGE hearing on war on waste - NewsNation Now - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Opinion | Democrats Stand Up for the Bureaucrats Against DOGE - The Wall Street Journal - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- House Democrats warn Energy Department against canceling approved loans - The Hill - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Increasing numbers of Democrats want their party to oppose Trump CBS News poll analysis - CBS News - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Can Hakeem Jeffries be the leader the Democrats want? - The Independent - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Democrats Hint at Government Shutdown to Stop Trumps Axing at Federal Agencies - The New York Times - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Adams Asks for Voters Trust as Democrats Argue He Is in Thrall to Trump - The New York Times - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Conservatives clinch longtime goal of booting Democrats from leadership ranks in Texas House - The Texas Tribune - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Chapo Trap House Isnt Going to Save the Democrats - Vanity Fair - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Omar: Democrats attending Trumps inauguration sends the wrong message - The Hill - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Texas Democrats haven't been in power for 30 years. They just lost more control at the Capitol. - KUT - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- House Democrats, Secretary of State are suing House GOP lawmakers. Heres what you need to know. - Minnesota Reformer - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- GOP Threatens Weekend Work as Democrats Test Resolve on Nominees - Bloomberg Government - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Democrats Need a Bigger Tent on Abortion - Bloomberg - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans refuse to work with Democrats on immigration bill - MSNBC - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Trump axes Democrats on intelligence and privacy oversight board - Nextgov/FCW - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- GOP leaders mull a big debt-and-funding deal with Democrats - POLITICO - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Democrats struggle to pick their message against Trumps shock-and-awe campaign - The Associated Press - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Why Democrats are still in charge of the CFPB and OCC - American Banker - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Trump to visit battered North Carolina towns still suffering months after Helene: 'Treated badly by Democrats' - Fox News - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Trump admin tells all Democrats on intelligence oversight board to resign - The Record from Recorded Future News - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Rantz: WA Democrats pulled a fast one on voters as they undo parental rights initiative - MyNorthwest - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Diminished Democrats grit their teeth through second Trump inauguration - The Washington Post - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Trump: We have to get Democrats to approve tax cuts - The Hill - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- NEW: Donald Trump Rolls Back Biden-Harris Rule to Lower Drug Costs for Millions of Americans - Democrats.org - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- DEI is on Trump's chopping block. See how Democrats are fighting back. - USA TODAY - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Biden tries to lift Democrats' spirits on last full day in office - Reuters - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Trump ejects Democrats from intelligence-and-privacy oversight board - Defense One - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Note to Wisconsin Democrats: Cut the gas tax - Isthmus - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- WA Democrats push for gun permits, safe storage and limit on bulk buys - The Seattle Times - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- 2028 Watch: Here are the Democrats who may eventually jump into the next White House race - Fox News - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Democrats Battleground Leader, Exiting Congress, Reflects on What She Learned - The New York Times - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- The Democrats and Republicans Best Positioned Right Now for 2028 - POLITICO - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Democrats Brace for Mass Deportations in Sanctuary Cities As Trump's Agenda Beckons - Newsweek - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Democrats face criticism that their party lost touch with working-class voters - KUOW News and Information - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Senate Democrats to focus on economic issues and distributing opioid settlements funds - KGAN TV - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Top Beacon Hill Democrats blast local press for persistent negative media narrative - Boston Herald - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]