Iran attacks expose security gaps, fuel regional tension – Reuters
ANKARA When Islamic State called on members of Iran's Sunni Muslim minority in March to wage a religious war on their Shi'ite rulers, few people took the threat seriously. And yet within three months, militants have breached security at the very heart of the nation, killing at least 17 people.
This week's attacks at parliament and the mausoleum of the Islamic Republic's founder Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini have exposed shortcomings among the Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) which was supposed to be protecting these potent symbols of Iran's revolution.
They have also undermined Tehran's belief that by backing offensives against Islamic State across the Middle East, it can keep the militant Sunni group away from Iran.
Undaunted, officials say Iran will step up the strategy, which includes sending fighters to battle Islamic State in Syria and Iraq alongside allied Shi'ite militia groups.
And with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the IRGC blaming Saudi Arabia for the attacks, tensions are only likely to deepen between the two arch rivals competing for influence in an already chaotic region. Riyadh denies the charges, describing Tehran instead as "the number one state sponsor of terrorism".
Wednesday's killings in Tehran by Iranian members of Islamic State drew a shocked response similar to that in Western countries when they too have been attacked by locally-born jihadists. Now Iranians are worrying about how many others are out there, planning similar assaults.
One senior Iranian official told Reuters that Islamic State had established a network of support in the country, and suggested that members' motivation was as much political and economic as to do with Sunni radicals' belief that Shi'ites are infidels.
"Sunni extremism is spreading in Iran like many other countries. And not all of these young people who join extremist groups are necessarily religious people," said the official, who asked not to be named. "But the establishment is well aware of the problem and is trying to tackle it."
Most Iranian Sunnis, who form up to 10 percent of the population, reject Islamic State's ideology. But some young Sunnis seem to regard policies of Shi'ite-led Iran as oppressive at home or aggressive abroad, such as in Iraq and Syria, pushing more of them into the arms of jihadist groups.
Iran has been trying to stem the spread of radicalism into Sunni majority regions, which are usually less economically developed. Authorities said 1,500 young Iranians were prevented from joining Islamic State in 2016.
Iran's Sistan and Baluchestan province, which borders Pakistan and Afghanistan, is home to the Balouch minority and has long been a hotbed of Sunni insurgents.
Two Sunni groups, Jaish al-Adl and Jundallah, have been fighting the IRGC for over a decade. This has mostly been in remote areas but some say it was almost inevitable that violence would eventually spread to Tehran, as it did this week.
"It's not the attacks that are surprising. It's that Iran has been able to avoid one for so long. The attacks were a wake-up call for Iran's security apparatus," said senior Iran analyst Ali Vaez of the International Crisis Group. "But so too will they probably serve as one for jihadists, who will be encouraged to exploit Iran's vulnerabilities."
"STRATEGIC FOLLY"
Since its creation shortly after the 1979 Islamic revolution, the IRGC has functioned as Iran's most powerful internal and external security force, with a sophisticated intelligence and surveillance network.
The IRGC has vowed revenge on Islamic State - known by its opponents under the Arab acronym of Daesh - but a top security official said this won't be easy.
"The attacks showed the vulnerability of our security system, at the borders and within Iran," the official said, asking not to be named. However, he added: "Many planned attacks by Daesh have been foiled by our security forces in the past years. Many terrorist cells were dismantled. Our Guards have been vigilant."
Syrian rebels and Iraqi forces are closing in on Islamic State in those countries, and the official said the group appeared to have tried to strike back in Tehran.
"The attacks are the result of Daesh being weakened in the region. They blame Iran for that ... But Iran will not abandon its fight against terrorism," he added.
Open discussion of security vulnerabilities is taboo in Iran. However, Behnam Ben Taleblu, a senior Iran analyst at the Washington-based Foundation for Defense of Democracies, criticized the idea that Syria and Iraq could form an effective first line of defense for Iran.
"Iranian officials have long justified their country's active military presence in Iraq and Syria as a way to keep the homeland safe," he said. "Wednesday's attacks expose the folly of that strategy."
SPIRALING TENSIONS
A senior official, who also asked not to be named, said the attacks would push Iran toward "a harsher regional policy".
Sanam Vakil, associate fellow with Chatham House's Middle East and North Africa Programme, dismissed any expectation that Tehran might try to ease spiraling tensions with Riyadh. "If we are expecting to see any change in Iran's regional policy or a retreat in any way - that is not going to happen," she said.
Newly re-elected President Hassan Rouhani has said the attacks will make Iran more united. Analysts, however, believe they will exacerbate domestic tensions between Rouhani, a pragmatist, and his rivals among hardline clergy and the IRGC.
They have repeatedly criticized Rouhani's attempts to improve relations with the outside world.
Rouhani has generally lost out to the hardliners, who through the IRGC's Al Quds force - expeditionary units which are fighting in Iraq and Syria as well as organizing Shi'ite allies - continue to call the shots. In the view of the hardliners' critics, they are helping to drive alienated Sunnis toward militant groups.
(Additional reporting by Jonathan Saul in London, Writing by Parisa Hafezi; Editing by Samia Nakhoul and David Stamp)
BRASILIA Brazil's top electoral court dismissed a case on Friday that threatened to unseat President Michel Temer for alleged illegal campaign funding in the 2014 election, when he was the running mate of impeached President Dilma Rousseff.
SEOUL/WASHINGTON South Korea does not aim to change its agreement on the deployment of a U.S. anti-missile system to protect against North Korea, in spite of a decision to delay its full installation, Seoul's top national security adviser said on Friday.
Here is the original post:
Iran attacks expose security gaps, fuel regional tension - Reuters
- Iran says German-Iranian died before execution was reported - BBC.com - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran is now dangerously vulnerable to the consequences of another attack on Israel - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Federal agencies say Russia and Iran are ramping up influence campaigns targeting US voters - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Three sentenced to death in Iran over killing of top nuclear scientist - Al Jazeera English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Russia launches Soyuz rocket with dozens of satellites, including two from Iran - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Full-scale war in Middle East involving Israel and Iran likely, say most Europeans in poll - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran executes a Jewish citizen convicted of murder following a dispute over money - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US says Iranian-American held in Iran as tensions high following Israeli attack on country - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- An Iranian-American journalist is believed to be held by Iran as tensions remain high after an Israeli attack, US says - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Issues Fresh Threats Against Israel, U.S. - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran arrests female university student who stripped to her underwear in protest over dress code enforcement - CBS News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Oil prices settle up slightly on Iran worries, but prices down for week - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Two members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards killed in helicopter crash - FRANCE 24 English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran wants to hold region hostage with retaliation op - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran slams destabilizing presence as US sends B-52 bombers to region - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Woman strips off clothes at Iran university in apparent protest, reports say - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran says two French detainees held in good conditions - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Reformist clerics imply Iran should back two-state solution for Israel and Palestine - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran to use bigger warheads in attack on Israel - JNS.org - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Will Iran Withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? - War On The Rocks - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- From Iran to Turkey, how the Middle East is bracing for US elections - Al-Monitor - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Rejects Nuclear Weapons but Will 'Defend Itself by All Means' - Newsweek - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran vows strong and complex attack against Israel in retaliation for strikes - New York Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US said to warn Iran it wont be able to restrain Israel if Tehran attacks again - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- The Houthis couldn't have built their most dangerous weapons without help from Iran and others, UN experts find - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran detains woman who stripped to her underwear at university in apparent protest - ABC News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran executes Jewish Iranian man after settlement aimed at saving him was rejected - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it conducted a ground raid in Syria and seized a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - PBS NewsHour - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran said planning to use more powerful weapons in next attack on Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- The Longer Iran Waits to Attack Israel, the More Risks It Takes - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran's enemies will receive crushing response - Khamenei - BBC.com - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran fears Trump win would bring Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, Western sanctions - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it carried out ground raid into Syria, seizing a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - The Associated Press - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel Iran war Live Updates: IDF says it eliminated Hezbollah commander Abu Ali Rida - The Times of India - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran plans strong and complex attack on Israel as Khamenei vows 'harsh retaliation' | What we know so far | Today News - Mint - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- 'Orders to come from Iran': Iraqi militias pose growing risk to Israel - expert - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iraq trying to reel in Iran-backed groups to prevent confrontation with Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran warns of 'crushing response' following Israeli airstrikes as Pentagon announces plans to bolster US presence in the Middle East - Business... - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Khamenei aide warns Iran may review nuclear doctrine if facing existential threat - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran Is Freaked: The Air Force Is Sending B-52 Bombers Much Closer - The National Interest Online - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel at War Day 394 | Report: Iran's Army Will Participate in 'Strong and Complex' Attack on Israel - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran says airspace remains open - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- UN experts say Houthis exploited Gaza war to boost regional status, aided by Iran - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Netanyahu tells U.S. that Israel will strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets, officials say - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Opinion | Its Time for America to Get Real With Iran and Israel - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran says it will respond decisively if Israel attacks, asks UN to intervene - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- US warns Iran to stop plotting against Trump, says US official - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran working to control oil spill off Kharg Island, says IRNA - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel said to decide on targets it could strike in Iran: Now a matter of time - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel will respond to Iran based on national interest - Netanyahu - BBC.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel Tells U.S. It Will Limit Its Expected Strike on Iran to Military Targets, Officials Say - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israeli arrested for plot to kill local scientist in exchange for $100K from Iran - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel is ready to strike Iran with attack expected before US election: report - New York Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran Shouldnt Expect Russia to Come Riding to Its Rescue - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Jordan tells Iran it will not allow anyone to violate its airspace - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran has a big surprise and is waiting for zero hour, warns senior IRGC officer - Middle East Monitor - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran cyber attacks against Israel surged after Gaza war started, Microsoft reports - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Sudans civil war fueled by secret arms shipments from UAE and Iran - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel launches new strikes in Beirut despite U.S. warning over scale of attacks on Iran-backed Hezbollah - CBS News - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Any retaliation against Iran will be based on national interest, says Israel - The Guardian - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Would Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz in a Conflict? - The Maritime Executive - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Why The Exiled Crown Prince of Iran Is Urging Israel to 'Take Down' The Tyrannical Regime - CBN.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel has these four options for attacking Iran - The Economist - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran has a hit list of former Trump aides. The U.S. is scrambling to protect them. - POLITICO - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Biden warned Iran that killing Trump would be an act of war: report - Fox News - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Harris to Jewish voters: All options on the table to stop Iran from going nuclear - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Secret Documents Show Hamas Tried to Persuade Iran to Join Its Oct. 7 Attack - The New York Times - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Video: Iran warns US that it will retaliate against any future Israel strike - CNN - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran says it halted indirect talks with US in Oman as it waits for Israeli retaliation - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- EU includes Iran Air in sanctions over missile transfer to Russia - Reuters - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- US will send a missile defense system and troops to run it to Israel to aid defense against Iran - The Associated Press - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Two Israelis arrested for acts of sabotage, plotting assassination for Iran - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- As Israel plots to strike Iran, its choices range from symbolic to severe - The Associated Press - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Uncertainty looms over Israels expected Iran strike; rescuers dig through debris in central Beirut - The Washington Post - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran Issues New Warning: 'We Have No Red Line' - Newsweek - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran's attacks on Israel suggest ballistic missiles are an overhyped threat - Business Insider - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- A US missile-defense system, hailed as the world's best, is headed to Israel to counter Iran - Business Insider - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- 'No red lines' in defending Iran and its interests, foreign minister says - FRANCE 24 English - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran bans pagers, walkie talkies on planes after blasts targeting Hezbollah members - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Putin hails very close links with Iran at landmark first meeting with president, as Middle East tensions soar - CNN - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]