EU reaches for the rising sun – POLITICO.eu
European Council President Donald Tusk (right) and European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker (center) with Japanese Prime Minister Shinz Abe in Brussels in May last year | John Thys/AFP via Getty Images
As Japanese Prime Minister Shinz Abe visitsBrussels Tuesday, the European Union facesintensifyingpressure to deliver on a promised pivot to Asia by sealing a new trade accord and strategic political partnership with Japanbefore years end.
Since the election of U.S. President Donald Trump, European leaders have rushed to style themselves as the new vanguard of global free trade and pledged to fill the vacuum created by an increasingly protectionist United States.
Zeroing in on fast-growing markets, the Europeans argue that Trumps withdrawal from a landmark 12-nation trade accord in the Asia-Pacific region creates an economicopportunity and geopolitical imperative to build a bridgehead there. While European Commissioner for Trade Cecilia Malmstrm has cast Brussels as the heavyweight alternative to Washington for partners ranging from Mexico to Indonesia, Asian governments are looking to Europe for stability and leadership.
But the EUs protracted battle to secure a trade deal with Japan, a longtime ally and Asias most mature democracy, lays bare the challenges and frustrations of trying to become a bigger player in the East.
The EU is hardly astranger to Asian deals, having negotiated major accords with South Korea, Singapore and Vietnam. And inBrussels, senior officials professoptimism about clinching the agreement with Tokyo, which would be their biggest trade deal. Buoyed by a recent pact with Canada, officials are hoping to use Abes visit to build momentum.
Support is growing for a Japan accord among German automobile manufacturers, one of the most powerful groups in European industry.
Europe remains the champion of open, rules-based trade, not least due to signs of protectionism emerging elsewhere, European Council President Donald Tusk declared after the most recent EU summit. Trade is central to our economic success, Tusk added. And so we will swiftly advance ongoing negotiations such as with Japan.
As in the case of Canada, the EU is simultaneously negotiating a Strategic Partnership Agreement with Japan that would enhance cooperation on a wide array of geopolitical issues, including security, nuclear nonproliferation, rule of law and human rights.
Still,achieving afree-trade pact with Japan would be the most concrete symbol of the EUs pivot to Asia and its ability to lead as the U.S. retreats. But failing to complete the Japan deal would send an equally powerful negative signal, and the road so far has not been easy.
Negotiations between Tokyo and Brussels have dragged in seeming slow-motion since their formal start in 2013, and have effectively stalled at several junctures, including last year when a disputeover opening Japans agricultural market ledofficials to scrap the annual EU-Japan summit. In addition to Tokyos highly defensive position on farming, the talks have also stumbledover disagreements about data transfers and public procurement contracts in the railway industry.
Trumps election and his refusal this weekend to support the G20s traditional anti-protectionist pledge has not made negotiating any of these thorny deal-breakers any easier.Fraser Cameron,director of the EU-Asia Centre, a Brussels-based think tank,said that the new political context had not eliminated the many areas of disagreement, technical complications and, in some cases, contradictory political goals that have bedeviled the talks.
My own view is that, although there is a new world trade situation with Trump, there are still many uncertainties, Cameron said. Japan says it is serious about concluding a free-trade agreement this year, but then we have heard that every year for some time. They now say they have to wait for reform of the dairy sector in coming weeks.
European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker at the Ise-Jingu Shrine on May 26, 2016 | Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images
Despite such skepticism, Kazuo Kodama, the Japanese ambassador to the EU, repeated the assertion that a deal would be struck by the year-end. Our leaders are serious, he said in a speech in Brussels Wednesday ahead of Abes trip to Europe, which also includes stops in France, Italy and at CeBIT, a high-tech trade expoin Germany.
Both sides, I think, are more than ever committed to conclude the agreement this year, definitely at least in principle, Kodama said.
A European Commission official said a deal in principle meant a political agreement, essentially settling 90 percent of an accord.
While Japan is the biggest prize in the EUs courtship of the Asia-Pacific region, Malmstrm is also targeting a host of smaller deals, including ongoing negotiations with Indonesia and the Philippines. Taken together, the EU and Asia account for more than 60 percent of world GDP and more than 60 percent of world trade.
But while the incentives are great, so are the obstacles, including a broad range of frustrating problems for Brussels. The future of a trade agreement with Manila is shadowed by human rights concerns overPresident Rodrigo Dutertes brutal drug war. Talks with Southeast Asian countries musttackle the vexing issue of palm oil, which Western environmentalists argue causes devastating deforestation.
The EUs trade ambitions toward China are more limited, and Brussels is largely tied down in disputes over investors rights and anti-dumping duties.
Japans ability to strike a deal with the EU is complicated still further by Tokyos special relationship with the U.S., its indispensable military ally in regional power struggles with China and North Korea.
Abe was the first major player on the world stage to cozy up to Trump as president-elect visiting him in Trump Tower last November and Japan seems wary of taking any steps that might provoke Washington. A trade deal with the EU potentially creates headaches for Japanese negotiators, as they would probably have to at least match concessions offered to Europe in any bilateral deal with the U.S.
Yet,despite these complications and stumbling blocks, there are glimmers of some concrete progress between the EU and Japan.
European Commissioner for Justice Vra Jourov is set to announce Monday the startof talks for a data transfer deal together with Japans Economy Minister Hiroshige Sek. The deal will complement the future EU-Japan free-trade agreement, Jourov said.
Yorizumi Watanabe, professorof international political economy at Keio University and a former Japanese trade negotiator, said there was a growing sense that Tokyo could not protect its sacrosanct farmers forever.
Through the Trans-Pacific Partnership debate in Japan, there has a kind of emerging consensus grown within the Japanese society that we need a reform on agriculture, he said.
Boosting the chances of a deal even further, support is growing for a Japan accord among German automobile manufacturers, one of the most powerful and influential groups in European industry.
Look at the many high-level meetings Abe is having with Merkel, Watanabe said. They meet this month at the CeBIT in Hanover, then in May for the G7 leaders meeting in Sicily and in July for the G20 in Hamburg. By July, I would expect Abes agriculture reforms to be completed. That could be the defining moment to move forward on the trade deal.
Laurens Cerulus contributed reporting.
Continue reading here:
EU reaches for the rising sun - POLITICO.eu
- European Union To Spend Over $4 Million And 3 Years To Create Report On European Animation Industry - Cartoon Brew - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Speech by President von der Leyen at the European Parliament Plenary on the new College of Commissioners and its programme - European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- ASSEMBLY | EU bishops reflect on Europes future and challenges of the new institutional cycle - The Catholic Church in the European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Georgia suspends talks on joining the European Union and accuses the bloc of blackmail - The Associated Press - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- An update on political advertising in the European Union - The Keyword - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Protesters met with force in Georgia following suspension of talks on European Union accession - Civil Rights Defenders - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- European Union Food Week is Coming to Hyundai Food Market - EEAS - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- The European Union and International IDEA organised a study visit to Kenya for the National Assembly Gender Committee and the CSO Gender Platform -... - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Malawi and the European Union hold Partnership Dialogue - EEAS - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Georgia suspends talks on joining the European Union and accuses the bloc of blackmail - News-Press Now - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- If you're traveling outside the United States this Christmas, you'll have to meet a new requirement to enter the European Union - it's now official -... - November 14th, 2024 [November 14th, 2024]
- What the European Union should expect from Trumps tariffs - Bruegel - November 14th, 2024 [November 14th, 2024]
- Ten countries hope to join the European Union. Here is their formal status - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- What Does an European Union Investigation Mean for Temu? - The Fashion Law - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Joint Statement by the European Commission and High Representative Josep Borrell on the second round of Presidential Elections in Moldova - European... - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Spanish fugitive deported to European Union country: NIA - Focus Taiwan - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Trump says Tim Cook called him to complain about the European Union - The Verge - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Joint Press Release : First Partnership Dialogue between the Republic of Seychelles and the European Union - EEAS - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- European Union member States must shield the International Criminal Court from critical threats - FIDH - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Can the European Union get it together on capital markets? This is whats at stake - World Economic Forum - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Migration And Asylum Offshoring Top Of European Union Council Agenda - Forbes - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Intrigue is unfolding in Moldova around the referendum on joining the European Union - Eurasia Daily - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- The European Union as a strong actor at the 57th session of the Human Rights Council - EEAS - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Meta to European Union: Your Tech Rules Threaten to Squelch the AI Boom - The Wall Street Journal - September 19th, 2024 [September 19th, 2024]
- European Union Considers Suspending Visa Free Travel for Georgia After October 16 Elections Amid Political Tensions and Strained Relations - Travel... - September 19th, 2024 [September 19th, 2024]
- Teva faces European Union antitrust fine over shenanigans to thwart rivals - The Times of Israel - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- Auditors say European Union is likely exaggerating green spending - The Hindu - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- China's Wang Wentao to discuss the high European Union tariffs on electric cars next week - HT Auto - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- Travel Update- Schengen Travelers To Experience A New Era As European Union will begin automated stamping for passports - Travel And Tour World - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- The Largest Standing Armies of the European Union - Worldatlas.com - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- China questions, begins probe of European Union subsidies for dairy industry exports - Voice of America - VOA News - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas have been approved for EU top jobs. Who are they? What do they do? - KELOLAND.com - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas have been approved for EU top jobs. Who are they? What do they do? - WRIC ABC 8News - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Apple Intelligence Features Not Coming to European Union at Launch Due to DMA - MacRumors - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- European Union leaders set to endorse Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas for the bloc's top jobs | Daily Independent - Daily Independent - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- European Union leaders agree on top officials who will be the face of world's largest trading bloc - Citrus County Chronicle - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Not All Tariffs Are the Same: The Core Differences between U.S. and EU Tariffs against Chinese EVs - CSIS | Center for Strategic and International... - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Seeking Safety in Cyprus, They're Stuck in Island's U.N. Buffer Zone - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- What to Know About Europe's Extra Tariffs on Chinese Electric Cars - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- The EU slaps additional tariffs on Chinese EV imports - The Verge - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Battered by Far Right in E.U. Vote, Macron Calls for New Elections in France - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Chinese EV makers face additional tariffs of up to 38 percent in the EU - Engadget - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Poland exit polls: PM Tusk keeps upper hand over PiS in EU elections - Euronews - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- The European Union mobilises additional assistance to support Ukraine - European Union - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Far-right parties make stunning gains in EU election, prompting Macron to call snap vote in France - Fortune - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- EU's Borrell: Rafah offensive will cause civilian casualties, no matter what Israel says - The Times of Israel - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Who would run the EU if decided by Eurovision? - POLITICO Europe - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Opinion | Europe Is About to Drown in the River of the Radical Right - The New York Times - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Poland's Tusk Calls on EU to Build Joint Air-Defense System - Yahoo! Voices - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Xi visits Europe amid growing tensions with the West - Courthouse News Service - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Netherlands joins call to shetler intercepted asylum seekers in non-EU countries: report - NL Times - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- More civilians will be killed in Israel's Rafah offensive 'whatever they say' - EU's Borrell - The Jerusalem Post - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Lawyer: EU taxpayers might have to pay billions for Russian billionaire's unjustified inclusion on a sanctions list - bnn-news.com - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- EU urged to have fair perception of China - China Daily - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- EU hosts defence forum to rally its military industry behind Ukraine - Euronews - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- EU in Tug-of-War for Georgia and Moldova - Center for European Policy Analysis - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- EU Commission ends rule of law proceedings against Poland after six years - JURIST - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Seven out of 10 Europeans believe their country takes in too many immigrants - EL PAS USA - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- George Robertson: Why Russia fears the European Union - The New Statesman - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Meta Faces EU Investigation Over Election Disinformation - The New York Times - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Europeans lack visceral attachment to the EU. Does it matter? - The Economist - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Europe's East Will Soon Overtake Club Med for Living Standards - Yahoo! Voices - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- German Foreign Minister Aims To Abolish Veto in EU Council Ahead of Enlargement - The European Conservative - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Le Pen urges 'crushing' defeat of Macron in speech ahead of European elections - Le Monde - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- The European Union is investigating Meta's election policies - Engadget - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Activists press for EU-wide abortion right - POLITICO Europe - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- In the upcoming European elections, peace and security matter the most - Euronews - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- The Greens' Reintke vows to keep EU on track towards climate neutrality amid right-wing backlash - Euronews - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- President von der Leyen reaffirms EU's strong support for Lebanon and its people and announces a 1 billion package ... - European Union - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- GDP up by 0.3% in both the euro area and the EU - European Commission - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Possible to enlarge and deepen EU at the same time, Barroso says - EURACTIV - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- The European Union will reportedly open a new investigation into Meta over election policies - Engadget - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- European elections: are national issues overshadowing European ones? - Euronews - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- EU Enhances Protection of the Environment Through Criminal Law - Gibson Dunn - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- What U.S. Policymakers Can Learn from the European Union's Probe of Meta - Just Security - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- 20 years together: Facts and figures about the benefits of the enlargement for the EU - European Union - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Ten reasons to vote in the European elections - Social Europe - May 3rd, 2024 [May 3rd, 2024]
- Foreign Ministers mark NATO's 75th anniversary, meet with Ukraine, Indo-Pacific partners, European Union - NATO HQ - April 5th, 2024 [April 5th, 2024]
- Press statement by President von der Leyen on a Resilience and Growth Plan for Armenia - European Union - April 5th, 2024 [April 5th, 2024]
- EU pulls back the curtain on organized crime, with 821 networks numbering 25000 strong poisoning the economy - Fortune - April 5th, 2024 [April 5th, 2024]