Trump triggers flood of Democratic candidates – Politico
Fueled by antipathy toward President Donald Trump and high expectations about their partys fortunes in the 2018 midterms, Democrats are lining up to run for House seats, creating crowded primary fields in some of the most competitive races in the country.
In California last week, Vietnam-era veteran Paul Kerr, who has never run for political office, jumped into the race to take on nine-term GOP Rep. Darrell Issa the richest member of Congress. Kerr, a real estate investor and a Navy veteran, is the third challenger to date seeking to defeat Issa, the high-profile former chairman of the House Oversight Committee, who barely survived a 2016 challenge.
Story Continued Below
Issa is considered the most vulnerable of seven California GOP House members representing districts that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. But his colleagues have even more contenders to worry about.
Eight challengers have lined up to take on Central Valley Republican Jeff Denham. An equal number have jumped into the fray against embattled San Diego-area Rep. Duncan Hunter, the focus of a Justice Department criminal investigation regarding his alleged use of campaign funds to pay for family expenses.
Controversial Rep. Dana Rohrabacher of Huntington Beach, recently in the headlines for his own dealings with Russia, has seven Democrats contesting his reelection. Rep. Steve Knight of Palmdale has six.
Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time.
A coast away in New Jersey, Democrats sometimes hard-pressed to find candidates willing to take on entrenched Republican incumbents also have a glut of willing challengers this year in two of the state's five Republican-held districts. Those districts, which include many New York City bedroom communities, are wealthy and well-educated. Clinton narrowly won the Central Jersey-based 7th District, while Trump won the North Jersey-based 11th by a slim margin.
Its 100 percent a testament to the grass-roots energy thats showed up at town halls and events across the country, said Drew Godinich, a spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which is pounding out press releases highlighting vulnerable GOP incumbents. In 2018, the big difference is not only the number its the quality of these challengers, he said. Trump is obviously a part of it and so is health care.
Democratic strategist Garry South, who advised presidential campaigns for Al Gore and Joe Lieberman, said the enthusiasm is especially revved-up because Democrats need only 24 seats nationally to flip to get control of the House and more than a quarter of those may be in California.
History is on their side, he argues: Over the past 20 cycles in the first term of a presidency, Republican or Democratic, the average number flipped has been 23 seats.
In New Jersey, Mike DuHaime, a veteran Republican strategist who helped lead both of Gov. Chris Christies successful gubernatorial campaigns as well as his unsuccessful presidential campaign, acknowledges the GOP has some tough work ahead.
It feels very much the reverse of what 2010 was on the Republican side, said DuHaime, whos been hired by GOP Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen. There was just an energy on the Republican side after President Obama got elected, and I feel the same energy now on the left.
Frelinghuysen has for 24 years been the epitome of a safe incumbent. With ancestral roots in state politics that stretch to the colonial era a New Jersey town is named after the familys progenitor, and a Newark thoroughfare bears the family name Frelinghuysen has not faced a serious electoral challenge in his entire congressional tenure.
In fact, when liberal filmmaker Michael Moore in 2000 sought to demonstrate the lack of competitive congressional seats, he looked to Frelinghuysens district. The filmmaker unsuccessfully tried to get a ficus tree on the ballot against the congressman, who is an heir to the Procter & Gamble fortune and chairman of the powerful House Appropriations Committee.
But now constituents are holding protests at Frelinghuysens office, some organized by a grass-roots group called NJ 11th for Change. Theyre clamoring for him to hold a town hall meeting, which he has refused to do.
Its a similar story in the Central Jersey-based 7th. Democrats say theyre surprised at just how many Democrats want a shot at GOP Rep. Leonard Lance.
Joey Novick, a progressive activist who lives in the district, organized a candidate forum in which five candidates or potential candidates showed up. Novick said he hadnt heard about anyone seeking to challenge Lance at this point in 2015.
That is sort of the interesting magic about this year, he said.
Three Democratic candidates have already declared bank executive Linda Weber, teacher Lisa Mandelblatt and attorney Scott Salmon. And at least four other people are exploring a run, including social worker Peter Jacob, who ran against Lance in 2016 and got 43 percent of the vote.
Nobody took this district seriously. We showed up. Our campaign showed up. We knew what was at stake in 2016, Jacob said. People have realized theres blood in the water now. Thats the phrase everybody is using.
South said GOP candidates across the country now find themselves hobbled by a horribly unpopular GOP president whose approval ratings are in the 30s, and a demoralized GOP base. And midterms are always a referendum on who controls the White House.
Even so, conservative author Jim Lacy, a Trump delegate to the Republican National Convention from California, said Democrats even in solidly blue California shouldnt get too cocky about their chances. He contends that the crowded Democratic primaries are a good thing for Republicans, because Democrats will train their fire on each other, leaving the eventual nominees bloodied and bruised going into the fall general election.
Democratic Party politics are just as cutthroat, if not more, than the Republicans in the state recently, Lacy said.
More primary candidates also increase the likelihood that simmering intraparty divisions between progressives and moderates will spill into the open.
The more challengers, the greater the chance the wrong challenger advances to the general, said Bill Whalen, a Hoover Institution fellow and a former aide to former California GOP Gov. Pete Wilson. Youre talking about a bunch of people competing for 40 percent of the vote. So it raises the chance youll end up with a 'Chelsea Handler' Democrat, his description of someone whos too liberal or unsuited to the local electorate.
All politics are local, especially in House races and Democrats have been learning this in special elections, Whalen said. Its not about having someone running against Donald Trump as it is having someone whos the right local fit. You have to tailor the candidate to the district.
Missing out on the latest scoops? Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
More:
Trump triggers flood of Democratic candidates - Politico
- Jon Stewart Dubs Donald Trump the Imitation Crab of Kings on The Daily Show - Rolling Stone - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Diplomatic triumph or capitulation? Albanese found Donald Trump in a heavenly mood but the devil may be in the detail - The Guardian - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Donald Trump Gets Federal Court Win Over National Guard in Portland - Newsweek - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Kenny Loggins Slams Donald Trump for Using Danger Zone Song With the Sole Purpose of Dividing Us - The Hollywood Reporter - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- These DOJ attorneys charging Donald Trump's critics with crimes have this is common - MSNBC News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Xi Jinping is preparing to go toe to toe with Donald Trump and there will only be one winner | Simon Tisdall - The Guardian - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Donald Trump mocks 'No Kings' protests with AI video of himself dropping brown sludge on protesters from jet - Sky News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is not on the ballot, but hes a major factor in the November elections - CNN - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump, the peace president - Grand Forks Herald - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Bette Midler roasts Donald Trump in 'Wind Beneath My Wings' parody for Stephen Colbert - USA Today - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- What Donald Trump gets right in the Middle East - The Economist - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Gaza Update: Donald Trump Issues Fiery New Warning to Hamas - Newsweek - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Private numbers of Australian PM and Donald Trump Jr listed on website - BBC - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- The shutdown, Donald Trump approval, ICE, the economy, the DOJ, and conversion therapy: October 10 - 13, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll - YouGov - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump lands at Israels Ben Gurion Airport for whirlwind visit - The Times of Israel - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- China tries shock-and-awe on Donald Trump - The Economist - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- As Donald Trump heads to Gaza peace summit in Egypt, who is going and who isnt? - The Guardian - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump scrambles to seal the deal in Gaza - The Economist - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Says He Doesn't Think He's 'Heaven-Bound' After Fundraising for Help Getting There - People.com - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump, 79, Admits He Might Not Get Into Heaven - The Daily Beast - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Flies to Israel and States: The War Is Over - Newsweek - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump jokes about his eternal fate: 'I think I am not maybe heaven-bound' - Washington Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Returned to Hospital for More Heart Tests 3 Months After Diagnosis, Physician Reveals - People.com - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump is in exceptional health, his doctor says, after visit to Walter Reed - AP News - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Live updates: Donald Trump says mass government layoffs will be 'Democrat-oriented' - The Hill - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- A euphoric Donald Trump wins a breakthrough in the Middle East - The Economist - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Donald Trump calls Bad Bunny absolutely ridiculous choice for Super Bowl halftime show - The Athletic - The New York Times - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Donald Trump To Undergo Checkup This Week: What to Know - Newsweek - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Supreme Court Could Give Donald Trump the Power to Fire People at Will - newsweek.com - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Donald Trump, the Sports Fan - The New York Times - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump's approval rating by state as of October 2025 - Yahoo - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Opinion | Who Is Donald Trump Responsible To? - The New York Times - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Is Putting His Face on Both Sides of a New Coin. U.S. Treasury Reveals 'First Drafts' - People.com - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Donald Trump administration seeking to federalize 300 Illinois National Guard members amid Chicago ICE raids: Gov. JB Pritzker - ABC7 Chicago - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Is Making a Mistake That Blew Up in Thomas Jeffersons Face - Politico - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Donald Trump and the Aggressive Pursuit of a Nobel Peace Prize - Bloomberg.com - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hold a joint press conference announcing the U.S. peace plan for Gaza - The White... - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Are Donald Trump Dementia Searches Being Blocked by Google? What To Know - Newsweek - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump Vows to Use Shutdown to Clear Out Dead Wood - Newsweek - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump tries to enlist the top brass for the war from within - The Economist - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- President Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan - The White House (.gov) - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Why Donald Trump is obsessed with Portland - Politico - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says he is deploying troops to Portland, Oregon - The Guardian - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Autistic people could teach Donald Trump a thing or two about focus, facts and empathy | Rhiannon Lucy Cosslett - The Guardian - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Keeps Finding New Ways to Shock the World - The New Yorker - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is trying to silence his critics. He will fail - The Economist - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Donald Trump administration working to stop Israel being banned from 2026 World Cup after UN plea - The Athletic - The New York Times - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Donald and Melania Trump Spotted in Animated Conversation on Marine One as First Lady Shakes Her Head - People.com - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Donald Trump heads to the Ryder Cup, embraced by a golf world that once shunned him - AP News - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is raising the stakes for holding power - The Economist - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Statue of Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein Shaking Hands Mysteriously Appears in D.C. - ARTnews.com - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- The MAGA Movement Is Ready to Dump Donald Trump. Heres His Replacement - The Daily Beast - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- What is Antifa and why is Donald Trump targeting it? - BBC - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Why "Tensions Flared" and "Escalated Into a Heated Exchange" Between King Charles and Donald Trump's Employees at the State... - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- There's A Gold Donald Trump Statue In Washington D.C., And The Photos Are Going Viral - Yahoo - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- President Donald Trump participates in the swearing-in ceremony for U.S. Ambassador to Portugal John Arrigo - The White House (.gov) - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump attends a game between the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers at Yankee Stadium - The White House (.gov) - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump participates in a bilateral meeting with the Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew - The White House (.gov) - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump hosts a dinner in the newly renovated White House Rose Garden - The White House (.gov) - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump attends the U.S. Open Mens Championship at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows - The White House... - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Wishes Air Force One Reporters a Safe Flight Only 'Because I'm on the Flight': 'Otherwise I Wouldn't Care' - People.com - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Told Kamala Harris She Has a 'Beautiful Name' and That Ivanka's a 'Big Fan' During Private Phone Calls, Ex-VP Claims - People.com - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Political witch hunts and blacklists: Donald Trump and the new era of McCarthyism - The Conversation - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- TikTok to stay in the US as Donald Trump says deal is done - BBC - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Kate Middleton and Prince William Officially Welcome Donald and Melania Trump for U.K. State Visit at Windsor Castle - People.com - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Donald Trump greeted by the king, William and Kate after landing in Windsor UK politics live - The Guardian - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- GOP criticizes the left for using same rhetoric as Donald Trump - CNN - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Donald Trump, 79, Shows Cankles as He Gingerly Descends From Air Force One - The Daily Beast - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- The NFLs kickoff rule explained and how despite what Donald Trump says it made the sport safer - CNN - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Channel 4: Donald Trump UK Visit Marked With "Night Of Untruths" - Deadline - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Wants To Scrap Quarterly Earnings Reports For U.S. Companies - Deadline - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Responds to Texas Beheading: 'Evil Person' - Newsweek - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump Says White House Ballroom Will Be Bigger Than Originally Planned - Town & Country Magazine - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Issues Major Challenge To NATO: 'You Are Wasting My Time' - Newsweek - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- JD Vance Responds to Alleged Donald Trump Birthday Letter to Epstein - Newsweek - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- How Donald Trump is weaponizing the government to settle personal scores and pursue his agenda - AP News - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump will watch the US Open men's final from Rolex's suite, AP source says - AP News - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Why Donald Trump is Returning to the U.S. Open - Bounces | Ben Rothenberg - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- US Open Asks Broadcasters To Censor Reaction To Donald Trump - Forbes - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Threatens EU With Major Retaliation: 'Discriminatory' - Newsweek - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]