Syrian Civil War — ISIS Is No Counterweight to Iranian Influence … – National Review
In two statements in August 2014, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah claimed that the Islamic State was a threat to the region. The danger does not recognize Shiites, Sunnis, Christians, or Druze, Yazidis, Arabs, or Kurds, he said. This monster is growing and getting bigger. He argued that ISIS threatened the Arab monarchies stretching from Jordan to the Gulf. Then he revealed the real goal of his Iranian-backed Hezbollah movement. Going to fight in Syria was, in the first degree, to defend Lebanon, the resistance in Lebanon and all Lebanese.
Since the outbreak of the Syrian civil war, Iran, Hezbollah, and the various Shia militias in Iraq that make up the Hashd al-Shaabi are riding a wave of victories. Never before have Irans proxies, extremist militias, had such legitimacy and power in some areas, while in others they play a polarizing role.
To fight Iranian influence, some have argued, ISIS and other jihadists should be encouraged to fight a war of attrition against Hezbollah and its allies. In Syria, Trump should let ISIS be Assads Irans, Hezbollahs, and Russias headache the same way we encouraged the mujahedeen fighters to bleed Russia in Afghanistan, columnist Thomas Friedman wrote in the New York Times on April 12. Friedman was the Timess Beirut bureau chief in 1982 and was posted to Jerusalem later in the 1980s. He was familiar with the initial rise of Hezbollah and with U.S. policy in Afghanistan, where America spent hundreds of millions aiding fighters resisting the Soviets.
Efraim Inbar of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies argued in August 2016 that the destruction of Islamic State is a strategic mistake. It would be best to keep bad actors focused on one another rather than on Western targets and hamper Irans quest for regional hegemony, he explained. In this theory, like the one Friedman later advanced, Hezbollah was being seriously taxed by the fight against ISIS.
From a moral perspective, ISIS must be defeated in Iraq and Syria because of its crimes against humanity, particularly its massacre of Yazidis, a religious minority, in 2014, and its selling 5,000 women into slavery. Those who argue that nonetheless ISIS should be left to bleed Iran and contend that this strategy is pragmatic, based on U.S. or Western interests.
The problem is that there is no evidence that ISIS has bled Iran, the Syrian regime, Hezbollah, or Shia militias any more than it has advanced Tehrans interests. Before ISIS attacked Iraq in 2014, the Baghdad government still had to pretend to curry favor with Sunnis. After ISIS arrived, Shia Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani issued his famous fatwa calling on all Iraqis to defend their country. Tens of thousands flocked to the Hashd al-Shaabi, or Popular Mobilization Units. In December 2016, they became an official arm of the Iraqi security forces.
As Iraq has battled ISIS, Qasem Soleimani, the commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, has been a frequent visitor to the front lines: ISIS didnt weaken Iranian influence in Iraq, it put it on steroids. Before ISIS, Iran would never have been able to create a Shia militia coalition and make it an official part of the government. Its militias were seen as sectarian extremists. Now on the battlefields around Mosul, as I witnessed in a visit there in early April, the Shia flags fly everywhere, and they pose as liberators.
Similarly in Lebanon: On the arrival of pockets of ISIS on the border in 2014, Nasrallah, a turban-wearing blowhard who runs an extremist religious militia, spoke of barbarians at the gate. Hezbollah leveraged the crises with Syria and the supposed threat from jihadists to hold the presidency of Lebanon hostage for more than two years until it maneuvered Michael Aoun into power in 2016. Lebanons sectarian constitution requires that the countrys leader be a Christian, but Nasrallah wanted a Hezbollah-allied Christian. Fighting ISIS and other jihadists in Syria allows him to pose as a defender of Christians and minority communities in Lebanon. He continues to claim that Hezbollah is resisting Israel by fighting in Syria. How is that? Nasrallah claims that Israel supports ISIS.
The extremism of ISIS has discredited the Syrian rebellion. Prior to the arrival of ISIS and the beheading of Steven Sotloff and James Foley, the worlds attention was focused on the brutality of Bashar al-Assad. After August 2014, the U.S.-led coalition of 68 nations was busy bombing ISIS. The claim that letting ISIS off the hook would have somehow bled Assad is incorrect. In 2014, ISIS concentrated its war against Kurds in Syria and Iraq and rarely posed a threat to the Assad regime. That was threated by the Syrian rebels. The regime identified the rebels as ISIS and al-Qaeda, monsters. ISIS didnt counterweight Assad. It provided him legitimacy, as the lesser of two evils.
Supporting religious extremists, as the U.S. did in Afghanistan in the 1990s, is not a counterweight to other extremists. The struggle against Iranian hegemony must be waged alongside other pro-Western or allied administrations such as Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the Kurdistan Regional Government in Iraq. Supporting jihadists leads to instability. It doesnt countervail Iran.
Seth J. Frantzman is a researcher, a Jerusalem-based journalist, and an op-ed editor of the Jerusalem Post.
Link:
Syrian Civil War -- ISIS Is No Counterweight to Iranian Influence ... - National Review
- Iran says German-Iranian died before execution was reported - BBC.com - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran is now dangerously vulnerable to the consequences of another attack on Israel - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Federal agencies say Russia and Iran are ramping up influence campaigns targeting US voters - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Three sentenced to death in Iran over killing of top nuclear scientist - Al Jazeera English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Russia launches Soyuz rocket with dozens of satellites, including two from Iran - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Full-scale war in Middle East involving Israel and Iran likely, say most Europeans in poll - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran executes a Jewish citizen convicted of murder following a dispute over money - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US says Iranian-American held in Iran as tensions high following Israeli attack on country - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- An Iranian-American journalist is believed to be held by Iran as tensions remain high after an Israeli attack, US says - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Issues Fresh Threats Against Israel, U.S. - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran arrests female university student who stripped to her underwear in protest over dress code enforcement - CBS News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Oil prices settle up slightly on Iran worries, but prices down for week - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Two members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards killed in helicopter crash - FRANCE 24 English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran wants to hold region hostage with retaliation op - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran slams destabilizing presence as US sends B-52 bombers to region - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Woman strips off clothes at Iran university in apparent protest, reports say - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran says two French detainees held in good conditions - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Reformist clerics imply Iran should back two-state solution for Israel and Palestine - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran to use bigger warheads in attack on Israel - JNS.org - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Will Iran Withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? - War On The Rocks - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- From Iran to Turkey, how the Middle East is bracing for US elections - Al-Monitor - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Rejects Nuclear Weapons but Will 'Defend Itself by All Means' - Newsweek - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran vows strong and complex attack against Israel in retaliation for strikes - New York Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US said to warn Iran it wont be able to restrain Israel if Tehran attacks again - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- The Houthis couldn't have built their most dangerous weapons without help from Iran and others, UN experts find - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran detains woman who stripped to her underwear at university in apparent protest - ABC News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran executes Jewish Iranian man after settlement aimed at saving him was rejected - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it conducted a ground raid in Syria and seized a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - PBS NewsHour - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran said planning to use more powerful weapons in next attack on Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- The Longer Iran Waits to Attack Israel, the More Risks It Takes - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran's enemies will receive crushing response - Khamenei - BBC.com - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran fears Trump win would bring Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, Western sanctions - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it carried out ground raid into Syria, seizing a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - The Associated Press - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel Iran war Live Updates: IDF says it eliminated Hezbollah commander Abu Ali Rida - The Times of India - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran plans strong and complex attack on Israel as Khamenei vows 'harsh retaliation' | What we know so far | Today News - Mint - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- 'Orders to come from Iran': Iraqi militias pose growing risk to Israel - expert - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iraq trying to reel in Iran-backed groups to prevent confrontation with Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran warns of 'crushing response' following Israeli airstrikes as Pentagon announces plans to bolster US presence in the Middle East - Business... - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Khamenei aide warns Iran may review nuclear doctrine if facing existential threat - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran Is Freaked: The Air Force Is Sending B-52 Bombers Much Closer - The National Interest Online - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel at War Day 394 | Report: Iran's Army Will Participate in 'Strong and Complex' Attack on Israel - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran says airspace remains open - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- UN experts say Houthis exploited Gaza war to boost regional status, aided by Iran - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Netanyahu tells U.S. that Israel will strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets, officials say - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Opinion | Its Time for America to Get Real With Iran and Israel - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran says it will respond decisively if Israel attacks, asks UN to intervene - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- US warns Iran to stop plotting against Trump, says US official - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran working to control oil spill off Kharg Island, says IRNA - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel said to decide on targets it could strike in Iran: Now a matter of time - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel will respond to Iran based on national interest - Netanyahu - BBC.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel Tells U.S. It Will Limit Its Expected Strike on Iran to Military Targets, Officials Say - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israeli arrested for plot to kill local scientist in exchange for $100K from Iran - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel is ready to strike Iran with attack expected before US election: report - New York Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran Shouldnt Expect Russia to Come Riding to Its Rescue - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Jordan tells Iran it will not allow anyone to violate its airspace - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran has a big surprise and is waiting for zero hour, warns senior IRGC officer - Middle East Monitor - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran cyber attacks against Israel surged after Gaza war started, Microsoft reports - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Sudans civil war fueled by secret arms shipments from UAE and Iran - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel launches new strikes in Beirut despite U.S. warning over scale of attacks on Iran-backed Hezbollah - CBS News - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Any retaliation against Iran will be based on national interest, says Israel - The Guardian - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Would Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz in a Conflict? - The Maritime Executive - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Why The Exiled Crown Prince of Iran Is Urging Israel to 'Take Down' The Tyrannical Regime - CBN.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel has these four options for attacking Iran - The Economist - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran has a hit list of former Trump aides. The U.S. is scrambling to protect them. - POLITICO - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Biden warned Iran that killing Trump would be an act of war: report - Fox News - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Harris to Jewish voters: All options on the table to stop Iran from going nuclear - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Secret Documents Show Hamas Tried to Persuade Iran to Join Its Oct. 7 Attack - The New York Times - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Video: Iran warns US that it will retaliate against any future Israel strike - CNN - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran says it halted indirect talks with US in Oman as it waits for Israeli retaliation - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- EU includes Iran Air in sanctions over missile transfer to Russia - Reuters - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- US will send a missile defense system and troops to run it to Israel to aid defense against Iran - The Associated Press - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Two Israelis arrested for acts of sabotage, plotting assassination for Iran - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- As Israel plots to strike Iran, its choices range from symbolic to severe - The Associated Press - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Uncertainty looms over Israels expected Iran strike; rescuers dig through debris in central Beirut - The Washington Post - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran Issues New Warning: 'We Have No Red Line' - Newsweek - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran's attacks on Israel suggest ballistic missiles are an overhyped threat - Business Insider - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- A US missile-defense system, hailed as the world's best, is headed to Israel to counter Iran - Business Insider - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- 'No red lines' in defending Iran and its interests, foreign minister says - FRANCE 24 English - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Iran bans pagers, walkie talkies on planes after blasts targeting Hezbollah members - The Times of Israel - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]
- Putin hails very close links with Iran at landmark first meeting with president, as Middle East tensions soar - CNN - October 14th, 2024 [October 14th, 2024]