Surely Some Mistake. Why Did ISIS Attack Iran? – Newsweek
Last week ISIS staged an unprecedented terrorist attack in the heart of Iran. At least 17 people were killed and dozens more were injured at two symbolic locations of the Islamic Republic: the parliament and the mausoleum of Ayatollah Khomeini.
The reaction from Irans clerical rulers was predictable; they variously blamed their regional and international enemies the USA, Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Ignored by Iranian officials and by most expert commentators, however, was any recognition that Tehrans domestic and regional policies were contributing factors. In other words, the expansion of ISIS into Iran was a classic case of Iranian regime blowback.
Daily Emails and Alerts- Get the best of Newsweek delivered to your inbox
The conventional wisdom suggests that Iran would remain immune to ISIS as a global terrorist threat. Given Irans majority Shia population and the fact that ISIS is a deeply anti-Shia cult informed by an extremist Sunni neo-Wahhabism, it has been widely assumed that Iranian recruits to ISIS would be difficult to find.
A gunman is seen entering Iranian parliament building in a still image taken from close circuit television (CCTV), taken on June 7, 2017, in Tehran, Iran. IRIB/Handout via Reuters
We now know that Iranian Kurds were behind the ISIS attack in Tehran. The reasons are broadly similar to what we have learned about the politics and psychology of Islamic radicalization. Marginalized, angry and alienated populations exposed to salafi ideology are susceptible to ISIS recruitment.
Approximately eight percent of Irans population is Sunni, mainly representing Arab, Baluchi, Turkmen and Kurdish minorities. They live on Irans periphery and suffer disproportionately from unemployment and discrimination.
Credible reporting suggests that a small number from these groups have joined ISIS due to the same socio-economic push and pull factors that drives ISIS recruitment worldwide. According to the distinguished Iranian journalist Mashallah Shamsolvaezin, the border towns and villages and tribes along Irans east, west and southern borders are poor and vulnerable to extremism.
This has produced social conditions where young unemployed men can be wooed and recruited. In other words, Iran now has a homegrown terrorist problem of its own. Its regional foreign policy has also been a contributing factor.
ISIS has a genocidal view toward Shia Muslims. Partly because of this, Iran and its proxies are fighting ISIS on various battlefields across the Middle East. At the same time, Irans sectarian foreign policy has indirectly contributed to the rise ISIS.
In Iraq, Tehrans critical support for Shia majoritarianism significantly contributed to Sunni marginalization, indirectly amplifying the ideological appeal of ISIS. Then there is Syria.
When the Arab Spring protests reached Syria in 2011, ISIS didnt exist. Peaceful protesters chanting non-sectarian slogans were confronting the 41-year rule of the House of Assad. From the outset, they were met with state-sanctioned repression that rapidly extended to war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Gradually, the uprising militarized and then radicalized as regional actors entered the fray. The subsequent melee is responsible for the worst refugee crisis of the 21 st century and for killing nearly half a million people.
The Assad regime backed by Iran (and Russia) bears the lions share of responsibility for this state of affairs. It is from the killing fields of Syria that the ISIS variant of salafi-jihadism arose and expanded.
Today, Iran justifies it support for Assad by claiming it is fighting ISIS and Al Qaeda. In doing so, however, it conveniently reads the Syrian conflict backward instead of forward.
From the inception of the conflict, and prior to the rise of salafi-jihadism in Syria, Iran strongly backed the Assad regime. Its early intervention had nothing to do with combating religious extremism for the simple reason that this problem barely existed in the early months of the Syrian uprising.
In the past six years, this changed and Iran stepped up its intervention. Mostly notably, it recruited a pan-Shia militia that, along with Hezbollah, has done the bulk of the fighting in defense of the Assad regime.
Irans critical role in Syria has significantly contributed to the spread of sectarianism across the Middle East: ISIS has been a key beneficiary of this. Now the blowback has come to Tehran.
ISIS is fundamentally the product of political authoritarianism in the Sunni Arab world. Its theological home is in Saudi Arabia. The legacy of political tyranny in the Arab world, buttressed by the consequences of the US invasion of Iraq, created social conditions that allowed this extremist cult not only to emerge but also to proliferate. Irans role in this equation has been generally unrecognized.
Though indirect, Irans contribution has been significant. Its domestic policies discriminating against ethnic/religious minorities, and its sectarian foreign policy in Iraq and Syria are key elements that has contributed to ISIS expansion. In other words, Irans chickens have come home to roost.
Nader Hashemiis the Director of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Denver. His latest book isSectarianization: Mapping the New Politics of the Middle East.
Originally posted here:
Surely Some Mistake. Why Did ISIS Attack Iran? - Newsweek
- Iran puts on show of force with war games ahead of Trump's second term - CBS News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- An American hostage during the Iran crisis remembers Jimmy Carter - BBC.com - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- How Iran moves sanctioned oil around the world - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Italian journalist Cecilia Sala released by Iran - The Washington Post - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Angry Trump roasts journalist when asked about Iran military strategy - The Independent - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- UN says Iran executed over 900 people in 2024, including dozens of women - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- An Italian journalist is freed from detention in Iran and returns home - The Associated Press - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- The Iran Opportunity: What America Needs to Do to Achieve a Breakthrough - Foreign Affairs Magazine - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- France says conditions of citizens held in Iran akin to torture - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran Pulls Most Forces From Syria, in Blow to Tehrans Regional Ambitions - The Wall Street Journal - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Shipping in the Crosshairs: What Trumps Return Could Mean for Iran and Maritime Trade - gCaptain - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- OPEC oil output falls in December on UAE and Iran, survey finds - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Yakuza boss pleads guilty to attempted nuclear trafficking to Iran - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran to hold talks over its nuclear programme with European countries - Euronews - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Five years since the downing of Ukrainian airliner by Iran - Ukrainian World Congress - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran hostages reflect on a crisis that defined Jimmy Carters presidency: A fine man that did his best - The Guardian US - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Activists in Iran describe the threats and oppression they face for protesting - PBS NewsHour - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran diverts focus to West Bank after fall of Assad, Israel says - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- World News in Brief: Deadly China quake, Killings of Alawites in Syria, executions in Iran, CAR rights defenders, finance and food crises - UN News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Turkey-backed Syria may be bigger threat than Iran, says Israeli government panel - Middle East Eye - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Tehrans proxies are on the back foot. An Iran-Russia defense pact could revive them. - Breaking Defense - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Italian PM says unaware of any Musk role in journalist's release from Iran - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Japanese mafia leader caught in U.S. sting pleads guilty to conspiring to traffic nuclear materials to Iran - CBS News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Report: Israel thinks Trump will back IDF strike on Iran nuke program or order US hit - The Times of Israel - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran tells France to review 'unconstructive' approach ahead of meeting - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Welcoming election of Lebanese president, Iran says it wants to work with him - The Times of Israel - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Executions of women in Iran hit highest level in 17 years: report - JURIST - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran warns Italy that bilateral ties at risk if it bows to 'hostile' US demands over drone suspect - ABC News - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- On GPS: How will Trump deal with Russia and Iran? - CNN - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israels Red Sea Conundrum: Hit the Houthis or Iran - The Wall Street Journal - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Next nuclear talks between Iran and three European countries due on Jan 13 - Reuters - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- A Last Chance for Iran: America Should Give Diplomacy a Final ShotWhile Preparing to Use Military Force - Foreign Affairs Magazine - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran's plot to assassinate dissident artist in Germany exposed | Iran International - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Further Israeli strikes on Iran may lead to full-fledged war, FM warns - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Report to Congress on Iran - USNI News - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Essay | The Untold Story of Jimmy Carters Hawkish Stand on Iran - The Wall Street Journal - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- The Illusion of Influence: Iran's Fictional Tale of Soleimani and Putin - IranWire | - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israel must confront Iran to weaken the Houthis - opinion - The Jerusalem Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Poverty in Iran: A Catalyst for Social Unrest and Regime Instability - Iran News Update - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- What Will Trump Do About Iran? - by Jay Solomon - The FP - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- U.S. imposes Russia, Iran sanctions over attempted election interference - The Washington Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Italy presses Iran for immediate release of journalist held in Tehran - The Guardian - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israel confirms commandos raided Iran missile factory deep in Syria 4 months ago - The Times of Israel - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran to conduct extensive military drills in air, land, and sea - Tehran Times - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran in post-Assad Middle East: Will Khamenei's 2024 gamble haunt him in 2025? | Iran International - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Former diplomat urges Iran to appoint envoy to mend ties with US - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran providing Houthis with more arms after collapse of other armed allies - Telegraph - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- IDF on alert as Iran faces increasing pressures - JNS.org - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- PM: Iran dumbfounded by Israeli strikes, saw investment in proxies go down the tubes - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran could build nuclear weapon, Trump told by White House - The Telegraph - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The year ahead in the Middle East: A weakened Iran has big implications for China - The Conversation - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The Iran-led axis of resistance in the aftermath of Syrias upheaval - Al Jazeera English - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- PM vows escalated fight against Houthis; officials said urging direct attack on Iran - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Analysis: The Islamic State and Iran remain determined to attack the US - Long War Journal - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Khamenei says Iran does not have or need proxy forces in Middle East - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran plagued by energy crisis partially caused by strikes attributed to Israel - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- US imposes sanctions on Iran and Houthi-related targets - Reuters - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Christmas in Tehran During the 1979 Iran Hostage Crisis - The New Yorker - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Women Being Sent to the Gallows in Alarming Numbers in Iran - Center for Human Rights in Iran - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Trump Reportedly Offers To Hold High-level Nuclear Talks With Iran - i24NEWS - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran pauses the process to implement a new, stricter headscarf law for women, official says - The Associated Press - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Documents captured from Hamas reveal Iran's complex weapons smuggling network - The Jerusalem Post - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- UN pushes for Iran nuclear deal talks, says 'time of the essence' - Reuters.com - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Netanyahu: 'Just as we acted forcefully against Iran's axis of evil, we will act against Houthis' - The Jerusalem Post - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The Middle East Is in Chaos. Iran Is Focused on the Veil. - Foreign Policy - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran expands weaponization capabilities critical for employing nuclear bomb - Fox News - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran: Only Three Days of Electricity and Gasoline Per Week - Iran Focus - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran celebrates 3rd anniversary of Yalda Nights UNESCO designation - Tehran Times - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Its proxies pummeled, Iran is suddenly more vulnerable than ever. Will it go nuclear? - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- FIFA hails all-women crowd of 45K at game in Iran - ESPN - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Two charged in connection with Iran-backed drone strike that killed 3 US troops in the Middle East - The Associated Press - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Syrians have every right to hate us Iranians | Iran International - - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- UN monitor says reviving Iran deal now irrelevant, since Tehran on cusp of nuke - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Syria has been liberated from Russia and Iran but outsiders still threaten its new freedom - The Guardian - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Western sabotage intended to create chaos in Iran - Tehran Times - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran throws its support behind Assad as rebels expand their shock offensive in Syria - NBC News - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Iran says insecurity in Syria will spread beyond borders - - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Iran to begin enriching uranium with thousands of advanced centrifuges, UN watchdog says - The Associated Press - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Rebels in Syria take advantage of Israels successes against a weakened Iran axis - The Times of Israel - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Avoiding the next front: Iraqs fight to stay out of the Israel-Iran conflict - European Council on Foreign Relations - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]