Iran will soon have ICBMs armed with nukes by way of North …
Heres a prediction by yours truly that you can take to the bank: In just a few years Iran will have intercontinental ballistic missiles, or ICBMs, that can attack targets all over the Middle East, Europe and the United States.
And it might all be thanks to the rogue state the Trump administration has labelled the biggest national security threat of our time: North Korea.
Oh, and to twist the knife in a little deeper, those missiles could be armed with nuclear weaponsonce the Iran deal expires. That is, unless America puts a stop to this threat once and for all.
Now wait a second. Youre shocked? You really shouldnt be.
Before we get to all that, maybe we should take a step back for a moment.
You see, making such predictions isnt always popular, but they spur action. Foreign policy analysts here in Washington love to hedge their bets with words like possibly, perhaps, likely and so on when trying to predict the next big threat. However, there is always certain trends that are easy to seeand even easier to run away from because they arent super solvable.
The American people didnt vote for such dithering last cycle. To be frank, they voted for the opposite of Barack Obama.
When it comes to matters abroad voters wanted an America that would seek out the challenges of the future and take them on before they were aimed at our collective heads. And that is what President Trump has done by taking on North Koreas nuclear and missile programs as well as calling out Iran for its own menacing missile plans.
While all of this is great news, the Trump administration is now facing a much bigger problem: the potential for North Korea and Iran to collaborate on long-range missile technology that can be used to strike our allies and the homeland.
In many respects, the evidence is right out in the open of past collaboration, according to some experts.
In an interview with Fox News, Jeffrey Lewis, an expert at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey explained that the very first missiles we saw in Iran were simply copies of North Korean missiles. He also noted that over the years, we've seen photographs of North Korean and Iranian officials in each other's countries, and we've seen all kinds of common hardware.
Many experts have been warning for years now that Tehran and Pyongyang have been trading missile technology. If the Trump administration doesnt act fast it wont be just the hermit kingdom that has nukes that can strike at targets thousands of miles awaybut it will also be the only nation on planet Earth that has turned chanting death to America into a national pastime.
Now, to be fair, there are those who downplay the linkages between Iran and North Korea. But if history tells us one thing it is that to never, ever, dismiss the power of a common threat. And both of these countries seek to offset U.S. military mightat any price. Clearly long-range missiles armed with nuclear payloads do that quite nicely.
One could easily imagine a scenario in a decade or so when the Iran nuclear deal has lapsedsomething many on the left seem to forgetand Tehran decides that it no longer needs to hide its intentions.
Iran instead takes what it feels is its rightful place as the dominant power of the Middle East and hold on to its arsenal of nuclear weapons and the missiles to carry them into battle. With the nuclear research it already has done in the past, along with careful cooperation with Pyongyang on missile technology the nuclear deal currently in place never restricted such cooperationit decides to push ahead unabated.
So what should the Trump administration do about this threat? Thankfully, Washington has considerable options to explore.
First, we should name and shame any North Korean, Iranian or outside partners that are helping these rogue regimes collaborate on missile technologies.
Pentagon and intelligence officials have told me on several occasions they have strong leads on who is helping facilitate these exchanges. Its time to shine a light on these groups or individualsnow. They need to be outed for the whole world to see and publicly shamed.
The Trump administration should declare that if you help Pyongyang or Tehran build long-range missiles you are an enemy of the international community and will be treated accordingly. Such shaming should include those providing material or technical assistance or any banks, financial institutions or front companies passing along funds for such assistance between both nations.
Second, with such entities out in the open, Team Trump should impose sanctions on such groups as soon as possible. The goal should be to drive up the costs for both sides and make them feel the financial pinch as much as possible.
Third, we should get creative in how we try to stamp out such cooperation. In a 2012 report by the National Bureau of Asian Research, author John S. Park offers the idea of using a a monetary reward program to interdict components or technicians central to ballistic missile development. He notes that:
Hiding in the open is a particularly effective tactic employed by North Korea. Contracting private Chinese companies to serve as middlemen to facilitate cargo launderinga creative process of disassembling components and moving them through different logistics routesenables North Korean state trading companies to utilize commercial shipping containers. Monetary rewards would offer a double payday for some Chinese companies, who could collect the commission fee from a North Korean client as well as the reward for anonymously providing a copy of the freight insurance to local authorities in busy Southeast Asian ports.
And finally, all of this is the clearest argument yet for Washington to lead a much more robust effort at ensuring more missile defense platforms are brought into the Middle East, Asia and also upgraded for the defense of our homeland.
Stopping an Iranian ICBM armed with a nuclear weapon by way of North Korea is one of the greatest challenges America faces today. The Trump administration must act now before its too late.
Harry J. Kazianis (@grecianformula) is director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest, founded by former President Richard M. Nixon. Click here, for more on Mr. Kazianis.
Link:
Iran will soon have ICBMs armed with nukes by way of North ...
- Israel and Iran Seemed on the Brink of a Bigger War. Whats Holding Them Back? - The New York Times - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran's Air1Air reprimanded over flight suspension - ch-aviation - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Pop icon Googoosh is a voice for women in Iran - DW (English) - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Israel kills wanted Hezbollah commander behind the establishment of Iraqs Iran-backed militias - Long War Journal - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran Braces for Trump Reset With Economy Buckling From Sanctions - Bloomberg - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran to hold nuclear talks with Britain, France, Germany on Nov. 29 - Kyodo News Plus - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says it immediately activated new, advanced centrifuges after IAEA censure - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran preparing to respond to Israel's Oct. 26 attack - Khamenei's aide - - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- United Nations nuclear agency again condemns Iran for failing to fully cooperate - NPR - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran is preparing to respond to Israel adviser to Supreme Leader Khamenei - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says it is activating new centrifuges after being condemned by UN nuclear watchdog - CNN - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran to "substantially increase" uranium enrichment capacity over IAEA rebuke led by U.S. and allies - CBS News - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran defies international pressure, increasing its stockpile of near weapons-grade uranium, UN says - The Associated Press - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran offers to cap sensitive uranium stock as IAEA resolution looms - Reuters - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran has ambitions in Western Sahara. Trump can contain them by bolstering ties with Morocco. - Atlantic Council - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Israeli rabbi kidnapped in UAE, sparking fears of Iran's involvement - - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran's President calls on Pope Francis to use influence to stop war in Middle East - Reuters - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- American-Israeli families sue Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah in federal court - Middle East Eye - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Norwegian guard at US Embassy in Oslo arrested over allegations of spying for Russia and Iran - CNN - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran categorically rejects allegations of involvement in murder of Abu Dhabi rabbi - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran: EU widens restrictive measures in view of Iran support of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine and lists one individual and four... - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Student Charged With Spying on US Embassy for Russia, Iran - Newsweek - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Russia sends Yemeni mercenaries to fight in Ukraine after they were tricked into signing up for war by Iran-backed Houthis: report - New York Post - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Did We Do Enough? Airmen Heed Lessons from Their Air Victory over Iran - Air & Space Forces Magazine - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Guard at U.S. Embassy in Norway Accused of Spying for Russia and Iran - The New York Times - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Is Iran's Khamenei signaling readiness for new deal as Trump threat looms large? - Al-Monitor - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran signals willingness to halt stockpile expansion, Grossi says - World Nuclear News - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran set to launch advanced centrifuges after IAEA censure for noncooperation - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- The winds of change are blowing in Iran - The Spectator - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says German-Iranian died before execution was reported - BBC.com - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran is now dangerously vulnerable to the consequences of another attack on Israel - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Federal agencies say Russia and Iran are ramping up influence campaigns targeting US voters - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Three sentenced to death in Iran over killing of top nuclear scientist - Al Jazeera English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Russia launches Soyuz rocket with dozens of satellites, including two from Iran - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Full-scale war in Middle East involving Israel and Iran likely, say most Europeans in poll - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran executes a Jewish citizen convicted of murder following a dispute over money - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US says Iranian-American held in Iran as tensions high following Israeli attack on country - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- An Iranian-American journalist is believed to be held by Iran as tensions remain high after an Israeli attack, US says - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Issues Fresh Threats Against Israel, U.S. - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran arrests female university student who stripped to her underwear in protest over dress code enforcement - CBS News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Oil prices settle up slightly on Iran worries, but prices down for week - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Two members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards killed in helicopter crash - FRANCE 24 English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran wants to hold region hostage with retaliation op - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran slams destabilizing presence as US sends B-52 bombers to region - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Woman strips off clothes at Iran university in apparent protest, reports say - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran says two French detainees held in good conditions - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Reformist clerics imply Iran should back two-state solution for Israel and Palestine - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran to use bigger warheads in attack on Israel - JNS.org - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Will Iran Withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? - War On The Rocks - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- From Iran to Turkey, how the Middle East is bracing for US elections - Al-Monitor - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Rejects Nuclear Weapons but Will 'Defend Itself by All Means' - Newsweek - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran vows strong and complex attack against Israel in retaliation for strikes - New York Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US said to warn Iran it wont be able to restrain Israel if Tehran attacks again - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- The Houthis couldn't have built their most dangerous weapons without help from Iran and others, UN experts find - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran detains woman who stripped to her underwear at university in apparent protest - ABC News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran executes Jewish Iranian man after settlement aimed at saving him was rejected - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it conducted a ground raid in Syria and seized a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - PBS NewsHour - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran said planning to use more powerful weapons in next attack on Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- The Longer Iran Waits to Attack Israel, the More Risks It Takes - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran's enemies will receive crushing response - Khamenei - BBC.com - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran fears Trump win would bring Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, Western sanctions - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it carried out ground raid into Syria, seizing a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - The Associated Press - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel Iran war Live Updates: IDF says it eliminated Hezbollah commander Abu Ali Rida - The Times of India - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran plans strong and complex attack on Israel as Khamenei vows 'harsh retaliation' | What we know so far | Today News - Mint - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- 'Orders to come from Iran': Iraqi militias pose growing risk to Israel - expert - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iraq trying to reel in Iran-backed groups to prevent confrontation with Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran warns of 'crushing response' following Israeli airstrikes as Pentagon announces plans to bolster US presence in the Middle East - Business... - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Khamenei aide warns Iran may review nuclear doctrine if facing existential threat - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran Is Freaked: The Air Force Is Sending B-52 Bombers Much Closer - The National Interest Online - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel at War Day 394 | Report: Iran's Army Will Participate in 'Strong and Complex' Attack on Israel - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran says airspace remains open - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- UN experts say Houthis exploited Gaza war to boost regional status, aided by Iran - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Netanyahu tells U.S. that Israel will strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets, officials say - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Opinion | Its Time for America to Get Real With Iran and Israel - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran says it will respond decisively if Israel attacks, asks UN to intervene - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- US warns Iran to stop plotting against Trump, says US official - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran working to control oil spill off Kharg Island, says IRNA - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel said to decide on targets it could strike in Iran: Now a matter of time - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel will respond to Iran based on national interest - Netanyahu - BBC.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel Tells U.S. It Will Limit Its Expected Strike on Iran to Military Targets, Officials Say - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]