Tesla Stock: What Did Elon Musk Say About This Key Problem? – The Motley Fool
Earnings are always a big deal for Wall Street's biggest companies, and electric vehicle company Tesla (TSLA -1.53%) is always a headliner. The company reported its first-quarter 2023 earnings recently, and investors are grappling with an aggressive price-cut strategy creating waves.
CEO Elon Musk commented on the earnings call about Tesla's price strategy, noting that the company's vehicles are a hardware product that will generate recurring revenue across its fleet via autonomous driving.
But the company's financials also point out some issues that potentially undermine what Musk said. Here is what you need to know and how to make sense of it.
Tesla has aggressively cut pricing on its vehicles over the past year, especially the Model 3 and Model Y vehicles. Given Tesla's history as a battleground stock, investors have fallen into two categories. Some believe that Tesla's price cuts are to squeeze competitors and take market share, and others think that Tesla's cutting its prices out of desperation to boost delivery figures and spur demand.
Elon Musk elaborated on Tesla's strategy during the Q1 earnings call, noting that the company emphasizes selling more vehicles at lower margins because it believes autonomy will eventually create more profitable revenue streams from its fleet. In other words, the vehicles aren't where the profits are made; the autonomous driving software is.
Wherever you stand on Tesla's price cuts, investors must watch the company's continually rising inventory. Inventory has steadily increased, from $6.7 billion in Q1 of 2022 to $14.3 billion in just one year, growing every quarter along the way. Excess inventory can be a problem because it might cause continued price cuts, or force a manufacturing slowdown, which would also pressure profit margins. Musk insisted that affordability due to higher interest rates could be hurting consumer demand. Still, inventory will become harder to ignore if it continues growing in upcoming quarters.
The market has responded to Tesla's earnings by selling the stock down by about 10 percent. What could be the reason for that? Remember that investors often value companies on profits. Tesla's price cut strategy may prove a winner in the long run, but it's notably impacting its bottom line today.
Profit margins fell across the board, including gross margin falling 977 basis points and operating margin falling 779 basis points, to 19.3% and 11.4%, respectively. That trickled down to free cash flow, which declined 80% year over year to $441 million, despite revenue growing 24%.
Tesla's higher-volume, lower-margin market strategy means (at least for now) that the company isn't as profitable, which commands a lower valuation premium.
The market could be repricing the stock to determine where it should trade relative to Tesla's competitors. For example, companies like Ford and General Motors have operating margins between 6% and 8%, and Tesla's operating margin once blew them out of the water at 19% in the year-ago quarter. This quarter's 11% puts it much closer to its competitive counterparts.
GM PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.
It's only one quarter, so investors should be careful about drawing too much from three months in the business. However, its rising inventory levels are now a trend and a potential problem. Meanwhile, the stock could continue repricing to a lower valuation if margins continue heading lower, especially after announcing another price cut just before the earnings release.
A cautious approach could be warranted. Tesla's long-term opportunities still exist, and its plan to leverage autonomy for higher margins later could work out well for shareholders. Still, investors should resist the temptation to call Tesla's stock cheap because of where it once traded --there are reasons why the stock is dropping.
Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors and recommends the following options: long January 2025 $25 calls on General Motors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
See original here:
Tesla Stock: What Did Elon Musk Say About This Key Problem? - The Motley Fool
- Elon Musk becomes the first person to reach a net worth of $400 billion - CNN - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk warns Republicans against standing in Trumps way or his - The Associated Press - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- New court filing: OpenAI says Elon Musk wanted to own and run it as a for-profit - Axios - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's net worth tops $400 billion, a first for any person. Here's where he gets his wealth. - CBS News - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk says SpaceX headquarters to be in Starbase, Texas - Yahoo Finance - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's Charitable Foundation Sent Most of Its Millions to His Own Entities - Bloomberg - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- OpenAI publishes more of Elon Musk's internal emails showing he originally favored a for-profit structure - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk reacts to Donald Trumps viral meme featuring his mug shot - The Times of India - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk attacks SEC as he shares a letter saying it is probing Neuralink - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's skyrocketing net worth: He's the first person with over $400 billion - USA TODAY - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk is mad at the SEC again - The Verge - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- 'As foretold in the prophecy': Elon Musk and internet react as Tesla stock hits $420 all-time high - USA TODAY - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk wont make any more Tesla electrics: This new fuel could soon be on the roads - El Diario 24 - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Playbook: The Dems cozying up to Elon Musk - POLITICO - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk and Giorgia Meloni: a burgeoning friendship the world should keep an eye on - The Conversation - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's mom on her son spending a lot of time with Trump: 'They do get along well' - Fox Business - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Is Now Worth More Than $400 Billion, The First Person To Cross That Mark - Forbes - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Economic Outlook: Elon Musk and Tesla Shareholders Are Richer Than Ever - Inc. - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk wanted to make OpenAI a for-profit company, messages show, as feud heats up - New York Post - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk should keep his hands off the CFPB - Financial Times - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Trump says he isn't worried about potential conflicts of interest at Musk's DOGE: 'Elon puts the country long before his company' - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's support for Trump has created a hot Etsy side hustle for this aquarium worker - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Eyeing a $100M Condo Puts West Palm Beach, Florida, on the Map - Mansion Global - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- 'You should never bet against Elon': Peter Thiel says Musk understands risk-taking completely differently from other people - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- OpenAI just dropped new Elon Musk receipts: You cant sue your way to AGI - The Verge - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's "Charity" Is Hoarding Money Instead of Giving It to the Needy - Futurism - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Tried To Create A 'New Intergalactic Media Empire' Called 'Thud!' He Offered $2 Million To Onion Editors And Poached Staff Away - Benzinga - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- DOGE tracker: A running list of what Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy say they will change - Business Insider - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk calls homelessness a lie and propaganda and Trump is listening - The Independent - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Becomes First Person Ever Worth $400 Billion - TheWrap - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Elon Musk publicized the names of government employees he wants to cut. Its terrifying federal workers - CNN - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk is causing problems for the Royal Society - The Economist - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk To Launch AI Gaming Studio to Counter Big Corporations. Here's What We Know - NDTV - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk's hunger for chips is taxing Nvidia's capacity to make them: report - Business Insider - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- How Elon Musk's memes, jokes, and passing thoughts influence the stock market - USA TODAY - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk floats buying MSNBC, but hes not the only billionaire who may be interested - CNN - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Might Have Created a New Meme Stock. This Drone Makers Shares Are Soaring. - Barron's - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Sriram Krishnan is leaving Andreessen Horowitz and is reportedly in talks to join Elon Musk at DOGE - Business Insider - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Soros of the right Elon Musk eyes progressive prosecutors as next target - The Washington Post - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Could Elon Musk X-ify MSNBC? Dont Bet on It - Hollywood Reporter - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- First Buddy Elon Musk accuses Trump impeachment witness of treason and calls for appropriate penalty - The Independent - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk calls for 'deleting' the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau - Yahoo Finance - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Grimes says she hasn't seen one of her kids for 5 months in Elon Musk custody battle update - USA TODAY - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk confirms that hes limiting peoples ability to share outside news on X - Yahoo! Voices - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Maye Musk welcomes Elon's bromance with Donald Trump and says they 'just seem to be having fun' - Business Insider - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk acknowledges something that was obvious about the new Twitter: It's no longer a good place for links - Yahoo! Voices - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk wants to 'delete' a federal agency designed to prevent another financial crisis and protect people from scams - Business Insider - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Supports Abolishing The Fed: What That Could Mean for Your Wallet - Yahoo Finance - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- In Just 16 Months, Elon Musk Achieved With xAI What Took OpenAI Nearly Nine Years To Accomplish - Benzinga - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- "It Will Get Pilots Killed": Elon Musk Calls For US To Replace Fighter Jets With Drones - NDTV - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Claims Superior Ownership Over Alex Jones, Infowars X Accounts as The Onion Pursues Acquisition - Yahoo! Voices - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Gets Away With Buying Election After Legal Case Falls Apart - The New Republic - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Suggests That He Is an Ancient Being Who Assumes Human Identities - Futurism - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Opinion | Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy: The DOGE Plan to Reform Government - The Wall Street Journal - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- 'How much does it cost?' Elon Musk riffs on buying MSNBC after Comcast spinoff news - USA TODAY - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Opinion | Attention, Elon Musk: Heres a blind spot in measuring government efficiency - The Washington Post - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Grimes Opens Up About Custody Battle With Elon Musk, Says She Didnt See One of My Babies for 5 Months - Billboard - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Trump aide who clashed with Elon Musk at dinner table is under investigation because... - The Times of India - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk rips Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom for insane move to exclude Tesla from rebate plan - New York Post - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk has big return-to-office plans for federal employees and hes saying the quiet part out loud - Yahoo Finance - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk erupts over California plan that could cut Tesla from EV tax credit - The Independent - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk in the Trump Administration? His father reveals his plans - ECOticias - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk wants to block the transfer of InfoWars X accounts to The Onion - TechCrunch - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk wants to gut the government like he did at Twitter. But his private sector strategies are going to be tested at DOGE - Fortune - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Why Elon Musk thinks 'impoundment' could be the key to making his DOGE ideas a reality - Yahoo Finance - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Catherine Herridge reveals ex-CBS bosses blocked her Elon Musk interview: We dont know what hes going to say - New York Post - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk has never been richer. Hes now worth nearly $350 billion - CNN - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk acknowledges something that was obvious about the new Twitter: It's no longer a good place for links - Business Insider - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk says human-piloted fighter jets like the F-35 are obsolete. Drone tech can't yet fill the gap. - Business Insider - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk calls fighter jets obsolete, drones the future of air combat - South China Morning Post - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- State Efficiency? What Elon Musk And Trump Don't Understand About Government Spending - Worldcrunch - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk has pledged to settle Mars. A prize-winning book offers a reality check - CNN - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk Buying MSNBC? A Difficult Feat, Because It Isnt for Sale - The Wall Street Journal - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Omead Afshar, a longtime Elon Musk loyalist, takes the wheel at Tesla - Business Insider - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Seth Meyers Takes Comfort in Trump Struggling to Get Rid of Elon Musk - TheWrap - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Seth Meyers roasts Elon Musk for overstaying his welcome with Trump - Mashable - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk mocks own government efficiency department with I cant believe DOGE is real post with laughing emojis - The Independent - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk, Republicans blast Denver mayor for resistance plans but what does the law say? - Denverite - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Elon Musk says X users fight falsehoods. The falsehoods are winning. - The Washington Post - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Elon Musk ordered to appear in court to defend his $1m election giveaway - Al Jazeera English - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]