‘The euro may ALREADY be lost’ Economists predict DOOMSDAY for European Union’s currency – Express.co.uk
European Union nations are plummeting further into debt, amid angry protests and calls for reform, but the Union continues to push for the joint monetary union.
Now, economists have suggested it is already too late to save the failing monetary union which will "almost surely fail".
Tuomas Malinen, CEO of GnS Economics, said: "Living standards in Italy and Greece are below the levels when they joined the euro.
"Finland is the only Nordic country using the euro and it is also the only Nordic country which has not yet recovered from the financial crash of 2008.
"There have been many proposals on how to fix the euro and the EMU, but they are politically unpopular and unrealistic."
Economists Mr Malinen, Dr Heikki Koskenkyl and Dr Peter Nyberg co-wrote the report 'The Euro May Already Be Lost', which has suggested there are solutions, but they are extreme.
GETTY
GETTY
Eighteen years after the introduction of the euro, the economists argue it simply cannot work without major change.
Experts explained one of the main issues as "different growth paths" for member states.
As different countries develop at different speeds, the gap between success and failure widens and chances of financial support lessen.
If this occurs during an economic boom, "strengthening aggregate demand supports ailing fields of production" meaning crashes can be avoided.
But this is not the case in 2017 Europe.
GETTY
While the Eurozone faces crises, experts say, the costs of financing less competitive countries jumps.
This is what is known as an asymmetric shock.
It is suggested for survival, the eurozone needs a similar income transfer system to that used in the US during the Great Depression, where rich states made transfers to the poorer.
The economists' report states: "For permanent income transfers, you would need to change the Maastricht Treaty and ratify it in each member country or to negotiate several bilateral agreements.
"There is only a very small likelihood that these would go through, for example, in Finland and in the Netherlands."
Without public support for a federal union, others have come up with ways to save the euro.
The economists cite CEO of the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) Klaus Regling, who believes a "combination of the banking and capital market union and a rainy day fund" could work.
Any financing through the European Central Bank (ECB), would need to be covered by European tax-payers later when it would become evident that weaker countries are unable to pay back their loans
Economists
The report states: "This fund would allegedly be used when asymmetric shocks occur.
"The fund would be financed jointly by all euro countries. However, because of the persistent differences in competitiveness, its transfers would become permanent.
"Only the most competitive members of the Eurozone would have sufficient income to finance the fund.
"Any financing through the European Central Bank (ECB), would need to be covered by European tax-payers later when it would become evident that weaker countries are unable to pay back their loans and when seigniorage revenues would be unable to cover the losses of the ECB."
In the opinion of Mr Maline, there are only two ways to fix the euro- either "a far-reaching political union or returning to the system described in the Maastricht Treaty, where member states would be responsible for their own economies only".
Under a full political union economic policy decision-making would be concentrated and "would require major structural changes in the Eurozone and its member countries".
Mr Malinen writes: "Tax and social policies would be unified, labor unions would be dismantled or unified as a European-wide system, a European debt relief system and banking union would be set up.
"These would ensure the flexibility of wages, prices, and labor agreements and guarantee convergence of competitiveness and living standards."
The other option, returning to the Maastricht Treaty, would see the winding down of the ESM and the European Financial Stability Facility - and likely Greece's exit from the European Union.
1 of 11
GETTY
Mr Malinen said: "The Eurozone is in a stalemate. A federal union would be needed to fix its problems, but there is no public support for it.
"Returning to national fiscal responsibility would lead to defaults and exits. Half-way solutions will prove insufficient but expensive and obfuscate the issues.
"Therefore, there may be no way to avert the partial or complete break-up of the Eurozone in the years to come.
"The fate of the euro may already have been sealed."
Read this article:
'The euro may ALREADY be lost' Economists predict DOOMSDAY for European Union's currency - Express.co.uk
- Political contagion in Europe: can the European Union survive Trumpism? - Bruegel - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Bolstering the cybersecurity of the healthcare sector - European Union - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Medidatas Patient Experience Recognized as Sustainability Solution by the European Union, Paving the Way for Greener Clinical Trials - Dassault... - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- European Union Special Representative for the Great Lakes Region, Johan Borgstam, makes first official visit to Tanzania - EEAS - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Indicating the way forward for sustainable European aviation - European Union - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- UNHCR and the European Union join forces to provide lasting solutions for Afghan refugees and returnees - EEAS - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Irregular migration into the European Union fell sharply last year, border agency says - The Associated Press - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Poland Assumes the Presidency of the Council of the European Union - Kyiv Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Far From Ignorant: The European Union, Arms Exports and Israel - CounterPunch - January 3rd, 2025 [January 3rd, 2025]
- Major changes in the European Union - summary of 2024: everything you need to know in 2025 - Visit Ukraine - January 3rd, 2025 [January 3rd, 2025]
- Hungary's controversial presidency of the Council of the European Union comes to an end - Euronews - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- 30 years together: Austria, Finland and Sweden in the EU - European Union - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- AI and Employee Data Protection in the European Union: 8 Key Takeaways for Multinational Businesses - JD Supra - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Pro-European Union Protests in Georgia Continue into New Years Eve - AL24 News - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- 2025, between the reformist drive and the structural challenges of the European Union - The Diplomat in Spain - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Statement on behalf of the European Union and its Member States by H.E. Ambassador Stavros Lambrinidis, Delegation of the European Union to the United... - December 30th, 2024 [December 30th, 2024]
- European Union to resume Association Council meetings with Israel - The Times of Israel - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- Its time for the European Union to rethink personal social networking - Bruegel - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- Mistral 3 project to receive 60 million from European Union - MBDA - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- The European Union and Palestinian Authority convene Investment Platform and announce EUR 28.3 million of investments for the Palestine Financial... - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- The EVERY Company Further Expands its IP Estate with European Union Patent for Recombinant Ovalbumin - Business Wire - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- European Union sanctions 26 individuals and two entities in Belarus - euneighbourseast.eu - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- European Union: What do CG&R companies need to know about the European Accessibility Act? - GlobalComplianceNews - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- New EU norms to reduce environmental impact of smitheries and foundries - European Union - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Syria: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union on the fall of the Assad regime - consilium.europa.eu - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union and the Gates Foundation to co-host Gavi 6.0 High Level Pledging Summit - Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union orders TikTok to preserve data related to Romanian election - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union - United Republic of Tanzania: Joint Communique of the 2024 Partnership Dialogue - EEAS - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Human Rights Day: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union - consilium.europa.eu - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- We are waiting to return home - helping refugees in Sudan - European Union - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Revised Regulation on Classification, Labelling and Packaging of Chemicals enters into force - European Union - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- CCS legal framework for the development of carbon capture and storage technologies in Poland and the European Union - Dentons - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Mercosur and the European Union sign trade agreement - Fresh Fruit Portal - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union To Spend Over $4 Million And 3 Years To Create Report On European Animation Industry - Cartoon Brew - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Speech by President von der Leyen at the European Parliament Plenary on the new College of Commissioners and its programme - European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- ASSEMBLY | EU bishops reflect on Europes future and challenges of the new institutional cycle - The Catholic Church in the European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Georgia suspends talks on joining the European Union and accuses the bloc of blackmail - The Associated Press - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- An update on political advertising in the European Union - The Keyword - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Protesters met with force in Georgia following suspension of talks on European Union accession - Civil Rights Defenders - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- European Union Food Week is Coming to Hyundai Food Market - EEAS - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- The European Union and International IDEA organised a study visit to Kenya for the National Assembly Gender Committee and the CSO Gender Platform -... - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Malawi and the European Union hold Partnership Dialogue - EEAS - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- Georgia suspends talks on joining the European Union and accuses the bloc of blackmail - News-Press Now - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- If you're traveling outside the United States this Christmas, you'll have to meet a new requirement to enter the European Union - it's now official -... - November 14th, 2024 [November 14th, 2024]
- What the European Union should expect from Trumps tariffs - Bruegel - November 14th, 2024 [November 14th, 2024]
- Ten countries hope to join the European Union. Here is their formal status - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- What Does an European Union Investigation Mean for Temu? - The Fashion Law - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Joint Statement by the European Commission and High Representative Josep Borrell on the second round of Presidential Elections in Moldova - European... - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Spanish fugitive deported to European Union country: NIA - Focus Taiwan - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Trump says Tim Cook called him to complain about the European Union - The Verge - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Joint Press Release : First Partnership Dialogue between the Republic of Seychelles and the European Union - EEAS - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- European Union member States must shield the International Criminal Court from critical threats - FIDH - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Can the European Union get it together on capital markets? This is whats at stake - World Economic Forum - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Migration And Asylum Offshoring Top Of European Union Council Agenda - Forbes - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Intrigue is unfolding in Moldova around the referendum on joining the European Union - Eurasia Daily - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- The European Union as a strong actor at the 57th session of the Human Rights Council - EEAS - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Meta to European Union: Your Tech Rules Threaten to Squelch the AI Boom - The Wall Street Journal - September 19th, 2024 [September 19th, 2024]
- European Union Considers Suspending Visa Free Travel for Georgia After October 16 Elections Amid Political Tensions and Strained Relations - Travel... - September 19th, 2024 [September 19th, 2024]
- Teva faces European Union antitrust fine over shenanigans to thwart rivals - The Times of Israel - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- Auditors say European Union is likely exaggerating green spending - The Hindu - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- China's Wang Wentao to discuss the high European Union tariffs on electric cars next week - HT Auto - September 12th, 2024 [September 12th, 2024]
- Travel Update- Schengen Travelers To Experience A New Era As European Union will begin automated stamping for passports - Travel And Tour World - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- The Largest Standing Armies of the European Union - Worldatlas.com - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- China questions, begins probe of European Union subsidies for dairy industry exports - Voice of America - VOA News - August 25th, 2024 [August 25th, 2024]
- Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas have been approved for EU top jobs. Who are they? What do they do? - KELOLAND.com - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas have been approved for EU top jobs. Who are they? What do they do? - WRIC ABC 8News - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Apple Intelligence Features Not Coming to European Union at Launch Due to DMA - MacRumors - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- European Union leaders set to endorse Von der Leyen, Costa and Kallas for the bloc's top jobs | Daily Independent - Daily Independent - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- European Union leaders agree on top officials who will be the face of world's largest trading bloc - Citrus County Chronicle - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Not All Tariffs Are the Same: The Core Differences between U.S. and EU Tariffs against Chinese EVs - CSIS | Center for Strategic and International... - June 27th, 2024 [June 27th, 2024]
- Seeking Safety in Cyprus, They're Stuck in Island's U.N. Buffer Zone - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- What to Know About Europe's Extra Tariffs on Chinese Electric Cars - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- The EU slaps additional tariffs on Chinese EV imports - The Verge - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Battered by Far Right in E.U. Vote, Macron Calls for New Elections in France - The New York Times - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Chinese EV makers face additional tariffs of up to 38 percent in the EU - Engadget - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Poland exit polls: PM Tusk keeps upper hand over PiS in EU elections - Euronews - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- The European Union mobilises additional assistance to support Ukraine - European Union - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- Far-right parties make stunning gains in EU election, prompting Macron to call snap vote in France - Fortune - June 12th, 2024 [June 12th, 2024]
- EU's Borrell: Rafah offensive will cause civilian casualties, no matter what Israel says - The Times of Israel - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]
- Who would run the EU if decided by Eurovision? - POLITICO Europe - May 7th, 2024 [May 7th, 2024]