Resurrecting the Iran nuclear deal would be an epic mistake – The Telegraph
I didnt support the JCPOA (known as the Iran nuclear deal) in 2015, as I believed it was a fundamentally flawed agreement. Not only did it abandon the original aim of preventing Iran from ever becoming a nuclear weapon state, but it failed to tackle Irans ballistic missile programme, its systematic destabilisation of its regional neighbours or its championing of terrorist groups like Hezbollah and Hamas.
In 2018, President Trump withdrew the United States from the agreement, blaming Irans hostage taking, its continued missile development and its active support for groups such as the Houthis, who precipitated and exacerbated the bloody conflict in Yemen. When Iran refused to sign an agreement covering these issues, tighter US sanctions saw the Iranian currency go into free fall, a massive flight of capital from the country, and a deep recession follow.
Now, negotiations are being resurrected under the Biden administration. But has anything fundamentally changed? Iran has continued its nuclear programme at pace and its stockpile of enriched uranium is now massively greater than permitted, with some of it just below the level of purity needed for a nuclear bomb. In defiance of the United Nations, it has also continued with its ballistic missile programme. In 2018, both the UK and France accused Iran of breaching its obligations by testing medium-range ballistic missiles, whichwere capable of carrying multiple warheads.
Both before and after the collapse of the JCPOA, Iran has continued its malign activities in its own country and beyond. Two Iranian diplomats were expelled from the Netherlands in June 2018 for plotting political assassinations in the country. A bomb plot to target a rally of opposition groups in Paris was foiled by French intelligence. In the UK, a terrorist cell with links to Iran was caught stockpiling tonnes of ammonium nitrate explosives at a secret bomb factory on the outskirts of London.
Iran has been an active and consistent supporter of Palestinian terrorist organisations, including Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) and Hamas. Lebanese Hezbollah remains Irans primary terrorist proxy with the groups secretary-general, Hassan Nasrallah, proudly boasting that Hezbollah gets its money and arms from Iran, and as long as Iran has money, so does Hezbollah.
The implications of lifting sanctions on Iran are crystal-clear. It is through such proxies that Iran targets Israel and Israeli interests and gives effect to the long-standing hatred of Irans leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, for the very existence of the Israeli state.
To remove sanctions on Iranian oil without guarantees of stopping such activities would risk money being poured into regional destabilisation and the funding of groups who are fundamentally anti-West and anti the allies of the West. How, in any rational world, could that be regarded as progress?
Any new agreement with Iran must answer three questions. Does it stop Iran from becoming a nuclear weapon state? Does it deal with Irans illegal ballistic missile programme with its ability to strike evermore distant targets? And does it restrict or rein back Irans malign influence in its own region and beyond?
When the original agreement was being drawn up, negotiators concluded that in order to make progress, they would have to isolate the nuclear deal from the other areas of concern. Abandoning the original aim of preventing Iran from developing a nuclear bomb, they eventually watered-down their ambitions and agreed to simply delay it.
Constraints on enrichment capabilities were designed to lengthen the time it would take Iran to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a single bomb to at least one year for the first 10 years of the agreement. The effect was simply to hand the crisis to succeeding governments further downthe line.
Today, Iran has the largest and most diverse ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, with most coming from foreign sources, especially North Korea. It is the only country to have developed a 1,200-mile missile without first having a nuclear weapons capability. The implication is blindingly obvious. Iran has unveiled 10 new ballistic missiles and three new satellite launch vehicles (SLVs) since 2015, while in his first budget, the new President, Ebrahim Raisi, earmarked almost 200 million for ballistic missile projects.
All of this comes at a time when Western governments are desperate to find a replacement source for Russian fossil fuels. It would be complete folly if, in trying to escape from our dependency on Putins oil and gas, we were to end up funding the development of another nuclear state whose political stability, human-rights record and disregard for international law is at least as bad as Russia.
We have seen in the horrors enforced on Ukraine by Putins Kremlin why wishful thinking is a poorbasis for foreign and security policy. How irresponsible and foolish we would be to repeat the mistakes with Iran.
Liam Fox is MP for North Somerset and a former defence secretary
Go here to see the original:
Resurrecting the Iran nuclear deal would be an epic mistake - The Telegraph
- US used about a quarter of its high-end missile interceptors in Israel-Iran war, exposing supply gap - CNN - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Execution of Behrouz Ehsani and Mehdi Hassani Marks a Turning Point in Irans Struggle for Freedom - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Replacing Iran with Turkey Is a Recipe for Disaster in Syria - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- What Happened to Iran and Israel Markets After 12-Day War? - IranWire - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Wednesday letters: Hurds priorities and bombing Iran - Post Independent - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Iran News: Regimes Transnational Repression Among Top Threats to UK Security, Parliamentary Report Warns - National Council of Resistance of Iran -... - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- How the Snapback Mechanism Brings Back Sanctions on Iran? - IranWire - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Pegah Banihashemi: What possibility is there for true reform in Iran? - Chicago Tribune - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- US spends $2B to rebuild THAAD arsenal after Iran fight drains stockpile - Stars and Stripes - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Iran Withdraws Controversial Anti-Disinformation Bill After Criticism - IranWire - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- To Put Iran on Ice, the U.S. Must Freeze Out China - RealClearDefense - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- How Israel Could Exploit Iran's Ethnic Division to Wage War From Within - Newsweek - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Iran executes two members of opposition group for attacking infrastructure - Reuters - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- King of Kings by Scott Anderson review how the last shah of Iran sealed his own fate - The Guardian - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- The 1988 Massacre in Iran: A Crime Against Humanity and the Pursuit of Justice - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Contributor: I fled persecution in Iran. ICE enforcement here today reminds me of Tehran - Los Angeles Times - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran-born Israeli charged with giving Tehran sensitive info on Israels war plans - The Times of Israel - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran Started New Talks Over Its Nuclear Program. Heres What to Know. - The New York Times - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran vows to respond in a more decisive manner if attacked again by US or Israel - The Times of Israel - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran offers dialogue, not oversight, as IAEA heads back to Tehran - Ynetnews - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran Vows Stronger Response If Attacked Again By US, Israel - NDTV - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Holon residents fume at event feting demolition of homes damaged by Iran - The Times of Israel - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran and Europeans hold frank nuclear talks with snapback UN sanctions looming - The Times of Israel - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Iran and Europeans hold 'frank' nuclear talks with UN sanctions looming - Reuters - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Strikes on Iran thwarted fission and fusion nukes, and electronic pulse bomb report - The Times of Israel - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Why the Shah of Iran was toppled and America got it so wrong - The Times - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- 150 THAAD Ballistic Missile Interceptors Fired By U.S. During Iran's Barrages On Israel: Report - The War Zone - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Iran to hold nuclear talks with Europeans as Trump threatens renewed strikes - ABC News - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- European countries hold talks with Iran in Istanbul, with a sanctions threat looming - NPR - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- How 12 days have changed Iran - The International Institute for Strategic Studies - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Tehran On The Brink: Can Iran Survive Its Water Crisis? - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Urgent Call to Save PMOI Supporter Yaghoub Derakhshan from Execution in Iran - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Iran says its ready for nuclear talks with Washington but only if the U.S. rebuilds trust - PBS - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Nine killed in armed attack on courthouse in southeast Iran - - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Iran, China, Russia, and the collapse of deterrence in the Red Sea - Atlantic Council - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Five Dead in Judiciary Building Attack Southeast of Iran: Mizan - Bloomberg.com - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Israel aimed to collapse Iran, but united us instead - Tehran Times - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Iran state TV says an Iranian navy helicopter confronted a US destroyer in the Gulf of Oman - ABC News - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Why China Must Drop Iran and Embrace Israel - The Times of Israel - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Iran considering relocating its capital over severe water shortage - report - The Jerusalem Post - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran shuts down in the face of blistering heat - NBC News - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran Says It Could Exit Nuclear Treaty if Europe Reimposes Sanctions - The New York Times - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran to Resume Talks on Nuclear Program With United Nations Agency - The Wall Street Journal - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Officials in Iran Suspect Sabotage in Wave of Fires and Explosions - The New York Times - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran state TV says an Iranian navy helicopter confronted a US destroyer in the Gulf of Oman - AP News - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- The road to the Israel-Iran war - Brookings - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran lays down conditions for resumption of nuclear talks with US - Reuters - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran agrees to visit by team from UN nuclear watchdog in coming weeks - Reuters - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Amnesty International accuses Iran of firing cluster munitions at Israel - The Times of Israel - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran says its ready for nuclear talks with the US but only if Washington rebuilds trust - AP News - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran outlines conditions for renewed nuclear talks with U.S. - Washington Times - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran says it's ready for nuclear talks with the US but only if Washington rebuilds trust - Yahoo Home - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran says it's ready for nuclear talks with US but only if Washington rebuilds trust - The Norfolk Daily News - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Guard at U.S. Embassy in Norway Charged With Spying for Russia and Iran - The New York Times - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran's Secret Empire: How Its Nuclear Program Is Funded by Drugs, iPhones, and Shell Companies - National Security Journal - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran says it warned US destroyer to move away from waters monitored by Tehran - USA Today - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran claims to have confronted US destroyer in the Gulf of Oman - The Times of Israel - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran says it's ready for nuclear talks if US works to rebuild trust - Euronews - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- After Going to War with Iran, the US Must Keep Up the Pressure to Achieve Its Goals - Algemeiner.com - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Years of misguided Middle East diplomacy seen again in Iran bombing - Cleveland.com - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- US used 14% of its THAAD stockpile against Iran, a report says. It could take years to replenish. - Stars and Stripes - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Mandarin Under The Chador: Iran's China Connection In Its War Against Israel And The West - MEMRI - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- Iran will not give up nuclear enrichment, top official confirms in exclusive Fox News interview - Fox News - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Post-12-Day War, Iran Continues To Invest in the Houthis - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran Builds Alliance with China and Russia in Face of US Threat - Newsweek - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran to Hold Nuclear Talks With France, Germany and U.K. After Sanctions Threat - The New York Times - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran Says To Meet With European Nations On July 25 Over Nuclear Issues - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran-Linked DCHSpy Android Malware Masquerades as VPN Apps to Spy on Dissidents - The Hacker News - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- US levies sanctions over Iran-backed oil smuggling to Yemen's Houthis - - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- We Will Do It Again: America Threatens New Strikes on Iran - National Security Journal - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran reaffirms that it will never give up nuclear enrichment - JNS.org - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Lebanese man sentenced to prison for role in Iran export conspiracy - Mainstreet Daily News Gainesville - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Beijings plausible deniability on arms supply is quickly becoming implausible and could soon extend to Iran - The Conversation - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran and three European powers set to resume nuclear talks, says foreign minister - Euronews.com - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran tests satellite launch rocket it says give it new space capabilities - The Times of Israel - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran turns to Russia and China to discuss European threat of sanctions snapback - France 24 - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- 5 Boeing 777s Transferred To Iran Despite Ongoing Sanctions - Simple Flying - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Beware Iran-linked fake VPN apps found to spy on Android users - TechRadar - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Iran will hold nuclear talks with European nations in Turkey, the first since ceasefire with Israel - ABC News - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- What Will Bring Iran Back to the Negotiating Table: European Sanctions or the Drought? - Haaretz - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]