If a deal is done, would Iran cheat?
Story highlights Authors: Iran's people want a deal in hopes of a better economy They say Iran's leaders recognize that having a nuclear program can elevate its international clout
True, the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has consistently denied it seeks anything more than nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. But Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's repeated claims in public forums that "We do not have nuclear weapons, and we do not intend to produce them," have failed to convince the United States, European Union and Israel.
Suspicion is well-warranted. Iran reluctantly disclosed to the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA only after U.S.-led detection its clandestine enrichment of uranium at an underground facility near Qum, testing of bridge wires to explode the detonators of atom bombs at the Parchin military facility near Tehran, and development of an advanced multipoint trigger system for nuclear warheads. Even the IAEA director noted on March 2 that the agency still could not "provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran and therefore to conclude that all nuclear material in Iran is in peaceful activities."
As a result, the chief ayatollah's words seem more intended for defusing the international storm rather than changing domestic policy. Moreover, Khamenei has made it amply clear to Iran's citizens in the text of an infographic on his website, also reproduced by the state-controlled news media, that "Iran must not cease or slow down" but should "continue nuclear research, expansion, and progress."
He has threatened as well, repeatedly, that Iran will unleash a "crushing response" against any nation with which it clashes, making his stated intent to continue nuclear activities more ominous.
However, economically strapped and internationally isolated, Iran's citizens are putting pronounced pressure on President Hassan Rouhani and Khamenei. A November 2014 Gallup Poll indicates 70% of Iranians hope their leaders will accept an agreement. They expect the country's economy will jump-start through reduction or elimination of sanctions.
So Iranian politicians and clerics, even those on the National Security and Foreign Policy Parliamentary Committee, have gradually begun acknowledging that sooner or later "some sort of a result [i.e., nuclear deal]" will have to be accepted by Tehran.
Ordinary Iranians' desire to reach a pact with the West is understandable. Iran's economy ranks only 32nd in the world, according to data from the World Bank, despite its vast energy resources and well-educated public. Consequently its people's prosperity has fallen to a lowly 107th among the world's societies, according to the Legatum Institute.
Plunging oil prices have recently added to domestic woes, with that country facing deeper deficit in revenues much needed for development projects. Iranian leaders realize their regime remains vulnerable not only to externally imposed sanctions, but more so to internally generated widespread discontent, which erupted and was violently repressed in 2009.
Regime preservation has multiple facets, however. It's not just about keeping citizens fiscally happy. Nuclear weapons work well in deterring external adversaries. Processing such technology generates much pride at home, too. Fifty-six percent of Iranians responded favorably to its continued development when polled in January. Consequently there will be countervailing internal pressure on Iran's leaders to withstand fully meeting obligations under the Nonproliferation Treaty, irrespective of whether a deal is reached, even if the socioeconomic cost to their citizens and fever-pitch global consternation continue to rise.
Follow this link:
If a deal is done, would Iran cheat?
- Report: Mossad deployed more than 100 foreign agents in Iran at start of war in largest ever operation - The Times of Israel - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Iran's foreign minister to hold call with European powers on nuclear programme - Reuters - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Germany says more needed from Iran to stave off return of sanctions - The Times of Israel - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- US designates four Iran-aligned militias as terrorist organizations - The Times of Israel - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- US sanctions target financing of Iran's military, Treasury says - Reuters - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- US slaps new sanctions on individuals and firms that help Iran sell its oil - Al Jazeera - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Israel and Iran: Major Threats to Middle East Stability - Clingendael - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Face of Iran unveiled at Iranology Foundation - Tehran Times - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Germany says Iran has yet to take necessary actions to stop the 'snapback' of UN sanctions - Darien Times - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Iran ranks eighth globally in silk thread production - TV BRICS - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Iran executes man for alleged spying for Israel; activists say he was tortured into false confession - AP News - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Germany says Iran has yet to take necessary actions to stop the snapback of UN sanctions - northeastNOW - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Europe calls on Iran to take clear steps to avert snapback mechanism - Trend News Agency - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- A historic moment: leaked transcripts reveal secret deliberations at start of Iran war - The Times of Israel - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Why There Can Be No Freedom in Iran Without Freedom For Women - Literary Hub - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Mahsa Amini: 3 years on, will Iran face fresh protests? - DW - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran Faces Cascading Crises as Blackouts, Housing Collapse, And Jobless Time Bomb Converge - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran considers nuclear inspection access, urges action against Israel - Al Jazeera - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Europes Takeaway from the Israel-Iran War: Offense Is Still the Best Defense - Geopolitical Monitor - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran News in Brief September 15, 2025 - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- B-2 crews break silence on secret mission into Iran - Fox News - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran Threatens To Target 'At Least 500 U.S. Troops' In Region And Close Hormuz Strait - MEMRI - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- UN nuclear watchdog calls for implementation of new deal with Iran to 'restore confidence' - trtworld.com - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Netanyahu, Rubio say attacks on 'atomic cancer' Iran save the West - - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Israel will face more rounds of fighting against Iran, warns Defense Ministry director - The Times of Israel - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran summons 10 over protests against power and water shortages - - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- US files to seize nearly $585k in crypto from man accused of selling drone navigation systems to Iran - JNS.org - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Ahead of holidays, Israel warns of Iran-backed terror threats to Israelis and Jews abroad - The Times of Israel - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- KJK: "Women, Life, Freedom" Revolution in Iran expands to the world - ANHA - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Nida Alliance announces its solidarity with "Women, Life, Freedom" uprising in Iran - ANHA - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran Medical Tourism Surges with More than One Million Health Tourists Seek Cosmetic Surgery, Fertility Care and Advanced Treatments - Travel And Tour... - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Rubio Vows to Squeeze Iran in Joint Pledge with Netanyahu - The European Conservative - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran Showcases Heritage, Handicrafts and Culture at Thessaloniki Fair, Boosting its Tourism Ties with Greece - Travel And Tour World - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran to table resolution against attacks on nuclear sites at IAEA conference - - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Rubio calls for disarmament of Hamas, vows continued pressure on Iran - Libyan Express - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- China And Iran Partner To Bring Cutting Edge Tourism Vehicles - Travel And Tour World - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Direct Flights Between Tehran and Tunis to Boost Iran-Tunisia Tourism Collaboration - Travel And Tour World - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran Pushes UN Nuclear Watchdog To Ban Attacks On Nuclear Sites - - TVC News - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Iran nuclear chief warns harsher response to future attacks - Mehr News Agency - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Opinion | Wasnt Hell Supposed to Break Loose if the U.S. Struck Iran? - The Wall Street Journal - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- After wedding was canceled due to Iran war, Avner Netanyahu calls off his engagement - The Times of Israel - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran-Contra figures Oliver North and Fawn Hall marry after 40 years - BBC - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- What Israel's Unprecedented Strike In Qatar Means For Iran And The Region - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Nuclear watchdog hails new deal with Iran, but inspections remain on hold - RFI - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Caught in the Crossfire: Jordans Balancing Act in the Iran-Israel Conflict - The Cairo Review of Global Affairs - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- G7 and Allies Warn Iran Over Unacceptable Overseas Kidnap and Harassment Campaigns - kurdistan24.net - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Australia and New Zealand voice support for Iranian women on Mahsa Amini anniversary | Iran International - - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iranian Regime MPs Threaten Foreign Minister Araghchi Amid Nuclear Infighting - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran Says Withdrawal from NPT Remains an Option if Snapback Triggered - WANA News Agency - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran committed to developing sustainable, clean energy - Tehran Times - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran, Iraq sign MOU to beef up ties in combating narcotics - Tehran Times - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Salutes and anthems: how sports succumbed to Iran's culture war - - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Woman, Life, Freedom Uprising sparked social revolution in E.Kurdistan, Iran - ANHA - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran and Tunisia Forge New Path in Economic and Tourism Cooperation - Travel And Tour World - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- US attack on Iran was sound but talks must win peace, ex-US diplomat says - - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran warns it will withdraw from fresh IAEA agreement if Europe invokes "snapback" sanctions - Peoples Dispatch - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Kordestan, a hidden treasure in west of Iran - Tehran Times - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran to take part in five intl. tourism fairs - Tehran Times - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- US seizes nearly $600k in crypto from Iranian tied to IRGC drones | Iran International - - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Iran publishes footage and testimonies from 11-day conflict with Israel - Middle East Eye - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Nuclear watchdog chief announces breakthrough on Iran monitoring - Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran, IAEA announce agreement on resuming nuclear inspections - Reuters - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- War or Peace, Win or Lose TV satellite program in Iran started its encouraging work - Mission Network News - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran News in Brief September 11, 2025 - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- The Clerical Regimes Endure and Suffer Tactic: Crushing Iran's Society Through Systemic Deprivation - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- US offers $15 million reward over Iran's Revolutionary Guards network - - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran Arrests Three 17-Year-Olds, Transfers Them to Undisclosed Locations - IranWire - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- New Trump Corridor Leaves Iran Scrambling to Preserve Influence in the South Caucasus - Stimson Center - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- IAEA chief says agreement reached with Iran on resuming inspections - Anadolu Ajans - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Opinion: With Traditional Proxies Sidelined, Iran Sets Its Sights on Sudan - Philadelphia Jewish Exponent - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran says more talks needed to bring about IAEA inspections - Reuters - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran says deal with IAEA does not yet guarantee inspectors access to nuclear sites - The Times of Israel - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran-IAEA 'deal' on broader nuclear standoff unclear, with contradicting reports on inspections - The Jerusalem Post - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Israel and Iran: Major Threats to Middle East Stability - The Cairo Review of Global Affairs - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran Automotive Market - Ken Research Stated the Sector Valued at ~IRR 38 billion with Strong Growth Potential - openPR.com - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Explainer: What does the new agreement between Iran and IAEA entail - PressTV - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran, UN nuclear watchdog reach understanding on cooperation - KSL.com - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Iran and IAEA Seal Cairo Understanding To Restart Inspections - The Media Line - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Oliver North And Fawn Hall, Key Players In The Iran-Contra Scandal, Are Married - MSN - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- 'Little Iran' signage coming to part of Yonge St. in October - MSN - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]