Ukraine wants to join the European Union. But it is not going to be easy – CNBC
Ukraine has requested to become a member of the EU, but the process is likely to take some time and it is unclear if there is a broad support to accept several new nations in the bloc.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
The European Union could be about to throw its support behind Ukraine becoming its newest member, but the process will not be easy: not only the country is still at war, but several other nations are keen to join and have been for some time.
Just days after Russia started its unprovoked invasion of the country, Ukraine sent a letter to the EU to formally start its application process.
Since then, several EU officials have come out in support of Ukraine joining the bloc, but they have also been clear this would be a long process, even if they try to speed things up given Ukraine's circumstances.
The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, is expected to issue an opinion on Ukraine joining the EU in the next few weeks but this will likely just mark the start of a long and difficult journey.
Even the European Parliament's President Roberta Metsola has admitted that accepting new members into the EU can be challenging.
"Enlargements are always complex you have different countries, different paths, different steps to take, different rules to abide by. But this is the moment we need to send the strongest of political message: Ukraine belongs in the European family," she told CNBC last month.
According to Daniel Gros, from the Brussels-based think tank CEPS, receiving political support to join the EU represents "a moral boost to Ukraine and a signal to Russia that the EU will not be deterred."
But for the EU, supporting Ukraine's membership bid is a delicate balancing act which affects many countires.
Nations in the Western Balkans have long been promised accession, for example including North Macedonia, which even changed its name in an effort to bolster its chances of joining the EU but negotiations have yet to begin.
Moldova, which borders Ukraine, and Georgia, which borders Russia, have also asked to join the bloc in the wake of the Russian invasion.
"Particularly against the background of the war in Ukraine, we have to remain vigilant and give the same priority to the Western Balkans as to Ukraine," Austrian ministers Alexander Schallenberg and Karoline Edtstadler said in a letter to the EU's top diplomat Josep Borrell late last month.
"We cannot allow ourselves to create first and second-class candidates."
Western Balkans is a term used to refer to six countries in southern and eastern Europe: the Republic of Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, the Republic of Kosovo, the Republic of North Macedonia and the Republic of Serbia.
The risk for the EU is that it is seen to be giving preferential treatment to Kyiv upsetting other parts of the continent and potentially pushing them closer to Russia.
"We want and need those countries firmly anchored in our camp, the one of the European model of life, we need to demonstrate to them that they are key partners and that we are serious about their European future," the Austrian ministers said in the letter.
The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, was not immediately available for comment when contacted by CNBC Tuesday.
Even after it publishes its opinion on Ukraine joining the bloc, it will likely be years before member states are given the opportunity to approve Kyiv's accession, to a large extent because Ukraine will have to implement several economic and political reforms to comply with European rules.
However, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has been vocal about Ukraine belonging in the EU. Last month, she advocated for financial aid for reconstruction as a way to also help Ukraine's accession to the bloc.
"It could set a system of milestones and targets to make sure that European money truly delivers for the people of Ukraine, and is spent in accordance with EU rules. It could help fight corruption, align the legal environment with European standards and radically upgrade Ukraine's productive capacity," she said in the European Parliament, adding that "eventually, it will pave the way for Ukraine's future inside the European Union."
But political experts think full membership for Ukraine is some way off.
"While Ukraine joining the EU anytime soon is unlikely, there is a clear shift in attitudes towards enlargement amongst EU leaders who have realized that keeping countries that want to become members on hold is very frustrating and opens the door to democratic backsliding and non-EU influence from Russia, from China," Anna Rosenberg, partner at advisory firm Signum Global, said via email.
"So, yes, EU leaders are now somewhat more open to enlargement than before the war, but it nevertheless remains very difficult problems with countries like Hungary are evidence for that. No EU leaders wants to allow a second Hungary into the bloc," she added.
Hungary, which joined the EU in 2004, has long been a thorn in the side of Europe's institutions.
This is most recently evident in the decision to impose an oil embargo on Russia. The European Commission made the proposal back in early May, but Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban led a coalition of a handful of countries in negotiating carve-outs. This dragged the process out for much longer than initially expected.
"The EU with 27 is often ungovernable and it is in my opinion hard to see new members being admitted to the club without Treaty revisions of the kind that [French President Emmanuel] Macron proposed, more qualified majority voting and more fiscal integration," Jacob Kirkegaard, from the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said via email.
Currently and as demonstrated by the recent impasse over the Russian oil embargo key foreign policy decisions require unanimity.
This is already at times difficult, given that the EU is made up of 27 countries with often entirely different domestic priorities. And it could become even harder if the group is expanded.
Yet another complication is the fact that there is currently no clarity as to when Russia's war in Ukraine will end.
"A prerequisite for a meaningful accession process is not just that Ukraine wins the war in the sense that they need control over their own territory, but that an actual peace agreement is signed with Russia," Kirkegaard said, adding that "a frozen conflict situation will not give Ukraine EU membership."
"Question of course is how to achieve that, given that in a sense Moscow does have a veto over Ukraine's possible EU accession - no peace deal, no EU membership in the end."
Correction: A quote taken from a letter sent by Austrian ministers Alexander Schallenberg and Karoline Edtstadler has been updated to correct a spelling mistake.
Read more here:
Ukraine wants to join the European Union. But it is not going to be easy - CNBC
- The European Union just issued a dire warning to its 450 million citizens: Stockpile supplies and prepare for disaster - Fortune - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- The European Union is preparing for war and is calling for emergency reserves in every home - CiberCuba - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- The European Union rejected Russias demand for a ceasefire in exchange for lifting sanctions - - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Exclusive | European Union to slap Meta with fine up to $1B or more for breaching strict antitrust rules: sources - New York Post - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Peter Rough sat down with Kaja Kallas, European Union high representative for foreign affairs and security policy and European Commission vice... - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Court of Justice of the European Union: Member states representatives appoint thirteen judges to the General Court - consilium.europa.eu - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- When the European Union wants to get back to basics - Marketscreener.com - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- The European Union urges citizens to stockpile supplies to last 3 days in case of crisis - Goshen News - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- The European Union urges citizens to stockpile supplies to last 3 days in case of crisis - Oil City Derrick - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Transmission Shafts and Cranks Market Expected to Slightly Increase with a CAGR of +0.3% over the Next Decade - IndexBox, Inc. - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- New European Union Plan To Boost Local Arms Production Would Freeze U.S. Out Of Billions - The War Zone - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Roasted Coffee Market to See Continued Growth with +0.6% CAGR by 2035 - IndexBox, Inc. - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- EU Penalizes RPM And Other Vertical Conduct Violations - Cartels, Monopolies - European Union - Mondaq News Alerts - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Toilet Paper Market to Reach $27.1B by 2035 with +0.5% CAGR - IndexBox, Inc. - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- European Union Delays Retaliatory Tariffs On U.S. ProductsIncluding Whiskey - Forbes - March 20th, 2025 [March 20th, 2025]
- ICC President visits Brussels, urges European Union to take immediate action to protect the Court - the International Criminal Court - March 20th, 2025 [March 20th, 2025]
- The European Sting is Your democratic, independent and top quality political newspaper specialized in European Union News. Unique Features: iSting... - March 20th, 2025 [March 20th, 2025]
- The Prime Minister of Slovakia supported Ukraine's integration into the European Union - Eurasia Daily - March 20th, 2025 [March 20th, 2025]
- Trump reacts to European Union slapping tariffs on U.S. goods - CBS News - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Rxulti approved in the European Union for adolescent schizophrenia - PharmaTimes - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- European Union Responds With Tariffs on Soybeans, Other Ag Exports - DTN The Progressive Farmer - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- European Union retaliates with tariffs on $28 billion U.S. products - RFD-TV - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Donald Trump threatens European Union with 200% tariffs on specific goods if they dont remove nasty tax - UNILAD - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Canada and the European Union announce retaliatory tariffs against the United States - KREM.com - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Commission decides to refer SPAIN to the Court of Justice of the European Union due to discriminatory tax treatment of non-resident taxpayers - The... - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- European Union hits back with counter tariffs on US goods - USA TODAY - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Trade Wars: European Union Retaliates Against U.S. Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum - TipRanks - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Commission hosts event to gather input and expertise on upcoming European Water Resilience Strategy - European Union - March 7th, 2025 [March 7th, 2025]
- UNESCO and the European Union Promote Training in Creative Tourism in the Caribbean - UNESCO - March 7th, 2025 [March 7th, 2025]
- The Interests of the European Union and the United States Are Diverging - Modern Diplomacy - March 7th, 2025 [March 7th, 2025]
- Tunisia: Call for the European Union to send international observers to the so-called "conspiracy" trial - FIDH - March 7th, 2025 [March 7th, 2025]
- European Union Blasts Trump Tariff Threats as Starmer Visits White House - Newsweek - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Trump vows to slap 25% tariffs on the European Union - FRANCE 24 English - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Trump vows to impose 25% tariffs on imports from the European Union - The Associated Press - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Trump says tariff level will be 25% on European Union products - Le Monde - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- EU reaffirms unwavering support to Ukraine on anniversary of invasion - European Union - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- The European Union is financing a project to strengthen social protection for women in ten local communities in Bosnia and Herzegovina - EEAS - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Trump's reciprocal tariffs would hit these European Union products that Americans buy the hardest - CNBC - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- European Union Says It Will Respond "Firmly, Immediately" To Trump's Tariffs - NDTV - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- How the European Union could counter US tariffs - ING Think - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- (Nemolizumab) Approved in the European Union for Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis and Prurigo Nodularis - Business Wire - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- European Union could ban the number 1 Catholic app in the world: Hallow - ZENIT - English - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Political contagion in Europe: can the European Union survive Trumpism? - Bruegel - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Bolstering the cybersecurity of the healthcare sector - European Union - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Medidatas Patient Experience Recognized as Sustainability Solution by the European Union, Paving the Way for Greener Clinical Trials - Dassault... - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- European Union Special Representative for the Great Lakes Region, Johan Borgstam, makes first official visit to Tanzania - EEAS - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Indicating the way forward for sustainable European aviation - European Union - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- UNHCR and the European Union join forces to provide lasting solutions for Afghan refugees and returnees - EEAS - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Irregular migration into the European Union fell sharply last year, border agency says - The Associated Press - January 19th, 2025 [January 19th, 2025]
- Poland Assumes the Presidency of the Council of the European Union - Kyiv Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Far From Ignorant: The European Union, Arms Exports and Israel - CounterPunch - January 3rd, 2025 [January 3rd, 2025]
- Major changes in the European Union - summary of 2024: everything you need to know in 2025 - Visit Ukraine - January 3rd, 2025 [January 3rd, 2025]
- Hungary's controversial presidency of the Council of the European Union comes to an end - Euronews - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- 30 years together: Austria, Finland and Sweden in the EU - European Union - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- AI and Employee Data Protection in the European Union: 8 Key Takeaways for Multinational Businesses - JD Supra - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Pro-European Union Protests in Georgia Continue into New Years Eve - AL24 News - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- 2025, between the reformist drive and the structural challenges of the European Union - The Diplomat in Spain - January 1st, 2025 [January 1st, 2025]
- Statement on behalf of the European Union and its Member States by H.E. Ambassador Stavros Lambrinidis, Delegation of the European Union to the United... - December 30th, 2024 [December 30th, 2024]
- European Union to resume Association Council meetings with Israel - The Times of Israel - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- Its time for the European Union to rethink personal social networking - Bruegel - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- Mistral 3 project to receive 60 million from European Union - MBDA - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- The European Union and Palestinian Authority convene Investment Platform and announce EUR 28.3 million of investments for the Palestine Financial... - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- The EVERY Company Further Expands its IP Estate with European Union Patent for Recombinant Ovalbumin - Business Wire - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- European Union sanctions 26 individuals and two entities in Belarus - euneighbourseast.eu - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- European Union: What do CG&R companies need to know about the European Accessibility Act? - GlobalComplianceNews - December 18th, 2024 [December 18th, 2024]
- New EU norms to reduce environmental impact of smitheries and foundries - European Union - December 14th, 2024 [December 14th, 2024]
- Syria: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union on the fall of the Assad regime - consilium.europa.eu - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union and the Gates Foundation to co-host Gavi 6.0 High Level Pledging Summit - Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union orders TikTok to preserve data related to Romanian election - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union - United Republic of Tanzania: Joint Communique of the 2024 Partnership Dialogue - EEAS - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Human Rights Day: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union - consilium.europa.eu - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- We are waiting to return home - helping refugees in Sudan - European Union - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Revised Regulation on Classification, Labelling and Packaging of Chemicals enters into force - European Union - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- CCS legal framework for the development of carbon capture and storage technologies in Poland and the European Union - Dentons - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Mercosur and the European Union sign trade agreement - Fresh Fruit Portal - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- European Union To Spend Over $4 Million And 3 Years To Create Report On European Animation Industry - Cartoon Brew - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Speech by President von der Leyen at the European Parliament Plenary on the new College of Commissioners and its programme - European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- ASSEMBLY | EU bishops reflect on Europes future and challenges of the new institutional cycle - The Catholic Church in the European Union - December 4th, 2024 [December 4th, 2024]
- Georgia suspends talks on joining the European Union and accuses the bloc of blackmail - The Associated Press - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]
- An update on political advertising in the European Union - The Keyword - November 30th, 2024 [November 30th, 2024]