Tesla Stock: What Did Elon Musk Say About This Key Problem? – The Motley Fool
Earnings are always a big deal for Wall Street's biggest companies, and electric vehicle company Tesla (TSLA -1.53%) is always a headliner. The company reported its first-quarter 2023 earnings recently, and investors are grappling with an aggressive price-cut strategy creating waves.
CEO Elon Musk commented on the earnings call about Tesla's price strategy, noting that the company's vehicles are a hardware product that will generate recurring revenue across its fleet via autonomous driving.
But the company's financials also point out some issues that potentially undermine what Musk said. Here is what you need to know and how to make sense of it.
Tesla has aggressively cut pricing on its vehicles over the past year, especially the Model 3 and Model Y vehicles. Given Tesla's history as a battleground stock, investors have fallen into two categories. Some believe that Tesla's price cuts are to squeeze competitors and take market share, and others think that Tesla's cutting its prices out of desperation to boost delivery figures and spur demand.
Elon Musk elaborated on Tesla's strategy during the Q1 earnings call, noting that the company emphasizes selling more vehicles at lower margins because it believes autonomy will eventually create more profitable revenue streams from its fleet. In other words, the vehicles aren't where the profits are made; the autonomous driving software is.
Wherever you stand on Tesla's price cuts, investors must watch the company's continually rising inventory. Inventory has steadily increased, from $6.7 billion in Q1 of 2022 to $14.3 billion in just one year, growing every quarter along the way. Excess inventory can be a problem because it might cause continued price cuts, or force a manufacturing slowdown, which would also pressure profit margins. Musk insisted that affordability due to higher interest rates could be hurting consumer demand. Still, inventory will become harder to ignore if it continues growing in upcoming quarters.
The market has responded to Tesla's earnings by selling the stock down by about 10 percent. What could be the reason for that? Remember that investors often value companies on profits. Tesla's price cut strategy may prove a winner in the long run, but it's notably impacting its bottom line today.
Profit margins fell across the board, including gross margin falling 977 basis points and operating margin falling 779 basis points, to 19.3% and 11.4%, respectively. That trickled down to free cash flow, which declined 80% year over year to $441 million, despite revenue growing 24%.
Tesla's higher-volume, lower-margin market strategy means (at least for now) that the company isn't as profitable, which commands a lower valuation premium.
The market could be repricing the stock to determine where it should trade relative to Tesla's competitors. For example, companies like Ford and General Motors have operating margins between 6% and 8%, and Tesla's operating margin once blew them out of the water at 19% in the year-ago quarter. This quarter's 11% puts it much closer to its competitive counterparts.
GM PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.
It's only one quarter, so investors should be careful about drawing too much from three months in the business. However, its rising inventory levels are now a trend and a potential problem. Meanwhile, the stock could continue repricing to a lower valuation if margins continue heading lower, especially after announcing another price cut just before the earnings release.
A cautious approach could be warranted. Tesla's long-term opportunities still exist, and its plan to leverage autonomy for higher margins later could work out well for shareholders. Still, investors should resist the temptation to call Tesla's stock cheap because of where it once traded --there are reasons why the stock is dropping.
Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors and recommends the following options: long January 2025 $25 calls on General Motors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
See original here:
Tesla Stock: What Did Elon Musk Say About This Key Problem? - The Motley Fool
- Elon Musk gave the cold shoulder to Norways $1.4 trillion sovereign wealth CEO Nicolai Tangen after the fund snubbed the Tesla CEOs pay packagetwice -... - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk and His Friends Help Trump Shake Up the Government - The New York Times - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Offers Federal Workers an Unauthorized Buyout - The American Prospect - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Lackeys Have Taken Over the Office of Personnel Management - WIRED - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk claims full self driving is so advanced Tesla owners are turning it off and steering with their knees to check text messages - Fortune - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk says SpaceX will rescue two stranded astronauts. Heres why that is confusing - CNN - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Angry Tesla owners threaten to take action against Elon Musk - TheStreet - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's mother urges him to sue CNN, other news outlets for peddling 'Nazi salute' narrative - Fox News - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Trump's new OPM hires reportedly include 21-year-old, recent high school grad with ties to Elon Musk - Fortune - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Trump asks Elon Musk to return 2 Starliner astronauts from the ISS for NASA but they already have a SpaceX ride home - Space.com - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk declined dinner with boss of $1.7 trillion fund that voted against his pay deal: 'Friends are as friends do' - Business Insider - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk tells German far-right crowd the nation should move beyond "past guilt" ahead of Holocaust Remembrance Day - CBS News - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk finally admits that Tesla will have to replace its HW3 self-driving computers - Electrek.co - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Looks to Stick a Fork in Federal Government Workers - Slate - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk is not convinced with China's DeepSeek that has wiped out billions from the US stock market; hi - The Times of India - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's Long Term Friend Says He's a Narcissist With an Obsessive "Lust for Power" - Futurism - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Why has Elon Musk threatened legal action against Tim Walz? Here's what you need to know - The Economic Times - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Trump, Elon Musk Are Working to Get Astronauts, but NASA Already Has a Plan - PEOPLE - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Accused of 'Pulling Trump Down' With Negative Poll Rating - Newsweek - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Country Says "Hmmm" as Elon Musk Teams Up With Boeing to Create Amazingly Safe New Air Force One - Futurism - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk disses boss of Norways $1.7T wealth fund that voted against his massive pay deal - New York Post - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Is Running the Twitter Playbook on the Federal Government - WIRED - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk is trying to help Boeing out with its much-delayed new Air Force One for Trump - Business Insider - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk clashes with Norway wealth fund CEO; 'friends are as friends do' - Yahoo Finance - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk says that Tesla unsupervised self-driving begins, but dont get too excited - Electrek.co - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Elon Musk says he might sue Gov. Tim Walz over accusations he gave a Nazi salute - Star Tribune - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Did Elon Musk write the 'Fork in the Road' memo for Trump's 'deferred resignation' offer to federal worke - The Times of India - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Tesla sales disappoint, but Elon Musk vows new cars will be in the wild, with no one in them - New York Post - January 30th, 2025 [January 30th, 2025]
- Near-Earth "Asteroid" Spotted By Astronomers Turns Out To Be Elon Musk's Car - IFLScience - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Elon Musk tells far-right AfD party it is 'the best hope for the future of Germany' as election nears - Fortune - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Elon Musk urges far-right German party to move beyond past guilt - The Washington Post - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Definitely Doesnt Seem Concerned That Far-Right Extremists Are Cheering Him On - Vanity Fair - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Cuban on Musk: 'I Have No Problem Throwing Elon Under the Bus, but I'll Save It for When It's Truly Deserved' - Yahoo Finance - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Trump staff are reportedly furious with Elon Musk after he publicly trashed the Trump-backed $500 billion AI project - Fortune - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk doesnt deserve the benefit of the doubt - Vox.com - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- "Heil Tesla": Controversial Image Of Elon Musk Displayed On Tesla Factory In Germany - NDTV - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's offer to Elon Musk and Larry Ellison: Buy Tiktok and give - The Times of India - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's prominence during inauguration ceremonies stamps tech titan's place in Trump's orbit - The Associated Press - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk at Trumps inauguration: Whats the history of the Nazi salute? - Al Jazeera English - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk tried to turn the salute controversy into a joke - NPR - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk bashes the $500 billion AI project Trump announced, claiming its backers dont have the money - CNN - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk is causing trouble in Europe. Whats in it for him? - CNN - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Tesla sales in Europe are sliding. That's a problem for Elon Musk. - Business Insider - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk on his hand gesture: - X - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's DOGE setting its sights on the penny - Fox Business - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's gesture at Trump rally draws scrutiny - BBC.com - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Opinion | The missing context from the Elon Musk salute - The Washington Post - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk and tech leader Sam Altman get into war of words over AI infrastructure project - Fox Business - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk follows one-arm salute with some Nazi jokes. What a time to be alive. | Opinion - USA TODAY - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says he isn't bothered by Elon Musk's Stargate criticism as the CEO 'hates one of the people in the deal' - Business Insider - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk is still tweeting about Nazi salutes. Now hes dragged Taylor Swift into the drama - San Francisco Chronicle - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Jamie Dimon calls Elon Musk the Einstein of our timesaid they reconciled and hugged it out - Fortune - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- The likely reason why Elon Musk is mad at Wikipedia - The Independent - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk appears to make back-to-back fascist salutes at inauguration rally - The Guardian - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Ignites Online Speculation Over the Meaning of a Hand Gesture - The New York Times - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Says Project Stargate Doesn't 'Actually Have The Money' After Trump Announces $500 Billion AI Investment Led By SoftBank, Oracle And OpenAI... - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk appears to give 'Nazi-style' salute at Capital One Arena rally - Fox 10 News - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk has his doubts about Stargate. Heres why he may be right. - MarketWatch - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Probes Competitor Boeing on New Air Force One Jet - The Daily Beast - January 24th, 2025 [January 24th, 2025]
- Elon Musk says AI has already gobbled up all human-produced data to train itself and now relies on hallucination-prone synthetic data - Fortune - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Ian Hislop praised for perfect takedown of contradiction-riddled Elon Musk - The Independent - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk And More Right-Wing Critics Blame Diversity, Equity And Inclusion For LA WildfiresWith Little Evidence - Forbes - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's Ex-Wife And Mother To His 5 Kids Says His Secret To Extreme Success Is Working Harder Than 'Average Bear' And Saying 'No' A Lot - Yahoo... - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Is Trying to Break Germanys Quarantine on the Far-Right AfD - The New York Times - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's company town 'Snailbrook' is growing; here is everything we know - Austin American-Statesman - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Nigel Farage and Elon Musk to reunite as Reform leader hosts Trump inauguration party in Washington - The Independent - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Meet the influencer who has Elon Musk's ear on Germany's far-right - Reuters - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk boosts German far right party with live event on X - NBC News - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- How Elon Musk seized on baseless memo claim to create wave of misinformation - BBC.com - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- My Ban From X Is About One Simple Thing: Elon Musk Controlling the Flow of Information - The Intercept - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk's DOGE says it is hiring. Here are the jobs it's looking to fill. - CBS News - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk aims to reignite Teslas fading momentum by making Model Y look like the Cybercab - Fortune - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Gamers are accusing Elon Musk of cheating at popular video games by allegedly turning to loopholes and hiring better users to play for him - Fortune - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Majority of British public believe Elon Musk having negative impact on UK politics, poll suggests - Yahoo! Voices - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Is Roiling European Politics - The Wall Street Journal - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk and Peter Thiel: The billionaires fomenting a global race war - Middle East Eye - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk is a monster bully on the loose, but he can only get his way if we let him | Martin Kettle - The Guardian - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Hijacks U.K. Politics in Favor of the Far Right - The New York Times - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk asks if America should 'liberate the people of Britain' in tirade against UK government - CNBC - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]
- Elon Musk heaps praise on AfDs Alice Weidel during live talk on X - The Guardian - January 11th, 2025 [January 11th, 2025]